Raimy Rodriguez

P Asheville Tourists

Age 22 RHP 6'1" / 195 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	AHOU	25	10	83	6.53	4.00	21.5%	18.1%	—	K 15.9% · BB 21.4% · FIP 4.77
2025	20	AHOU	26	20	93	4.95	4.56	22.7%	17.6%	—	K 16.8% · BB 20.8% · FIP 5.68
2026	21	MIX2 levels	27	0	50	6.08	5.03	22.1%	19.0%	—	K 15.9% · BB 22.3% · FIP 6.00
2027PROJ	22	MLBHOU	43	0	45	6.31	6.31	14.8%	20.0%	-0.8
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBHOU	41	0	43	5.92	5.79	16.7%	17.3%	-0.6
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBHOU	59	0	62	5.61	5.47	17.8%	15.6%	-0.6

Next 3 projected WAR -2.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff35Control20Command25

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsGarrett Apker (age 23) · Johan Moreno (age 21) · Reynardo Cruz (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 153145vR 137

ERA6.31

FIP6.31

K%14.8%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-5.2%

Proj IP45

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL2020

CMD2525

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	13	4	30	132	32	14	0	31%	2.3	16.5%	13.3%	3.2%	0.0%	3.94	3.39	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL HOU Orange	13	4	30	132	32	14	0	31%	2.3	24.2%	10.6%	13.6%	0.0%	3.94	2.36	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	10	3	32	147	46	25	1	30%	3.2	21.3%	21.3%	0.0%	0.7%	5.12	4.38	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	10	3	32	147	46	25	1	30%	3.2	31.3%	17.0%	14.3%	0.7%	5.12	2.97	—
2024	19	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	25	10	83	419	90	76	2	40%	3.3	15.9%	21.4%	-5.5%	0.6%	6.53	4.77	—
2024	19	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	25	10	83	419	90	76	2	40%	3.3	15.9%	21.4%	-5.5%	0.6%	6.53	4.77	—
2024	19	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	25	10	83	419	90	76	2	40%	3.3	21.5%	18.1%	3.3%	0.5%	6.53	4.00	—
2025	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	26	20	93	415	94	73	8	77%	3.6	16.8%	20.8%	-4.0%	2.5%	4.95	5.68	—
2025	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	26	20	93	415	94	73	8	77%	3.6	16.8%	20.8%	-4.0%	2.5%	4.95	5.68	—
2025	20	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	26	20	93	415	94	73	8	77%	3.6	22.7%	17.6%	5.1%	1.9%	4.95	4.56	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	50	253	56	48	5	0%	1.9	15.9%	22.3%	-6.4%	2.6%	6.08	6.00	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	50	253	56	48	5	0%	1.9	15.9%	22.3%	-6.4%	2.6%	6.08	6.00	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	0	50	253	56	48	5	0%	1.9	22.1%	19.0%	3.2%	2.0%	6.08	5.03	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	HOU	43	0	45	190	28	38	5	0%	1.0	14.8%	20.0%	-5.2%	2.8%	6.31	6.31	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	HOU	82	0	86	365	61	63	10	0%	1.1	16.7%	17.3%	-0.6%	2.8%	5.92	5.79	-1.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	HOU	84	0	89	375	67	58	10	0%	1.1	17.8%	15.6%	2.3%	2.8%	5.61	5.47	-0.9
2030	25	MLB MLE	HOU	86	0	90	379	70	55	11	0%	1.0	18.4%	14.5%	3.9%	2.8%	5.39	5.29	-0.7
2031	26	MLB MLE	HOU	86	0	90	379	71	54	11	0%	1.0	18.7%	14.3%	4.4%	2.8%	5.29	5.24	-0.7
2032	27	MLB MLE	HOU	84	0	88	374	70	54	11	0%	1.1	18.7%	14.4%	4.3%	2.8%	5.28	5.28	-0.7
2033	28	MLB MLE	HOU	82	0	86	362	67	53	11	0%	1.0	18.6%	14.5%	4.0%	2.9%	5.33	5.36	-0.8
2034	29	MLB MLE	HOU	78	0	82	346	63	51	11	0%	1.1	18.3%	14.8%	3.6%	3.1%	5.43	5.49	-0.8
2035	30	MLB MLE	HOU	73	0	77	325	65	46	11	0%	1.1	20.0%	14.3%	5.7%	3.3%	5.41	5.40	-0.7
2028	23	MLB CTX	HOU	41	0	43	182	30	31	5	0%	1.0	16.7%	17.3%	-0.6%	2.8%	5.92	5.79	-0.6
2029	24	MLB CTX	HOU	59	0	62	262	47	41	7	0%	1.1	17.8%	15.6%	2.3%	2.8%	5.61	5.47	-0.6
2030	25	MLB CTX	HOU	70	0	73	308	57	45	9	0%	1.0	18.4%	14.5%	3.9%	2.8%	5.39	5.29	-0.6
2031	26	MLB CTX	HOU	74	0	78	329	62	47	9	0%	1.1	18.7%	14.3%	4.4%	2.8%	5.29	5.24	-0.6
2032	27	MLB CTX	HOU	76	0	80	338	63	49	10	0%	1.1	18.7%	14.4%	4.3%	2.8%	5.28	5.28	-0.6
2033	28	MLB CTX	HOU	75	0	79	334	62	48	10	0%	1.1	18.6%	14.5%	4.0%	2.9%	5.33	5.36	-0.7
2034	29	MLB CTX	HOU	72	0	76	321	59	47	10	0%	1.1	18.3%	14.8%	3.6%	3.1%	5.43	5.49	-0.8
2035	30	MLB CTX	HOU	69	0	72	304	61	43	10	0%	1.0	20.0%	14.3%	5.7%	3.3%	5.41	5.40	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		537	0	563	2379	440	352	69	0%	1.0	18.5%	14.8%	3.7%	2.9%	5.42	5.01	-3.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	156	125	24	0%	1.0	18.5%	14.8%	3.7%	2.9%	5.42	5.01	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		101	37	287	1366	229	281	20	37%	2.8	16.8%	20.6%	-3.8%	1.5%	5.52	5.10	-6.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		70	26	200	952	160	196	14	37%	2.8	16.8%	20.6%	-3.8%	1.5%	5.52	5.10	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Raimy Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.31	14.8%	20.0%	2.8%	—	5.51	17.7%	1.9%	265	-0.80	—	—	—
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	86
Johan Moreno R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	21	SW	6.25	13.2%	16.7%	3.9%	.325	4.36	20.7%	8.0%	115	-1.89	3.09	216	85
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	82
Drew Conover R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	23	SW	6.25	15.6%	29.8%	1.3%	.272	5.19	12.6%	-3.4%	106	-1.06	4.49	145	82
Ted Stuka R 2021 · 5.72 FIP	24	SW	5.72	12.4%	23.4%	1.3%	.262	6.22	15.9%	-13.1%	41	+0.50	5.36	105	82
Justin Ferrell R 2016 · 5.30 FIP	22	SW	5.30	14.9%	14.0%	3.1%	.261	4.34	20.4%	9.1%	173	-0.96	3.83	300	82
Johsson Arias R 2016 · 5.43 FIP	22	SW	5.43	8.5%	17.1%	1.6%	.244	3.64	15.9%	4.4%	77	-1.79	3.46	117	82
Hansel Rosario R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SW	5.54	19.2%	22.2%	2.3%	.306	7.16	16.3%	-21.0%	19	+1.62	5.25	107	81
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	80
Seth McClung R 2003 · 5.63 FIP	22	SW	5.63	15.0%	14.4%	3.6%	.241	5.29	15.3%	2.8%	212	-0.34	2.52	430	80
Garrett Nuss R 2015 · 5.71 FIP	22	SW	5.71	14.1%	14.9%	3.5%	.352	4.58	15.0%	5.3%	92	-1.13	4.57	174	80
Alberto Tirado R 2017 · 5.69 FIP	22	SW	5.69	14.7%	18.5%	2.7%	.294	3.82	16.5%	-0.2%	33	-1.87	3.78	247	80
Tom Reisinger R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	23	SW	5.44	12.1%	14.6%	2.8%	.381	6.49	10.3%	-5.6%	47	+1.05	5.44	110	79
Mason McGwire R 2024 · 6.46 FIP	20	SP-	6.46	11.7%	21.2%	3.0%	.298	4.11	21.4%	10.7%	79	-2.35	4.11	155	78
Austin Amaral R 2024 · 5.94 FIP	22	SU	5.94	12.1%	14.4%	3.7%	.254	3.55	18.6%	6.3%	113	-2.39	3.53	136	78
Aneuris Rodriguez R 2024 · 5.22 FIP	20	SW	5.22	16.0%	18.8%	2.0%	.310	6.65	14.6%	-15.5%	14	+1.43	3.15	118	77
Alejandro Hidalgo R 2023 · 6.05 FIP	20	SW	6.05	16.0%	21.7%	2.8%	.283	6.42	22.0%	9.7%	151	+0.37	4.03	275	77
Wirkin Estevez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	24	SW	5.39	10.7%	13.4%	2.7%	.316	4.46	12.3%	3.5%	179	-0.93	4.37	238	77
Leomar Rosario R 2023 · 6.00 FIP	20	SW	6.00	14.5%	26.7%	1.4%	.310	5.64	21.1%	-5.2%	90	-0.36	4.95	134	77
Jol Concepcion R 2021 · 6.54 FIP	22	SW	6.54	12.2%	20.0%	3.5%	.272	4.60	23.9%	3.9%	50	-1.94	4.60	154	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.7	81	18.2%	15.3%	1.12	5.51
Tim Conroy ('78-'87, -3 WAR*)	2.3	78	20.8%*	13.6%*	1.12*	5.23*
Jack Hamilton ('62-'69, -5 WAR*)	3.1	102	16.8%*	13.3%*	0.90*	5.45*
George Smith ('26-'30, -3 WAR*)	1.7	66	22.6%*	14.5%*	1.13*	5.29*
Touki Toussaint ('25)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.24	5.42
Seth McClung ('09)	2.2	86	16.2%	13.1%	1.28	5.46
Bobby Jones ('04)	1.6	81	15.1%	12.9%	1.25	5.77