Anthony Flores

P Biloxi Shuckers

Age 22 LHP 5'10" / 165 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	MIX2 levels	19	7	70	5.17	2.57	27.3%	8.7%	—	K 19.1% · BB 10.6% · FIP 3.77
2025	20	A+MIL	32	11	91	3.86	3.95	22.8%	11.9%	—	K 17.5% · BB 13.7% · FIP 4.58
2026	21	AAMIL	30	1	46	8.35	5.91	17.9%	17.5%	—	K 14.5% · BB 19.3% · FIP 6.28
2027PROJ	22	MLBMIL	43	0	45	6.04	6.04	15.0%	17.1%	-0.7
2028PROJ50% MLB	23	MLBMIL	41	0	43	5.68	5.56	16.8%	14.8%	-0.5
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBMIL	58	0	61	5.39	5.26	17.9%	13.2%	-0.5

Next 3 projected WAR -1.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control35Command40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 91%

CompsBryce Hubbart (age 22) · Colby Langford (age 22) · Kikito Severino (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132140vR 148

ERA6.04

FIP6.04

K%15.0%

BB%17.1%

K-BB%-2.1%

Proj IP45

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL3535

CMD4040

K†3050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	11	7	35	157	30	22	0	64%	3.2	13.0%	17.5%	-4.5%	0.0%	5.97	4.22	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 2	11	7	35	157	30	22	0	64%	3.2	19.1%	14.0%	5.1%	0.0%	5.97	3.27	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	11	11	45	180	57	16	1	100%	4.1	21.5%	11.1%	10.4%	0.8%	3.22	3.11	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	11	11	45	180	57	16	1	100%	4.1	31.7%	8.9%	22.8%	0.6%	3.22	1.91	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	7	70	311	85	27	4	37%	3.7	19.1%	10.6%	8.5%	1.7%	5.17	3.77	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	7	70	311	85	27	4	37%	3.7	19.1%	10.6%	8.5%	1.7%	5.17	3.77	—
2024	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	7	70	311	85	27	4	37%	3.7	27.3%	8.7%	18.6%	1.3%	5.17	2.57	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	32	11	91	404	92	48	9	34%	2.8	17.5%	13.7%	3.9%	2.2%	3.86	4.58	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	32	11	91	404	92	48	9	34%	2.8	17.5%	13.7%	3.9%	2.2%	3.86	4.58	—
2025	20	A+ RAW	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	32	11	91	404	92	48	9	34%	2.8	22.8%	11.9%	10.9%	2.2%	3.86	3.95	—
2026	21	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	30	1	46	234	42	41	7	3%	1.5	14.5%	19.3%	-4.7%	3.6%	8.35	6.28	—
2026	21	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	30	1	46	234	42	41	7	3%	1.5	14.5%	19.3%	-4.7%	3.6%	8.35	6.28	—
2026	21	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	30	1	46	234	42	41	7	3%	1.5	17.9%	17.5%	0.4%	3.0%	8.35	5.91	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	MIL	43	0	45	190	28	33	6	0%	1.0	15.0%	17.1%	-2.1%	3.0%	6.04	6.04	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIL	81	0	85	359	60	53	11	0%	1.0	16.8%	14.8%	2.1%	3.0%	5.68	5.56	-0.9
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIL	83	0	87	368	66	49	11	0%	1.0	17.9%	13.2%	4.6%	2.9%	5.39	5.26	-0.7
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIL	84	0	88	372	69	46	11	0%	1.1	18.5%	12.3%	6.2%	2.9%	5.19	5.09	-0.5
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIL	84	0	88	372	70	45	11	0%	1.1	18.8%	12.2%	6.6%	2.9%	5.09	5.04	-0.5
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIL	83	0	87	367	69	45	11	0%	1.0	18.8%	12.2%	6.5%	3.0%	5.08	5.08	-0.5
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIL	80	0	84	356	66	44	11	0%	1.1	18.6%	12.4%	6.3%	3.1%	5.13	5.16	-0.6
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIL	77	0	80	340	63	43	11	0%	1.0	18.4%	12.6%	5.8%	3.2%	5.23	5.30	-0.7
2035	30	MLB MLE	MIL	72	0	76	320	64	39	11	0%	1.1	20.0%	12.1%	7.9%	3.4%	5.21	5.20	-0.5
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIL	41	0	43	182	31	27	5	0%	1.0	16.8%	14.8%	2.1%	3.0%	5.68	5.56	-0.5
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIL	58	0	61	258	46	34	8	0%	1.1	17.9%	13.2%	4.6%	2.9%	5.39	5.26	-0.5
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIL	69	0	72	304	56	37	9	0%	1.0	18.5%	12.3%	6.2%	2.9%	5.19	5.09	-0.4
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIL	73	0	77	325	61	40	10	0%	1.1	18.8%	12.2%	6.6%	2.9%	5.09	5.04	-0.4
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIL	75	0	79	334	63	41	10	0%	1.1	18.8%	12.2%	6.5%	3.0%	5.08	5.08	-0.5
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIL	74	0	78	329	61	41	10	0%	1.1	18.6%	12.4%	6.3%	3.1%	5.13	5.16	-0.5
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIL	71	0	75	317	58	40	10	0%	1.1	18.4%	12.6%	5.8%	3.2%	5.23	5.30	-0.6
2035	30	MLB CTX	MIL	68	0	71	300	60	36	10	0%	1.0	20.0%	12.1%	7.9%	3.4%	5.21	5.20	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		528	0	555	2343	435	295	72	0%	1.1	18.6%	12.6%	6.0%	3.1%	5.22	4.81	-1.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	157	106	26	0%	1.1	18.6%	12.6%	6.0%	3.1%	5.22	4.81	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		103	37	286	1286	224	181	24	36%	2.8	17.4%	14.1%	3.3%	1.9%	5.06	4.44	-5.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		72	26	200	898	156	126	17	36%	2.8	17.4%	14.1%	3.3%	1.9%	5.06	4.44	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anthony Flores (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.04	15.0%	17.1%	3.0%	—	5.30	17.7%	4.3%	260	-0.74	—	—	—
Bryce Hubbart L 2023 · 5.87 FIP	22	SW	5.87	17.0%	26.0%	1.7%	.303	5.28	17.9%	4.2%	149	-0.59	4.79	194	84
Colby Langford L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	22	SW	5.34	21.6%	22.5%	2.2%	.273	6.01	22.2%	-1.1%	110	+0.67	4.92	168	80
Kikito Severino L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	21	SW	5.78	11.9%	19.5%	2.2%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.87	135	80
Oscar Armenta L 2016 · 5.06 FIP	22	SW	5.06	10.4%	15.7%	1.6%	.335	3.84	7.0%	-3.5%	11	-1.22	3.84	118	79
Scott Squier L 2015 · 5.28 FIP	22	SW	5.28	12.2%	11.2%	3.3%	.362	4.06	13.9%	7.9%	234	-1.22	3.29	276	76
Edwin Escobar L 2015 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	9.6%	11.9%	3.9%	.268	4.28	13.7%	4.9%	122	-1.68	4.28	218	76
Victor Payano L 2015 · 6.06 FIP	22	SP-	6.06	14.8%	16.5%	3.9%	.287	4.82	20.5%	7.0%	225	-1.24	3.78	341	76
Randy Keisler L 2000 · 5.13 FIP	24	SW	5.13	11.5%	15.4%	1.9%	.405	6.43	15.3%	0.9%	51	+1.30	5.07	135	75
Graeme Stinson L 2021 · 5.66 FIP	23	SU	5.66	12.6%	12.6%	3.7%	.266	4.14	21.4%	8.7%	101	-1.52	3.56	146	75
Bryan Warzek L 2019 · 5.92 FIP	22	SW	5.92	17.7%	24.4%	2.2%	.328	6.74	20.2%	1.9%	73	+0.82	1.91	138	75
Lane Ratliff L 2017 · 6.08 FIP	22	SP-	6.08	12.0%	12.8%	4.3%	.344	3.25	15.9%	7.7%	80	-2.83	2.85	109	75
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	75
Ryan Anderson L 2021 · 5.71 FIP	22	SP-	5.71	14.7%	26.1%	1.0%	.373	3.73	20.3%	11.0%	149	-1.98	2.80	214	74
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	74
Adam Laskey L 2021 · 6.39 FIP	23	SP-	6.39	16.0%	21.0%	3.6%	.383	3.25	20.1%	10.5%	188	-3.14	3.12	310	74
Develson Aria L 2023 · 6.47 FIP	22	SW	6.47	16.7%	28.6%	2.1%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	137	73
Dominic Scheffler L 2024 · 5.54 FIP	20	SP-	5.54	19.7%	28.4%	0.9%	.348	5.19	16.1%	-4.1%	82	-0.35	4.59	110	72
Max Green L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	22	SU	4.87	15.7%	13.3%	2.6%	.352	4.41	13.9%	6.6%	86	-0.46	4.19	169	72
Justin Kelly L 2016 · 4.96 FIP	23	SU	4.96	13.4%	12.7%	2.5%	.421	3.71	19.4%	4.6%	123	-1.25	3.51	160	72
Juanmi Vasquez L 2024 · 7.04 FIP	20	SU	7.04	15.6%	19.7%	5.0%	.286	4.77	21.6%	8.9%	98	-2.27	3.13	159	71

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.6	80	18.2%	13.0%	1.18	5.30
Tim Conroy ('78-'87, -3 WAR*)	2.3	78	20.8%*	13.6%*	1.12*	5.23*
Jake Wade ('36-'46, -1 WAR*)	3.3	84	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.08*	5.03*
Seth McClung ('09)	2.2	86	16.2%	13.1%	1.28	5.46
Gerry Arrigo ('61-'70, 1 WAR*)	3.1	103	20.0%*	11.6%*	1.17*	4.98*
Todd Wellemeyer ('10)	3.1	77	16.9%	11.2%	1.26	4.83
Paul Abbott ('04)	3.6	80	15.6%	12.3%	1.26	4.92