Xavier Ruiz — OGILVIE

Xavier Ruiz P Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 180 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 21 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.32

FIP5.32

K%19.6%

BB%15.3%

K-BB%4.3%

ROS IP21

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	9	0	12	60	4	6	1	0%	1.3	4.5%	12.5%	-8.0%	2.4%	3.86	5.61	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Padres	9	0	12	60	4	6	1	0%	1.3	6.7%	10.0%	-3.3%	1.7%	3.86	5.07	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	36	162	36	22	2	0%	1.8	15.3%	16.6%	-1.3%	1.7%	5.45	4.82	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	0	36	162	36	22	2	0%	1.8	22.2%	13.6%	8.6%	1.2%	5.45	3.65	—
2024	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	36	0	53	219	55	16	0	0%	1.5	18.6%	8.6%	10.0%	0.0%	2.22	2.62	—
2024	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	36	0	53	219	55	16	0	0%	1.5	18.6%	8.6%	10.0%	0.0%	2.22	2.62	—
2024	21	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	36	0	53	219	55	16	0	0%	1.5	25.1%	7.3%	17.8%	0.0%	2.22	1.92	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	0	36	174	39	30	1	0%	1.2	14.6%	22.7%	-8.1%	1.0%	5.50	5.27	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	0	36	174	39	30	1	0%	1.2	14.6%	22.7%	-8.1%	1.0%	5.50	5.27	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	30	0	36	174	39	30	1	0%	1.2	22.4%	17.2%	5.2%	0.6%	5.50	3.79	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	SD	20	0	21	89	17	14	3	0%	1.1	19.6%	15.3%	4.3%	2.8%	5.32	5.32	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	SD	31	0	33	138	28	19	4	0%	1.1	20.5%	13.4%	7.1%	2.8%	5.09	5.01	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	SD	13	0	14	59	12	8	2	0%	1.1	20.5%	13.4%	7.1%	2.8%	5.09	5.01	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	59	12	8	2	0%	1.1	20.5%	13.4%	7.1%	2.8%	5.09	4.63	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	171	114	29	0%	1.1	20.5%	13.4%	7.1%	2.8%	5.09	4.63	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		95	0	137	615	94	93	6	0%	1.4	15.2%	15.1%	0.2%	0.9%	4.08	4.24	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		139	0	200	900	137	136	9	0%	1.4	15.2%	15.1%	0.2%	0.9%	4.08	4.24	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Xavier Ruiz (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.32	19.6%	15.3%	2.8%	—	5.01	20.5%	7.1%	33	-0.31	—	—	—
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	90
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	88
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	88
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	87
Cayne Ueckert R 2019 · 4.26 FIP	23	SU	4.26	17.5%	14.9%	1.4%	.306	5.92	22.7%	5.0%	78	+1.66	3.95	205	87
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	87
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.78	21.8%	10.2%	115	-0.60	4.73	183	87
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.40	16.3%	4.0%	182	-0.16	3.45	237	87
Bryce McGowan R 2024 · 5.11 FIP	24	SU	5.11	19.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.304	3.71	18.8%	6.7%	55	-1.40	3.71	178	86
Billy Seidl R 2024 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	18.3%	14.2%	2.2%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.34	102	86
Michael Blazek R 2013 · 5.52 FIP	24	SU	5.52	16.7%	15.5%	3.4%	.241	3.81	19.8%	10.3%	97	-1.71	2.99	238	86
Julio Mateo R 2002 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	16.0%	12.8%	2.1%	.277	4.23	17.5%	13.8%	232	-0.31	3.42	318	86
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.54	19.0%	8.4%	155	-0.01	3.33	268	86
Chad Harville R 2003 · 5.17 FIP	26	SU	5.17	17.3%	15.4%	2.9%	.328	4.84	17.6%	6.5%	142	-0.33	4.51	178	86
Jake Gilbert R 2021 · 4.14 FIP	24	SU	4.14	22.1%	15.2%	1.8%	.314	4.65	18.2%	2.0%	53	+0.51	4.14	103	86
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	86
Morgan McSweeney R 2022 · 5.16 FIP	24	SU	5.16	18.0%	13.9%	3.3%	.278	4.31	16.6%	6.6%	107	-0.85	3.20	213	85
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	85
Alejandro Torres R 2024 · 4.38 FIP	23	SU	4.38	20.5%	14.5%	2.1%	.221	6.08	17.6%	-0.9%	82	+1.70	4.38	123	85
Marc Brakeman R 2018 · 4.67 FIP	24	SU	4.67	18.3%	13.7%	2.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	156	85

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	27	20.2%	14.2%	1.10	5.18
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Mike Holtz ('06)	1.2	34	20.4%	12.0%	0.94	4.76
John Parrish ('10)	1.4	46	17.6%	14.8%	0.88	4.51
Tim Byrdak ('13)	1.7	42	21.4%	13.3%	1.22	4.35