Marco Vega — OGILVIE

Marco Vega P ACL Angels

Age 21 RHP 6'2" / 165 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 11 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.04

FIP5.04

K%20.7%

BB%12.9%

K-BB%7.8%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	14	0	25	99	27	5	1	0%	1.8	18.5%	6.3%	12.2%	1.8%	2.88	3.30	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	14	0	25	99	27	5	1	0%	1.8	27.3%	5.1%	22.2%	1.0%	2.88	2.06	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	12	0	19	82	25	7	1	0%	1.6	20.7%	10.7%	10.1%	1.6%	2.37	3.58	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	12	0	19	82	25	7	1	0%	1.6	20.7%	10.7%	10.1%	1.6%	2.37	3.58	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	12	0	19	82	25	7	1	0%	1.6	30.5%	8.5%	22.0%	1.2%	2.37	2.26	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	14	0	19	86	16	11	3	0%	1.4	12.7%	16.0%	-3.3%	5.6%	5.59	7.13	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	14	0	19	86	16	11	3	0%	1.4	12.7%	16.0%	-3.3%	5.6%	5.59	7.13	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Angels	14	0	19	86	16	11	3	0%	1.4	18.6%	12.8%	5.8%	3.5%	5.59	5.17	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	31	0	36	151	46	17	3	0%	1.2	21.4%	13.7%	7.6%	2.7%	3.50	4.53	—
YTD	21	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	31	0	36	151	46	17	3	0%	1.2	21.4%	13.7%	7.6%	2.7%	3.50	4.53	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	ROK RAW	LAA	20	0	23	98	30	10	2	0%	1.2	30.6%	10.2%	20.4%	2.0%	4.63	2.93	—
2026	21	A RAW	LAA	11	0	13	53	16	7	1	0%	1.2	30.2%	13.2%	17.0%	1.9%	1.42	3.26	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	LAA	35	0	37	157	34	18	5	0%	1.1	21.9%	11.4%	10.4%	3.0%	4.82	4.72	-0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	LAA	17	0	18	76	17	9	2	0%	1.1	21.9%	11.4%	10.4%	3.0%	4.82	4.72	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	18	77	17	9	2	0%	1.1	21.9%	11.4%	10.4%	3.0%	4.82	4.34	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	186	99	22	0%	1.1	21.9%	11.4%	10.4%	3.0%	4.82	4.34	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		71	0	99	418	78	50	12	0%	1.4	18.8%	11.8%	6.9%	2.9%	3.53	4.59	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		143	0	200	842	158	100	24	0%	1.4	18.8%	11.8%	6.9%	2.9%	3.53	4.59	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Marco Vega (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.04	20.7%	12.9%	3.0%	—	4.72	21.9%	10.5%	37	-0.32	—	—	—
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	91
Max Gieg R 2022 · 5.10 FIP	21	SU	5.10	21.1%	11.8%	4.2%	.317	4.65	20.4%	2.3%	92	-0.45	3.98	149	90
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	89
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	88
Ty Tice R 2017 · 4.29 FIP	21	SU	4.29	22.2%	12.9%	2.6%	.271	3.53	19.4%	8.3%	108	-0.76	3.24	288	87
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	87
Austin Mason R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	21	SU	4.41	17.1%	11.6%	2.4%	.289	4.06	16.2%	6.5%	151	-0.35	3.60	179	87
Caleb Freeman R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	21	SU	3.98	24.6%	12.9%	2.4%	.267	5.15	21.7%	8.1%	58	+1.17	3.98	225	87
Mike Morrison R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	22	SU	4.86	17.3%	10.7%	3.4%	.280	4.02	19.0%	7.1%	128	-0.84	3.36	145	87
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	86
Kyle Hinton R 2018 · 4.17 FIP	21	SU	4.17	23.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.275	5.69	17.7%	-0.7%	75	+1.52	4.17	106	86
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	86
Osiel Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	21	SU	4.82	22.7%	15.7%	3.0%	.263	5.62	22.0%	7.6%	56	+0.80	3.38	124	85
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	85
Jeremy Beasley R 2017 · 4.71 FIP	21	SU	4.71	19.5%	11.6%	3.3%	.273	4.10	17.7%	8.7%	234	-0.61	3.17	337	85
Yordin Chalas R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	19	SU	4.56	17.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.294	3.92	19.9%	7.8%	116	-0.64	3.67	140	85
Hobie Harris R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	22	SU	4.28	18.1%	13.3%	1.9%	.239	3.36	21.2%	12.0%	144	-0.92	3.31	474	85
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	85
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	85
Jake Bird R 2018 · 4.59 FIP	22	SU	4.59	17.7%	13.0%	2.4%	.254	3.65	16.1%	4.9%	156	-0.94	3.06	523	84