Heison Sanchez3B DSL Tigers 2
Age 21 L/R 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 46 proj PA
wRC+54
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .271 / .283
PA46
HR0
K%30
BB%8
ISO84
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -2.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +1.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.20.30.4+$7M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Tigers 2 179155 25612 16678 43 161274252525 90267 379 232 36
202217 ROKDSL Tigers 2 179145 34922 26468 43 234380366745 131330 2615 346 123
202318 ROKDSL Tigers 2 146127 19420 10526 62 150245213457 63250 367 205 15
202318 ROKDSL Tigers 2 146121 28730 16356 62 231350339688 107322 2411 313 98
202419 ROKDSL Tigers 2 8979 12101 7362 30 152239203441 51262 408 199 11
202419 ROKDSL Tigers 2 8974 17111 11242 30 230341311652 81327 2712 301 89
202520 ROKDSL Tigers 2 3326 8100 730 24 308455346801 38348 921 368 140
202520 ROKDSL Tigers 2 3323 9100 1020 24 3915764351.011 43429 630 470 218
▸ 2026 Season
202621 MLB 4642 7100 3141 10 167239190430 24286 307 256 54 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLB 34% 131118 25412 10382 21 212285314598 102288 298 268 63 -5 +0 +0 +0 +4 -0.1
202823 MLB 48% 261235 49824 21743 41 209282311592 102290 288 277 70 -9 +0 +0 +1 +7 -0.0
202924 MLB 53% 356320 711237 281005 51 222295344638 122291 288 283 74 -10 +1 +0 +1 +10 0.2
203025 MLB 55% 413372 811438 331155 62 218290336626 118291 288 286 77 -11 +0 +0 +1 +12 0.3
203126 MLB 56% 448403 8915310 361256 72 221294347642 127291 288 288 78 -11 +1 +0 +2 +13 0.4
202722 MLB 34% 4541 8101 3131 10 195267293559 98288 297 268 63 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
202823 MLB 48% 126113 24412 10362 21 212288319607 106290 298 277 70 -4 +0 +0 +0 +4 -0.0
202924 MLB 53% 188169 37614 15532 31 219290337628 118291 288 283 74 -5 +0 +0 +1 +5 0.1
203025 MLB 55% 226203 45725 18633 31 222295350644 128291 288 286 77 -6 +0 +0 +1 +6 0.2
203126 MLB 56% 249224 49825 20693 41 219291339631 121291 288 288 78 -6 +0 +0 +1 +7 0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 834750 16326617 6623411 134 217290336626 119290 288 283 75 -24 +1 +0 +3 +24 0.4
/ 162G 650585 12720513 511829 103 217290335625 118290 288 283 75 -18 +1 +0 +2 +18 0.3
Career 21021877 386661534 17162438 4016 206285311596 105287 308 270 65 -83 +2 +0 +8 +60 -1.5
/ 162G 650580 12020511 5319312 125 207287316602 109288 308 270 65 -26 +0 +0 +2 +18 -0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Tigers 2 179145 34922 26468 43 234380366745 131330 2615 346 123 +5 -0 +5 1.0
202318 ROKDSL Tigers 2 146121 28730 16356 62 231350339688 107322 2411 313 98 -0 +0 +4 0.4
202419 ROKDSL Tigers 2 8974 17111 11242 30 230341311652 81327 2712 301 89 -1 +1 +3 0.2
202520 ROKDSL Tigers 2 3323 9100 1020 24 3915764351.011 43429 630 470 218 +4 -1 +1 0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#3Einar Díazlast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA
61,7631610248297342+5+122.42.4
/16266464+1.9+4.70.9pk7: 2
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
38811713218288335+3+20.40.4
/1626641310+2.4+1.10.3pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Heison Sanchez (OGILVIE) 21 200/271/283 83286 01 30% 8% 54 -0.1
Addison Barger
2021 · A
21 41→45 39→55 49→45 44 198/267/288 90270 65 28% 7% 53 -1.5 217/280/375 158316 197 36% 7% 82 +0.5 220/290/39217226920626%8%86+0.6
Leandro Pineda
2023 · A
21 36→39 39→45 47→45 42 172/250/266 95272 56 36% 8% 41 -2.3 201/268/322 121279 126 31% 7% 63 -0.9 202/271/32212026112626%7%62-0.5
Christopher Familia
2022 · A
22 42 38→55 47→45 43 200/270/285 85279 410 28% 7% 54 -1.4 212/277/365 153274 195 29% 6% 79 +0.3 203/266/37717425524231%6%72-0.1
Victor Mesa Jr.
2023 · A
21 44 40→50 49→50 43 210/264/306 96280 68 26% 6% 56 -1.3 212/262/343 131271 1510 27% 6% 65 -0.7 227/286/38916226621923%7%84+0.3
Ashton McGee
2021 · A
22 41 39→45 50→40 41 194/258/283 89288 55 33% 7% 48 -1.9 196/284/305 109362 114 44% 10% 66 -0.6 177/274/28410733412245%11%53-0.8
Ricardo Méndez
2021 · A
21 43 39→45 54→50 39 204/264/292 88314 713 35% 7% 53 -1.5 217/259/315 98324 613 33% 5% 56 -1.3 213/255/3079431351432%5%48-1.1
Imanol Vargas
2019 · A
21 42→44 40→50 45 51 200/293/295 95288 79 30% 11% 67 -0.5 207/285/347 140314 157 36% 9% 76 +0.1 205/290/36015432618239%10%79+0.2
Juan Silva
2012 · A
21 42→46 40→45 46→55 42 200/264/291 90303 77 34% 8% 52 -1.6 221/295/322 101308 821 28% 9% 74 -0.1 224/306/32510130582927%10%77+0.1
Rubel Cespedes
2022 · A
21 34→44 39→45 49→40 36 170/224/255 86263 76 37% 6% 26 -3.4 215/264/318 103309 94 32% 6% 59 -1.1 218/267/32210430210330%6%59-0.8
Luis Valenzuela
2015 · A
21 41 37→45 55→45 39 197/236/272 76265 47 27% 5% 34 -2.8 241/267/333 92304 57 22% 3% 63 -0.9 257/280/3581003165720%2%71-0.1
Jason Denham
2007 · A
21 40→45 35→40 53→55 44 190/254/251 61280 310 31% 8% 37 -2.6 218/277/298 80290 818 26% 7% 59 -1.1 217/279/2927428482125%7%57-0.8
Herman Armas
2007 · A
20 41 40→45 47→50 40 198/265/294 96288 711 32% 6% 54 -1.4 218/287/329 111286 119 26% 7% 72 -0.2 218/293/33511726614923%8%75-0.0
Grant Witherspoon
2019 · A
22 40→45 41→50 52→50 36 194/244/288 94292 89 35% 5% 43 -2.2 197/248/299 102283 1012 32% 6% 47 -1.9 215/275/371156290201432%7%75+0.0
Carlos Luis
2021 · A
21 44→51 36→45 48→40 40 206/259/276 69305 46 32% 6% 46 -2.0 221/271/313 92310 73 29% 6% 60 -1.0 226/275/321963059128%6%62-0.5
Travis Swaggerty
2019 · A
21 39→44 41→45 50→55 39 190/249/286 95278 87 33% 6% 45 -2.1 210/274/308 98300 915 31% 8% 61 -1.0 203/269/30310029781932%8%54-0.9
Thomas Milone
2016 · A
21 43→44 36→45 50→55 39 204/250/268 65283 314 28% 5% 40 -2.4 197/250/267 70287 312 31% 6% 40 -2.4 243/298/36912534081729%6%82+0.3
Raynel Delgado
2022 · A
22 37→47 39→40 47→60 37 183/237/265 83279 713 36% 6% 34 -2.8 212/279/307 95299 818 30% 7% 63 -0.8 242/304/3369433383228%7%76+0.1
Luis Liberato
2016 · A
20 37→47 37→55 53→50 41 180/242/256 76271 413 33% 7% 33 -2.9 213/262/339 126310 106 32% 6% 63 -0.8 237/280/38915230018527%6%82+0.3
Donald Lutz
2010 · A
21 39→49 39→50 50→45 40 192/244/278 86264 58 29% 6% 40 -2.4 217/263/335 118302 126 31% 5% 63 -0.8 221/265/35113030614531%5%66-0.4
Juan Centeno
2011 · A
21 43 37→45 50→40 44 204/257/271 67265 49 24% 6% 44 -2.1 244/285/305 61305 26 20% 5% 63 -0.8 238/286/35211428111219%5%73-0.1