Jerffson Pena — OGILVIE

Jerffson PenaOF FCL Phillies

Age 22 L/R 6'2" / 185 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 73 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .264 / .300

PA73

HR1

K%32

BB%7

ISO102

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	186	165	24	3	2	1	16	87	5	20	6	145	242	206	448	61	299	47	9	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	186	156	37	7	3	3	25	61	5	20	6	237	360	378	738	141	370	33	13	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	188	170	32	6	2	2	9	75	7	24	3	188	258	282	540	94	319	40	5	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	188	164	44	8	3	2	15	48	7	24	3	268	355	390	745	122	365	26	8	335	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	151	137	23	6	1	2	10	64	4	12	3	168	245	270	515	102	296	42	7	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	151	131	35	10	1	3	16	48	4	12	3	267	364	427	792	160	400	32	11	356	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	PHI	—	73	67	14	3	1	1	5	23	1	2	0	209	274	328	602	119	287	32	7	258	56	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	PHI	34%	112	102	21	4	1	2	8	34	1	3	0	206	270	324	594	118	289	30	7	269	64	-5	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	PHI	46%	243	221	48	9	2	5	17	73	3	6	1	217	282	344	626	127	290	30	7	277	70	-8	+1	+0	-1	+7	-0.2
2027	23	MLB	PHI	34%	38	34	7	1	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	206	289	324	613	118	291	32	8	261	58	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	PHI	46%	112	102	22	4	1	2	8	34	1	3	0	216	279	333	613	118	292	30	7	270	64	-4	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	150	136	29	5	1	3	11	46	2	4	0	213	282	331	613	118	295	31	7	268	63	-6	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	126	22	4	13	48	199	9	17	0	214	283	331	614	117	297	31	7	268	63	-27	+3	+0	-4	+18	-1.0
Career	—			—	953	862	162	31	9	13	65	356	21	67	13	188	262	290	552	102	300	37	7	247	47	-57	+8	+0	-6	+27	-2.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	110	21	6	9	44	243	14	46	9	187	260	289	549	102	299	37	7	247	47	-39	+6	+0	-4	+18	-1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	186	156	37	7	3	3	25	61	5	20	6	237	360	378	738	141	370	33	13	338	117	+4	+2	—	—	+5	1.1
2023	19	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	188	164	44	8	3	2	15	48	7	24	3	268	355	390	745	122	365	26	8	335	114	+3	+4	—	—	+5	1.2
2024	20	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	151	131	35	10	1	3	16	48	4	12	3	267	364	427	792	160	400	32	11	356	131	+5	+1	—	—	+4	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	224	4	5	209	272	324	-1	+0	-0.4	-0.2
	/162	664	12	15	209	272	324	-4.0	+0.0	-1.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jerffson Pena (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	199/264/300	101	287	1	2	32%	7%	56	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	41→31	40→45	50	44	197/272/291	94	298	8	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	201/266/318	117	303	13	11	35%	7%	61	-1.0	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Brian Pointer 2014 · A	22	38→43	43→45	51→50	39	190/263/305	115	288	11	13	36%	7%	57	-1.2	212/286/344	132	314	13	12	34%	8%	76	+0.1	211/289/350	139	310	15	12	34%	9%	75	+0.0
✕D.J. Wilson 2019 · A	22	36	42→55	50	39	182/240/287	105	275	9	13	36%	7%	41	-2.3	183/249/284	101	305	9	14	40%	7%	44	-2.1	110/193/203	93	185	13	21	46%	8%	1	-1.4
✕Estee Harris 2006 · A	21	36→31	43→50	50	37	187/233/300	113	268	11	14	34%	5%	41	-2.3	188/238/287	99	315	9	13	41%	6%	40	-2.4	172/224/263	91	318	8	13	46%	6%	25	-1.1
✕Gage Canning 2019 · A	22	42→36	44→40	50	37	206/259/329	123	314	11	8	37%	6%	60	-1.0	195/245/283	88	323	7	9	39%	5%	42	-2.3	191/241/271	80	315	6	8	39%	5%	33	-1.9
✕Mitchell Hansen 2018 · A	22	40→37	44→45	51→50	38	201/248/315	115	282	11	10	32%	6%	52	-1.6	195/242/297	102	293	8	9	34%	5%	44	-2.1	159/200/249	89	247	6	8	37%	4%	11	-1.9
✕Chris Newell 2023 · A	22	43→39	41→55	45→55	36	207/255/306	99	311	8	10	35%	5%	53	-1.5	196/272/359	163	321	21	17	42%	9%	75	-0.0	179/259/341	162	287	22	20	43%	9%	63	-0.7
✕Brandon Dulin 2015 · A	22	36→30	42→45	51→40	35	184/234/285	101	260	9	7	32%	4%	38	-2.6	197/245/314	117	277	13	4	33%	5%	50	-1.7	189/240/316	127	261	17	1	34%	5%	46	-1.1
✕Caleb Roberts 2022 · A	22	43→42	39→45	50	42	199/277/290	90	314	7	9	36%	8%	58	-1.2	204/283/328	124	302	11	12	34%	9%	71	-0.3	200/281/332	132	290	12	12	33%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Tyler Callihan 2023 · A	23	42→41	43→45	53→55	42	211/261/321	110	274	10	14	26%	6%	59	-1.1	215/272/329	114	309	11	21	32%	7%	66	-0.6	220/287/349	129	316	15	25	33%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Kai Murphy 2023 · A	22	45→40	39→40	53→50	44	213/272/299	86	295	6	12	28%	7%	58	-1.2	210/271/296	86	310	7	10	32%	7%	56	-1.3	202/271/271	69	274	5	11	26%	7%	48	-1.0
✕Je'Von Ward 2023 · A	23	44→35	39→45	47→50	37	209/258/295	87	322	6	11	36%	6%	50	-1.7	194/260/303	109	321	11	10	40%	8%	54	-1.4	189/272/316	127	289	15	8	37%	10%	63	-0.4
✕Corey Ray 2017 · A	22	43→36	41→50	48→55	41	208/260/312	103	286	8	13	29%	6%	56	-1.3	185/240/303	118	319	11	19	43%	6%	46	-2.0	179/237/328	149	298	16	20	44%	6%	48	-1.1
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	39→29	42→45	51→60	39	193/259/298	104	285	9	12	34%	6%	53	-1.5	180/251/274	94	284	8	13	37%	7%	44	-2.1	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	40	41→50	51→55	42	193/268/296	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	56	-1.3	205/269/314	109	292	8	12	30%	6%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Alexis Rivera 2016 · A	22	41	43→45	49→50	40	204/260/316	111	281	11	10	31%	6%	57	-1.2	225/266/327	102	309	9	8	29%	5%	62	-0.9	239/266/322	83	324	6	6	27%	3%	57	-0.6
✕Miguel Aparicio 2021 · A	22	38→35	43→50	51→50	37	193/232/306	113	253	9	8	28%	4%	42	-2.3	206/266/364	158	283	19	8	33%	6%	73	-0.1	182/251/357	175	240	24	6	35%	6%	62	-0.3
✕Jacob Wetzel 2022 · A	22	42→35	42→45	48→50	41	201/278/302	101	315	11	8	37%	8%	62	-0.9	191/267/301	110	282	11	12	34%	8%	57	-1.2	178/257/294	116	258	11	14	33%	8%	48	-1.0
✕River Town 2022 · A	23	44→36	37→40	54→50	43	203/281/277	74	287	3	12	28%	7%	57	-1.2	205/290/306	101	264	9	15	24%	8%	69	-0.4	199/291/294	95	251	9	15	23%	9%	64	-0.4
✕Shawn Griffin 2009 · A	22	41	40→45	50	38	191/252/282	90	316	7	11	39%	7%	44	-2.1	215/265/307	92	339	6	7	36%	6%	56	-1.3	233/273/330	96	357	6	2	35%	5%	62	-0.3