Jerffson PenaOF FCL Phillies
Age 22 L/R 6'2" / 185 lbs ROK HR +11%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 0.6 · 2030
wRC+†67
AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .276 / .322
PA73
HR1
K%31
BB%8
MLB%0%
BAT: -2.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.4 runs (Positional adjustment)-0POSREP: +2.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2030

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.9M+0.5$2M+$1M
2033Ext / FA-deal$1.0M+0.4$2M+$1M
2034Ext / FA-deal$1.0M+0.2$1M+$0.0M
2035Ext / FA-deal$0.2M
2036Ext / FA-deal$0.4M
2037Ext / FA-deal$0.6M
Totals $4M $-0.6M -$5M
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202218 ROKDSL Phillies Red 186165 24321 16875 206 .145.242.206.448 .061.299 479 .208 17 -17 +2 +0 -1 +5 -1.2
202319 ROKDSL Phillies White 188171 33622 8747 243 .193.258.287.545 .094.323 394 .234 37 -13 +4 +0 -1 +5 -0.6
202420 ROKFCL Phillies 151137 23612 10664 123 .168.245.270.515 .102.304 447 .231 35 -11 +1 +0 -1 +4 -0.7
▸ 2026 Season
202622 MLBPHI 7366 13301 6221 10 .197.274.288.562 .091.288 308 .273 67 -3 +0 +0 -0 +2 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202723 MLB 11%PHI 112101 23413 9331 20 .228.297.376.674 .149.290 298 .287 78 -3 +0 +0 -1 +3 0.0
202824 MLB 26%PHI 243218 48916 20693 41 .220.295.353.648 .133.291 288 .296 85 -4 +0 +0 -1 +7 0.2
202925 MLB 43%PHI 329294 661229 28924 61 .224.301.371.671 .146.292 289 .301 89 -4 +1 +0 -2 +9 0.4
203026 MLB 58%PHI 386344 7814211 341075 71 .227.305.375.680 .148.293 289 .304 91 -4 +1 +0 -2 +11 0.6
203127 MLB 76%PHI 416371 8415212 371165 71 .226.305.375.680 .148.293 289 .304 91 -4 +1 +0 -2 +12 0.6
203228 MLB 84%PHI 431385 8616212 381215 71 .223.301.369.670 .145.293 289 .303 90 -5 +1 -1 -3 +12 0.5
203329 MLB 90%PHI 433386 8616212 391235 61 .223.302.368.670 .145.292 289 .301 89 -6 +1 -1 -3 +12 0.4
203430 MLBPHI 431384 8515212 391245 50 .221.301.365.666 .143.290 299 .298 86 -7 +1 -2 -3 +12 0.2
203531 MLBPHI 422376 8215211 381235 30 .218.298.356.655 .138.289 299 .294 83 -8 +1 -3 -3 +12 -0.1
203632 MLBPHI 407364 7814210 361214 10 .214.292.346.638 .132.287 309 .290 80 -9 +0 -4 -2 +12 -0.4
203733 MLBPHI 379338 721329 341154 00 .213.293.343.636 .130.286 309 .284 76 -10 +0 -4 -2 +11 -0.6
203834 MLBPHI 336300 631128 301053 00 .210.288.340.628 .130.284 319 .278 71 -11 +0 -5 -2 +10 -0.9
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 49234400 94417227121 422149866 10518 .215.293.348.641 .134.294 309 .288 78 -120 +14 -20 -30 +139 -1.6
/ 162G 650581 12523416 561989 142 .215.295.351.646 .136.295 309 .288 78 -16 +2 -3 -4 +18 -0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202218 ROKDSL Phillies Red 186156 37733 25615 206 .237.360.378.738 .141.370 3313 .338 117 +4 +2 +5 1.1
202319 ROKDSL Phillies White 188164 44832 15487 243 .268.355.390.745 .122.365 268 .335 114 +3 +4 +5 1.2
202420 ROKFCL Phillies 151131 351013 16484 123 .267.364.427.792 .160.400 3211 .356 131 +5 +1 +4 1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jerffson Pena (OGILVIE) 22 .207/.276/.322 .115.288 11 31% 8% 67 -0.1
Akil Baddoo
2021 · A
22 41→51 43→55 55 44 .198/.268/.314 .116.295 914 34% 8% 60 -1.0 .234/.308/.374 .140.313 1421 27% 10% 92 +1.2 .232/.314/.375.143.300152426%11%91+0.8
Travis Blankenhorn
2019 · A
22 40→43 45→55 51→50 38 .201/.261/.328 .127.288 117 33% 6% 61 -1.0 .215/.262/.357 .142.295 169 32% 5% 69 -0.4 .211/.283/.380.168.27621631%8%81+0.3
Enmanuel Valdez
2021 · A
22 39→46 42→60 46→45 40 .197/.250/.302 .104.268 109 30% 6% 50 -1.8 .217/.274/.390 .173.270 228 28% 7% 83 +0.6 .224/.290/.404.180.26824826%8%90+0.8
Parker Meadows
2022 · A
22 37→47 41→55 44→55 41 .185/.244/.280 .095.257 99 31% 7% 41 -2.3 .218/.280/.374 .156.279 1716 27% 7% 82 +0.5 .225/.292/.400.175.278202126%8%91+1.1
Carlos Guzman
2008 · A
22 40→48 43→50 53→50 44 .197/.278/.309 .112.288 119 33% 8% 64 -0.8 .221/.269/.333 .112.308 129 31% 6% 65 -0.7 .235/.287/.332.097.30810326%6%70-0.2
Nicky Delmonico
2014 · A
22 39→47 49→55 48→45 46 .202/.276/.345 .143.261 178 29% 8% 72 -0.2 .215/.272/.359 .144.291 156 30% 7% 74 -0.1 .233/.301/.393.161.28418424%8%92+0.9
Iverson Leonardo
2023 · A
21 37 44→50 49→50 40 .188/.259/.305 .117.281 129 36% 7% 55 -1.4 .194/.278/.291 .097.346 78 42% 9% 59 -1.1 .146/.273/.221.075.3593452%12%39-0.5
Nick Maton
2019 · A
22 41 43→50 47→45 40 .205/.254/.316 .111.280 106 30% 6% 54 -1.4 .206/.270/.307 .101.282 98 28% 7% 59 -1.1 .214/.305/.368.154.26418425%10%88+0.6
Daniel Schneemann
2019 · A
22 39→49 40→50 50 43 .189/.254/.283 .094.277 76 33% 8% 46 -2.0 .211/.272/.298 .087.290 78 28% 7% 57 -1.2 .226/.305/.377.151.297151328%10%89+0.7
James Outman
2019 · A
22 40→49 47→60 53→50 39 .203/.260/.335 .132.285 1511 34% 6% 63 -0.9 .196/.265/.334 .138.273 1613 33% 7% 65 -0.7 .223/.317/.418.195.310251434%10%107+2.0
Conner Capel
2019 · A
22 41→45 44→45 47→55 44 .208/.266/.330 .122.270 1111 27% 7% 63 -0.8 .210/.262/.328 .118.279 1211 28% 6% 61 -1.0 .216/.288/.339.123.271131924%8%71-0.2
Roman Pena
2009 · A
22 42→52 43→50 45 38 .208/.259/.316 .108.298 106 33% 6% 57 -1.2 .196/.258/.303 .107.276 108 31% 7% 53 -1.5 .233/.303/.392.159.31216729%9%92+0.8
Sam Hilliard
2016 · A
22 46→48 44→55 53→55 44 .221/.283/.347 .127.309 1010 30% 8% 75 -0.0 .209/.260/.321 .112.328 1118 37% 6% 58 -1.2 .203/.279/.381.178.280211834%9%80+0.2
Luis Liberato
2018 · A
22 43→51 44→50 50 40 .209/.260/.333 .124.300 107 33% 6% 61 -1.0 .216/.262/.350 .134.285 157 29% 6% 67 -0.5 .210/.278/.360.150.29016932%8%75+0.0
Chris Meyers
2022 · A
23 41→46 42→50 51→40 45 .201/.269/.304 .103.264 911 26% 7% 59 -1.1 .222/.280/.362 .140.293 167 29% 6% 79 +0.3 .226/.286/.378.152.29419329%6%82+0.3
Drew Robinson
2014 · A
22 43→41 44→55 49→50 45 .206/.285/.324 .118.300 108 33% 9% 71 -0.3 .189/.264/.329 .140.281 1511 36% 9% 63 -0.8 .207/.288/.362.155.320171237%10%78+0.1
Mike Daniel
2007 · A
22 39→49 42→45 48→50 42 .193/.256/.293 .100.274 1011 32% 7% 50 -1.8 .232/.283/.346 .114.314 1114 28% 6% 74 -0.1 .239/.288/.351.112.317111527%6%75+0.0
Grant Witherspoon
2019 · A
22 40→45 41→55 52→50 37 .196/.247/.291 .094.295 89 35% 6% 44 -2.1 .200/.250/.306 .106.278 1112 31% 6% 50 -1.7 .216/.275/.377.161.291211432%7%77+0.1
Jace Jung
2023 · A
22 45→42 39→55 50→40 50 .212/.293/.305 .093.295 68 28% 10% 69 -0.4 .219/.303/.384 .165.289 204 29% 10% 94 +1.3 .212/.303/.382.169.27421329%11%91+1.0
Juan Silva
2013 · A
22 45→47 42→45 48→55 46 .215/.287/.318 .103.305 912 30% 9% 69 -0.4 .227/.304/.329 .102.305 823 26% 10% 79 +0.3 .224/.305/.319.095.29372924%10%74-0.1