Kasen Wells

CF Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 23 L/R 5'9" / 175 lbs A+ HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	A+/A/ROKSD	380	.271/.365/.353	2	32	65	—	.231/.304/.301
2026	22	A+SD	473	.257/.348/.308	2	26	55	—	.224/.292/.266
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBSD	1	.209/.279/.258	0	0	57	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBSD	132	.215/.286/.281	1	4	65	-0.2
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBSD	213	.218/.290/.297	3	6	70	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Whiff%73

K%67

Z-Con%62

Chase%54

BB%49

Speed47

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsRiver Town (age 23) · Pin-Chieh Chen (age 23) · Danny Woodrow (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .279 / .258

PA1

HR0

K%24

BB%8

BABIP277

ISO58

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	132	117	28	6	0	0	14	24	0	2	5	239	321	291	611	51	298	18	11	283	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	227	193	53	8	2	2	28	40	5	28	1	275	381	368	748	93	338	18	12	344	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	ACL Padres	—	21	19	8	1	1	0	2	3	0	2	0	421	476	579	1.055	158	500	14	10	463	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	473	409	105	15	0	2	54	98	3	26	9	257	348	308	656	51	332	21	11	302	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	132	121	25	5	0	0	10	31	0	2	5	207	267	248	515	41	271	23	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	227	201	47	6	2	2	20	57	5	28	1	234	319	313	632	80	310	25	9	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	21	20	7	1	1	0	1	4	0	2	0	350	381	500	881	150	382	19	5	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	473	425	95	12	0	2	38	124	3	26	9	224	292	266	558	42	302	26	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	380	341	77	11	2	2	32	92	5	32	6	226	302	287	589	62	302	24	8	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	3 teams	—	380	329	89	15	3	2	44	67	5	32	6	271	365	353	718	82	333	18	12	329	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	473	425	95	12	0	2	38	124	3	26	9	224	292	266	558	42	310	26	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	473	409	105	15	0	2	54	98	3	26	9	257	348	308	656	51	332	21	11	302	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	380	340	77	11	2	2	32	92	5	32	6	226	302	288	590	62	300	24	8	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	473	429	95	12	0	2	38	124	3	26	9	221	292	263	555	42	302	26	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	380	340	77	11	2	2	32	92	5	32	6	226	302	288	590	62	300	24	8	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	473	429	95	12	0	2	38	124	3	26	9	221	292	263	555	42	302	26	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	SD	0%	583	526	111	17	1	2	48	141	4	19	6	212	282	263	545	51	281	24	8	253	57	-30	+1	+0	+2	+13	-0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	SD	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	209	279	258	537	49	277	0	0	250	57	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	SD	30%	435	393	85	13	1	4	36	104	3	13	4	218	289	286	575	68	283	24	8	264	65	-18	+1	+0	+2	+9	-0.6
2029	25	MLB MLE	SD	44%	482	435	96	15	1	6	40	114	4	14	4	222	293	302	595	80	284	24	8	272	70	-17	+1	+0	+2	+10	-0.4
2030	26	MLB MLE	SD	51%	505	454	101	16	1	7	42	119	4	14	4	224	295	312	608	88	284	24	8	277	74	-16	+1	+0	+2	+11	-0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	SD	52%	511	459	103	16	1	8	43	121	4	13	4	224	296	314	610	90	284	24	8	278	74	-16	+1	+0	+2	+11	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	SD	30%	132	119	25	4	0	1	11	31	1	4	1	215	286	281	567	67	279	23	8	261	65	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	SD	44%	213	191	43	6	1	3	18	50	2	6	2	218	290	297	587	79	279	23	8	269	70	-8	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.2
2030	26	MLB CTX	SD	51%	256	230	51	7	1	4	22	60	2	7	2	221	293	308	600	87	280	23	9	274	74	-8	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	SD	52%	268	241	54	8	1	4	23	64	2	7	2	221	293	310	603	89	279	24	9	275	74	-8	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	869	781	173	25	3	12	74	205	7	24	7	222	295	307	602	86	283	24	9	271	67	-29	+2	+0	+3	+19	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	129	19	2	9	55	153	5	18	5	221	293	307	600	86	282	24	8	271	67	-22	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2996	2696	598	89	7	30	248	725	25	119	33	222	293	293	587	72	291	24	8	267	67	-77	+5	+0	+8	+46	-1.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	130	19	2	7	54	157	5	26	7	222	293	297	591	75	290	24	8	267	67	-23	+2	+0	+2	+14	-0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 473 PAwOBA .296 → .249 (−47)K% 20.7% → 26.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.72%	÷1.000	×1.270	—	—	26.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.42%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×0.998	8.09%
HBP% /PA	0.63%	—	×0.790	—	×0.998	0.50%
Singles /BIP	28.30%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.008	×0.998	26.19%
Doubles /BIP	4.82%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.008	×0.998	3.93%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.850	×1.008	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.64%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.998	0.51%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .296 → .249; ISO .051 → .041; BABIP .332 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ALake Elsinore Storm · 227 PAwOBA .335 → .276 (−59)K% 17.6% → 25.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.62%	÷0.956	×1.360	—	—	25.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.33%	÷0.952	×0.690	—	—	8.94%
HBP% /PA	2.20%	—	×0.780	—	—	1.72%
Singles /BIP	26.80%	÷0.989	×0.920	×1.021	—	25.45%
Doubles /BIP	5.23%	÷1.062	×0.830	×1.021	—	4.17%
Triples /BIP	1.31%	÷1.150	×0.910	×1.021	—	1.06%
Home runs /BIP	1.31%	÷0.936	×0.800	—	—	1.12%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 98, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 91, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.

Result: wOBA .335 → .276; ISO .093 → .073; BABIP .338 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 132 PAwOBA .279 → .234 (−45)K% 18.2% → 23.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.18%	÷0.989	×1.270	—	—	23.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.61%	÷0.984	×0.710	—	×1.012	7.75%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.790	—	×1.012	0.00%
Singles /BIP	23.66%	÷1.013	×0.920	×1.025	×1.012	22.30%
Doubles /BIP	6.45%	÷1.071	×0.810	×1.025	×1.012	5.06%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.120	×0.850	×1.025	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.941	×0.800	—	×1.012	0.00%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 103, 2B 114, 3B 124, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .279 → .234; ISO .051 → .039; BABIP .298 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Padres · 21 PAwOBA .451 → .322 (−129)K% 14.3% → 20.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.29%	÷1.023	×1.440	—	—	20.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.52%	÷0.990	×0.620	—	×0.975	5.82%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×0.975	0.00%
Singles /BIP	37.50%	÷1.010	×0.820	—	×0.975	29.68%
Doubles /BIP	6.25%	÷1.045	×0.720	—	×0.975	4.20%
Triples /BIP	6.25%	÷1.018	×0.720	—	×0.975	4.31%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.018	×0.780	—	×0.975	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 102, 2B 109, 3B 104, K 105, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .451 → .322; ISO .158 → .105; BABIP .500 → .382. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#2Travis Jankowskilast yr '25 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,718 PA	2.6	1,718	11	100	238	321	309	-9	+11	2.1	2.5
/162	664	4	39	-3.6	+4.2	0.8	pk7: 3
#3Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#4Herm Winningham'84-'92 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,069 PA	3.1	2,069	19	105	238*	296*	357*	+1	-3	-0.5	0.2
/162	664	6	34	+0.3	-1.1	-0.2	pk7: 1
#5John Moses'82-'92 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,910 PA	2.9	1,910	11	101	251*	312*	347*	-10	-9	-1.8	-0.2
/162	664	4	35	-3.5	-3.2	-0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.3	870	11	24	223	292	308	-5	+0	-0.8	-0.4
/162	664	9	18	-4.0	+0.0	-0.6	pk7: 0
#6Joe Simpson'75-'83 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	9	45	237*	289*	336*	-9	+2	-2.3	-1.8
/162	664	4	20	-4.0	+1.1	-1.0	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kasen Wells (OGILVIE)	23	45	25	60	50	210/280/261	51	281	1	7	24%	8%	57	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕River Town 2022 · A	23	43→38	37→40	54→50	43	202/278/275	73	283	3	12	28%	7%	61	-1.5	209/294/310	101	262	9	15	22%	8%	75	-0.5	204/297/299	95	251	9	15	21%	9%	72	-0.4
✕Pin-Chieh Chen 2014 · AA	23	48→51	36→40	54→55	49	224/287/290	67	280	3	19	20%	8%	65	-1.2	227/287/309	82	279	3	15	19%	7%	70	-0.8	227/288/313	85	276	3	14	18%	7%	68	-0.6
✕Danny Woodrow 2018 · A	23	48→58	34→30	51→55	44	225/277/281	57	300	1	17	24%	7%	59	-1.6	251/301/317	66	334	3	21	24%	6%	76	-0.4	254/301/314	60	340	2	23	25%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Charles Iacono 2007 · A	23	43	35→30	55→60	47	204/273/259	55	268	3	20	24%	8%	54	-2.0	201/292/260	59	271	2	23	24%	10%	62	-1.4	172/293/208	36	231	0	40	22%	13%	50	-0.8
✕Julio Gonzalez 2018 · A	23	47	35→30	55→50	50	219/284/285	66	281	2	12	22%	8%	63	-1.4	204/265/272	68	265	2	8	22%	7%	53	-2.1	167/231/221	54	210	0	5	19%	7%	27	-1.1
✕Nick Sinay 2017 · A	23	44	35→30	56→60	48	201/311/261	60	278	3	23	26%	9%	71	-0.8	204/317/262	58	288	3	20	28%	7%	74	-0.5	179/318/210	31	266	2	26	28%	7%	62	-0.7
✕Kyle Peter 2009 · A	23	50→52	34→30	53→55	48	231/298/277	46	307	2	25	24%	8%	67	-1.1	215/283/275	60	310	3	21	29%	8%	61	-1.5	188/265/224	36	292	0	27	32%	8%	41	-0.6
✕Jovan Pickett 2011 · A	23	45	34→30	54→55	39	209/258/260	51	286	2	19	26%	5%	48	-2.5	222/280/281	59	317	2	15	29%	5%	61	-1.5	231/291/267	36	333	0	22	28%	4%	58	-0.6
✕Pedro Ogando 2017 · A	23	45	36→30	53→60	41	213/251/278	65	268	3	20	21%	4%	49	-2.4	199/256/264	65	245	3	16	19%	6%	48	-2.5	167/237/209	42	195	0	26	13%	7%	28	-1.1
✕Ethan Chapman 2013 · A	23	48→47	36→30	56→55	46	227/276/301	74	285	2	17	21%	6%	63	-1.4	218/270/265	47	291	2	17	24%	7%	53	-2.1	221/275/263	41	300	2	23	25%	6%	53	-1.4
✕James Ramsay 2015 · A	23	43→53	38→40	58→50	46	201/270/296	95	279	4	19	28%	8%	61	-1.5	223/282/322	99	284	7	11	23%	7%	71	-0.8	228/285/324	97	281	8	8	21%	7%	70	-0.7
✕James Rapoport 2008 · A	23	43→53	34→40	53→55	42	202/251/255	53	276	2	18	27%	6%	44	-2.8	233/287/302	69	292	4	16	20%	7%	68	-1.0	247/306/317	69	297	4	13	17%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Cam Coursey 2022 · A	23	44	38→40	52→55	48	208/273/289	81	264	5	16	22%	8%	60	-1.6	214/296/293	79	279	4	10	23%	10%	70	-0.8	207/308/266	60	270	2	4	21%	12%	69	-0.4
✕Ian Miller 2015 · A	23	49→59	36→40	56→60	42	230/276/297	67	308	3	20	25%	6%	63	-1.4	246/289/307	61	310	1	34	20%	5%	70	-0.9	243/292/329	86	310	6	35	22%	5%	74	-0.5
✕Tony Campana 2009 · A	23	45→55	35→30	58→70	43	214/263/269	55	282	3	28	24%	6%	51	-2.2	259/300/306	47	335	1	40	21%	5%	73	-0.6	277/319/328	50	356	1	56	21%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Chris Bisson 2013 · A	23	50→54	36→30	54→60	42	234/280/297	63	317	3	23	26%	6%	63	-1.3	222/271/301	79	314	5	17	29%	6%	62	-1.4	168/220/232	64	264	0	9	34%	5%	27	-0.7
✕Beau Amaral 2014 · A	23	48→51	36→40	55	43	224/265/287	62	272	3	20	19%	4%	56	-1.9	228/272/312	84	290	5	15	22%	5%	65	-1.2	229/276/317	87	293	6	12	23%	5%	65	-0.8
✕Ayendy Perez 2016 · A	22	49	35→30	56→60	47	226/282/286	61	286	1	25	21%	7%	63	-1.4	222/271/284	62	331	2	20	31%	6%	57	-1.8	222/267/268	46	345	0	26	34%	5%	51	-1.5
✕Joe Lampe 2024 · A	23	43→48	38→45	56→55	48	206/282/288	82	270	5	16	24%	8%	64	-1.3	213/276/313	100	290	6	18	27%	7%	67	-1.1	210/271/314	104	289	7	21	28%	7%	62	-0.9
✕Nathan Warrick 2006 · A	22	48	34→30	54→55	47	224/289/273	50	296	2	18	24%	7%	63	-1.4	219/282/280	61	304	2	15	26%	8%	61	-1.5	214/281/250	36	298	0	23	26%	8%	51	-0.5

Kasen Wells

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps