Kasen Wells — OGILVIE

Kasen WellsCF Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 22 L/R 5'9" / 175 lbs A+ HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION473 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .300 / .222

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP291

ISO54

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	132	117	28	6	0	0	14	24	0	2	5	239	321	291	611	51	298	18	11	283	78	-3	-2	—	—	+3	-0.2
2025	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	227	193	53	8	2	2	28	40	5	28	1	275	381	368	748	93	338	18	12	344	119	+5	+5	—	—	+5	1.5
2025	21	ROK	ACL Padres	—	21	19	8	1	1	0	2	3	0	2	0	421	476	579	1.055	158	500	14	10	463	199	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	132	121	24	5	0	0	10	33	0	2	5	198	260	240	499	41	266	25	8	227	40	-9	-2	—	—	+3	-0.8
2025	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	227	200	46	6	1	2	21	56	5	28	1	230	319	300	619	70	306	25	9	277	74	-7	+5	—	—	+5	0.3
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	21	20	7	1	1	0	1	4	0	2	0	350	381	500	881	150	392	19	5	330	109	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2025	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	380	341	76	11	2	2	32	93	5	32	6	223	299	284	583	62	300	24	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	3 teams	—	380	329	89	15	3	2	44	67	5	32	6	271	365	353	718	82	333	18	12	329	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	380	340	76	11	2	2	32	93	5	32	6	224	299	285	584	62	297	24	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	380	340	76	11	2	2	32	93	5	32	6	224	299	285	584	62	297	24	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	SD	—	473	425	92	12	0	2	38	132	3	26	9	216	285	259	544	42	308	28	8	244	51	-27	+2	+0	+2	+10	-1.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ RAW	SD	—	473	409	105	15	0	2	54	98	3	26	9	257	348	308	656	51	332	21	11	302	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A+ MLE	SD	0%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	222	300	222	522		294	30	10	252	57	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	22	A+ MLE	SD	—	483	434	94	12	0	2	39	135	3	26	9	217	286	258	544	41	309	28	8	244	51	-28	+2	+0	+2	+10	-1.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	SD	35%	461	417	93	14	1	5	38	120	3	15	5	223	293	297	590	74	295	26	8	269	68	-18	+1	+0	+2	+10	-0.5
2028	24	MLB MLE	SD	46%	501	450	101	15	1	7	42	127	4	15	5	224	296	309	605	84	296	25	8	279	75	-15	+1	+0	+2	+11	-0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	SD	52%	520	466	107	16	1	9	45	130	4	15	5	230	303	326	629	97	296	25	9	285	79	-13	+1	+0	+2	+11	0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	SD	54%	530	475	110	17	1	10	46	132	4	14	5	232	305	335	639	103	296	25	9	288	81	-12	+1	+0	+2	+11	0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	SD	54%	531	475	110	17	1	10	47	133	4	14	4	232	306	335	641	103	296	25	9	288	81	-12	+1	+0	+2	+12	0.3
2032	28	MLB MLE	SD	54%	528	472	107	16	1	9	47	133	4	13	4	227	302	322	624	95	295	25	9	287	81	-12	+1	-1	+2	+11	0.1
2033	29	MLB MLE	SD	53%	518	463	106	16	1	9	46	131	4	12	4	229	304	326	630	97	294	25	9	285	79	-13	+1	-1	+2	+11	-0.0
2027	23	MLB CTX	SD	35%	159	144	32	5	0	2	13	41	1	5	2	222	291	299	590	76	292	26	8	262	68	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	SD	46%	232	208	47	7	1	3	20	59	2	7	2	226	300	312	613	87	293	25	9	273	75	-7	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	SD	52%	269	242	56	8	1	5	23	67	2	8	2	231	303	335	638	103	293	25	9	279	79	-7	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	SD	54%	287	258	59	9	1	5	25	72	2	8	2	229	302	329	631	101	293	25	9	281	81	-6	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	SD	54%	288	259	59	9	1	5	25	72	2	8	2	228	301	328	629	100	293	25	9	281	81	-6	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2032	28	MLB CTX	SD	54%	287	258	59	9	1	5	25	72	2	7	2	229	302	329	631	101	292	25	9	280	81	-7	+1	-0	+1	+6	0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	SD	53%	275	247	56	8	1	5	24	70	2	7	2	227	300	328	628	101	291	25	9	279	79	-7	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1797	1616	368	55	6	30	155	453	13	50	14	228	300	325	625	97	296	25	9	278	77	-46	+4	-1	+6	+39	0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	133	20	2	11	56	164	5	18	5	227	301	325	626	97	295	25	9	278	77	-17	+2	-0	+2	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3979	3568	812	122	9	61	344	1002	32	130	38	228	301	318	619	91	297	25	9	281	77	-94	+7	-2	+13	+78	0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	132	20	1	10	56	164	5	21	6	226	299	316	615	89	296	25	9	281	77	-17	+1	-0	+2	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	2.9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.6
/162	664	4	56	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.7	1,799	30	49	229	299	325	-11	+0	-0.3	-0.1
/162	664	11	18	-4.0	+0.0	-0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kasen Wells (OGILVIE)	22	45	25	60	50	211/281/258	47	294	1	14	27%	8%	57	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chandler Simpson 2023 · A	22	49→59	38→30	56→70	48	228/294/313	86	300	4	17	24%	8%	74	-0.5	270/314/320	50	311	1	59	13%	6%	82	-0.0	303/337/348	46	336	0	63	10%	5%	93	+0.8
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	197/268/264	67	279	4	12	29%	8%	53	-2.1	210/306/281	71	297	4	26	28%	9%	73	-0.6	226/338/275	49	304	3	35	23%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Ayendy Perez 2016 · A	22	50	35→30	56→60	47	232/287/294	62	295	1	25	21%	7%	66	-1.1	222/271/285	63	331	2	20	31%	6%	58	-1.7	222/268/268	46	345	0	26	34%	5%	51	-1.4
✕Nathan Warrick 2006 · A	22	49	34→30	54→55	47	227/293/277	50	300	2	18	24%	8%	65	-1.2	220/284/282	62	305	2	15	26%	8%	63	-1.4	216/283/252	36	301	0	23	26%	9%	52	-0.5
✕Bryan Hudson 2017 · A	22	52	34→30	55→60	52	234/317/290	56	327	1	26	26%	11%	78	-0.3	210/278/264	54	329	2	22	33%	8%	57	-1.8	185/248/200	15	308	0	30	37%	8%	29	-1.9
✕Tony Campana 2009 · A	23	46→56	35→30	58→70	43	216/265/271	55	285	3	28	24%	6%	53	-2.1	259/300/305	46	336	1	40	21%	5%	73	-0.6	276/318/326	50	355	1	56	21%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Jacob Robson 2017 · A	22	45→55	36→45	54→55	45	211/274/281	70	296	2	18	28%	8%	59	-1.7	241/297/329	88	356	5	16	31%	7%	78	-0.3	244/312/356	112	370	9	22	33%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Eris Peguero 2012 · A	22	48	36→30	55→60	43	224/274/290	67	283	3	22	21%	5%	61	-1.5	219/263/292	73	299	5	12	27%	5%	57	-1.8	213/238/251	38	298	6	9	30%	3%	35	-0.8
✕Pin-Chieh Chen 2013 · A	22	48→51	36→40	54→55	49	223/282/294	70	277	3	19	20%	7%	64	-1.3	226/287/300	74	282	3	17	19%	7%	68	-1.0	228/289/314	85	277	3	14	18%	7%	68	-0.6
✕Carlos Rodríguez 2023 · A	22	46→56	38→40	51→55	44	218/277/303	85	299	5	16	28%	7%	65	-1.2	249/302/325	76	299	4	15	17%	7%	78	-0.3	250/303/320	70	288	5	18	14%	7%	75	-0.4
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	43→49	39→45	58→55	46	205/275/296	91	274	6	17	26%	8%	63	-1.3	223/300/306	83	296	5	16	24%	9%	75	-0.5	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Francisco Guzman 2010 · A	22	46	33→30	55→60	49	213/283/256	43	286	1	25	24%	9%	57	-1.8	216/277/272	56	291	2	15	24%	7%	57	-1.8	221/274/255	35	289	0	11	22%	6%	50	-0.8
✕Ji Hwan Bae 2021 · A	22	50→52	37→45	54→60	45	229/289/313	84	314	2	20	26%	7%	72	-0.7	238/295/341	103	316	7	26	25%	7%	80	-0.1	247/309/346	99	324	6	33	24%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Corey Adamson 2014 · A	22	45→50	37→40	53→50	46	213/279/288	76	291	4	18	27%	8%	62	-1.4	226/289/335	109	301	9	15	26%	7%	77	-0.3	227/290/352	125	294	11	15	25%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Rashad Brown 2016 · A	22	52	35→30	54→55	44	242/288/300	58	306	2	12	21%	5%	68	-1.0	225/269/290	65	308	2	14	26%	5%	59	-1.7	220/263/269	49	307	0	18	27%	4%	48	-1.5
✕Jovan Pickett 2010 · A	22	43	34→30	53→55	38	203/251/250	46	275	2	20	26%	4%	42	-2.9	221/277/275	54	311	2	17	28%	5%	59	-1.7	238/299/275	37	343	0	22	28%	4%	63	-0.5
✕Emmanuel Garcia 2008 · A	22	49	34→30	53→55	47	226/286/277	52	307	2	21	26%	8%	62	-1.4	220/268/281	61	300	3	18	26%	6%	56	-1.9	216/259/273	57	294	3	20	26%	5%	49	-1.6
✕Brent Keys 2012 · A	22	46→56	35→30	51→50	48	214/286/273	58	283	3	14	24%	8%	62	-1.4	272/328/340	68	307	3	12	12%	7%	92	+0.7	282/343/338	56	313	2	12	10%	8%	94	+0.6
✕Brett Bigler 2007 · A	22	48→52	33→30	54→50	53	222/291/266	44	269	1	16	17%	9%	62	-1.4	221/301/278	57	298	2	13	24%	10%	69	-0.9	220/307/273	53	301	1	13	24%	10%	68	-0.5
✕Charles Iacono 2007 · A	23	44	35→30	55→60	48	205/275/261	56	270	3	20	24%	8%	55	-1.9	203/296/264	61	274	2	23	24%	11%	65	-1.2	178/302/215	37	240	0	40	22%	14%	55	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps