Kasen Wells — OGILVIE

Kasen WellsOF Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 22 L/R 5'9" / 175 lbs A+ HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION304 act + 202 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .304 / .282

PA202

HR1

SB8

K%26

BB%9

BABIP311

ISO55

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Arb-1	$0.6M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.4M
2034	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	3 teams	—	380	339	74	10	2	2	34	96	5	32	6	218	299	277	576	59	298	25	9	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	3 teams	—	380	329	89	15	3	2	44	67	5	32	6	271	365	353	718	82	333	18	12	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	SD	—	304	272	65	9	0	1	27	85	3	17	6	239	315	283	598	44	344	28	9	266	62	-13	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.5
YTD	22	A+	SD	—	304	261	75	11	0	1	38	63	3	17	6	287	384	341	725	54	376	21	12	335	115	+5	+1	+0	-2	+9	1.3
ROS	22	A+	SD	0%	202	180	41	7	0	1	18	52	2	8	3	227	304	282	586	55	307	26	9	270	65	-8	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.3
ROS	22	MLB	SD	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						304	0	0	260	57	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	A+	SD	—	305	273	65	9	0	1	27	85	3	17	6	238	314	282	596	44	342	28	9	266	62	-13	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.5
TOT	22	A+	SD	—	506	452	106	16	0	2	45	137	5	25	9	234	310	283	593	49	331	27	9	268	63	-21	+1	+0	-3	+14	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	SD	35%	533	476	111	19	1	6	47	133	5	15	5	233	309	315	624	82	306	25	9	283	75	-15	+1	+0	-3	+15	-0.2
2028	24	MLB	SD	46%	547	488	115	19	2	8	49	135	5	15	5	236	312	332	644	96	306	25	9	292	82	-11	+1	+0	-3	+15	0.2
2029	25	MLB	SD	52%	552	492	118	20	2	9	50	134	5	15	5	240	316	343	660	104	306	24	9	297	86	-9	+1	+0	-3	+16	0.5
2030	26	MLB	SD	54%	551	491	118	20	2	10	50	134	5	14	5	240	317	350	667	110	305	24	9	300	88	-8	+1	+0	-3	+16	0.6
2031	27	MLB	SD	54%	547	487	117	20	2	10	50	133	5	14	4	240	317	351	668	111	305	24	9	300	88	-8	+1	+0	-3	+15	0.6
2032	28	MLB	SD	54%	540	480	115	19	2	10	50	132	5	13	4	240	318	350	668	110	305	24	9	299	87	-8	+1	-1	-3	+15	0.4
2033	29	MLB	SD	58%	532	473	111	19	1	9	49	131	5	12	4	235	313	336	649	101	304	25	9	297	85	-9	+1	-1	-3	+15	0.3
2034	30	MLB	SD	60%	523	464	109	18	1	9	49	130	5	12	4	235	315	336	651	101	303	25	9	294	83	-10	+1	-2	-3	+15	0.0
2027	23	MLB	SD	35%	184	164	38	6	1	2	16	46	2	5	2	232	308	317	625	85	302	25	9	273	67	-7	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
2028	24	MLB	SD	46%	253	226	54	9	1	4	23	62	2	7	2	239	315	341	655	102	302	25	9	282	74	-7	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
2029	25	MLB	SD	52%	285	254	60	10	1	5	26	69	3	8	2	236	314	343	657	106	302	24	9	287	78	-7	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.0
2030	26	MLB	SD	54%	299	267	62	10	1	5	27	73	3	8	2	232	310	333	643	101	302	24	9	289	79	-7	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.1
2031	27	MLB	SD	54%	297	265	62	10	1	5	27	72	3	8	2	234	312	336	648	102	301	24	9	289	79	-7	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.1
2032	28	MLB	SD	54%	293	261	61	10	1	5	27	72	3	7	2	234	313	337	650	103	301	25	9	288	79	-7	+1	-0	-2	+8	-0.0
2033	29	MLB	SD	58%	307	273	63	10	1	5	28	76	3	7	2	231	309	330	639	99	300	25	9	286	77	-8	+1	-1	-2	+9	-0.1
2034	30	MLB	SD	60%	314	279	65	11	1	5	29	78	3	7	2	233	312	333	645	100	299	25	9	284	75	-9	+1	-1	-2	+9	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2233	1990	465	76	8	36	203	548	22	57	16	234	312	334	646	101	303	25	9	285	77	-59	+5	-2	-13	+63	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	134	22	2	10	59	160	6	17	5	231	309	328	637	97	301	25	9	285	77	-17	+1	-1	-4	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	4907	4370	1029	171	15	74	446	1210	47	150	45	235	313	332	645	97	307	25	9	291	81	-104	+12	-4	-29	+139	1.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	137	23	2	10	59	160	6	20	6	237	313	335	648	98	308	25	9	291	81	-14	+2	-1	-4	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	132	117	28	6	0	0	14	24	0	2	5	239	321	291	611	51	298	18	11	283	75	-4	-2	—	—	+4	-0.2
2025	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	227	193	53	8	2	2	28	40	5	28	1	275	381	368	748	93	338	18	12	344	121	+5	+5	—	—	+6	1.7
2025	21	ROK	ACL Padres	—	21	19	8	1	1	0	2	3	0	2	0	421	476	579	1.055	158	500	14	10	463	212	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Damian Jacksonlast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,930 PA	6	1,930	21	95	248	324	354	-6	-5	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	7	33	248	324	354	-1.9	-1.6	1.2	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	2,233	37	56	237	311	339	-13	+0	1.4	1.5
	/162	664	11	17	237	311	339	-4.0	+0.0	0.4	pk7: 2
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kasen Wells (OGILVIE)	22	45	25	60	50	234/310/283	49	331	2	25	27%	9%	63	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chandler Simpson 2023 · A	22	49→59	38→30	56→70	49	228/296/314	87	301	4	17	24%	8%	72	-0.2	265/309/316	51	306	1	59	13%	6%	76	+0.0	299/334/350	51	335	0	65	10%	5%	92	+0.9
✕Brent Keys 2012 · A	22	45→55	35→30	51→50	47	213/283/271	58	282	3	14	24%	8%	55	-1.4	268/325/334	66	306	3	12	12%	7%	89	+0.9	277/340/332	55	310	2	12	10%	8%	90	+0.7
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	198/268/265	67	279	4	12	29%	8%	47	-1.9	206/304/278	72	297	4	26	29%	9%	68	-0.5	217/333/268	51	299	3	35	25%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Jacob Robson 2017 · A	22	45→55	36→45	54→55	45	211/274/281	70	296	2	18	28%	8%	53	-1.5	238/294/333	95	351	6	16	31%	7%	75	-0.0	247/314/371	124	370	11	22	33%	8%	90	+0.8
✕Carlos Rodríguez 2023 · A	22	45→55	39→40	52→50	44	215/277/301	86	296	5	16	28%	7%	60	-1.0	254/306/336	82	309	4	15	18%	7%	80	+0.4	259/308/332	73	304	4	16	16%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Davis Bradshaw 2019 · A	21	52	37→40	59→50	45	244/300/322	78	309	3	20	21%	6%	75	-0.0	224/270/287	63	290	2	11	22%	4%	53	-1.5	270/323/338	69	342	4	10	21%	5%	85	+0.4
✕Nathan Warrick 2006 · A	22	49	34→30	54→55	47	227/293/277	50	300	2	18	24%	8%	60	-1.0	220/284/282	62	305	2	15	26%	8%	58	-1.2	216/283/252	36	301	0	23	26%	9%	46	-0.4
✕Ji Hwan Bae 2021 · A	22	49→51	37→45	54→60	45	225/285/313	88	309	2	20	26%	7%	66	-0.6	232/289/343	111	310	8	26	26%	7%	76	+0.1	240/313/341	101	332	7	39	27%	9%	83	+0.3
✕Chris Pieters 2017 · A	22	48	39→45	54→55	49	226/307/315	88	296	6	17	24%	8%	77	+0.1	207/263/300	93	289	6	12	28%	6%	54	-1.4	195/251/293	97	271	6	13	28%	6%	45	-0.8
✕Randy Romero 2022 · A	22	46	35→40	59→60	44	214/257/281	66	260	2	21	18%	5%	46	-2.0	199/246/267	68	293	4	13	32%	5%	37	-2.6	166/202/202	36	264	3	19	37%	4%	1	-1.0
✕Rashad Brown 2016 · A	22	52	35→30	54→55	44	242/287/299	57	307	2	12	21%	5%	63	-0.9	222/267/286	64	304	2	14	26%	5%	51	-1.7	214/258/261	47	299	0	18	27%	4%	37	-1.6
✕Yoyner Fajardo 2021 · A	22	50→58	36→45	55→60	47	233/290/305	72	281	3	17	18%	6%	66	-0.6	242/297/323	81	319	4	24	24%	6%	74	-0.1	259/317/353	94	332	5	34	22%	7%	85	+0.4
✕Corey Adamson 2014 · A	22	44→49	37→40	53→50	47	209/278/284	75	286	4	18	27%	8%	56	-1.3	230/294/345	115	304	10	15	26%	7%	79	+0.3	238/302/379	141	305	12	15	25%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Travis Jankowski 2013 · A	22	49→59	37→40	53→65	41	234/269/309	76	299	3	17	23%	4%	57	-1.2	253/305/321	68	324	2	35	21%	7%	76	+0.1	267/332/343	75	341	3	37	21%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Joshua Howard 2006 · A	23	51	36→40	57→60	44	236/288/314	77	305	2	18	22%	6%	67	-0.5	225/299/290	65	314	3	20	26%	9%	66	-0.6	218/300/268	50	309	2	23	27%	10%	59	-0.6
✕Alvaro Ramirez 2008 · A	22	48	38→40	51→55	46	223/296/307	84	281	4	17	21%	7%	70	-0.3	232/290/313	81	279	5	16	18%	6%	69	-0.4	256/309/334	78	290	5	21	13%	5%	81	+0.1
✕Jarrod Dyson 2007 · A	22	46→56	36→45	58→70	43	213/272/285	72	283	2	18	24%	6%	53	-1.5	224/275/278	54	314	1	30	27%	6%	53	-1.5	260/327/367	107	298	5	53	14%	7%	94	+0.7
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	43→49	40→45	58→55	46	205/275/300	94	276	6	17	27%	8%	59	-1.1	222/298/307	85	300	5	16	25%	9%	71	-0.3	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Ayendy Perez 2016 · A	22	49	35→30	56→60	48	227/284/289	62	288	1	25	21%	7%	59	-1.1	223/273/284	61	331	2	20	31%	6%	53	-1.5	228/273/271	43	352	0	26	33%	5%	48	-1.2
✕Logan Watkins 2012 · A	22	50→52	37→40	55	44	232/287/313	82	309	3	14	25%	6%	67	-0.5	224/286/318	94	297	6	17	25%	7%	68	-0.5	224/279/299	75	286	3	17	22%	6%	58	-0.6