Pin-Chieh Chen
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 23 | AA/A+2 orgs | 445 | .258/.352/.352 | 0 | 13 | 73 | — | .237/.307/.317 |
| 2015 | 24 | AA/A+2 orgs | 524 | .263/.339/.378 | 5 | 21 | 66 | — | .230/.287/.320 |
| 2016 | 25 | AA/A+2 orgs | 110 | .239/.340/.348 | 1 | 3 | 53 | — | .206/.274/.288 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 19 | ROK | AZL Cubs | — | 191 | 168 | 49 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 292 | 374 | 327 | 701 | 36 | 327 | 10 | 10 | 325 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A | Peoria Chiefs | — | 539 | 464 | 120 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 62 | 78 | 3 | 36 | 14 | 259 | 350 | 347 | 697 | 88 | 302 | 14 | 12 | 314 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 15 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 333 | 500 | 833 | 167 | 400 | 13 | 0 | 289 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ | Daytona Cubs | — | 198 | 171 | 48 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 35 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 281 | 369 | 351 | 720 | 70 | 343 | 18 | 11 | 327 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A | Kane County Cougars | — | 189 | 161 | 38 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 23 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 236 | 342 | 286 | 628 | 50 | 273 | 12 | 13 | 294 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 182 | 155 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 232 | 343 | 297 | 639 | 65 | 259 | 9 | 13 | 300 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ | Daytona Cubs | — | 263 | 229 | 63 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 28 | 38 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 275 | 359 | 389 | 748 | 114 | 330 | 14 | 11 | 333 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 114 | 97 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 247 | 354 | 392 | 746 | 144 | 303 | 18 | 13 | 334 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 410 | 366 | 98 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 48 | 5 | 20 | 5 | 268 | 335 | 374 | 709 | 107 | 298 | 12 | 8 | 316 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 41 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 182 | 325 | 212 | 537 | 30 | 222 | 15 | 17 | 261 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 69 | 59 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 271 | 348 | 424 | 772 | 153 | 319 | 16 | 9 | 330 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 191 | 176 | 42 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 27 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 239 | 295 | 267 | 562 | 28 | 276 | 14 | 6 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 539 | 484 | 111 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 42 | 105 | 3 | 36 | 14 | 229 | 295 | 300 | 594 | 70 | 278 | 19 | 8 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 15 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 417 | 417 | 583 | 1.000 | 167 | 389 | 20 | 0 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Daytona Cubs | — | 198 | 177 | 45 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 47 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 254 | 323 | 322 | 645 | 68 | 321 | 24 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 189 | 170 | 32 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 32 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 188 | 262 | 229 | 491 | 41 | 228 | 17 | 8 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 182 | 163 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 227 | 304 | 282 | 586 | 55 | 254 | 11 | 9 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Daytona Cubs | — | 263 | 237 | 58 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 56 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 245 | 309 | 342 | 651 | 97 | 315 | 21 | 8 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 114 | 101 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 198 | 283 | 307 | 590 | 109 | 259 | 22 | 10 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 410 | 377 | 90 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 66 | 5 | 20 | 5 | 239 | 288 | 324 | 611 | 85 | 273 | 16 | 5 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 41 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 250 | 194 | 444 | 28 | 202 | 17 | 10 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 69 | 61 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 230 | 288 | 344 | 632 | 115 | 276 | 22 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 191 | 176 | 42 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 27 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 239 | 295 | 267 | 562 | 28 | 280 | 14 | 6 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK RAW | AZL Cubs | — | 191 | 168 | 49 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 292 | 374 | 327 | 701 | 36 | 327 | 10 | 10 | 325 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 539 | 484 | 111 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 42 | 105 | 3 | 36 | 14 | 229 | 295 | 300 | 594 | 70 | 284 | 19 | 8 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A RAW | Peoria Chiefs | — | 539 | 464 | 120 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 62 | 78 | 3 | 36 | 14 | 259 | 350 | 347 | 697 | 88 | 302 | 14 | 12 | 314 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 402 | 359 | 82 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 81 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 228 | 297 | 287 | 584 | 58 | 289 | 20 | 8 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 402 | 344 | 90 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 47 | 60 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 262 | 355 | 326 | 681 | 64 | 311 | 15 | 12 | 310 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 445 | 400 | 94 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 36 | 76 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 235 | 305 | 315 | 620 | 80 | 290 | 17 | 8 | 277 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 445 | 384 | 99 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 52 | 54 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 258 | 352 | 352 | 704 | 94 | 300 | 12 | 12 | 319 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 524 | 478 | 111 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 92 | 6 | 21 | 6 | 232 | 289 | 326 | 615 | 94 | 277 | 18 | 6 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 524 | 463 | 122 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 47 | 68 | 6 | 21 | 6 | 263 | 339 | 378 | 717 | 114 | 299 | 13 | 9 | 320 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 110 | 97 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 206 | 274 | 289 | 562 | 82 | 257 | 20 | 7 | 247 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 110 | 92 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 239 | 340 | 348 | 687 | 109 | 284 | 15 | 12 | 304 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 191 | 175 | 42 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 27 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 240 | 295 | 269 | 563 | 29 | 276 | 14 | 6 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 539 | 489 | 111 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 42 | 105 | 3 | 36 | 14 | 227 | 295 | 297 | 591 | 70 | 278 | 19 | 8 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 402 | 364 | 82 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 81 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 225 | 297 | 283 | 580 | 58 | 280 | 20 | 8 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 445 | 402 | 94 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 36 | 76 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 234 | 305 | 313 | 618 | 80 | 290 | 17 | 8 | 277 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 524 | 481 | 111 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 92 | 6 | 21 | 6 | 231 | 289 | 324 | 613 | 94 | 270 | 18 | 6 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 110 | 100 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 200 | 274 | 280 | 554 | 80 | 248 | 20 | 7 | 247 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2211 | 1994 | 460 | 61 | 27 | 10 | 162 | 403 | 19 | 106 | 47 | 231 | 295 | 303 | 598 | 73 | 283 | 18 | 7 | 264 | 65 | -93 | +2 | +0 | -24 | +48 | -6.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 135 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 118 | 6 | 31 | 14 | 230 | 296 | 304 | 600 | 73 | 282 | 18 | 7 | 264 | 65 | -27 | +1 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -2.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 69 PAwOBA .321 → .269 (−53)K% 15.9% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.94% | ÷0.979 | ×1.340 | — | — | 21.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.70% | ÷1.046 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 5.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.45% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 1.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.92% | ÷1.043 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 20.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.17% | ÷0.938 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 3.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.142 | ×0.760 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 2.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.08% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 1.87% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 109, 2B 88, 3B 128, K 96, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .321 → .269; ISO .153 → .125; BABIP .319 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 41 PAwOBA .255 → .211 (−45)K% 14.6% → 17.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.63% | ÷1.042 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.07% | ÷1.075 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 10.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.52% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 17.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.081 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.998 | 3.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.981 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.924 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 99, 2B 116, 3B 96, K 108, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .255 → .211; ISO .030 → .028; BABIP .222 → .202. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans · 410 PAwOBA .308 → .266 (−42)K% 11.7% → 16.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.71% | ÷1.025 | ×1.420 | — | — | 16.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.80% | ÷0.960 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 5.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.22% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.64% | ÷0.977 | ×0.940 | ×1.005 | ×0.988 | 21.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.35% | ÷1.015 | ×0.830 | ×1.005 | ×0.988 | 4.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.57% | ÷1.138 | ×0.800 | ×1.005 | ×0.988 | 1.10% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.26% | ÷0.888 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 1.26% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 95, 2B 103, 3B 128, K 105, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .308 → .266; ISO .107 → .090; BABIP .298 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AATennessee Smokies · 114 PAwOBA .326 → .266 (−61)K% 17.5% → 22.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.54% | ÷0.967 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.16% | ÷0.959 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 9.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.88% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.48% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | ×0.953 | ×1.012 | 16.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.49% | ÷0.998 | ×0.910 | ×0.953 | ×1.012 | 5.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.90% | ÷1.058 | ×0.880 | ×0.953 | ×1.012 | 3.13% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.30% | ÷1.048 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 105, 2B 100, 3B 112, K 93, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.
Result: wOBA .326 → .266; ISO .144 → .119; BABIP .303 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Daytona Cubs · 263 PAwOBA .325 → .284 (−41)K% 14.4% → 21.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.45% | ÷0.959 | ×1.420 | — | — | 21.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.65% | ÷1.044 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 7.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.76% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.51% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×1.039 | ×0.998 | 21.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.33% | ÷1.006 | ×0.960 | ×1.039 | ×0.998 | 7.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.14% | ÷0.986 | ×0.810 | ×1.039 | ×0.998 | 2.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.930 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 99, 2B 101, 3B 97, K 92, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .325 → .284; ISO .114 → .102; BABIP .330 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AATennessee Smokies · 182 PAwOBA .288 → .266 (−23)K% 8.8% → 10.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.79% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 10.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.09% | ÷0.948 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 8.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.10% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.42% | ÷0.958 | ×0.920 | ×1.036 | ×1.027 | 19.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.76% | ÷1.140 | ×0.910 | ×1.036 | ×1.027 | 4.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.72% | ÷1.065 | ×0.880 | ×1.036 | ×1.027 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.009 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 92, 2B 128, 3B 113, K 96, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .288 → .266; ISO .065 → .057; BABIP .259 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Daytona Cubs · 198 PAwOBA .319 → .276 (−43)K% 17.7% → 23.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.68% | ÷1.066 | ×1.420 | — | — | 23.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.032 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 8.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.01% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.88% | ÷1.015 | ×0.920 | ×1.025 | ×1.012 | 29.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.47% | ÷1.132 | ×0.960 | ×1.025 | ×1.012 | 1.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.47% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.025 | ×1.012 | 1.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.47% | ÷1.144 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 1.14% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 103, 2B 126, 3B 80, K 113, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .319 → .276; ISO .070 → .058; BABIP .343 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AKane County Cougars · 189 PAwOBA .286 → .226 (−60)K% 12.2% → 16.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.17% | ÷0.980 | ×1.360 | — | — | 16.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.70% | ÷1.047 | ×0.690 | — | — | 8.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.53% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.19% | ÷1.091 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | — | 19.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.90% | ÷0.990 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | — | 2.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.45% | ÷1.105 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | — | 1.18% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.913 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 118, 2B 98, 3B 121, K 96, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .286 → .226; ISO .050 → .042; BABIP .273 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).