Pierce George — OGILVIE

Pierce George P Birmingham Barons

Age 23 RHP 6'6" / 240 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 162154vR 146

ERA6.78

FIP6.78

K%15.7%

BB%25.0%

K-BB%-9.3%

ROS IP52

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL2020

CMD2020

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	6	0	6	28	5	3	0	0%	1.0	17.9%	10.7%	7.1%	0.0%	6.00	2.95	—
2024	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	6	0	6	28	5	3	0	0%	1.0	17.9%	10.7%	7.1%	0.0%	6.00	2.95	—
2024	21	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	6	0	6	28	5	3	0	0%	1.0	17.9%	10.7%	7.1%	0.0%	6.00	2.93	—
2025	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	45	0	48	233	52	45	0	0%	1.1	16.5%	22.8%	-6.3%	0.0%	6.42	4.59	—
2025	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	45	0	48	233	52	45	0	0%	1.1	16.5%	22.8%	-6.3%	0.0%	6.42	4.59	—
2025	22	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	45	0	48	233	52	45	0	0%	1.1	22.3%	19.3%	3.0%	0.0%	6.42	3.75	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	50	0	64	263	79	27	7	0%	1.3	22.1%	12.4%	9.7%	4.0%	3.68	4.99	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	50	0	64	263	79	27	7	0%	1.3	22.1%	12.4%	9.7%	4.0%	3.68	4.99	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A RAW	CWS	10	0	14	48	19	3	0	0%	1.4	39.6%	6.2%	33.3%	0.0%	1.32	0.55	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	CWS	15	0	17	69	27	7	3	0%	1.1	39.1%	10.1%	29.0%	4.3%	3.18	3.47	—
2026	23	AA RAW	CWS	25	0	33	146	33	17	4	0%	1.3	22.6%	11.6%	11.0%	2.7%	4.91	4.17	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CWS	61	0	64	270	47	58	7	0%	1.0	17.3%	21.3%	-4.0%	2.7%	6.32	6.18	-1.1
2028	25	MLB MLE	CWS	62	0	65	274	50	52	7	0%	1.0	18.2%	19.0%	-0.8%	2.7%	5.96	5.81	-0.9
2027	24	MLB CTX	CWS	27	0	28	118	20	25	3	0%	1.0	17.3%	21.3%	-4.0%	2.7%	6.32	6.18	-0.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	CWS	41	0	43	182	33	34	5	0%	1.0	18.2%	19.0%	-0.8%	2.7%	5.96	5.81	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		68	0	71	301	54	60	8	0%	1.0	17.8%	19.9%	-2.1%	2.7%	6.10	5.57	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	151	168	22	0%	1.0	17.8%	19.9%	-2.1%	2.7%	6.10	5.57	-2.4
Career	—	MLE		101	0	117	524	102	89	10	0%	1.2	19.4%	17.0%	2.4%	2.0%	4.91	4.71	-2.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		172	0	200	893	173	151	18	0%	1.2	19.4%	17.0%	2.4%	2.0%	4.91	4.71	-3.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Pierce George (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.78	15.7%	25.0%	2.6%	—	5.99	17.8%	-2.4%	129	-0.79	—	—	—
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	86
Jack Hartman R 2022 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	15.1%	20.3%	2.5%	.357	3.99	19.5%	8.6%	143	-1.79	3.46	161	85
Jake Gozzo R 2021 · 7.10 FIP	24	SU	7.10	14.3%	30.2%	2.5%	.200	5.35	15.8%	-0.7%	129	-1.75	4.32	162	84
Roman Phansalkar R 2022 · 6.38 FIP	24	SU	6.38	13.5%	18.4%	3.8%	.245	4.77	17.4%	4.0%	147	-1.61	4.33	164	83
Carlos Polanco R 2017 · 5.71 FIP	23	SU	5.71	13.9%	20.0%	2.3%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.70	276	82
Edgar Navarro R 2021 · 6.23 FIP	23	SU	6.23	13.3%	17.7%	3.7%	.297	4.20	18.7%	2.1%	87	-2.03	3.30	244	82
Alec Kenilvort R 2016 · 6.44 FIP	23	SU	6.44	15.1%	17.0%	4.5%	.333	3.97	18.3%	9.1%	85	-2.47	2.97	109	82
Audry Lugo R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	23	SU	5.76	13.7%	16.3%	3.2%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	4.05	113	81
Dallas Woolfolk R 2021 · 6.62 FIP	24	SU	6.62	12.9%	21.9%	3.3%	.324	5.12	14.0%	0.7%	50	-1.50	5.12	100	80
Johnathan Lavallee R 2023 · 6.17 FIP	23	SU	6.17	17.1%	18.6%	3.9%	.356	4.23	22.8%	9.6%	144	-1.94	3.72	210	80
Darvin Garcia R 2022 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	15.9%	15.7%	3.3%	.282	5.27	14.8%	-4.1%	123	-0.32	2.97	212	80
Yunior Thibo R 2021 · 6.35 FIP	23	SU	6.35	11.5%	15.8%	4.0%	.312	4.82	15.6%	-1.0%	95	-1.53	4.42	110	80
Dylan Rheault R 2015 · 5.75 FIP	23	SU	5.75	6.5%	14.9%	2.4%	.288	4.11	14.1%	4.8%	96	-1.64	3.88	198	79
Adrian Rodriguez R 2023 · 5.74 FIP	22	SU	5.74	16.0%	24.7%	1.6%	.244	5.64	26.9%	1.4%	77	-0.10	2.43	148	79
Michael Brewer R 2023 · 6.19 FIP	22	SU	6.19	15.8%	15.8%	4.4%	.295	4.71	23.3%	7.1%	30	-1.48	3.14	144	79
Derrik Watson R 2018 · 5.70 FIP	23	SU	5.70	16.9%	15.7%	3.7%	.344	4.12	20.0%	2.2%	80	-1.58	3.84	132	79
Nick Howard R 2016 · 6.55 FIP	23	SU	6.55	13.8%	31.8%	1.1%	.317	5.19	12.6%	-1.5%	53	-1.36	4.72	181	78
Stephen Nogosek R 2018 · 5.74 FIP	23	SU	5.74	19.4%	18.6%	3.5%	.237	3.01	24.8%	12.8%	85	-2.73	2.56	419	78
Leonardo Rodriguez R 2021 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	12.6%	16.3%	2.8%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	142	77
José Domínguez R 2015 · 5.85 FIP	24	SU	5.85	16.3%	15.6%	3.9%	.365	4.35	16.5%	3.7%	71	-1.50	4.35	139	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	60	17.2%	21.6%	1.03	6.32
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99