Pierce George P Winston-Salem Dash
Age 23 RHP 6'6" / 240 lbs A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 52 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 163154vR 145
ERA6.45
FIP6.45
K%15.7%
BB%22.5%
K-BB%-6.7%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 90 IP
K: +0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -10.0 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-10BBCONTACT: -6.8 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-7CONTACTSTAM: +10.1 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+10STAMTotal WAR: -0.70 (90 IP)-0.7WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF3535
CTRL2020
CMD2020
K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202421AKannapolis Cannon Ballers606285300%1.017.9%10.7%7.1%0.0%6.002.95
202421AKannapolis Cannon Ballers606285300%1.017.9%10.7%7.1%0.0%6.002.93
202522AKannapolis Cannon Ballers45048233524500%1.116.5%22.8%-6.3%0.0%6.424.59
202522AKannapolis Cannon Ballers45048233524500%1.122.3%19.3%3.0%0.0%6.423.75
▸ 2026 Season
202623AABirmingham Barons32038156511650%1.230.1%11.7%18.5%5.4%3.795.02-0.2
ROS23MLBCWS50052221355060%1.015.7%22.5%-6.7%2.6%6.456.45-1.2
ROS23MLBCWS015.7%22.5%-6.7%2.6%6.456.45
2026 TOT23MLBCWS9037786661122.7%17.4%5.3%2.9%5.335.85-0.7
2026 FULL23MLBCWS0100015.7%22.5%-6.7%2.6%6.456.07-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724MLBCWS51054227394460%1.117.3%19.4%-2.1%2.7%6.065.94-0.9
202825MLBCWS52054230424060%1.018.2%17.5%0.7%2.7%5.755.63-0.7
202926MLBCWS52054230433960%1.018.6%17.1%1.6%2.7%5.605.54-0.6
202724MLBCWS2202397171930%1.017.3%19.4%-2.1%2.7%6.065.94-0.4
202825MLBCWS34036152282740%1.118.2%17.5%0.7%2.7%5.755.63-0.5
202926MLBCWS41043182343150%1.018.6%17.1%1.6%2.7%5.605.54-0.5
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career9801034337977120%1.018.2%17.8%0.4%2.7%5.765.28+0.1
/ 200 IP1900200844154150230%1.118.2%17.8%0.4%2.7%5.765.28+0.3
Career83092417907480%1.121.7%17.8%3.9%2.0%5.304.64+0.6
/ 200 IP1810200910197162180%1.121.7%17.8%3.9%2.0%5.304.64+1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Pierce George (OGILVIE) 6.45 15.7%22.5%2.6% 5.70 18.1%0.0%162 -0.75
Luis Germán R 2026 · 5.67 FIP 23 SU 5.67 16.0%19.6%2.6%.305 8.13 12.2%-10.4%19 +2.46 5.21 115 91
Alec Kenilvort R 2026 · 6.05 FIP 23 SU 6.05 15.1%17.0%3.8%.333 3.95 18.3%9.1%85 -2.10 2.89 109 86
Jeff Soptic R 2027 · 5.27 FIP 24 SU 5.27 15.5%17.2%2.4%.237 5.45 13.6%-1.7%68 +0.18 5.27 124 86
Hunter Mann R 2026 · 5.68 FIP 23 SU 5.68 18.4%18.5%3.3%.303 4.27 19.6%8.1%49 -1.41 3.01 135 85
Jack Hartman R 2027 · 5.65 FIP 24 SU 5.65 15.1%20.3%2.3%.357 4.02 19.5%8.6%143 -1.63 3.42 161 85
Jacob Morris R 2027 · 5.72 FIP 24 SU 5.72 18.0%19.6%3.0%.218 4.72 18.7%-2.4%46 -1.00 4.72 102 84
Jake Gozzo R 2027 · 7.15 FIP 24 SU 7.15 14.3%30.2%2.6%.200 5.29 15.8%-0.7%129 -1.86 4.29 162 84
Noah Takacs R 2026 · 6.19 FIP 23 SU 6.19 14.5%17.0%3.9%.248 5.15 12.7%-2.0%33 -1.04 5.15 122 84
Abel Brito R 2026 · 6.54 FIP 23 SU 6.54 14.0%23.6%3.0%.301 4.13 147 84
Jackson Rose R 2025 · 5.32 FIP 22 SU 5.32 17.3%17.2%2.8%.267 4.58 23.5%16.5%56 -0.74 3.55 147 83
Yordy Cabrera R 2028 · 5.43 FIP 25 SU 5.43 15.8%17.2%2.7%.321 4.31 13.7%2.7%140 -1.12 3.48 159 83
Zach Barnes R 2026 · 5.30 FIP 23 SU 5.30 18.2%22.0%1.7%.378 4.99 15.0%1.3%119 -0.31 4.81 145 82
Jonathan Teaney R 2026 · 6.06 FIP 23 SU 6.06 16.4%15.7%4.3%.301 4.70 108 82
Brett Lockwood R 2027 · 5.51 FIP 24 SU 5.51 16.2%15.5%3.3%.312 4.61 11.0%-6.3%79 -0.90 4.29 132 82
Richard Fernandez R 2026 · 6.08 FIP 23 SU 6.08 17.0%21.0%3.2%.287 3.66 136 82
Cody Scroggins R 2027 · 5.62 FIP 24 SU 5.62 17.4%15.1%3.8%.263 4.25 18.6%4.4%59 -1.37 3.67 108 81
Audry Lugo R 2026 · 5.73 FIP 23 SU 5.73 13.7%16.3%3.1%.344 4.05 113 81
Edgar Navarro R 2026 · 6.33 FIP 23 SU 6.33 13.3%17.7%3.8%.297 4.27 19.2%1.5%87 -2.06 3.30 244 81
Nicholas Regalado R 2026 · 5.62 FIP 23 SU 5.62 15.0%15.5%3.3%.252 2.99 132 81
Josh Wolf R 2026 · 5.27 FIP 23 SU 5.27 18.4%20.1%2.1%.344 5.79 18.5%-5.0%57 +0.52 4.20 226 81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION45417.5%19.1%1.035.96
Touki Toussaint ('24)74023.1%14.1%1.255.39
Amir Garrett ('23)65125.8%13.4%1.505.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)510419.2%13.3%0.944.48
Daniel Bard ('23)45025.1%13.5%0.813.82
John Gant ('21)48520.1%12.5%0.793.91
Miguel Castro ('23)75920.8%12.0%1.043.99