Darvin Garcia
P
Greenville Drive
Age 27
RHP
6'3" / 170 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 23 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 112
ERA4.95
FIP4.95
K%20.0%
BB%13.6%
K-BB%6.5%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | DSL Pirates 2 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 52 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.9 | 19.6% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 0.0% | 3.97 | 2.97 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | DSL Pirates 2 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 52 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.9 | 28.8% | 9.6% | 19.2% | 0.0% | 3.97 | 1.78 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | FCL Pirates Gold | 14 | 0 | 33 | 136 | 44 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 2.4 | 22.0% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 3.5% | 2.73 | 4.19 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | FCL Pirates Gold | 14 | 0 | 33 | 136 | 44 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 2.4 | 32.4% | 6.6% | 25.7% | 2.2% | 2.73 | 2.43 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 30 | 0 | 45 | 210 | 45 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.5 | 15.9% | 15.7% | 0.1% | 3.0% | 5.76 | 5.42 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 30 | 0 | 45 | 210 | 45 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.5 | 21.4% | 13.3% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 5.76 | 4.69 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 45 | 220 | 38 | 39 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 13.4% | 19.6% | -6.2% | 2.7% | 6.80 | 5.93 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 45 | 220 | 38 | 39 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.3% | 17.7% | -0.5% | 1.8% | 6.80 | 5.17 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 45 | 209 | 44 | 30 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 16.6% | 15.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 4.60 | 4.52 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 45 | 209 | 44 | 30 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.1% | 14.4% | 6.7% | 1.4% | 4.60 | 4.01 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 21 | 0 | 36 | 197 | 36 | 38 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 14.1% | 22.2% | -8.1% | 1.0% | 10.65 | 5.29 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 21 | 0 | 36 | 197 | 36 | 38 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 18.3% | 19.3% | -1.0% | 1.0% | 10.65 | 4.97 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | BOS | 22 | 0 | 23 | 98 | 20 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 13.6% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 4.95 | 4.95 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 22 | 0 | 23 | 95 | 19 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 13.3% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 4.94 | 4.97 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 13.3% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 4.94 | 4.97 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 13.3% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 4.94 | 4.59 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 169 | 121 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 13.3% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 4.94 | 4.59 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 140 | 0 | 216 | 1024 | 165 | 170 | 22 | 0% | 1.5 | 16.1% | 16.6% | -0.5% | 2.2% | 6.00 | 5.03 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 130 | 0 | 200 | 948 | 153 | 157 | 21 | 0% | 1.5 | 16.1% | 16.6% | -0.5% | 2.2% | 6.00 | 5.03 | +0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Darvin Garcia (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.95 | 20.0% | 13.6% | 2.6% | — | 4.97 | 20.2% | 7.0% | 23 | +0.02 | — | — | — |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 90 |
| Derek Eitel R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 18.1% | 13.9% | 1.8% | .338 | 4.21 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 113 | -0.11 | 3.85 | 138 | 88 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 86 |
| Armando Rivero R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.39 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .256 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.58 | 2.81 | 125 | 86 |
| David Holman R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.25 | 15.6% | 12.7% | 3.4% | .324 | 5.21 | 9.6% | 0.5% | 107 | -0.04 | 5.04 | 129 | 85 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 84 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2029 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 83 |
| Cole Uvila R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 20.4% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .360 | 3.16 | 20.2% | 6.3% | 44 | -0.92 | 3.16 | 155 | 83 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 83 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2027 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.44 | 17.9% | 12.5% | 2.3% | .450 | 3.38 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 85 | -1.06 | 3.03 | 115 | 82 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 82 |
| Erik Davis R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.96 | 17.9% | 13.5% | 1.2% | .363 | 3.59 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 181 | -0.37 | 3.07 | 227 | 82 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.37 | 16.4% | 13.6% | 3.5% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 140 | 82 |
| Jacob Webb R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.56 | 21.0% | 15.2% | 2.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 252 | 82 |
| Matt Wivinis R 2025 · 3.87 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.87 | 19.5% | 12.2% | 1.6% | .262 | 5.90 | 14.5% | 6.2% | 17 | +2.03 | 1.61 | 124 | 82 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2024 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 81 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 81 |
| Theo Denlinger R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 20.2% | 16.4% | 1.6% | .266 | 4.20 | 15.3% | 9.9% | 41 | -0.12 | 3.03 | 140 | 81 |
| Sean Harney R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.28 | 16.9% | 14.8% | 1.3% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 123 | 81 |
| Michael Blazek R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.09 | 17.9% | 11.9% | 3.6% | .336 | 4.52 | 17.5% | 8.0% | 124 | -0.57 | 3.05 | 221 | 81 |