Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | DSL HOU Orange | 10 | 7 | 26 | 113 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 70% | 2.6 | 22.3% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 1.5% | 2.73 | 3.59 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | DSL HOU Orange | 10 | 7 | 26 | 113 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 70% | 2.6 | 32.7% | 9.7% | 23.0% | 0.9% | 2.73 | 2.04 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | DSL Astros Orange | 9 | 6 | 18 | 64 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 67% | 2.0 | 25.5% | 7.8% | 17.7% | 0.0% | 1.00 | 1.94 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | DSL Astros Orange | 9 | 6 | 18 | 64 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 67% | 2.0 | 37.5% | 6.2% | 31.2% | 0.0% | 1.00 | 1.10 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 4 | 21 | 101 | 35 | 18 | 1 | 40% | 2.1 | 23.6% | 24.6% | -0.9% | 1.5% | 6.97 | 5.02 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 4 | 21 | 101 | 35 | 18 | 1 | 40% | 2.1 | 34.7% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 1.0% | 6.97 | 2.95 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 23.4% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 23.6% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.36 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 23.6% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.36 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 8.6 | 23.6% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 3.98 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 211 | 94 | 23 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.6% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 3.98 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 29 | 17 | 65 | 278 | 65 | 44 | 3 | 59% | 2.2 | 23.5% | 15.7% | 7.8% | 1.1% | 3.60 | 3.73 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 89 | 52 | 200 | 855 | 201 | 134 | 10 | 59% | 2.2 | 23.5% | 15.7% | 7.8% | 1.1% | 3.60 | 3.73 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yanquiel Sanchez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.39 | 23.4% | 9.9% | 3.0% | — | 4.36 | 23.6% | 13.8% | 20 | -0.03 | — | — | — |
| Jason Blanchard L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.24 | 24.8% | 14.2% | 2.6% | .382 | 4.08 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 156 | -0.16 | 2.44 | 171 | 79 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2028 · 3.30 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.30 | 22.8% | 12.2% | 1.1% | .292 | 3.80 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 127 | +0.50 | 2.68 | 175 | 70 |
| Tommy Shirley L 2027 · 3.30 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.30 | 19.6% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .252 | 4.86 | 13.0% | 4.2% | 106 | +1.56 | 3.30 | 147 | 70 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.65 | 17.6% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .257 | 5.52 | 17.8% | 9.6% | 53 | +1.87 | 3.65 | 116 | 70 |
| Parker Mushinski L 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.50 | 24.7% | 9.0% | 2.5% | .357 | 4.17 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 143 | +0.67 | 3.21 | 439 | 69 |
| Josh Trentadue L 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.99 | 21.5% | 12.3% | 3.9% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 196 | 67 |
| Tommy Vail L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.91 | 27.5% | 15.3% | 2.2% | .237 | 5.18 | 19.7% | 3.3% | 81 | +1.27 | 3.91 | 151 | 66 |
| Jojo Ingrassia L 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.97 | 26.7% | 13.8% | 2.5% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.60 | 112 | 66 |
| Irwin Delgado L 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.49 | 14.4% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .349 | 3.45 | 16.2% | 7.6% | 237 | -1.04 | 3.42 | 383 | 65 |
| Drake Owenby L 2024 · 3.88 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.88 | 23.4% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 140 | 65 |
| Brandon Knarr L 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.94 | 24.8% | 16.0% | 3.5% | .450 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 256 | 64 |
| Nick Maronde L 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.67 | 18.3% | 8.9% | 1.8% | .359 | 3.64 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 48 | -0.03 | 3.64 | 133 | 63 |
| Anthony Banda L 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.45 | 19.8% | 9.6% | 5.1% | .280 | 4.44 | 20.7% | 12.2% | 110 | -1.01 | 2.98 | 876 | 62 |
| Rito Lugo L 2027 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.97 | 18.3% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 176 | 61 |
| Christian MacLeod L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.2% | 12.8% | 1.4% | .322 | 5.90 | 28.8% | 13.9% | 13 | +2.06 | 3.84 | 249 | 61 |
| Chaz Hebert L 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.51 | 15.6% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 167 | 61 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2028 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.83 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .308 | 3.98 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 59 | -0.85 | 3.98 | 122 | 61 |
| Hunter Barco L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 20.3% | 11.7% | 2.6% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 212 | 61 |
| Liam Sullivan L 2025 · 5.49 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.49 | 20.1% | 15.8% | 3.8% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 121 | 61 |
| Nick Dombkowski L 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.37 | 16.7% | 11.9% | 3.9% | .273 | 6.05 | 16.6% | 6.2% | 129 | +0.68 | 3.58 | 371 | 60 |