Tony Blanco Jr. — OGILVIE

Tony Blanco Jr.OF Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 21 R/R 6'7" / 243 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION210 act + 140 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†101

AVG/OBP/SLG.242 / .302 / .445

PA140

HR6

K%31

BB%7

BABIP316

ISO203

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED30

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$11M	+$10M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$10M	+$9M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$9M	+$9M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+1.7	$8M	+$6M
2034	Arb-2	$5M	+1.5	$7M	+$4M
2035	Arb-3	$6M	+1.3	$5M	+$3M
Totals		$18M		$49M	+$42M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	—	19	19	1	0	0	0	0	15	0	0	0	53	53	53	105		250	79	0	73	-86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	—	19	19	4	0	0	1	0	10	0	0	0	211	211	368	579	158	375	53	0	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	157	143	20	4	0	3	10	89	2	0	1	140	206	231	437	91	321	57	6	193	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	157	136	32	7	0	5	17	59	2	0	1	235	329	397	726	162	365	38	11	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	109	99	22	4	1	3	8	42	1	1	0	222	287	374	661	152	345	39	7	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	109	95	29	5	1	4	12	31	1	1	0	305	389	505	894	200	410	28	11	391	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	178	160	32	3	0	9	16	85	1	0	0	200	277	388	664	188	343	48	9	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	178	150	39	5	0	9	26	58	1	0	0	260	373	473	846	213	357	33	15	374	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A+	PIT	—	210	194	35	8	1	9	13	82	2	1	0	180	239	371	610	191	250	39	6	263	59	-10	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.5
YTD	21	A+	PIT	—	210	186	44	11	1	12	21	61	2	1	0	237	321	500	821	263	281	29	10	357	131	+7	+0	+0	-1	+6	1.3
ROS	21	A+	PIT	0%	140	128	31	6	1	6	10	44	1	2	0	242	302	445	747	203	309	31	7	317	101	+0	+0	-0	-1	+4	0.3
ROS	21	MLB	PIT	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						308	0	0	309	95	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	21	A+	PIT	—	211	195	35	8	1	9	13	82	2	1	0	179	238	369	607	190	248	39	6	263	60	-10	+0	-0	-1	+6	-0.5
TOT	21	A+	PIT	—	350	322	66	14	2	15	23	126	3	3	0	205	264	401	665	196	279	36	7	284	76	-10	+1	-0	-2	+10	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	PIT	35%	321	291	70	14	2	13	24	97	3	3	1	241	305	436	741	196	308	30	7	323	105	+2	+0	-0	-2	+9	0.9
2028	23	MLB	PIT	54%	403	367	88	17	2	17	30	119	3	4	1	240	302	436	738	196	308	30	7	328	109	+4	+0	-1	-2	+11	1.3
2029	24	MLB	PIT	61%	455	413	101	20	2	19	35	132	4	5	1	245	310	441	750	196	308	29	8	330	111	+6	+1	-1	-3	+13	1.6
2030	25	MLB	PIT	66%	480	436	107	21	2	21	37	138	4	5	1	245	310	447	758	202	308	29	8	332	112	+7	+1	-1	-3	+14	1.8
2031	26	MLB	PIT	69%	493	448	109	21	2	21	38	141	4	5	1	243	308	440	748	196	308	29	8	333	113	+7	+1	-1	-3	+14	1.8
2032	27	MLB	PIT	69%	495	449	109	21	2	21	39	142	4	5	1	243	309	439	748	196	307	29	8	333	113	+7	+1	-1	-3	+14	1.8
2033	28	MLB	PIT	69%	492	446	108	21	2	21	39	142	4	5	1	242	309	439	748	197	307	29	8	332	112	+7	+1	-1	-3	+14	1.7
2034	29	MLB	PIT	67%	483	437	106	21	2	20	39	141	4	5	1	243	310	437	747	195	306	29	8	330	110	+6	+1	-2	-3	+14	1.5
2035	30	MLB	PIT	66%	473	428	103	20	2	20	38	139	4	4	1	241	309	437	745	196	305	29	8	327	108	+4	+0	-3	-3	+13	1.3
2036	31	MLB	PIT	65%	460	416	99	19	2	19	37	136	4	3	1	238	306	430	737	192	302	30	8	323	105	+3	+0	-3	-3	+13	1.0
2037	32	MLB	PIT	65%	442	400	94	18	2	18	35	133	4	3	1	235	303	425	728	190	298	30	8	317	101	+0	+0	-4	-3	+13	0.6
2027	22	MLB	PIT	35%	113	103	25	5	1	5	8	34	1	1	0	243	304	456	760	214	307	30	7	316	100	-0	+0	-0	-1	+3	0.3
2028	23	MLB	PIT	54%	216	196	47	9	1	9	16	64	2	2	1	240	304	434	737	194	306	30	7	320	103	+1	+0	-0	-1	+6	0.5
2029	24	MLB	PIT	61%	280	255	62	12	1	12	21	81	2	3	1	243	306	439	745	196	306	29	8	323	105	+2	+0	-0	-2	+8	0.8
2030	25	MLB	PIT	66%	317	287	70	14	2	13	24	91	3	3	1	244	309	443	751	199	306	29	8	324	106	+2	+0	-0	-2	+9	0.9
2031	26	MLB	PIT	69%	338	306	75	15	2	14	26	97	3	4	1	245	310	444	755	199	306	29	8	325	107	+3	+0	-0	-2	+10	1.0
2032	27	MLB	PIT	69%	339	306	76	15	2	15	27	98	3	4	1	248	315	458	773	209	306	29	8	325	107	+3	+0	-0	-2	+10	1.0
2033	28	MLB	PIT	69%	337	304	74	14	2	14	27	97	3	3	1	243	311	441	752	197	305	29	8	324	106	+2	+0	-1	-2	+10	0.9
2034	29	MLB	PIT	67%	324	292	71	14	1	14	26	94	3	3	1	243	312	442	753	199	304	29	8	322	105	+2	+0	-1	-2	+9	0.8
2035	30	MLB	PIT	66%	312	281	67	13	1	13	25	92	3	3	1	238	307	431	738	192	303	29	8	319	103	+1	+0	-2	-2	+9	0.6
2036	31	MLB	PIT	65%	300	270	63	12	1	12	24	89	3	2	1	233	303	419	722	185	300	30	8	315	100	-0	+0	-2	-2	+8	0.4
2037	32	MLB	PIT	65%	287	260	59	11	1	11	23	86	2	2	0	227	295	404	699	177	297	30	8	310	95	-2	+0	-3	-2	+8	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3164	2861	689	134	15	132	247	923	28	30	9	241	307	437	744	196	305	29	8	321	104	+13	+2	-11	-19	+90	7.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	142	28	3	27	51	190	6	6	2	241	309	437	746	196	307	29	8	321	104	+3	+0	-2	-4	+18	1.6
Career	—			—	5600	5080	1200	230	24	231	435	1735	47	50	12	236	302	427	730	191	309	31	8	321	104	+24	+5	-18	-34	+159	14.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	140	27	3	27	50	201	5	6	1	237	302	431	732	193	310	31	8	321	104	+3	+1	-2	-4	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	—	19	19	4	0	0	1	0	10	0	0	0	211	211	368	579	158	375	53	0	252	51	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	157	136	32	7	0	5	17	59	2	0	1	235	329	397	726	162	365	38	11	324	106	+1	-0	—	—	+4	0.5
2024	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	109	95	29	5	1	4	12	31	1	1	0	305	389	505	894	200	410	28	11	391	158	+7	+0	—	—	+3	1.1
2025	20	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	125	106	28	3	0	7	18	42	0	0	0	264	371	491	862	226	362	34	14	378	148	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.0
2025	20	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	53	44	11	2	0	2	8	16	1	0	0	250	377	432	809	182	346	30	15	366	138	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Colby Rasmuslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,070 PA	9	4,070	165	35	242	311	438	-0	+8	16.7	16.2
	/162	664	27	6	242	311	438	-0.0	+1.3	2.7	pk7: 16
#2Tony Batistalast yr '07 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,601 PA	7	3,601	162	33	244	291	445	-9	-1	10.4	10.4
	/162	664	30	6	244	291	445	-1.6	-0.2	1.9	pk7: 10
#3Pedro Álvarezlast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,287 PA	8	3,287	161	15	235	309	447	+1	-40	10.0	10.2
	/162	664	33	3	235	309	447	+0.2	-8.0	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,163	133	30	243	306	441	-19	-14	10.5	9.3
	/162	664	28	6	243	306	441	-4.0	-2.9	2.2	pk7: 8
#4José Hernándezlast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,901 PA	7	2,901	95	17	254	316	413	-11	+5	8.5	8.5
	/162	664	22	4	254	316	413	-2.4	+1.0	1.9	pk7: 8
#5Mitch Hanigerlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,089 PA	8	3,089	130	19	250	324	448	-31	-36	7.8	8.4
	/162	664	28	4	250	324	448	-6.7	-7.8	1.7	pk7: 9
#6Franmil Reyeslast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,078 PA	6	2,078	108	6	249	310	464	-22	-18	5.5	5.5
	/162	664	35	2	249	310	464	-7.1	-5.7	1.8	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tony Blanco Jr. (OGILVIE)	21	40	60	30	52	205/264/401	196	279	15	3	36%	7%	76	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Travis Denker 2006 · A	20	46→51	51→50	37→45	50	235/310/393	158	290	19	4	26%	9%	99	+1.7	228/303/362	134	273	15	4	21%	9%	88	+0.9	227/302/380	153	255	18	0	19%	8%	92	+0.6
✕Kellen Kulbacki 2009 · A	23	47→46	56→60	38→30	50	248/319/434	185	284	25	4	22%	8%	114	+2.7	222/277/341	119	269	13	6	22%	7%	71	-0.3	197/240/273	76	241	5	5	20%	5%	33	-0.7
✕Kyle Wilson 2006 · A	23	46	56→60	38→30	38	240/288/426	186	311	24	4	31%	5%	98	+1.6	217/260/335	118	279	12	4	26%	4%	63	-0.9	196/233/283	87	248	8	0	24%	2%	34	-1.3
●Andy Pages 2022 · A	21	42→52	61→60	45→50	45	230/317/449	220	296	29	6	32%	9%	118	+3.0	225/303/412	187	296	23	7	31%	8%	102	+1.8	270/324/464	194	313	25	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
●Mark Vientos 2023 · MLB	23	46→49	57→60	37→30	39	239/293/430	191	334	27	2	36%	7%	102	+1.8	244/301/443	199	317	26	2	30%	7%	108	+2.3	241/301/444	202	300	27	1	28%	7%	107	+1.9
✕Sergio Pedroza 2007 · A	23	42→47	56→60	38→45	47	220/314/415	194	293	24	3	32%	10%	107	+2.2	228/302/388	160	306	18	7	30%	8%	95	+1.4	229/300/383	153	297	17	7	27%	7%	90	+0.6
●Ryan McMahon 2016 · A	21	46→56	52→55	38→45	38	230/284/402	172	328	18	5	35%	6%	90	+1.0	235/286/378	143	334	14	8	32%	6%	85	+0.7	233/294/378	145	309	16	7	28%	7%	85	+0.6
✕Anthony García 2013 · A	21	45→47	53→55	42→45	39	233/287/419	186	295	20	4	28%	5%	97	+1.5	205/269/363	158	265	18	5	29%	6%	74	-0.1	221/293/362	141	269	17	4	24%	7%	82	+0.3
●Jordan Diaz 2022 · A	21	49→56	49→55	41→30	44	247/294/394	147	294	17	5	22%	6%	92	+1.2	262/302/432	170	303	22	2	21%	5%	105	+2.1	263/306/436	173	301	23	0	21%	5%	104	+1.7
✕Jaff Decker 2011 · A	21	47→49	57→55	45→55	50	241/329/438	198	309	25	7	29%	10%	118	+3.0	207/285/370	163	278	19	9	31%	9%	83	+0.6	217/292/336	119	282	11	13	25%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Francisco Alvarez 2023 · AAA	21	45	63→65	43→40	46	246/322/478	232	306	32	4	30%	9%	127	+3.6	232/304/438	206	282	28	4	28%	8%	109	+2.4	225/301/427	202	268	28	2	27%	9%	102	+1.3
●Derek Norris 2010 · A	21	43→53	51→55	45→50	48	223/303/383	161	292	19	5	30%	10%	94	+1.3	207/305/377	170	279	21	9	31%	11%	94	+1.3	261/339/417	156	319	16	5	22%	10%	113	+1.9
✕Heriberto Hernández 2021 · A	21	46→49	51→60	46→50	45	228/304/400	172	318	18	6	32%	9%	98	+1.6	207/286/350	143	335	16	6	40%	9%	78	+0.2	221/302/428	208	278	28	9	31%	9%	103	+1.2
●Ryan Lavarnway 2010 · A	22	44→45	53→55	43→30	41	226/285/402	176	308	20	3	32%	7%	91	+1.1	228/295/390	162	293	20	2	28%	8%	92	+1.2	224/293/375	150	280	19	1	26%	8%	86	+0.7
●Spencer Torkelson 2022 · AAA	22	42→46	60	45→40	50	229/316/447	219	275	27	6	28%	10%	116	+2.8	224/304/409	185	278	23	3	27%	10%	101	+1.8	236/320/456	220	284	29	2	27%	10%	116	+3.1
✕Michael McKenry 2008 · A	23	46→47	54→55	41→40	49	238/309/421	183	282	21	7	24%	9%	106	+2.2	222/289/377	155	277	18	4	26%	8%	86	+0.8	241/316/409	168	288	21	2	23%	9%	102	+0.7
✕Travis Snider 2010 · MLB	22	49→53	53→60	39→50	44	245/312/423	177	336	21	4	32%	8%	107	+2.2	249/304/411	162	317	18	12	26%	7%	101	+1.8	251/304/402	151	313	16	15	24%	7%	95	+1.1
★Nolan Arenado 2012 · A	21	47→56	55→65	42→40	44	248/280/431	183	256	23	3	15%	4%	96	+1.5	244/281/392	148	265	16	2	15%	5%	85	+0.7	268/329/491	223	273	29	3	14%	8%	126	+3.7
●Oswaldo Arcia 2013 · AA	22	49→51	54→60	44→45	39	248/296/440	192	328	21	5	30%	6%	105	+2.1	239/297/430	191	309	24	4	30%	6%	104	+2.0	228/290/417	189	289	26	2	30%	6%	92	+0.9
●Adam Duvall 2012 · A	23	44	59→70	44→45	45	240/306/460	220	280	27	4	25%	7%	115	+2.8	223/274/420	197	260	26	4	25%	6%	92	+1.2	230/290/515	285	247	44	3	29%	6%	121	+2.4