Tony Blanco Jr.
OF Greensboro Grasshoppers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ROKPIT | 109 | .305/.389/.505 | 4 | 1 | 73 | — | .222/.287/.374 |
| 2025 | 20 | A/INTL2 orgs | 178 | .260/.373/.473 | 9 | 0 | 94 | — | .196/.274/.348 |
| 2026 | 21 | A+PIT | 334 | .258/.342/.576 | 25 | 1 | 89 | — | .204/.261/.456 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBPIT | 1 | .253/.310/.471 | 0 | 0 | 121 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ35% MLB | 23 | MLBPIT | 91 | .255/.313/.473 | 4 | 1 | 122 | 0.4 | |
| 2029PROJ51% MLB | 24 | MLBPIT | 171 | .256/.315/.473 | 8 | 2 | 123 | 0.7 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL PIT Gold | — | 19 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 211 | 368 | 579 | 158 | 375 | 53 | 0 | 252 | -45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Pirates Gold | — | 157 | 136 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 59 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 235 | 329 | 397 | 726 | 162 | 365 | 38 | 11 | 324 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Pirates | — | 109 | 95 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 305 | 389 | 505 | 894 | 200 | 410 | 28 | 11 | 391 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Bradenton Marauders | — | 125 | 106 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 264 | 371 | 491 | 862 | 226 | 362 | 34 | 14 | 378 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 53 | 44 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 377 | 432 | 809 | 182 | 346 | 30 | 15 | 366 | 134 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 334 | 295 | 76 | 17 | 1 | 25 | 34 | 98 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 258 | 342 | 576 | 919 | 319 | 295 | 29 | 10 | 395 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL PIT Gold | — | 19 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 53 | 53 | 105 | 242 | 68 | 0 | 101 | -45 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates Gold | — | 157 | 141 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 74 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 135 | 213 | 206 | 419 | 71 | 245 | 47 | 8 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Pirates | — | 109 | 99 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 43 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 287 | 374 | 661 | 152 | 331 | 39 | 7 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 125 | 112 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 274 | 348 | 622 | 152 | 331 | 46 | 10 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 334 | 309 | 63 | 13 | 1 | 21 | 20 | 128 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 204 | 261 | 456 | 718 | 252 | 254 | 38 | 6 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL PIT Gold | — | 19 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 53 | 53 | 105 | 167 | 68 | 0 | 101 | -45 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL PIT Gold | — | 19 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 211 | 368 | 579 | 158 | 375 | 53 | 0 | 252 | -45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates Gold | — | 157 | 141 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 74 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 135 | 213 | 206 | 419 | 71 | 254 | 47 | 8 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Pirates Gold | — | 157 | 136 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 59 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 235 | 329 | 397 | 726 | 162 | 365 | 38 | 11 | 324 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Pirates | — | 109 | 99 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 43 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 287 | 374 | 661 | 152 | 352 | 39 | 7 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK RAW | FCL Pirates | — | 109 | 95 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 305 | 389 | 505 | 894 | 200 | 410 | 28 | 11 | 391 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 178 | 160 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 81 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 282 | 375 | 657 | 169 | 347 | 46 | 9 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 178 | 150 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 58 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 260 | 373 | 473 | 846 | 213 | 357 | 33 | 15 | 374 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 334 | 309 | 63 | 13 | 1 | 21 | 20 | 128 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 204 | 261 | 456 | 718 | 252 | 261 | 38 | 6 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ RAW | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 334 | 295 | 76 | 17 | 1 | 25 | 34 | 98 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 258 | 342 | 576 | 919 | 319 | 295 | 29 | 10 | 395 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL PIT Gold | — | 19 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 53 | 53 | 105 | 242 | 68 | 0 | 101 | -45 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates Gold | — | 157 | 142 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 74 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 134 | 213 | 204 | 417 | 70 | 245 | 47 | 8 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Pirates | — | 109 | 99 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 43 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 287 | 374 | 661 | 152 | 331 | 39 | 7 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 178 | 159 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 81 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 282 | 377 | 660 | 170 | 331 | 46 | 9 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 334 | 307 | 63 | 13 | 1 | 21 | 20 | 128 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 205 | 261 | 459 | 721 | 254 | 254 | 38 | 6 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Pirates | — | 109 | 99 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 43 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 287 | 374 | 661 | 152 | 331 | 39 | 7 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 178 | 159 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 81 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 282 | 377 | 660 | 170 | 331 | 46 | 9 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 334 | 307 | 63 | 13 | 1 | 21 | 20 | 128 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 205 | 261 | 459 | 721 | 254 | 254 | 38 | 6 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | PIT | 0% | 444 | 407 | 104 | 19 | 2 | 23 | 30 | 130 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 256 | 313 | 485 | 798 | 229 | 315 | 29 | 7 | 347 | 121 | +11 | +1 | -2 | -3 | +10 | 0.9 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB CTX | PIT | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 253 | 310 | 471 | 781 | 218 | 315 | 0 | 0 | 341 | 121 | +0 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | PIT | 35% | 259 | 237 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 14 | 18 | 74 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 258 | 316 | 487 | 803 | 229 | 314 | 29 | 7 | 349 | 122 | +7 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +6 | 1.0 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | PIT | 51% | 338 | 308 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 18 | 24 | 95 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 258 | 318 | 487 | 805 | 228 | 314 | 28 | 7 | 350 | 123 | +9 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +7 | 1.4 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | PIT | 60% | 382 | 349 | 90 | 16 | 2 | 20 | 27 | 106 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 258 | 319 | 484 | 803 | 226 | 312 | 28 | 7 | 350 | 123 | +10 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +8 | 1.6 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | PIT | 65% | 407 | 370 | 95 | 17 | 2 | 20 | 30 | 112 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 258 | 319 | 481 | 800 | 223 | 311 | 28 | 7 | 348 | 122 | +11 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +9 | 1.7 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | PIT | 66% | 417 | 379 | 97 | 18 | 2 | 20 | 31 | 114 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 256 | 318 | 475 | 792 | 219 | 309 | 27 | 7 | 346 | 120 | +10 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +9 | 1.6 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | PIT | 67% | 417 | 379 | 97 | 18 | 2 | 20 | 31 | 115 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 254 | 316 | 470 | 786 | 216 | 308 | 28 | 7 | 343 | 118 | +9 | +0 | -2 | -3 | +9 | 1.4 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB MLE | PIT | 66% | 409 | 373 | 93 | 17 | 2 | 19 | 30 | 114 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 252 | 313 | 463 | 776 | 212 | 307 | 28 | 7 | 339 | 116 | +8 | +0 | -2 | -2 | +9 | 1.2 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB MLE | PIT | 65% | 398 | 363 | 91 | 16 | 2 | 19 | 29 | 113 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 248 | 309 | 456 | 765 | 207 | 305 | 28 | 7 | 334 | 112 | +6 | -0 | -3 | -2 | +9 | 0.9 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB MLE | PIT | 65% | 382 | 349 | 84 | 15 | 1 | 17 | 27 | 109 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 244 | 304 | 446 | 750 | 201 | 301 | 29 | 7 | 328 | 108 | +4 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +8 | 0.6 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB MLE | PIT | 65% | 362 | 331 | 79 | 14 | 1 | 16 | 25 | 105 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 298 | 432 | 730 | 194 | 297 | 29 | 7 | 320 | 103 | +1 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB MLE | PIT | 64% | 325 | 298 | 69 | 12 | 1 | 14 | 22 | 97 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 290 | 416 | 706 | 184 | 291 | 30 | 7 | 310 | 96 | -1 | +0 | -5 | -2 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | PIT | 35% | 91 | 84 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 255 | 313 | 473 | 786 | 218 | 314 | 29 | 7 | 343 | 122 | +2 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | PIT | 51% | 171 | 155 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 48 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 256 | 315 | 473 | 788 | 217 | 314 | 28 | 7 | 344 | 123 | +5 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +4 | 0.7 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | PIT | 60% | 228 | 208 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 63 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 255 | 316 | 471 | 787 | 215 | 312 | 28 | 7 | 343 | 123 | +6 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +5 | 1.0 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | PIT | 65% | 265 | 242 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 19 | 73 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 255 | 316 | 468 | 784 | 213 | 311 | 28 | 7 | 342 | 122 | +7 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +6 | 1.1 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | PIT | 66% | 277 | 253 | 64 | 12 | 1 | 13 | 20 | 76 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 253 | 315 | 462 | 777 | 209 | 309 | 27 | 7 | 340 | 120 | +7 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +6 | 1.1 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | PIT | 67% | 280 | 255 | 64 | 12 | 1 | 13 | 21 | 77 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 251 | 313 | 457 | 770 | 206 | 308 | 28 | 8 | 337 | 118 | +6 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +6 | 0.9 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB CTX | PIT | 66% | 270 | 246 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 20 | 75 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 249 | 310 | 451 | 761 | 202 | 307 | 28 | 7 | 333 | 116 | +5 | -0 | -2 | -2 | +6 | 0.8 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB CTX | PIT | 65% | 260 | 237 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 307 | 443 | 750 | 198 | 305 | 28 | 7 | 329 | 112 | +4 | +0 | -2 | -2 | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB CTX | PIT | 65% | 248 | 226 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 71 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 302 | 434 | 736 | 192 | 301 | 29 | 7 | 323 | 108 | +2 | +0 | -2 | -1 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB CTX | PIT | 65% | 234 | 214 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 68 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 295 | 421 | 716 | 185 | 297 | 29 | 7 | 315 | 103 | +1 | +0 | -3 | -1 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB CTX | PIT | 64% | 209 | 192 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 62 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 288 | 405 | 693 | 176 | 291 | 30 | 7 | 305 | 96 | -1 | +0 | -3 | -1 | +5 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2533 | 2312 | 570 | 109 | 10 | 111 | 181 | 712 | 20 | 15 | 6 | 247 | 307 | 446 | 753 | 200 | 306 | 28 | 7 | 332 | 108 | +44 | +1 | -17 | -15 | +55 | 6.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 593 | 146 | 28 | 3 | 28 | 46 | 183 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 246 | 306 | 445 | 751 | 199 | 306 | 28 | 7 | 332 | 108 | +11 | +0 | -4 | -4 | +14 | 1.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5103 | 4656 | 1124 | 202 | 21 | 242 | 364 | 1554 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 241 | 303 | 450 | 752 | 208 | 306 | 30 | 7 | 327 | 108 | +78 | +3 | -28 | -26 | +93 | 12.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 593 | 144 | 26 | 3 | 31 | 46 | 198 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 243 | 304 | 454 | 758 | 211 | 308 | 30 | 7 | 327 | 108 | +12 | +0 | -4 | -4 | +14 | 1.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 334 PAwOBA .384 → .300 (−84)K% 29.3% → 38.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.34% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 38.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 6.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.20% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×1.013 | ×1.027 | 15.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×1.013 | ×1.027 | 7.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.51% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.013 | ×1.027 | 0.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 12.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 11.47% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .384 → .300; ISO .319 → .261; BABIP .295 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ABradenton Marauders · 125 PAwOBA .369 → .282 (−86)K% 33.6% → 45.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.60% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 45.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.60% | ÷1.052 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 9.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.12% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | ×0.998 | ×1.030 | 26.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.69% | ÷1.084 | ×0.830 | ×0.998 | ×1.030 | 3.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.952 | ×0.910 | ×0.998 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.94% | ÷0.932 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 9.67% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 99, 2B 117, 3B 90, K 100, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .369 → .282; ISO .226 → .174; BABIP .362 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKFCL Pirates · 109 PAwOBA .385 → .276 (−109)K% 28.4% → 39.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.44% | ÷1.032 | ×1.440 | — | — | 39.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.01% | ÷0.964 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 7.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.92% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.69% | ÷1.003 | ×0.820 | ×1.003 | ×1.008 | 24.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.81% | ÷0.917 | ×0.720 | ×1.003 | ×1.008 | 6.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.56% | ÷0.978 | ×0.720 | ×1.003 | ×1.008 | 1.16% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.921 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 5.33% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 83, 3B 96, K 106, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .385 → .276; ISO .200 → .148; BABIP .410 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL Pirates Gold · 157 PAwOBA .319 → .194 (−125)K% 37.6% → 47.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.58% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 47.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.83% | ÷1.009 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 7.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.27% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.97% | ÷0.980 | ×0.680 | ×1.042 | ×1.008 | 18.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.040 | ×0.600 | ×1.042 | ×1.008 | 5.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×1.042 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.49% | ÷0.969 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 3.17% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 96, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.
Result: wOBA .319 → .194; ISO .162 → .077; BABIP .365 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL PIT Gold · 19 PAwOBA .244 → .101 (−143)K% 52.6% → 66.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 52.63% | ÷0.969 | ×1.220 | — | — | 66.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.956 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.004 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.022 | 23.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.007 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.091 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.111 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 4.80% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 101, 2B 101, 3B 118, K 94, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .244 → .101; ISO .158 → .049; BABIP .375 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .