Victor Pena — OGILVIE

Victor Pena P DSL Royals Blue

Age 23 LHP 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 94103vR 111

ERA4.08

FIP4.08

K%23.5%

BB%7.4%

K-BB%16.1%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	10	6	22	98	24	13	0	60%	2.2	16.7%	16.6%	0.1%	0.0%	3.74	3.79	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Blue	10	6	22	98	24	13	0	60%	2.2	24.5%	13.3%	11.2%	0.0%	3.74	2.68	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL KC Glass	13	1	27	102	42	6	1	8%	2.1	28.0%	7.4%	20.6%	1.6%	0.99	2.52	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL KC Glass	13	1	27	102	42	6	1	8%	2.1	41.2%	5.9%	35.3%	1.0%	0.99	1.16	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	13	0	31	118	44	3	1	0%	2.4	25.4%	3.2%	22.2%	1.3%	0.86	2.08	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	13	0	31	118	44	3	1	0%	2.4	25.4%	3.2%	22.2%	1.3%	0.86	2.08	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Blue	13	0	31	118	44	3	1	0%	2.4	37.3%	2.5%	34.7%	0.8%	0.86	0.99	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	23	MLB	KC	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	23.5%	7.4%	16.1%	3.0%	4.08	4.08	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	KC	19	0	20	84	20	6	3	0%	1.1	24.1%	7.4%	16.7%	3.0%	4.05	4.01	+0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	KC	9	0	9	38	9	3	1	0%	1.0	24.1%	7.4%	16.7%	3.0%	4.05	4.01	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	9	3	1	0%	1.1	24.1%	7.4%	16.7%	3.0%	4.05	3.63	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	211	70	23	0%	1.1	24.1%	7.4%	16.7%	3.0%	4.05	3.63	+2.2
Career	—	MLE		36	7	80	318	75	28	3	19%	2.2	23.5%	8.6%	14.9%	1.0%	1.68	2.75	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	17	200	792	186	68	8	19%	2.2	23.5%	8.6%	14.9%	1.0%	1.68	2.75	+1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Victor Pena (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.08	23.5%	7.4%	3.0%	—	4.01	24.1%	16.7%	20	-0.07	—	—	—
Andy Fisher L 2019 · 3.20 FIP	23	SU	3.20	22.8%	4.5%	2.6%	.242	3.66	23.5%	8.7%	89	+0.46	3.13	167	79
Michael Sansone L 2023 · 3.48 FIP	23	SU	3.48	24.2%	5.2%	3.2%	.338	4.71	16.4%	10.0%	263	+1.23	3.15	291	79
Hunter Schryver L 2018 · 3.58 FIP	23	SU	3.58	23.2%	6.8%	2.9%	.259	4.22	19.9%	7.5%	106	+0.64	3.58	206	79
Andrew Mitchell L 2018 · 3.75 FIP	23	SU	3.75	21.8%	7.5%	2.8%	.333	2.71	23.8%	15.8%	78	-1.04	2.51	119	79
Garvin Alston L 2019 · 4.29 FIP	22	SU	4.29	19.7%	6.6%	3.7%	.333	4.74	16.4%	2.9%	84	+0.45	4.01	232	78
Reagan Todd L 2019 · 2.89 FIP	23	SU	2.89	26.6%	7.1%	2.1%	.286	4.21	26.1%	15.5%	90	+1.32	2.89	122	75
Chris Cotton L 2015 · 3.69 FIP	24	SU	3.69	20.7%	7.0%	2.6%	.288	4.17	9.7%	3.3%	61	+0.48	3.69	128	75
Easton Lucas L 2021 · 4.29 FIP	24	SU	4.29	23.6%	9.2%	3.7%	.316	4.03	21.2%	11.6%	184	-0.26	3.43	311	75
Josh Simpson L 2021 · 4.57 FIP	23	SW	4.57	23.5%	11.5%	3.6%	.290	3.29	32.8%	19.4%	102	-1.28	3.04	255	75
Sam Moll L 2015 · 4.33 FIP	23	SU	4.33	21.8%	6.9%	4.0%	.240	3.78	17.1%	8.9%	120	-0.55	2.38	507	75
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	75
Ben Wereski L 2022 · 4.78 FIP	24	SU	4.78	18.6%	7.6%	4.2%	.287	3.73	29.0%	21.6%	20	-1.05	3.73	132	75
Brandon Hughes L 2021 · 3.68 FIP	25	SU	3.68	27.0%	11.1%	2.7%	.300	4.61	24.0%	15.0%	149	+0.93	3.68	206	74
Brandon Walter L 2019 · 3.51 FIP	22	SU	3.51	19.2%	7.2%	2.0%	.270	2.89	27.7%	23.0%	139	-0.62	2.85	391	74
Wyatt Short L 2018 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	20.4%	8.4%	2.5%	.262	4.01	20.5%	10.3%	91	+0.18	2.74	288	74
Jake Rice L 2021 · 3.16 FIP	24	SU	3.16	24.7%	6.2%	2.5%	.294	4.77	21.5%	6.0%	130	+1.61	3.16	199	74
Felix Polanco L 2023 · 3.68 FIP	23	SU	3.68	18.8%	6.0%	2.6%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	3.68	105	74
Greg Nappo L 2015 · 3.37 FIP	26	SU	3.37	22.7%	7.5%	2.2%	.267	5.25	16.5%	5.9%	79	+1.88	3.37	144	74
Holden Capps L 2018 · 3.31 FIP	23	SW	3.31	18.9%	4.4%	2.3%	.339	3.37	17.1%	10.0%	73	+0.06	2.99	215	74
Adrian Gusman L 2015 · 3.41 FIP	23	SW	3.41	16.5%	6.6%	1.6%	.280	3.68	15.0%	7.2%	63	+0.27	2.94	141	74