Michael Sansone
P
Worcester Red Sox
Age 26
LHP
5'9" / 195 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION69 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104113vR 122
ERA4.56
FIP4.56
K%14.6%
BB%5.4%
K-BB%9.2%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 139 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | FCL Rays | 4 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 31.6% | 5.3% | 26.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.10 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | FCL Rays | 4 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 31.6% | 5.3% | 26.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.41 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 15 | 0 | 28 | 113 | 37 | 5 | 3 | 0% | 1.9 | 24.2% | 5.2% | 19.0% | 3.0% | 3.49 | 3.36 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 15 | 0 | 28 | 113 | 37 | 5 | 3 | 0% | 1.9 | 32.7% | 4.4% | 28.3% | 2.7% | 3.49 | 2.39 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A | Salem Red Sox | 20 | 3 | 72 | 288 | 68 | 9 | 4 | 15% | 3.6 | 17.5% | 3.7% | 13.8% | 2.1% | 3.11 | 3.24 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A | Salem Red Sox | 20 | 3 | 72 | 288 | 68 | 9 | 4 | 15% | 3.6 | 23.6% | 3.1% | 20.5% | 1.4% | 3.11 | 2.31 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 7 | 88 | 360 | 74 | 14 | 10 | 26% | 3.3 | 15.7% | 4.6% | 11.0% | 3.3% | 3.46 | 4.15 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 7 | 88 | 360 | 74 | 14 | 10 | 26% | 3.3 | 20.6% | 3.9% | 16.7% | 2.8% | 3.46 | 3.37 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 16 | 9 | 69 | 288 | 58 | 25 | 13 | 56% | 4.3 | 17.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.87 | 5.64 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | BOS | 12 | 12 | 70 | 296 | 43 | 16 | 9 | 100% | 5.8 | 14.6% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 4.56 | 4.56 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | BOS | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 7.0 | 14.6% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 4.56 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 139 | 584 | 101 | 41 | 22 | — | — | 17.3% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 3.7% | 5.21 | 5.09 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 7 | 30 | 4 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 14.6% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 4.56 | 4.18 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | BOS | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 45 | 17 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.5% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 3.0% | 4.56 | 4.58 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 45 | 18 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.0% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 4.60 | 4.64 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | BOS | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.5% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 3.0% | 4.56 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 28 | 11 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.0% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 4.60 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 69 | 1 | 78 | 330 | 52 | 20 | 10 | 1% | 1.1 | 15.7% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 4.58 | 4.23 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 176 | 2 | 200 | 844 | 133 | 51 | 26 | 1% | 1.1 | 15.7% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 4.58 | 4.23 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 82 | 19 | 263 | 1068 | 189 | 61 | 36 | 23% | 3.2 | 17.7% | 5.7% | 12.0% | 3.4% | 3.93 | 4.17 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 62 | 14 | 200 | 811 | 144 | 46 | 27 | 23% | 3.2 | 17.7% | 5.7% | 12.0% | 3.4% | 3.93 | 4.17 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Michael Sansone (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.56 | 14.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.61 | 15.7% | 9.7% | 136 | +0.05 | — | — | — |
| Jordan Carr L 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.39 | 17.2% | 8.5% | 1.2% | .270 | 5.11 | 12.6% | 1.9% | 129 | +1.72 | 3.39 | 261 | 79 |
| Nico Tellache L 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.89 | 16.3% | 7.3% | 2.3% | .373 | 4.65 | 13.4% | 4.8% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.89 | 160 | 77 |
| Ryan Kellogg L 2025 · 4.05 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.05 | 12.4% | 5.8% | 2.3% | .359 | 4.23 | 12.3% | 7.1% | 64 | +0.18 | 3.65 | 446 | 77 |
| Matt Tracy L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.01 | 14.4% | 9.8% | 1.6% | .306 | 4.04 | 14.7% | 5.5% | 208 | +0.03 | 3.24 | 298 | 77 |
| Irwin Delgado L 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.49 | 14.4% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .349 | 3.45 | 16.2% | 7.6% | 237 | -1.04 | 3.42 | 383 | 76 |
| Ben Holmes L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.89 | 19.1% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .264 | 5.63 | 19.7% | 8.6% | 61 | +1.74 | 3.12 | 451 | 75 |
| Drake Britton L 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.82 | 11.1% | 9.7% | 2.6% | .268 | 4.93 | 8.0% | -2.2% | 41 | +0.11 | 4.82 | 125 | 75 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2027 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.83 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .308 | 3.98 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 59 | -0.85 | 3.98 | 122 | 74 |
| Duane Below L 2029 · 3.54 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.54 | 12.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | .266 | 4.42 | 14.7% | 9.6% | 140 | +0.88 | 3.54 | 189 | 74 |
| Eric Wooten L 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.16 | 14.6% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 116 | 72 |
| Ethan Flanagan L 2024 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.23 | 21.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 102 | 72 |
| Austin Hamilton L 2025 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 17.3% | 7.9% | 2.6% | .374 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 135 | 71 |
| Alex Cornwell L 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.01 | 14.7% | 11.1% | 3.2% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 381 | 70 |
| Chris Reed L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.84 | 16.4% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .238 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.84 | 137 | 70 |
| Matt Tomshaw L 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.95 | 13.8% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .318 | 3.49 | 16.0% | 10.7% | 401 | -0.46 | 2.95 | 681 | 70 |
| Joe Adametz L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.13 | 16.6% | 10.6% | 2.0% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 236 | 70 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.52 | 17.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 116 | 70 |
| Danny Garcia L 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.79 | 16.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | .370 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.47 | 225 | 69 |
| Evan Shawver L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.01 | 19.5% | 8.3% | 2.8% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 258 | 68 |
| Danny Wirchansky L 2027 · 4.98 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.98 | 16.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | .246 | 6.63 | 13.0% | 0.2% | 68 | +1.65 | 4.98 | 179 | 68 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 69 | 15.3% | 5.8% | 1.18 | 4.57 |
| Austin Pruitt ('23) | 5 | 61 | 16.9% | 5.6% | 1.22 | 4.45 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Chris Rusin ('18) | 4 | 89 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 1.01 | 4.43 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |