Michael Sansone — OGILVIE

Michael Sansone P Worcester Red Sox

Age 26 LHP 5'9" / 195 lbs AAA peak 0.3 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION105 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 102110vR 118

ERA4.49

FIP4.49

K%14.6%

BB%4.7%

K-BB%10.0%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 111 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL6060

CMD4545

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	22	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	4	0	5	19	6	1	0	0%	1.3	31.6%	5.3%	26.3%	0.0%	0.00	1.10	—
2022	22	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	4	0	5	19	6	1	0	0%	1.3	31.6%	5.3%	26.3%	0.0%	0.00	1.41	—
2023	23	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	15	0	28	113	37	5	3	0%	1.9	24.2%	5.2%	19.0%	3.2%	3.49	3.48	—
2023	23	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	15	0	28	113	37	5	3	0%	1.9	24.2%	5.2%	19.0%	3.2%	3.49	3.48	—
2023	23	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	15	0	28	113	37	5	3	0%	1.9	32.7%	4.4%	28.3%	2.7%	3.49	2.39	—
2024	24	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	20	3	72	288	68	9	4	15%	3.6	17.5%	3.7%	13.8%	1.9%	3.11	3.15	—
2024	24	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	20	3	72	288	68	9	4	15%	3.6	17.5%	3.7%	13.8%	1.9%	3.11	3.15	—
2024	24	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	20	3	72	288	68	9	4	15%	3.6	23.6%	3.1%	20.5%	1.4%	3.11	2.31	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	7	88	360	74	14	10	26%	3.3	15.7%	4.6%	11.0%	3.4%	3.46	4.22	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	7	88	360	74	14	10	26%	3.3	15.7%	4.6%	11.0%	3.4%	3.46	4.22	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	7	88	360	74	14	10	26%	3.3	20.6%	3.9%	16.7%	2.8%	3.46	3.37	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	24	16	105	447	88	44	23	67%	4.4	16.1%	9.7%	6.5%	5.8%	5.98	6.17	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	24	16	105	447	88	44	23	67%	4.4	16.1%	9.7%	6.5%	5.8%	5.98	6.17	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AA RAW	BOS	12	5	50	211	45	18	8	42%	4.2	21.3%	8.5%	12.8%	3.8%	5.36	4.46	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	BOS	12	11	55	236	43	26	15	92%	4.6	18.2%	11.0%	7.2%	6.4%	6.55	6.45	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	BOS	1	1	6	25	4	1	1	100%	5.9	14.6%	4.7%	10.0%	3.0%	4.49	4.49	+0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	BOS	—	—	111	472	92	45	24	—	—	19.4%	9.6%	9.9%	5.0%	5.90	6.08	-1.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	BOS	97	0	102	429	66	22	13	0%	1.0	15.3%	5.0%	10.3%	3.1%	4.48	4.50	+0.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	BOS	94	0	99	416	65	22	13	0%	1.0	15.7%	5.4%	10.3%	3.2%	4.52	4.56	-0.0
2029	29	MLB MLE	BOS	90	0	94	398	63	23	13	0%	1.0	15.8%	5.7%	10.1%	3.3%	4.61	4.68	-0.1
2030	30	MLB MLE	BOS	84	0	88	374	58	23	13	0%	1.1	15.6%	6.1%	9.5%	3.5%	4.75	4.85	-0.3
2027	27	MLB CTX	BOS	41	0	43	182	28	9	6	0%	1.0	15.3%	5.0%	10.3%	3.1%	4.48	4.50	+0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	BOS	59	0	62	262	41	14	8	0%	1.1	15.7%	5.4%	10.3%	3.2%	4.52	4.56	-0.0
2029	29	MLB CTX	BOS	66	0	69	291	46	17	10	0%	1.0	15.8%	5.7%	10.1%	3.3%	4.61	4.68	-0.1
2030	30	MLB CTX	BOS	68	0	71	300	47	18	10	0%	1.0	15.6%	6.1%	9.5%	3.5%	4.75	4.85	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		233	0	245	1033	162	58	34	0%	1.1	15.6%	5.6%	10.0%	3.3%	4.60	4.29	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	132	47	28	0%	1.1	15.6%	5.6%	10.0%	3.3%	4.60	4.29	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		90	26	300	1227	212	77	48	29%	3.3	17.3%	6.3%	11.0%	3.9%	4.20	4.56	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		60	17	200	819	142	52	32	29%	3.3	17.3%	6.3%	11.0%	3.9%	4.20	4.56	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Michael Sansone (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.49	14.6%	4.7%	3.0%	—	4.58	15.6%	10.2%	294	+0.09	—	—	—
Duane Below L 2015 · 3.63 FIP	29	SW	3.63	12.5%	3.7%	2.0%	.266	4.57	14.7%	9.6%	140	+0.94	3.63	189	78
Jordan Carr L 2023 · 3.49 FIP	26	SW	3.49	17.2%	8.5%	1.4%	.270	5.16	12.7%	2.3%	137	+1.67	3.49	269	77
Ryan Kellogg L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	25	SW	3.99	12.4%	5.8%	2.2%	.359	4.33	12.3%	7.1%	64	+0.34	3.65	446	75
Matt Tomshaw L 2015 · 3.91 FIP	26	SP-	3.91	13.8%	6.0%	2.2%	.318	3.57	16.0%	10.7%	401	-0.34	3.04	681	74
Eric Wooten L 2015 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	14.6%	7.5%	2.2%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	116	74
Ben Holmes L 2018 · 4.02 FIP	26	SW	4.02	19.1%	9.3%	2.5%	.264	5.57	19.7%	8.6%	61	+1.55	3.09	451	74
Matt Tracy L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SW	3.96	14.4%	9.8%	1.5%	.306	4.10	14.7%	5.5%	208	+0.14	3.24	298	74
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	73
Tommy Shirley L 2015 · 3.35 FIP	26	SP-	3.35	19.6%	7.0%	1.9%	.252	4.93	13.0%	4.2%	106	+1.58	3.35	147	73
Drake Britton L 2015 · 4.69 FIP	26	SW	4.69	11.1%	9.7%	2.4%	.268	4.79	8.0%	-2.2%	41	+0.10	4.69	125	71
Samuel Strickland L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	24	SW	4.87	19.5%	7.3%	4.5%	.337	3.53	20.1%	14.4%	148	-1.34	2.91	292	71
Jason Wheeler L 2017 · 4.40 FIP	26	SP-	4.40	16.1%	5.8%	3.5%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	401	71
Austin Hamilton L 2019 · 4.02 FIP	25	SW	4.02	17.3%	7.9%	2.5%	.374	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	135	70
Chris Reed L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	26	SW	4.67	16.4%	9.8%	3.1%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	137	70
Nick Additon L 2015 · 3.73 FIP	27	SP-	3.73	14.0%	7.9%	1.5%	.307	4.15	14.4%	7.1%	106	+0.42	3.13	217	70
Christian Torres L 2018 · 3.34 FIP	24	SW	3.34	15.4%	7.9%	1.0%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	2.75	172	69
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	69
Danny Garcia L 2018 · 4.61 FIP	24	SW	4.61	16.0%	6.2%	3.8%	.370	—	—	—	—	—	4.36	225	68
Brent Headrick L 2023 · 4.54 FIP	25	SW	4.54	22.6%	7.6%	4.3%	.299	2.87	28.1%	21.0%	138	-1.67	2.21	409	68
Michael Velasquez L 2017 · 5.07 FIP	24	SW	5.07	10.3%	7.5%	3.4%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	3.91	201	67

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	91	15.5%	5.4%	1.24	4.57
Cole Irvin ('24)	2.9	118	17.1%	5.6%	1.28	4.46
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Luis Perdomo ('22)	2.3	90	16.6%	7.8%	1.08	5.09
Wade LeBlanc ('21)	2.4	81	18.0%	6.0%	1.67	4.61
Adrian Sampson ('22)	1.4	72	17.6%	6.1%	1.66	4.38
Josh Fleming ('24)	1.3	51	14.6%	7.5%	1.17	4.77