Cesar De Jesus

P Charleston RiverDogs

Age 23 LHP 6'1" / 140 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	MIX2 levels	10	12	13.50	5.10	20.9%	19.4%	—	K 20.9% · BB 19.4% · FIP 4.61
2025	21	ROKTB	16	28	4.13	3.84	20.2%	19.3%	—	K 13.7% · BB 24.2% · FIP 5.00
2026	22	ATB	20	27	2.36	2.95	23.2%	14.4%	—	K 17.2% · BB 17.0% · FIP 3.80
2027PROJ	23	MLBTB	15	16	5.52	5.52	19.6%	17.2%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBTB	10	11	5.23	5.11	20.7%	14.8%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJackson Lancaster (age 24) · Austin Hamilton (age 23) · Dillon Larsen (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122130vR 138

ERA5.52

FIP5.52

K%19.6%

BB%17.2%

K-BB%2.4%

Proj IP16

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays 1	7	1	13	57	17	11	0	14%	1.9	20.3%	24.1%	-3.8%	0.0%	2.70	4.44	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rays 1	7	1	13	57	17	11	0	14%	1.9	29.8%	19.3%	10.5%	0.0%	2.70	3.02	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	16	0	25	118	30	23	1	0%	1.6	17.3%	24.4%	-7.1%	1.3%	2.88	5.44	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	16	0	25	118	30	23	1	0%	1.6	25.4%	19.5%	5.9%	0.8%	2.88	3.98	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	0	12	67	14	13	1	0%	1.2	20.9%	19.4%	1.5%	1.5%	13.50	4.61	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	0	12	67	14	13	1	0%	1.2	20.9%	19.4%	1.5%	1.5%	13.50	4.61	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	0	12	67	14	13	1	0%	1.2	20.9%	19.4%	1.5%	1.5%	13.50	5.10	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	16	0	28	119	24	23	0	0%	1.8	13.7%	24.2%	-10.4%	0.0%	4.13	5.00	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	16	0	28	119	24	23	0	0%	1.8	13.7%	24.2%	-10.4%	0.0%	4.13	5.00	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	16	0	28	119	24	23	0	0%	1.8	20.2%	19.3%	0.8%	0.0%	4.13	3.84	—
2026	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	20	0	27	125	29	18	0	0%	1.3	17.2%	17.0%	0.2%	0.0%	2.36	3.80	—
2026	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	20	0	27	125	29	18	0	0%	1.3	17.2%	17.0%	0.2%	0.0%	2.36	3.80	—
2026	22	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	20	0	27	125	29	18	0	0%	1.3	23.2%	14.4%	8.8%	0.0%	2.36	2.95	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	TB	15	0	16	68	13	12	2	0%	1.1	19.6%	17.2%	2.4%	2.8%	5.52	5.52	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	TB	25	0	26	110	23	16	3	0%	1.0	20.7%	14.8%	5.9%	2.8%	5.23	5.11	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	TB	10	0	11	46	10	7	1	0%	1.1	20.7%	14.8%	5.9%	2.8%	5.23	5.11	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	11	47	10	7	1	0%	1.0	20.7%	14.8%	5.9%	2.8%	5.23	4.73	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	179	125	18	0%	1.1	20.7%	14.8%	5.9%	2.8%	5.23	4.73	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		69	1	105	486	84	105	3	1%	1.5	17.2%	21.7%	-4.5%	0.5%	4.27	4.68	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		131	2	200	923	159	200	5	1%	1.5	17.2%	21.7%	-4.5%	0.5%	4.27	4.68	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cesar De Jesus (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.52	19.6%	17.2%	2.8%	—	5.11	20.7%	5.9%	26	-0.41	—	—	—
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	92
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	90
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	89
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	86
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	86
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	84
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	84
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	84
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	83
Joseph Menefee L 2023 · 4.50 FIP	23	SU	4.50	21.9%	18.5%	1.7%	.361	4.71	24.8%	6.0%	99	+0.21	3.22	146	83
Max Herrmann L 2017 · 5.09 FIP	24	SU	5.09	15.0%	17.9%	1.8%	.333	4.37	12.2%	0.8%	152	-0.72	3.93	168	83
Ty Madrigal L 2021 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	19.3%	15.7%	2.0%	.329	5.75	17.6%	2.4%	49	+1.19	4.56	107	83
Juan Pichardo L 2021 · 4.83 FIP	23	SU	4.83	17.7%	17.1%	1.9%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.13	103	82
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	82
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	81
Bryan King L 2021 · 5.20 FIP	24	SU	5.20	17.4%	17.8%	2.4%	.317	2.82	24.4%	14.9%	77	-2.38	2.41	244	81
Aaron Brown L 2017 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	15.0%	17.6%	1.6%	.348	4.38	19.8%	5.2%	127	-0.58	4.04	269	80
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	80
Craig Breslow L 2005 · 4.40 FIP	24	SU	4.40	17.9%	16.7%	1.3%	.280	2.71	20.8%	11.8%	59	-1.69	2.41	616	80
Jordan Norberto L 2010 · 6.32 FIP	23	SU	6.32	16.0%	22.3%	3.2%	.236	3.89	21.7%	12.3%	52	-2.43	3.89	117	79