Geuri Lubo

SS Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 23 R/R 6'2" / 185 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	20	ROKCHC	164	.288/.389/.403	3	13	61	—	.212/.290/.295
2026	22	A+CHC	70	.190/.239/.317	2	1	15	—	.141/.179/.203
2026	22	ACHC	152	.189/.287/.402	6	2	42	—	.147/.227/.294
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBCHC	332	.202/.261/.326	8	6	64	0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBCHC	79	.207/.268/.338	2	1	69	-0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBCHC	149	.210/.271/.345	4	3	72	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

ISO39

Speed28

Chase%26

Whiff%11

BB%8

Z-Con%8

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsKendall Simmons (age 23) · David Sheaffer (age 24) · Bryson Ware (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 208 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .259 / .323

PA208

HR5

K%28

BB%6

ISO124

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 26 / POW 51

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT26

scouting grade only

POWER51

scouting grade only

EYE46

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	124	109	22	3	0	0	12	22	2	3	2	202	293	229	522	28	250	18	10	249	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	119	111	29	8	0	3	3	21	4	8	3	261	305	414	719	153	295	18	3	318	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	105	88	18	7	0	0	16	28	1	1	2	205	333	284	617	80	300	27	15	294	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	164	139	40	5	1	3	20	32	3	13	4	288	389	403	792	115	349	20	12	357	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	70	63	12	2	0	2	4	26	0	1	0	190	239	317	556	127	263	37	6	239	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	152	132	25	8	1	6	14	36	4	2	1	189	287	402	688	212	207	24	9	303	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	124	112	16	2	0	0	9	29	2	3	2	143	220	161	380	18	183	23	7	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	119	112	18	5	0	1	2	26	4	8	3	161	203	232	436	71	200	22	2	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	105	94	13	5	0	0	10	40	1	1	2	138	229	191	420	53	233	38	10	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	164	146	31	4	1	2	13	47	3	13	4	212	290	295	585	82	279	29	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	70	64	9	1	0	1	3	33	0	1	0	141	179	203	382	62	232	47	4	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	152	136	20	6	1	4	10	49	4	2	1	147	227	294	521	147	179	32	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	124	112	16	2	0	0	9	29	2	3	2	143	220	161	380	18	190	23	7	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	124	109	22	3	0	0	12	22	2	3	2	202	293	229	522	28	250	18	10	249	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	119	112	18	5	0	1	2	26	4	8	3	161	203	232	436	71	198	22	2	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	119	111	29	8	0	3	3	21	4	8	3	261	305	414	719	153	295	18	3	318	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	105	94	13	5	0	0	10	40	1	1	2	138	229	191	420	53	241	38	10	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	105	88	18	7	0	0	16	28	1	1	2	205	333	284	617	80	300	27	15	294	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	164	146	31	4	1	2	13	47	3	13	4	212	290	295	585	82	293	29	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	164	139	40	5	1	3	20	32	3	13	4	288	389	403	792	115	349	20	12	357	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	222	201	30	8	1	6	12	82	4	3	1	149	212	289	501	139	203	37	5	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	222	195	37	10	1	8	18	62	4	3	1	190	272	374	646	185	223	28	8	283	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	124	112	16	2	0	0	9	29	2	3	2	143	220	161	380	18	183	23	7	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	119	112	18	5	0	1	2	26	4	8	3	161	203	232	436	71	200	22	2	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	105	93	13	5	0	0	10	40	1	1	2	140	229	194	422	54	233	38	10	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	164	147	31	4	1	2	13	47	3	13	4	211	290	293	583	82	279	29	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	222	204	30	8	1	6	12	82	4	3	1	147	212	284	496	137	196	37	5	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	164	147	31	4	1	2	13	47	3	13	4	211	290	293	583	82	279	29	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	222	204	30	8	1	6	12	82	4	3	1	147	212	284	496	137	196	37	5	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	332	304	62	11	2	8	21	93	4	6	1	202	261	326	587	124	261	28	6	264	64	-14	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CHC	30%	263	241	49	9	1	6	17	73	3	5	1	206	266	337	603	131	263	28	6	270	69	-10	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	CHC	44%	338	309	65	12	2	9	22	93	4	6	2	209	270	344	614	135	265	28	7	275	72	-11	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.0
2030	26	MLB MLE	CHC	51%	387	354	74	14	2	10	26	105	4	7	2	211	273	349	622	138	266	27	7	278	74	-12	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2031	27	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	411	376	80	15	2	11	28	111	4	7	2	212	275	350	624	138	267	27	7	279	75	-12	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	423	387	81	15	2	11	29	114	4	7	2	212	275	348	623	137	268	27	7	279	75	-13	+1	-1	+5	+9	0.1
2033	29	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	423	387	81	15	2	11	29	115	4	6	2	210	272	343	615	133	267	27	7	275	72	-14	+0	-1	+5	+9	-0.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	CHC	56%	420	384	80	15	2	10	29	116	4	6	2	207	269	335	604	129	265	28	7	271	70	-15	+0	-2	+4	+9	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	CHC	30%	79	73	16	3	1	2	5	22	1	1	0	207	268	338	606	131	267	28	6	271	69	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	CHC	44%	149	136	29	5	1	4	10	41	2	3	1	210	271	345	617	135	268	28	7	276	72	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	CHC	51%	196	179	38	7	1	5	13	53	2	4	1	212	274	350	625	138	269	27	7	279	74	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	215	196	41	8	1	5	15	58	2	4	1	213	276	351	627	138	270	27	7	280	75	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	225	205	43	8	1	6	16	61	2	4	1	213	276	350	626	136	271	27	7	280	75	-7	+0	-0	+2	+5	0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	222	203	42	8	1	5	15	61	2	3	1	211	273	344	617	133	270	27	7	276	72	-7	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	CHC	56%	237	217	46	9	1	6	16	65	2	3	1	208	270	337	607	128	268	27	7	272	70	-9	+0	-1	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1323	1209	255	48	7	33	90	361	13	22	6	211	273	344	617	133	270	27	7	277	64	-43	+2	-2	+14	+29	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	125	24	3	16	44	177	6	11	3	210	271	342	613	131	270	27	7	277	64	-21	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	3607	3294	656	126	16	82	239	1009	43	76	26	199	262	322	584	123	258	28	7	262	64	-96	+4	-4	+31	+62	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	119	23	3	15	43	182	8	14	5	200	264	325	588	125	259	28	7	262	64	-22	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.3	1,533	39	25	210	268	343	+16	+12	0.9	0.9
/162	664	17	11	+7.1	+5.2	0.4	pk7: 1
#4Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Geuri Lubo (OGILVIE)	23	21→26	46→51	46→51	46	200/259/323	123	261	5	4	28%	6%	64	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/250/319	131	265	15	10	34%	6%	60	-1.6	206/269/349	143	296	16	9	34%	6%	74	-0.6	201/265/348	147	289	17	7	35%	6%	70	-0.3
✕David Sheaffer 2019 · A	24	35	42→50	52→40	39	182/228/283	101	243	10	7	29%	5%	42	-2.9	209/254/329	120	292	12	5	31%	5%	63	-1.4	190/235/299	108	268	11	1	32%	5%	47	-0.8
✕Bryson Ware 2024 · A	23	39→32	44→45	50	40	196/260/308	112	283	12	11	34%	7%	61	-1.5	189/249/307	118	281	13	11	36%	6%	56	-1.9	182/242/307	125	267	15	11	36%	6%	51	-1.4
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	38	45→55	47→45	46	195/271/314	120	240	13	8	25%	7%	68	-1.0	215/270/381	166	280	21	4	31%	6%	82	-0.0	212/261/402	190	265	27	0	32%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Luis Santana 2022 · AA	23	40	43→45	47→50	40	202/261/310	108	272	11	10	29%	6%	61	-1.5	216/274/340	124	275	14	9	26%	6%	74	-0.6	207/266/326	119	257	14	7	25%	5%	64	-0.8
✕Cody Puckett 2010 · A	23	38→40	46→50	51→50	37	199/250/327	129	279	15	11	34%	6%	61	-1.5	204/255/347	143	278	15	11	31%	5%	68	-1.0	196/250/340	143	260	16	11	30%	5%	63	-1.1
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→30	42→45	48→50	41	192/253/286	94	259	11	15	30%	6%	53	-2.1	198/271/310	112	262	13	14	28%	8%	66	-1.1	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Kyle Martin 2008 · A	23	37	47→55	48→45	38	195/237/330	135	241	15	6	27%	4%	57	-1.8	206/255/325	119	265	12	6	26%	5%	62	-1.4	199/249/316	117	251	12	5	26%	5%	56	-0.6
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A	22	34	46→50	44→40	39	182/248/308	126	266	15	5	36%	7%	57	-1.8	208/266/323	115	283	12	4	30%	7%	66	-1.1	206/265/315	109	274	12	2	28%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→30	45	50	37	195/253/316	121	280	13	12	34%	6%	60	-1.6	211/268/301	90	312	8	17	33%	6%	61	-1.5	216/273/285	69	324	7	24	33%	6%	57	-1.2
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	36	43→50	49→40	39	181/242/290	109	276	11	4	37%	7%	50	-2.3	203/259/322	119	277	12	4	30%	6%	63	-1.3	215/280/358	143	272	16	1	27%	7%	77	-0.1
✕Mason Katz 2015 · A	24	37→32	49→50	48→45	43	197/260/343	146	247	18	5	28%	7%	69	-0.9	205/273/318	113	292	11	8	31%	8%	68	-1.0	184/265/264	80	287	6	6	35%	8%	51	-1.2
✕Rodolfo Durán 2021 · A	23	40	47→50	47→45	36	209/246/340	131	279	16	4	31%	4%	62	-1.4	203/244/336	133	263	14	4	28%	5%	61	-1.5	229/272/378	149	281	17	3	25%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	40→33	45→55	52→50	40	204/250/330	126	265	12	14	28%	5%	61	-1.5	189/238/351	162	266	20	4	37%	5%	63	-1.4	192/268/358	166	237	23	7	30%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Tony Bullard 2024 · A	24	40	44→40	52→50	43	202/263/315	113	267	12	12	29%	7%	63	-1.3	214/271/319	105	285	9	12	27%	6%	68	-1.0	210/267/311	102	278	9	13	27%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A	23	36→42	44→55	45→50	44	183/264/301	119	275	11	7	36%	9%	61	-1.5	207/286/371	164	296	18	9	34%	9%	86	+0.3	196/269/361	165	267	20	12	33%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Tyler Kolodny 2011 · A	23	40→37	49→45	51→50	40	207/277/361	153	275	17	9	30%	6%	80	-0.2	209/284/321	112	285	10	10	29%	6%	74	-0.6	205/290/288	83	271	7	10	25%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Willie MacIver 2021 · A	24	38→35	43→50	49→55	37	192/239/298	106	261	10	9	30%	4%	51	-2.3	195/262/314	119	281	13	15	34%	7%	63	-1.3	240/316/371	130	330	11	18	28%	8%	93	+0.5
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→34	43→45	50	47	194/280/301	107	268	12	10	30%	9%	68	-1.0	192/268/302	110	281	9	13	32%	9%	63	-1.4	180/256/297	117	269	7	16	33%	9%	55	-1.0
✕Joe DeCarlo 2017 · A	23	38	45→50	47→30	44	191/278/314	124	278	13	2	34%	9%	70	-0.8	195/271/326	131	277	15	3	33%	8%	70	-0.9	176/253/298	122	249	15	0	34%	7%	54	-0.9

Geuri Lubo

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps