Gage Harrelson — OGILVIE

Gage HarrelsonOF Tri-City Dust Devils

Age 23 L/L A+ K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .274 / .275

PA1

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP265

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	229	189	41	7	0	3	34	71	2	7	3	217	342	302	644	85	325	31	15	299	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	229	198	32	5	0	2	25	96	2	7	3	162	262	217	479	56	285	42	11	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	229	198	32	5	0	2	25	96	2	7	3	162	262	217	479	56	294	42	11	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	229	189	41	7	0	3	34	71	2	7	3	217	342	302	644	85	325	31	15	299	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	229	200	32	5	0	2	25	96	2	7	3	160	262	215	477	55	285	42	11	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	229	200	32	5	0	2	25	96	2	7	3	160	262	215	477	55	285	42	11	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	LAA	0%	339	300	55	10	1	4	33	103	3	7	2	188	275	277	552	89	267	30	10	255	59	-17	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	LAA	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	187	274	275	549	88	265	0	0	254	59	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	LAA	30%	248	220	43	8	1	4	24	74	2	5	2	193	279	288	567	95	269	30	10	261	63	-11	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.7
2028	24	MLB CTX	LAA	30%	75	67	12	2	0	1	7	22	1	2	0	192	278	286	564	95	267	29	9	260	63	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	75	67	12	2	0	1	7	22	1	2	0	179	267	254	520	75	250	29	9	260	54	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	104	17	0	9	61	191	9	17	0	179	268	255	522	76	249	29	9	260	54	-29	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	675	593	109	19	2	9	68	230	6	16	6	184	274	268	542	84	279	34	10	247	54	-21	+1	+0	-3	+10	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	105	18	2	9	65	221	6	15	6	184	274	270	544	86	278	34	10	247	54	-30	+1	+0	-4	+14	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gage Harrelson (OGILVIE)	23	20→25	35→40	50→55	63	187/273/275	88	267	3	4	30%	10%	59	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→34	43→45	50	47	194/280/301	107	268	12	10	30%	9%	68	-1.0	192/268/302	110	281	9	13	32%	9%	63	-1.4	180/256/297	117	269	7	16	33%	9%	55	-1.0
✕Jonny Butler 2022 · A	23	43→33	40→50	51→55	43	207/268/296	89	302	7	9	32%	8%	61	-1.5	199/264/310	111	281	9	16	31%	7%	62	-1.4	179/252/293	114	245	10	19	30%	8%	52	-1.2
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	42→33	40→45	50	44	200/275/295	95	300	7	13	34%	8%	63	-1.3	203/269/320	117	297	12	11	34%	7%	67	-1.1	183/257/295	112	268	12	11	34%	8%	56	-1.1
✕Trey Paige 2024 · A	23	40	39→40	49→50	42	192/266/272	80	290	6	7	34%	8%	55	-2.0	202/270/291	89	307	6	9	33%	8%	60	-1.6	197/270/292	94	292	7	12	32%	8%	58	-1.1
✕Ryan Aguilar 2018 · A	23	39→40	36→45	50	44	188/253/251	63	273	3	8	31%	8%	45	-2.7	183/253/273	90	296	8	7	38%	8%	50	-2.3	181/274/286	106	291	12	12	39%	10%	59	-1.1
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A	23	37→41	41→45	53→55	40	183/242/278	94	269	8	17	34%	7%	47	-2.6	198/260/312	114	273	10	17	29%	7%	61	-1.5	195/261/308	113	264	9	19	28%	7%	59	-1.3
✕Loidel Chapelli 2024 · A	22	39→36	43→45	56→55	46	196/271/312	116	271	10	18	30%	8%	65	-1.2	196/259/284	88	300	7	17	34%	7%	54	-2.0	176/233/238	63	279	4	20	36%	6%	31	-2.0
✕River Town 2022 · A	23	43→38	37→40	54→50	43	202/278/275	73	283	3	12	28%	7%	61	-1.5	209/294/310	101	262	9	15	22%	8%	75	-0.5	204/297/299	95	251	9	15	21%	9%	72	-0.4
✕Ramiro Rodriguez 2021 · AA	23	43	41→40	51→50	49	207/290/305	98	284	8	18	28%	10%	72	-0.7	201/264/300	99	312	9	11	36%	7%	60	-1.6	148/212/219	71	239	8	8	39%	6%	19	-1.1
✕Daury Arias 2024 · A	22	38	40	50→45	48	188/270/276	88	252	8	9	27%	9%	58	-1.7	184/252/266	82	279	6	9	34%	7%	48	-2.5	118/186/167	49	192	4	10	38%	6%	-1	-2.0
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→30	39→45	50	47	208/276/293	85	264	7	12	23%	8%	63	-1.4	192/262/298	106	257	12	15	29%	8%	59	-1.6	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Tyler Callihan 2023 · A	23	43	42→45	53→55	42	213/262/322	108	277	9	14	26%	6%	63	-1.3	218/276/332	114	306	10	21	30%	7%	72	-0.7	213/281/334	121	303	14	24	32%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→30	42→45	51→60	40	198/262/303	106	282	9	12	32%	6%	60	-1.6	182/252/273	91	277	7	13	35%	6%	50	-2.3	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Jacob Pearson 2021 · A	23	41→39	40	50	43	199/254/289	91	268	7	12	28%	7%	53	-2.1	188/249/286	98	259	8	15	29%	7%	51	-2.2	165/232/259	94	229	8	19	30%	7%	37	-1.2
✕Jose Brizuela 2016 · A	23	41→39	44→50	50→45	45	206/271/326	120	274	11	7	28%	8%	69	-0.9	208/265/331	123	293	14	5	32%	7%	68	-1.0	187/241/315	128	257	17	1	34%	6%	53	-0.9
✕Clark Elliott 2024 · A	23	42→40	36→45	51→50	49	196/281/257	61	262	4	12	25%	9%	57	-1.8	207/307/309	102	286	9	13	28%	10%	80	-0.2	198/314/306	108	278	10	16	29%	12%	80	-0.1
✕Devin Foyle 2021 · A	24	42→39	40→45	48→45	44	199/276/293	94	296	8	12	33%	9%	63	-1.3	209/278/327	118	271	12	8	26%	8%	72	-0.7	200/272/318	119	252	12	6	25%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Danny Payne 2009 · A	23	41	37→45	45→50	50	192/285/265	73	297	5	7	34%	11%	61	-1.5	193/282/301	108	293	9	16	34%	11%	68	-1.0	182/274/297	116	276	9	18	35%	11%	63	-1.1
✕Jerry Downs 2017 · A	23	45→32	39→45	48→40	46	215/289/301	86	287	6	8	26%	8%	70	-0.9	191/264/292	101	266	9	4	31%	5%	59	-1.6	163/238/261	97	227	11	2	32%	5%	41	-1.5
✕Preston Beck 2014 · A	23	43→42	38→45	49→45	48	207/275/289	82	264	5	10	23%	8%	61	-1.5	210/276/319	109	266	9	8	23%	8%	69	-0.9	210/274/325	115	261	9	7	22%	7%	67	-0.9