Brock Porter
P
Hub City Spartanburgers
Age 23
RHP
6'4" / 208 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION47 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142133vR 124
ERA5.49
FIP5.49
K%19.8%
BB%16.1%
K-BB%3.7%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 109 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 20 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 21 | 21 | 69 | 293 | 95 | 42 | 1 | 100% | 3.3 | 24.0% | 16.9% | 7.1% | 0.4% | 2.47 | 3.43 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 21 | 21 | 69 | 293 | 95 | 42 | 1 | 100% | 3.3 | 32.4% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 0.3% | 2.47 | 2.36 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 7 | 19 | 101 | 18 | 24 | 2 | 88% | 2.4 | 12.1% | 24.6% | -12.4% | 2.3% | 6.98 | 6.46 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 7 | 19 | 101 | 18 | 24 | 2 | 88% | 2.4 | 17.8% | 23.8% | -5.9% | 2.0% | 6.98 | 6.31 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 68 | 294 | 79 | 40 | 8 | 0% | 1.6 | 19.6% | 15.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.03 | 5.23 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 68 | 294 | 79 | 40 | 8 | 0% | 1.6 | 26.9% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 2.7% | 3.03 | 4.07 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | 14 | 1 | 47 | 221 | 57 | 35 | 6 | 7% | 3.4 | 19.9% | 18.2% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.99 | 5.59 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | TEX | 59 | 0 | 62 | 260 | 51 | 42 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 16.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.49 | 5.49 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.8% | 16.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.49 | 5.49 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 109 | 481 | 108 | 77 | 14 | — | — | 22.5% | 16.0% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 4.84 | 5.53 | -0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 19.8% | 16.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.49 | 5.11 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TEX | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 55 | 38 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.7% | 14.2% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 5.24 | 5.16 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 57 | 35 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 5.04 | 4.95 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TEX | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 24 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 14.2% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 5.24 | 5.16 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 38 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 5.04 | 4.95 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 67 | 0 | 70 | 295 | 62 | 40 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 13.5% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 5.12 | 4.65 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 177 | 114 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.0% | 13.5% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 5.12 | 4.65 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 85 | 29 | 204 | 909 | 184 | 160 | 21 | 34% | 2.4 | 20.3% | 17.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.44 | 4.87 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 83 | 28 | 200 | 890 | 180 | 157 | 20 | 34% | 2.4 | 20.3% | 17.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.44 | 4.87 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brock Porter (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.49 | 19.8% | 16.1% | 3.0% | — | 5.05 | 21.0% | 7.3% | 127 | -0.44 | — | — | — |
| Blake Quinn R 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.32 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 3.1% | .328 | 4.28 | 17.1% | 3.3% | 48 | -1.04 | 4.28 | 122 | 90 |
| Jhonny Polanco R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.76 | 18.9% | 14.2% | 2.7% | .283 | 3.92 | 21.3% | 5.7% | 48 | -0.84 | 3.92 | 116 | 90 |
| Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.33 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 148 | -0.09 | 3.96 | 242 | 86 |
| Cole Percival R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.20 | 15.4% | 14.5% | 2.9% | .297 | 4.19 | 17.9% | 5.9% | 182 | -1.01 | 3.59 | 327 | 84 |
| Blake Holub R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.31 | 21.7% | 15.3% | 2.0% | .339 | 3.90 | 23.6% | 11.8% | 156 | -0.41 | 3.31 | 236 | 84 |
| Edwardo Melendez R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.79 | 20.6% | 15.9% | 2.6% | .298 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 139 | 82 |
| Junior Rincon R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.93 | 17.8% | 13.8% | 2.9% | .318 | 3.77 | 17.6% | 5.1% | 82 | -1.16 | 3.50 | 113 | 82 |
| James Acuna R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.89 | 21.3% | 17.0% | 2.6% | .302 | 4.23 | 19.4% | 4.6% | 60 | -0.66 | 4.23 | 107 | 82 |
| Tyler Santana R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.36 | 20.3% | 15.1% | 1.9% | .333 | 4.38 | 16.0% | 5.7% | 259 | +0.02 | 3.41 | 390 | 81 |
| Hayden Snelsire R 2026 · 5.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.59 | 18.9% | 13.8% | 4.3% | .272 | 4.38 | 19.3% | 12.7% | 111 | -1.21 | 3.94 | 155 | 81 |
| Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2027 · 4.34 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.34 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 2.4% | .341 | 4.64 | 15.7% | 4.0% | 343 | +0.30 | 3.76 | 467 | 81 |
| Cole Hillier R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.69 | 16.9% | 14.7% | 2.1% | .297 | 4.61 | 18.4% | 4.4% | 95 | -0.08 | 3.72 | 153 | 80 |
| Kris Hall R 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.65 | 18.3% | 17.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 7.02 | 12.7% | -7.8% | 34 | +2.37 | 4.65 | 106 | 80 |
| David Trexler R 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.91 | 17.7% | 13.4% | 2.9% | .313 | 4.44 | 18.3% | 4.8% | 31 | -0.47 | 4.44 | 100 | 80 |
| Sam Ryan R 2025 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.47 | 16.4% | 14.7% | 1.6% | .328 | 3.76 | 13.7% | 2.9% | 49 | -0.71 | 3.76 | 178 | 80 |
| Yohan Ramírez R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.76 | 18.2% | 14.6% | 2.5% | .243 | 4.16 | 27.6% | 10.7% | 172 | -0.60 | 3.19 | 652 | 80 |
| Brett Lockwood R 2027 · 5.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.51 | 16.2% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .312 | 4.61 | 11.0% | -6.3% | 79 | -0.90 | 4.29 | 132 | 80 |
| Tayler Scott R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.49 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 2.2% | .309 | 3.99 | 17.9% | 6.2% | 162 | -0.50 | 3.20 | 528 | 79 |
| Grant Ford R 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.34 | 20.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .300 | 4.57 | 19.0% | 4.5% | 112 | -0.77 | 3.96 | 188 | 79 |
| Joe Vogatsky R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.42 | 19.0% | 13.3% | 4.1% | .319 | 4.82 | 21.0% | 12.2% | 51 | -0.60 | 4.82 | 120 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 63 | 20.6% | 14.4% | 1.15 | 5.25 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |