Juan Amarante
P
Jersey Shore BlueClaws
Age 22
LHP
5'10" / 197 lbs
A+
peak 0.2 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION25 act + 52 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123132vR 141
ERA5.45
FIP5.45
K%15.2%
BB%13.3%
K-BB%1.9%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 78 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Phillies White | 15 | 0 | 29 | 118 | 40 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.9 | 23.1% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 1.7% | 2.79 | 3.43 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Phillies White | 15 | 0 | 29 | 118 | 40 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.9 | 33.9% | 8.5% | 25.4% | 0.8% | 2.79 | 1.82 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Phillies Red | 10 | 9 | 28 | 117 | 37 | 18 | 0 | 90% | 2.8 | 21.5% | 19.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 2.86 | 3.72 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Phillies Red | 10 | 9 | 28 | 117 | 37 | 18 | 0 | 90% | 2.8 | 31.6% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 0.0% | 2.86 | 2.39 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 11 | 73 | 318 | 86 | 37 | 8 | 50% | 3.3 | 18.9% | 14.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.56 | 5.08 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 11 | 73 | 318 | 86 | 37 | 8 | 50% | 3.3 | 27.0% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 2.5% | 4.56 | 3.69 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 17 | 77 | 335 | 74 | 31 | 5 | 94% | 4.3 | 15.9% | 11.1% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 4.34 | 4.08 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 17 | 77 | 335 | 74 | 31 | 5 | 94% | 4.3 | 22.1% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 1.5% | 4.34 | 3.23 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 16 | 1 | 25 | 114 | 30 | 16 | 1 | 6% | 1.6 | 17.0% | 17.9% | -0.9% | 1.6% | 4.26 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | PHI | 50 | 0 | 52 | 222 | 34 | 29 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.2% | 13.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.45 | 5.45 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.2% | 13.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.45 | 5.45 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 78 | 336 | 64 | 45 | 7 | — | — | 19.0% | 13.5% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 5.06 | 5.25 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 22 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 15.2% | 13.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.45 | 5.07 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | PHI | 52 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 39 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.1% | 12.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 5.22 | 5.14 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | PHI | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 43 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.2% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 5.03 | 4.95 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 54 | 0 | 57 | 239 | 45 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 4.91 | 4.85 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | PHI | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 20 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.1% | 12.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 5.22 | 5.14 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | PHI | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.2% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 5.03 | 4.95 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 37 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 4.91 | 4.85 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 107 | 0 | 112 | 474 | 86 | 55 | 13 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 5.03 | 4.57 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 153 | 98 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.2% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 5.03 | 4.57 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 81 | 38 | 232 | 1002 | 185 | 138 | 20 | 47% | 2.9 | 18.5% | 13.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 4.03 | 4.36 | +2.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 70 | 33 | 200 | 863 | 159 | 119 | 17 | 47% | 2.9 | 18.5% | 13.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 4.03 | 4.36 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Juan Amarante (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.45 | 15.2% | 13.3% | 2.9% | — | 4.98 | 18.1% | 6.5% | 167 | -0.47 | — | — | — |
| Estevan Gonzalez L 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.69 | 14.1% | 10.7% | 2.6% | .322 | 4.80 | 14.7% | 0.1% | 130 | +0.11 | 4.62 | 195 | 88 |
| Luis De Paula L 2027 · 4.44 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.44 | 14.8% | 14.2% | 1.4% | .285 | 5.36 | 16.4% | 0.2% | 47 | +0.92 | 4.44 | 125 | 84 |
| Scott Squier L 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.89 | 12.2% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .362 | 4.13 | 13.9% | 7.9% | 234 | -0.76 | 3.30 | 276 | 84 |
| Connor Oliver L 2027 · 4.29 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.29 | 17.3% | 12.1% | 2.0% | .314 | 5.52 | 19.2% | 3.4% | 121 | +1.23 | 4.29 | 200 | 83 |
| Alex Winkelman L 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.37 | 15.8% | 14.7% | 1.4% | .344 | 3.74 | 18.8% | 6.5% | 181 | -0.63 | 3.37 | 246 | 83 |
| Austin Davis L 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.07 | 14.7% | 12.4% | 3.0% | .259 | 2.95 | 23.3% | 15.8% | 151 | -2.12 | 2.22 | 486 | 82 |
| Andrew Faulkner L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.84 | 18.0% | 12.8% | 3.0% | .290 | 4.18 | 17.7% | 6.6% | 142 | -0.66 | 3.78 | 252 | 82 |
| Braeden Fausnaught L 2028 · 4.77 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.77 | 16.9% | 16.4% | 1.8% | .287 | 4.67 | 17.9% | 9.7% | 179 | -0.10 | 4.57 | 242 | 81 |
| Tom Windle L 2027 · 4.61 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.61 | 12.3% | 13.0% | 1.6% | .304 | 4.24 | 18.0% | 6.8% | 159 | -0.37 | 3.79 | 330 | 81 |
| Lane Ratliff L 2026 · 6.27 FIP | 22 | SP- | 6.27 | 12.0% | 12.8% | 4.7% | .344 | 3.29 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 80 | -2.98 | 2.85 | 109 | 80 |
| Riley Cooper L 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.27 | 16.6% | 12.0% | 1.9% | .287 | 4.35 | 18.6% | 8.4% | 44 | +0.08 | 4.27 | 132 | 80 |
| Marino Santy L 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.93 | 17.6% | 16.1% | 2.3% | .322 | 4.04 | 21.6% | 3.0% | 65 | -0.89 | 2.78 | 253 | 79 |
| Edwin Escobar L 2027 · 5.93 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.93 | 9.6% | 11.9% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.20 | 13.7% | 4.9% | 122 | -1.73 | 4.20 | 218 | 79 |
| Jack Patterson L 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.72 | 14.7% | 8.0% | 3.4% | .299 | 3.08 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 80 | -1.64 | 3.08 | 127 | 79 |
| Victor Payano L 2026 · 6.19 FIP | 22 | SP- | 6.19 | 14.8% | 16.5% | 4.1% | .287 | 4.92 | 20.5% | 7.0% | 225 | -1.27 | 3.81 | 341 | 78 |
| Bryce Hubbart L 2026 · 5.82 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.82 | 17.0% | 26.0% | 1.6% | .303 | 5.00 | 17.4% | 3.9% | 136 | -0.82 | 4.73 | 181 | 78 |
| Parker Rigler L 2026 · 6.33 FIP | 22 | SP- | 6.33 | 13.8% | 13.3% | 5.0% | .318 | 4.54 | 14.5% | 4.0% | 140 | -1.79 | 4.54 | 192 | 78 |
| Ryan Lawlor L 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.36 | 16.1% | 15.8% | 1.1% | .264 | 2.43 | 25.5% | 15.1% | 119 | -1.93 | 2.24 | 201 | 78 |
| Joe Kemlage L 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.35 | 19.4% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .278 | 5.53 | 17.6% | 5.9% | 65 | +1.18 | 4.35 | 128 | 77 |
| Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2028 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.64 | 22.0% | 14.9% | 2.8% | .289 | 2.98 | 26.6% | 12.9% | 99 | -1.66 | 2.15 | 175 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 55 | 17.4% | 12.0% | 1.10 | 5.15 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |