Cole Young

2B Seattle Mariners

Age 24 L/R 5'10" / 180 lbs MLB K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.703 · Ctrl thru 2032

Overview

MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2033

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	21	AASEA	552	.271/.371/.390	9	23	96	—	.252/.336/.364
2025	22	MLBSEA	257	.211/.304/.305	4	1	74	-0.6
2026	23	MLBSEA	638	.246/.314/.381	17	4	99	1.4
2027PROJ	24	MLBSEA	638	.252/.323/.385	16	6	103	1.3
2028PROJ98% MLB	25	MLBSEA	630	.253/.324/.387	16	6	104	1.3
2029PROJ98% MLB	26	MLBSEA	630	.253/.324/.386	16	5	103	1.3

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.8 · Next 3 projected WAR 3.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2032Service0.703First FA2033

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$4M2031Arb-2$6M2032Arb-3$6M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2025-2026

Whiff%90

Chase%90

Speed58

Bat Spd57

xwOBA52

Avg EV37

Form.250/.325/.370 ▼ rolling true talent (45d window) · proj .254/.323/.390

CompsAlek Thomas (age 24) · Dustin Ackley (age 24) · Jorbit Vivas (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 100103vR 104

AVG/OBP/SLG.252 / .323 / .385

PA638

HR16

SB6

K%17

BB%8

BABIP285

ISO133

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$38M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

902.6%

xAVG

470.249

POWER40

Barrel%

275.2

Avg EV

3788.1

Bat Spd

5772.1

EYE60

Chase%

907.7%

SPEED55

Sprint

5827.8

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%17%·16% over 61 PA (45d) · proj 17%

BB%8%▲9% over 108 PA (60d) · proj 8%

ISO.121▼.096 over 94 AB (60d) · proj .135

HR/BB2.6%▼1.3% over 75 BBE (60d) · proj 3.5%

BABIP.286·.270 over 74 BIP (60d) · proj .288

SLASH.250/.325/.370▼proj .254/.323/.390

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 368 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

100

268

—

wRC+

111

◀◀L

wOBA

332

278

◀◀L

ISO

164

087

◀◀L

BABIP

304

253

◀◀L

19.0%

19.8%

◀L

BB%

8.0%

11.2%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.703 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.7	$14M	+$13M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$10M	+$9M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$9M	+$8M
2030	Arb-1	$4M	+1.2	$8M	+$5M
2031	Arb-2	$6M	+1.0	$6M	+$2M
2032	Arb-3	$6M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$12M		$47M	+$37M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	19	A	Modesto Nuts	—	45	39	15	0	0	2	4	4	0	1	2	385	442	538	980	154	371	9	9	416	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	26	21	7	1	1	0	4	4	0	3	0	333	440	476	916	143	389	15	15	393	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	230	192	56	14	2	6	34	38	3	5	5	292	406	479	885	188	336	17	15	393	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Modesto Nuts	—	376	303	81	20	7	5	54	52	14	17	5	267	402	429	831	162	303	14	14	372	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	552	469	127	25	2	9	67	87	8	23	11	271	371	390	761	119	313	16	12	342	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	257	223	47	7	1	4	28	47	2	1	0	211	304	305	609	94	247	18	11	279	74	-8	+0	-6	+2	+6	-0.6
2025	22	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	245	206	57	13	5	5	31	28	8	4	2	277	392	461	853	184	301	11	13	381	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	638	577	142	19	4	17	44	109	13	4	5	246	314	381	695	135	275	17	7	312	99	-1	-1	-0	+2	+14	1.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	895	800	189	26	5	21	72	156	15	5	5	236	311	360	671	124	268	17	8	302	91	-10	-1	-6	+4	+19	0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	19	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	45	40	14	0	0	2	3	6	0	1	2	350	395	500	895	150	341	13	7	396	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	26	23	6	1	1	0	2	6	0	3	0	261	320	391	711	130	307	23	8	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	230	200	51	12	2	5	26	49	3	5	5	255	349	410	759	155	310	21	11	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	376	319	76	17	6	5	38	69	14	17	5	238	345	376	721	138	274	18	10	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	552	484	122	23	2	9	53	102	8	23	11	252	336	364	699	112	293	18	10	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	257	224	47	7	1	4	27	47	2	1	0	210	300	304	604	94	247	18	11	278	74	-8	+0	-6	+2	+6	-0.6
2025	22	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	245	215	54	12	5	3	22	32	8	4	2	251	343	395	738	144	284	13	9	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	638	577	143	19	4	17	44	109	13	4	5	248	315	383	698	135	275	17	7	315	99	-1	-1	-0	+2	+14	1.4
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	71	63	21	1	1	2	5	11	0	4	2	333	382	476	859	143	358	15	7	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	71	60	22	1	1	2	8	8	0	4	2	367	441	517	958	150	377	11	11	407	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	606	519	126	28	7	10	64	118	17	22	10	243	345	382	727	139	292	19	11	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	606	495	137	34	9	11	88	90	17	22	10	277	403	448	852	172	315	15	15	380	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	552	484	122	23	2	9	53	102	8	23	11	252	336	364	699	112	300	18	10	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	—	552	469	127	25	2	9	67	87	8	23	11	271	371	390	761	119	313	16	12	342	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	502	439	101	19	6	7	49	79	10	5	2	230	321	349	670	118	265	16	10	301	90	-6	+0	-6	+2	+11	0.1
2025	22	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	502	429	104	20	6	9	59	75	10	5	2	242	347	380	727	138	274	15	12	329	90	-6	+0	-6	+2	+11	0.1
2026	23	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	638	577	143	19	4	17	44	109	13	4	5	248	315	383	698	135	278	17	7	315	99	-1	-1	-0	+2	+14	1.4
2026	23	MLB RAW	Seattle Mariners	—	638	577	142	19	4	17	44	109	13	4	5	246	314	381	695	135	275	17	7	312	99	-1	-1	-0	+2	+14	1.4
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	71	66	21	1	1	2	5	11	0	4	2	318	382	455	837	136	329	15	7	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	606	520	126	28	7	10	64	118	17	22	10	242	345	381	726	138	288	19	11	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	552	486	122	23	2	9	53	102	8	23	11	251	336	362	698	111	293	18	10	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	502	438	101	19	6	7	49	79	10	5	2	231	321	349	671	119	265	16	10	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	638	576	143	19	4	17	44	109	13	4	5	248	315	384	699	135	275	17	7	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	552	486	122	23	2	9	53	102	8	23	11	251	336	362	698	111	293	18	10	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	502	438	101	19	6	7	49	79	10	5	2	231	321	349	671	119	265	16	10	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	638	576	143	19	4	17	44	109	13	4	5	248	315	384	699	135	275	17	7	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	SEA	100%	616	554	141	20	4	16	46	107	11	6	1	255	325	390	715	135	288	17	7	320	103	+2	+1	-6	+2	+13	1.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	SEA	100%	638	573	145	20	4	16	48	111	12	6	1	252	323	385	708	132	285	17	8	317	103	+2	+1	-6	+2	+14	1.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	SEA	98%	643	577	148	21	4	17	49	111	12	6	1	255	326	392	718	137	288	17	8	321	104	+3	+1	-6	+2	+14	1.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	SEA	98%	643	577	148	21	4	17	49	111	12	5	1	255	326	392	718	137	288	17	8	321	103	+3	+1	-6	+2	+14	1.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	SEA	98%	638	572	145	20	4	16	49	111	12	5	1	254	325	389	714	135	287	17	8	320	102	+2	+1	-6	+2	+14	1.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	SEA	98%	630	566	143	20	4	16	48	111	11	3	1	252	323	384	707	132	286	18	8	317	101	+0	+0	-7	+2	+14	1.0
2032	29	MLB MLE	SEA	98%	618	555	139	19	4	15	47	111	11	1	1	250	320	378	698	128	285	18	8	313	98	-1	-0	-8	+2	+13	0.7
2033	30	MLB MLE	SEA	98%	606	545	134	18	4	14	46	111	10	1	1	246	317	369	686	123	283	18	8	308	95	-4	-0	-8	+2	+13	0.3
2034	31	MLB MLE	SEA	98%	591	532	128	17	3	13	44	110	10	1	0	241	311	358	670	117	279	19	7	302	90	-7	+0	-9	+2	+13	-0.0
2035	32	MLB MLE	SEA	98%	572	516	122	16	3	12	42	109	9	1	0	235	304	345	649	109	275	19	7	293	85	-10	+0	-9	+2	+12	-0.5
2036	33	MLB MLE	SEA	98%	542	490	113	14	3	10	39	107	8	1	0	228	296	329	625	100	269	20	7	283	78	-14	+0	-10	+2	+12	-1.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	SEA	98%	630	565	143	20	4	16	48	109	12	6	1	253	324	387	711	134	286	17	8	318	104	+3	+1	-6	+2	+14	1.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	SEA	98%	630	565	143	20	4	16	48	109	12	5	1	253	324	386	710	134	285	17	8	318	103	+3	+1	-6	+2	+14	1.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	SEA	98%	625	561	141	20	4	15	48	109	11	5	1	252	323	384	707	132	285	17	8	317	102	+2	+1	-6	+2	+14	1.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	SEA	98%	617	554	138	19	4	15	47	109	11	3	1	250	321	379	700	129	284	18	8	314	101	+0	+0	-7	+2	+13	1.0
2032	29	MLB CTX	SEA	98%	606	544	134	18	4	14	46	109	11	1	1	247	318	373	691	125	283	18	8	310	98	-1	-0	-7	+2	+13	0.6
2033	30	MLB CTX	SEA	98%	594	534	130	18	3	13	45	109	10	1	1	244	314	364	679	120	281	18	8	305	95	-4	-0	-8	+2	+13	0.3
2034	31	MLB CTX	SEA	98%	579	521	124	16	3	12	43	108	10	1	0	239	309	354	663	114	277	19	7	299	90	-7	+0	-9	+2	+13	-0.0
2035	32	MLB CTX	SEA	98%	561	506	118	15	3	11	41	107	9	1	0	233	302	340	643	107	273	19	7	291	85	-10	+0	-9	+2	+12	-0.5
2036	33	MLB CTX	SEA	98%	531	480	109	13	3	10	38	105	8	1	0	226	294	324	619	98	267	20	7	281	78	-14	+0	-9	+2	+12	-1.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	6268	5630	1369	185	37	143	476	1130	109	29	11	243	314	365	680	122	279	18	8	306	97	-39	+1	-74	+23	+136	4.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	142	19	4	15	49	117	11	3	1	243	313	366	680	123	279	18	8	306	97	-4	+0	-8	+2	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	8490	7585	1878	276	57	191	676	1522	155	88	37	248	322	375	696	127	285	18	8	311	97	-37	+2	-82	+26	+152	6.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	144	21	4	15	52	117	12	7	3	248	323	375	698	127	285	18	8	311	97	-3	+0	-8	+2	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Denis Menke'62-'74 * career totals — 12 seasons, 5,934 PA	8.9	5,934	101	34	250*	346*	403*	+30	-23	22.7	21.7
/162	664	11	4	+3.4	-2.6	2.5	pk7: 21
#2Felipe Lopezlast yr '11 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,864 PA	7.3	4,864	90	124	264	333	391	+31	-19	17.7	18.1
/162	664	12	17	+4.2	-2.6	2.4	pk7: 19
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	10.4	6,906	163	34	247	315	374	+25	-33	17.4	16.0
/162	664	16	3	+2.4	-3.2	1.7	pk7: 15
#3Jack Barry'08-'19 * career totals — 11 seasons, 4,902 PA	7.4	4,902	10	153	242*	319*	374*	+43	-16	14.0	14.3
/162	664	1	21	+5.8	-2.2	1.9	pk7: 15
#4Maikel Francolast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,573 PA	5.4	3,573	130	5	244	293	414	+13	-5	9.3	9.6
/162	664	24	1	+2.4	-1.0	1.7	pk7: 10
#5Brett Lawrielast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,417 PA	3.6	2,417	71	41	261	315	419	+9	+1	9.4	9.4
/162	664	20	11	+2.4	+0.3	2.6	pk7: 9
#6Frank Bolling'54-'66 * career totals — 12 seasons, 6,189 PA	9.3	6,189	106	40	251*	310*	385*	+22	-36	6.3	9.1
/162	664	11	4	+2.4	-3.9	0.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cole Young (OGILVIE)	24	45	40	55	60	252/323/386	134	288	16	6	17%	8%	103	+1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alek Thomas 2024 · MLB	24	50→57	47→50	52→50	45	247/296/389	141	293	14	11	21%	6%	92	+0.7	240/286/378	138	289	14	12	21%	6%	86	+0.3	241/287/384	143	290	14	13	22%	5%	87	+0.2
✕Dustin Ackley 2012 · MLB	24	54→57	45→50	54→50	56	260/338/399	139	306	10	10	18%	10%	109	+2.0	249/312/370	121	292	11	9	18%	8%	93	+0.8	252/309/391	140	285	14	6	17%	7%	98	+0.9
✕Jorbit Vivas 2024 · AAA	23	51→57	44→45	52→50	53	247/330/364	117	274	10	11	14%	8%	100	+1.3	227/315/324	97	264	7	14	16%	9%	86	+0.3	220/313/305	85	258	6	13	16%	10%	79	-0.2
✕Reese McGuire 2020 · MLB	25	47→54	46→45	49→45	46	236/293/364	128	282	14	7	21%	7%	86	+0.3	231/282/343	112	283	10	6	21%	6%	76	-0.4	250/297/338	89	319	4	3	22%	5%	81	-0.0
●Bryson Stott 2023 · MLB	25	49→56	46→45	50→55	49	240/301/370	130	296	13	13	23%	8%	90	+0.6	254/315/380	126	294	13	25	17%	8%	97	+1.1	256/321/378	122	291	12	29	16%	8%	99	+1.3
✕Jeff Fiorentino 2007 · MLB	24	48→54	48→50	47→50	48	244/301/377	134	281	17	10	20%	7%	92	+0.7	247/303/366	119	300	12	11	21%	7%	89	+0.5	252/309/371	119	307	11	12	21%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Gerald Laird 2004 · MLB	24	51→47	49→50	51→50	51	251/329/407	156	303	16	9	22%	9%	109	+2.0	244/303/386	142	295	15	9	22%	7%	95	+0.9	254/306/408	154	305	16	10	22%	6%	99	+0.6
●J.P. Crawford 2020 · MLB	25	46→56	45	50	53	225/310/360	134	283	11	8	24%	10%	91	+0.7	252/330/363	111	302	9	7	18%	10%	99	+1.2	261/352/384	123	304	11	2	17%	11%	113	+2.4
✕Matt Thaiss 2019 · AAA	24	48→51	45→55	46→45	46	235/290/363	128	288	11	7	22%	7%	84	+0.1	229/302/386	157	284	17	5	25%	9%	94	+0.9	229/309/386	157	283	18	4	25%	10%	95	+0.7
✕Adam Haseley 2020 · MLB	24	52→58	45	48→50	44	256/309/380	125	313	12	8	22%	6%	95	+0.9	231/286/337	106	286	10	11	22%	6%	77	-0.3	214/267/303	89	263	8	17	21%	6%	59	-1.0
✕Daniel Descalso 2011 · MLB	24	53→56	43→50	46→45	50	255/310/373	118	285	8	7	14%	6%	93	+0.8	239/296/343	104	283	6	8	17%	7%	81	-0.1	230/333/390	159	282	16	4	23%	13%	108	+1.2
✕Blake DeWitt 2010 · MLB	24	49→53	46→50	48→40	51	242/301/379	137	268	12	4	15%	7%	91	+0.7	235/294/352	117	272	9	5	16%	7%	83	+0.1	230/289/332	102	269	7	3	17%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Aaron Luna 2011 · AAA	24	44→46	49→50	50→45	50	221/334/375	154	272	16	7	24%	9%	105	+1.7	234/324/374	140	297	16	9	25%	8%	101	+1.4	233/321/367	134	297	17	8	26%	7%	97	+0.6
✕Ke'Bryan Hayes 2021 · MLB	24	53→57	48→50	53→50	47	259/318/416	157	314	14	11	22%	7%	107	+1.8	254/311/391	137	314	13	15	22%	7%	98	+1.2	255/311/393	138	311	13	16	21%	7%	99	+1.0
✕Hank Conger 2013 · MLB	25	47→57	47→50	46→45	47	235/290/368	133	270	15	4	20%	7%	85	+0.2	235/296/379	144	287	16	4	23%	7%	91	+0.6	230/300/385	155	282	18	0	24%	8%	94	+0.4
✕Juan Carlos Gamboa 2015 · AAA	24	52	43→45	45→50	47	248/307/365	116	304	9	10	21%	7%	91	+0.6	258/310/367	109	321	10	8	22%	6%	92	+0.7	269/320/368	99	335	9	6	21%	6%	96	+0.4
✕Cheslor Cuthbert 2017 · MLB	24	52→56	47→50	46→45	47	259/305/397	138	297	15	5	19%	6%	97	+1.1	244/296/388	144	291	16	3	21%	7%	93	+0.8	232/284/372	140	280	17	1	23%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Addison Russell 2019 · MLB	25	49→52	47→55	50	48	241/305/377	136	293	14	6	22%	8%	93	+0.8	241/312/395	154	293	19	7	24%	8%	100	+1.3	228/307/398	169	269	25	5	25%	8%	101	+0.8
✕Ricardo Ruiz 2006 · AAA	24	51	45→40	47→50	50	250/314/371	121	289	13	11	18%	8%	95	+0.9	244/296/329	85	290	5	10	17%	5%	78	-0.3	258/308/326	69	306	1	8	15%	5%	79	-0.1
●Miguel Vargas 2024 · MLB	24	48→54	49→55	52→50	53	240/320/398	158	282	16	12	21%	10%	103	+1.6	226/321/395	169	261	18	12	20%	11%	103	+1.6	226/328/409	183	251	21	13	19%	12%	110	+2.0

Cole Young

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps