Tucker Toman

SS Vancouver Canadians
Age 23 S/R 6'0" / 207 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2357ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202420ATOR326.221/.303/.3184539—.182/.251/.250
202521A+/ATOR424.265/.358/.3726554—.203/.277/.269
202622AA/A+TOR424.259/.382/.41612583—.222/.318/.350
2027PROJMLE23MLBTOR1.191/.279/.2900064-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB24MLBTOR119.196/.284/.3032168-0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB25MLBTOR191.199/.287/.3114271-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$0.2M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Chase%73
BB%60
Z-Con%54
Whiff%48
K%47
wRC+21
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 0.7, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 92%
CompsTrevor Coleman (age 23) · David García (age 23) · Jan Vázquez (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†64
AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .279 / .290
PA1
HR0
K%31
BB%9
BABIP268
ISO108
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -9.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Arb-1$0.2M———
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.7M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202218 ROKFCL Blue Jays — 4638 11300 7120 00 289400368768 79407 2615 347 57 — — — — — —
202319 ADunedin Blue Jays — 503428 892435 631359 71 208322313635 105289 2713 295 38 — — — — — —
202420 ADunedin Blue Jays — 326289 641224 271047 52 221303318622 97326 328 284 39 — — — — — —
202521 A+Vancouver Canadians — 5343 13200 6123 00 302423349772 47406 2311 357 83 — — — — — —
202521 ADunedin Blue Jays — 371323 841716 36928 50 260349375723 115341 2510 327 50 — — — — — —
202622 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats — 8877 16401 10221 11 208307299606 91278 2511 283 51 — — — — — —
202622 A+Vancouver Canadians — 336274 7513111 50849 41 274402449851 175352 2515 381 92 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202218 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 4640 8200 5170 00 200289250539 50333 3711 252 57 — — — — — —
202319 A MLEDunedin Blue Jays — 503449 761923 421819 71 169254241495 71266 368 225 38 — — — — — —
202420 A MLEDunedin Blue Jays — 326296 54913 201367 52 182251250501 68312 426 226 39 — — — — — —
202521 A+ MLEVancouver Canadians — 5345 11200 4173 00 244346289635 44367 328 291 83 — — — — — —
202521 A MLEDunedin Blue Jays — 371335 661213 241298 50 197267266533 69298 356 242 50 — — — — — —
202622 AA MLENew Hampshire Fisher Cats — 8880 16401 7271 11 200273287560 87281 318 243 51 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEVancouver Canadians — 336289 661119 351149 41 228330367697 138325 3410 304 92 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 4640 8200 5170 00 200289250539 50333 3711 252 57 — — — — — —
202218 ROK RAWFCL Blue Jays — 4638 11300 7120 00 289400368768 79407 2615 347 57 — — — — — —
202319 A MLEDunedin Blue Jays — 503449 761923 421819 71 169254241495 71272 368 225 38 — — — — — —
202319 A RAWDunedin Blue Jays — 503428 892435 631359 71 208322313635 105289 2713 295 38 — — — — — —
202420 A MLEDunedin Blue Jays — 326296 54913 201367 52 182251250501 68319 426 226 39 — — — — — —
202420 A RAWDunedin Blue Jays — 326289 641224 271047 52 221303318622 97326 328 284 39 — — — — — —
202521 A MLE2 teams — 424379 771413 2914611 50 203279269548 66315 347 248 54 — — — — — —
202521 A RAW2 teams — 424366 971916 4210411 50 265358372730 107349 2510 331 54 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLE2 teams — 424369 801419 4214010 52 217314333647 117318 3310 291 83 — — — — — —
202622 A+ RAW2 teams — 424351 9117112 6010610 52 259382416798 157335 2514 360 83 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 4641 8200 5170 00 195289244533 49333 3711 252 57 — — — — — —
202319 A MLEDunedin Blue Jays — 503447 761923 421819 71 170254242496 72266 368 225 38 — — — — — —
202420 A MLEDunedin Blue Jays — 326296 54913 201367 52 182251250501 68312 426 226 39 — — — — — —
202521 A MLE2 teams — 424381 771413 2914611 50 202279268547 66307 347 248 54 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLE2 teams — 424369 801419 4214010 52 217314333647 117316 3310 291 83 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202420 A MLEDunedin Blue Jays — 326296 54913 201367 52 182251250501 68312 426 226 39 — — — — — —
202521 A MLE2 teams — 424381 771413 2914611 50 202279268547 66307 347 248 54 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLE2 teams — 424369 801419 4214010 52 217314333647 117316 3310 291 83 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLETOR 0% 534472 891619 4716610 52 190279290568 99267 319 262 64 -23 +0 +0 +6 +12 -0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202723 MLB CTXTOR 0% 11 0000 000 00 191279290570 99268 00 263 64 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLETOR 30% 394349 681218 351207 41 195283302586 107270 309 269 68 -15 +0 +0 +4 +9 -0.2
202925 MLB MLETOR 44% 432382 761419 391298 41 199286310596 112271 309 273 71 -15 +0 +0 +5 +9 -0.1
203026 MLB MLETOR 51% 452400 801519 411338 41 201288315603 114272 299 276 73 -15 +0 +0 +5 +10 0.0
203127 MLB MLETOR 52% 459407 8215110 411348 41 202289317606 115273 299 277 73 -14 +0 +0 +5 +10 0.1
203228 MLB MLETOR 53% 458406 8215110 411348 21 203288317606 115273 299 277 73 -15 +0 -1 +5 +10 -0.0
203329 MLB MLETOR 53% 450400 801519 401327 11 200286311597 111272 299 273 71 -16 -0 -1 +5 +10 -0.3
203430 MLB MLETOR 52% 439390 761418 391317 11 198282304586 106270 309 269 68 -17 -0 -2 +5 +10 -0.5
202824 MLB CTXTOR 30% 119105 20402 11362 10 196284303587 107271 309 270 68 -4 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.0
202925 MLB CTXTOR 44% 191168 34614 17574 21 199287311598 112272 309 274 71 -7 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.0
203026 MLB CTXTOR 51% 229202 41715 21684 21 202289316604 114273 309 276 73 -7 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.0
203127 MLB CTXTOR 52% 241213 44815 22714 21 203289318607 115274 299 277 73 -8 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.0
203228 MLB CTXTOR 53% 244216 44815 22714 11 203289318607 115274 299 277 73 -8 -0 -0 +3 +5 -0.0
203329 MLB CTXTOR 53% 236209 43815 21694 10 201286312598 111273 299 274 71 -8 +0 -1 +3 +5 -0.1
203430 MLB CTXTOR 52% 229203 40714 20684 00 198283305588 106271 309 269 68 -9 +0 -1 +2 +5 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 14891316 26648630 13444026 94 202289316605 114277 309 274 65 -51 +0 -2 +16 +32 -0.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650574 11621313 5819211 42 202287317604 115277 309 274 65 -22 +0 -1 +7 +14 -0.2
Career— MLE — 50174452 8751641385 433159894 4413 197282296578 100282 329 264 65 -115 +1 -4 +35 +71 -1.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650577 11321211 5620712 62 196281296577 101281 329 264 65 -23 +0 -1 +7 +14 -0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Vancouver Canadians · 336 PAwOBA .375 → .304 (−71)K% 25.0% → 33.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷1.000×1.350——33.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.88%÷1.000×0.710—×0.99810.54%
HBP% /PA2.68%—×0.810—×0.9982.17%
Singles /BIP26.32%÷1.000×0.910×1.050×0.99825.09%
Doubles /BIP6.84%÷1.000×0.830×1.050×0.9985.95%
Triples /BIP0.53%÷1.000×0.820×1.050×0.9980.45%
Home runs /BIP5.79%÷1.000×0.830—×0.9984.80%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .375 → .304; ISO .175 → .139; BABIP .352 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 88 PAwOBA .276 → .243 (−33)K% 25.0% → 30.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷1.000×1.220——30.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.36%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0278.17%
HBP% /PA1.14%—×0.850—×1.0270.99%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷1.000×0.970×1.050×1.02720.92%
Doubles /BIP7.27%÷1.000×0.860×1.050×1.0276.74%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.950×1.050×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP1.82%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0271.46%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .276 → .243; ISO .091 → .077; BABIP .278 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ADunedin Blue Jays · 371 PAwOBA .322 → .242 (−80)K% 24.8% → 34.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.80%÷0.968×1.360——34.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.70%÷1.015×0.690——6.60%
HBP% /PA2.16%—×0.780——1.68%
Singles /BIP25.97%÷1.006×0.920×0.997—23.67%
Doubles /BIP7.36%÷1.047×0.830×0.997—5.82%
Triples /BIP0.43%÷0.900×0.910×0.997—0.44%
Home runs /BIP2.60%÷1.284×0.800——1.62%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 157, 1B 101, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .322 → .242; ISO .115 → .075; BABIP .341 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Vancouver Canadians · 53 PAwOBA .355 → .291 (−64)K% 22.6% → 31.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.64%÷0.958×1.350——31.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.32%÷1.039×0.710—×1.0127.83%
HBP% /PA5.66%—×0.810—×1.0124.64%
Singles /BIP35.48%÷1.022×0.910—×1.01231.96%
Doubles /BIP6.45%÷0.898×0.830—×1.0126.03%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.939×0.820—×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.855×0.830—×1.0120.00%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 104, 2B 80, 3B 88, K 92, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .355 → .291; ISO .047 → .041; BABIP .406 → .367. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ADunedin Blue Jays · 326 PAwOBA .279 → .226 (−53)K% 31.9% → 41.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.90%÷1.041×1.360——41.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.28%÷0.959×0.690—×1.0156.05%
HBP% /PA2.15%—×0.780—×1.0151.70%
Singles /BIP24.86%÷0.962×0.920×1.024×1.01524.72%
Doubles /BIP6.49%÷0.999×0.830×1.024×1.0155.60%
Triples /BIP1.08%÷1.150×0.910×1.024×1.0150.89%
Home runs /BIP2.16%÷1.003×0.800—×1.0151.75%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 92, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 108, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.

Result: wOBA .279 → .226; ISO .097 → .072; BABIP .326 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ADunedin Blue Jays · 503 PAwOBA .289 → .225 (−64)K% 26.8% → 35.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.84%÷1.018×1.360——35.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.52%÷1.062×0.690—×1.0308.38%
HBP% /PA1.79%—×0.780—×1.0301.44%
Singles /BIP19.45%÷0.988×0.920×1.011×1.03018.86%
Doubles /BIP8.19%÷1.034×0.830×1.011×1.0306.84%
Triples /BIP1.02%÷1.111×0.910×1.011×1.0300.87%
Home runs /BIP1.71%÷1.279×0.800—×1.0301.10%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 98, 2B 107, 3B 122, K 104, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .289 → .225; ISO .105 → .076; BABIP .289 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKFCL Blue Jays · 46 PAwOBA .347 → .252 (−94)K% 26.1% → 37.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.09%÷1.013×1.440——37.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.22%÷0.970×0.620—×1.0089.80%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP30.77%÷0.981×0.820—×1.00825.92%
Doubles /BIP11.54%÷0.953×0.720—×1.0088.78%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.904×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 96, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 103, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .347 → .252; ISO .079 → .056; BABIP .407 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).