Tucker Toman — OGILVIE

Tucker TomanSS Vancouver Canadians

Age 22 S/R 6'0" / 207 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION288 act + 192 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .279 / .294

PA192

HR3

K%35

BB%8

BABIP300

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	46	40	8	2	0	0	5	17	0	0	0	200	289	250	539	50	333	37	11	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	46	38	11	3	0	0	7	12	0	0	0	289	400	368	768	79	407	26	15	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	503	449	75	20	2	3	42	185	9	7	1	167	252	241	493	73	273	37	8	223	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	503	428	89	24	3	5	63	135	9	7	1	208	322	313	635	105	289	27	13	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	326	294	55	10	1	3	22	137	7	5	2	187	260	259	519	71	331	42	7	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	326	289	64	12	2	4	27	104	7	5	2	221	303	318	622	97	326	32	8	284	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	2 teams	—	424	378	74	15	1	3	30	158	11	5	0	196	274	265	539	69	320	37	7	241	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	2 teams	—	424	366	97	19	1	6	42	104	11	5	0	265	358	372	730	107	349	25	10	331	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	TOR	—	288	253	55	9	1	7	23	105	9	1	1	217	305	344	649	126	333	36	8	281	73	-9	-0	+0	+3	+8	0.2
YTD	22	A+	TOR	—	288	239	66	12	1	9	37	75	9	1	1	276	393	448	841	172	361	26	13	375	145	+15	-0	+0	+3	+8	2.6
ROS	22	A+	TOR	0%	192	170	33	6	1	3	15	68	5	1	0	194	279	294	573	100	286	35	8	253	52	-10	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
ROS	22	MLB	TOR	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						287	0	0	236	39	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	A+	TOR	—	289	254	55	9	1	7	23	105	9	1	1	217	304	343	647	126	331	36	8	281	73	-9	-0	+0	+3	+8	0.2
TOT	22	A+	TOR	—	480	423	88	15	2	10	38	173	14	2	1	208	295	324	619	116	320	36	8	270	65	-19	+0	+0	+5	+14	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	TOR	35%	505	450	87	16	2	9	40	173	10	3	1	193	274	298	572	104	285	34	8	260	57	-25	+0	+0	+5	+14	-0.5
2028	24	MLB	TOR	46%	529	471	94	17	2	11	42	175	11	3	1	200	281	314	595	115	287	33	8	269	64	-21	+0	+0	+6	+15	-0.1
2029	25	MLB	TOR	52%	550	489	100	18	2	12	45	178	11	3	1	204	286	323	609	119	287	32	8	274	68	-20	+0	+0	+6	+16	0.2
2030	26	MLB	TOR	54%	560	498	102	19	2	12	46	180	11	3	1	205	286	323	610	118	287	32	8	277	70	-19	+0	+0	+6	+16	0.3
2031	27	MLB	TOR	54%	562	499	102	19	2	12	47	181	11	3	1	204	287	323	610	118	287	32	8	277	70	-19	+0	+0	+6	+16	0.3
2032	28	MLB	TOR	54%	558	495	100	18	2	12	47	180	11	3	1	202	286	319	605	117	287	32	8	276	69	-19	+0	-1	+6	+16	0.2
2027	23	MLB	TOR	35%	175	155	31	6	1	3	14	60	4	1	0	200	283	310	593	110	286	34	8	245	46	-11	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.4
2028	24	MLB	TOR	46%	245	218	44	8	1	5	20	81	5	1	0	202	284	317	600	115	288	33	8	255	53	-13	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.3
2029	25	MLB	TOR	52%	284	253	51	9	1	6	23	92	6	2	1	202	284	316	600	115	288	32	8	261	58	-14	+0	+0	+3	+8	-0.3
2030	26	MLB	TOR	54%	304	270	56	10	1	7	25	98	6	2	1	207	289	330	619	122	289	32	8	263	60	-14	+0	+0	+3	+9	-0.2
2031	27	MLB	TOR	54%	305	271	56	10	1	7	25	98	6	2	1	207	288	328	616	122	288	32	8	263	60	-14	+0	+0	+3	+9	-0.2
2032	28	MLB	TOR	54%	303	268	55	10	1	7	26	98	6	2	1	205	290	328	618	123	288	32	9	262	59	-14	+0	-0	+3	+9	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1617	1436	293	53	6	35	133	527	33	10	4	204	287	322	609	118	292	33	8	259	57	-79	+0	-0	+17	+46	-1.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	117	21	2	14	53	212	13	4	2	203	284	319	603	116	290	33	8	259	57	-32	+0	-0	+7	+18	-0.7
Career	—			—	4755	4233	830	160	17	80	381	1632	97	36	9	196	278	299	576	103	294	34	8	261	58	-226	+4	-1	+51	+135	-3.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	113	22	2	11	52	223	13	5	1	195	276	297	573	102	292	34	8	261	58	-31	+1	-0	+7	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	46	38	11	3	0	0	7	12	0	0	0	289	400	368	768	79	407	26	15	347	124	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	19	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	503	428	89	24	3	5	63	135	9	7	1	208	322	313	635	105	289	27	13	295	84	-9	+1	—	—	+14	0.6
2024	20	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	326	289	64	12	2	4	27	104	7	5	2	221	303	318	622	97	326	32	8	284	75	-9	+0	—	—	+9	0.0
2025	21	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	53	43	13	2	0	0	6	12	3	0	0	302	423	349	772	47	406	23	11	357	131	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	371	323	84	17	1	6	36	92	8	5	0	260	349	375	723	115	341	25	10	327	108	+3	+1	—	—	+11	1.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,617	34	9	202	281	317	+17	+9	0.3	0.4
	/162	664	14	4	202	281	317	+7.1	+3.7	0.1	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tucker Toman (OGILVIE)	22	40	30	40	40	208/295/324	116	320	10	2	36%	8%	65	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Elvis Perez 2018 · A	22	45	36→30	46→45	43	210/267/277	67	288	3	7	27%	7%	50	-1.8	203/247/292	89	290	7	6	31%	5%	45	-2.1	181/215/272	91	248	8	2	30%	4%	23	-1.1
✕Mack Chambers 2022 · A	22	41	37→40	45→50	44	197/255/273	76	263	4	7	26%	7%	43	-2.2	211/273/309	98	276	8	11	25%	7%	61	-1.0	203/270/297	93	260	8	13	24%	8%	54	-0.7
✕Stephen Perez 2014 · A	23	39→47	39→30	40→50	39	192/238/273	82	270	6	6	31%	5%	36	-2.7	203/266/272	69	274	4	14	25%	8%	48	-1.9	195/270/253	58	268	5	15	27%	8%	44	-1.0
✕Julio Garcia 2019 · A	22	39→34	37→40	40	31	188/219/262	74	291	5	4	36%	3%	24	-3.5	176/214/244	68	313	5	5	43%	4%	18	-3.9	88/122/101	14	196	0	0	53%	2%	-61	-2.6
✕Alex Todd 2012 · A	22	38	37→40	44→45	38	185/246/256	71	259	4	4	29%	5%	37	-2.7	220/285/305	85	299	6	6	27%	5%	65	-0.7	236/303/318	83	317	6	5	26%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Angelo Mora 2015 · A	22	42→50	37→45	43→45	41	203/249/277	74	274	4	9	27%	6%	41	-2.3	235/273/329	94	313	5	6	25%	5%	64	-0.8	245/279/344	99	321	5	4	24%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Rey Bruguera 2015 · A	23	41	38→40	43→50	40	199/252/273	74	288	6	6	32%	6%	42	-2.3	190/256/261	71	300	5	5	35%	8%	41	-2.3	147/230/190	43	242	3	0	37%	9%	10	-1.8
✕Willy Diaz 2016 · A	22	39	38→40	43→40	46	187/275/268	81	281	6	3	33%	9%	53	-1.5	189/257/267	78	337	4	5	41%	7%	43	-2.2	169/224/243	75	318	2	4	44%	5%	20	-1.2
✕Joseph Rosa 2019 · A	22	40→44	37→40	45→50	40	193/250/260	67	280	6	14	32%	6%	38	-2.6	205/268/295	90	293	7	11	30%	7%	56	-1.3	203/276/296	94	296	7	14	31%	7%	57	-0.8
✕Carlos Ozuna 2015 · A	22	40	36→30	45→50	35	191/237/260	69	291	3	6	34%	5%	32	-3.0	196/242/275	79	305	5	5	35%	5%	38	-2.6	161/195/230	69	250	3	2	36%	3%	5	-1.1
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	39→40	46→45	40	193/251/277	85	270	5	6	30%	6%	43	-2.2	194/250/277	83	275	7	9	30%	6%	43	-2.2	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Deivi Estrada 2022 · A	21	45	36→30	46→50	45	208/280/278	70	305	4	8	31%	8%	56	-1.3	185/243/254	69	328	3	8	41%	6%	33	-2.9	146/188/204	58	314	3	4	52%	4%	-7	-1.2
✕Jan Vázquez 2012 · A	21	41	36→40	45	39	191/252/258	67	290	3	5	33%	6%	39	-2.5	200/254/278	78	287	8	7	31%	5%	45	-2.1	211/289/296	86	282	7	7	26%	7%	61	-0.3
✕Jose Martinez 2019 · AA	22	43	36→30	42→45	44	203/257/267	65	271	3	5	26%	7%	43	-2.2	204/261/284	80	267	6	8	24%	7%	49	-1.8	193/251/262	69	244	5	8	22%	7%	36	-1.6
✕Brett Cumberland 2017 · A	22	38→39	39→50	37→30	36	184/254/271	87	287	7	4	36%	5%	44	-2.1	195/291/334	139	302	16	2	38%	7%	77	+0.1	184/289/329	144	283	17	0	38%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Jose Herrera 2019 · A	22	41	38→40	45→40	43	198/240/278	81	247	6	3	22%	5%	38	-2.6	207/283/309	102	280	9	5	27%	9%	66	-0.6	206/288/299	93	274	9	3	26%	10%	63	-0.4
✕Yohan Silva 2007 · A	22	40	36→45	41→45	40	192/243/264	71	280	3	4	31%	6%	36	-2.7	202/275/308	106	265	10	8	26%	9%	62	-0.9	188/270/298	110	238	11	9	25%	10%	54	-0.7
✕Luis Alejandro Basabe 2019 · A	22	43→50	38→40	43→50	44	204/266/286	83	292	5	9	30%	8%	52	-1.6	206/277/283	77	318	5	11	33%	9%	56	-1.3	189/266/261	72	309	6	12	37%	9%	43	-1.5
✕Alvaro Gonzalez 2023 · A	22	37	38→30	41→40	40	173/260/251	78	294	6	4	39%	8%	42	-2.3	177/259/258	81	293	7	6	38%	8%	43	-2.2	117/207/167	50	185	3	5	35%	8%	-5	-1.2
✕Javier Santana 2009 · A	22	39	34→30	40→45	44	179/262/223	44	288	2	7	35%	9%	35	-2.8	192/253/256	64	301	4	6	35%	6%	38	-2.6	177/227/213	36	299	2	7	39%	4%	14	-1.3