Gavin Kilen — OGILVIE

Gavin KilenSS Eugene Emeralds

Age 22 L/R 5'10" / 187 lbs A+ HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION349 act + 232 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .286 / .368

PA232

HR5

K%21

BB%6

BABIP277

ISO135

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 58 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT58

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$11M	+$10M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$10M	+$9M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$8M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+1.4	$7M	+$5M
2034	Arb-2	$3M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.6M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$8M		$37M	+$33M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	San Jose Giants	—	43	40	7	1	1	0	2	7	1	0	0	175	233	250	483	75	212	16	5	203	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	San Jose Giants	—	43	39	8	1	1	0	3	5	1	0	0	205	279	282	561	77	235	12	7	259	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	SF	—	349	324	70	20	1	7	20	67	2	0	2	216	266	349	615	133	249	19	6	267	63	-15	-1	+0	+4	+10	-0.2
YTD	22	A+	SF	—	349	312	88	27	1	9	32	48	2	0	2	282	353	462	814	179	306	14	9	358	132	+13	-1	+0	+4	+10	2.6
ROS	22	A+	SF	0%	232	214	50	12	1	5	14	48	2	2	1	233	286	368	654	135	273	21	6	290	80	-5	+0	-0	+2	+7	0.4
ROS	22	MLB	SF	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						268	0	0	279	72	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	22	A+	SF	—	350	325	70	20	1	7	20	67	2	0	2	215	265	348	613	132	248	19	6	267	63	-15	-1	-0	+4	+10	-0.2
TOT	22	A+	SF	—	581	538	120	32	2	12	34	115	4	2	3	223	274	356	630	134	260	20	6	276	69	-20	-1	-0	+6	+16	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	SF	43%	333	307	72	16	2	8	21	69	2	4	2	235	288	378	666	143	275	21	6	296	85	-6	+0	-0	+4	+9	0.7
2028	24	MLB	SF	58%	609	559	133	30	3	15	40	126	5	9	4	238	295	383	678	145	277	21	7	299	87	-9	+0	-0	+7	+17	1.5
2029	25	MLB	SF	65%	627	575	137	31	3	16	42	130	5	10	5	238	296	386	682	148	278	21	7	302	89	-8	+0	-0	+7	+18	1.7
2030	26	MLB	SF	68%	633	580	138	31	3	16	43	131	5	11	5	238	296	384	681	147	278	21	7	303	90	-7	+0	-0	+7	+18	1.8
2031	27	MLB	SF	68%	628	574	136	30	3	16	44	131	5	11	5	237	297	383	680	146	278	21	7	303	90	-7	+0	-0	+7	+18	1.8
2032	28	MLB	SF	68%	620	566	135	30	3	16	44	130	5	11	5	239	299	387	686	148	278	21	7	302	90	-7	+0	-1	+7	+18	1.7
2033	29	MLB	SF	66%	610	557	131	29	3	15	43	129	5	10	5	235	296	379	675	144	277	21	7	301	88	-8	+0	-2	+7	+17	1.4
2034	30	MLB	SF	66%	438	401	94	21	2	11	31	94	3	7	4	234	294	379	673	145	277	21	7	298	86	-7	-0	-2	+5	+12	0.8
2027	23	MLB	SF	43%	144	133	31	7	1	3	9	30	1	2	1	233	287	368	655	135	270	21	6	285	76	-4	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.2
2028	24	MLB	SF	58%	353	324	75	17	2	8	23	73	3	5	3	231	289	370	659	139	272	21	7	288	79	-8	-0	-0	+4	+10	0.5
2029	25	MLB	SF	65%	407	373	87	19	2	10	28	84	3	7	3	233	292	375	667	142	273	21	7	291	81	-9	+0	-0	+4	+12	0.7
2030	26	MLB	SF	68%	431	395	92	20	2	11	30	89	3	7	4	233	292	377	669	144	273	21	7	292	81	-9	-0	-0	+5	+12	0.8
2031	27	MLB	SF	68%	427	391	91	20	2	11	30	89	3	7	4	233	292	379	671	146	273	21	7	292	82	-9	-0	-0	+5	+12	0.8
2032	28	MLB	SF	68%	422	386	89	20	2	10	30	88	3	7	4	231	291	370	662	140	273	21	7	291	81	-9	-0	-1	+5	+12	0.7
2033	29	MLB	SF	66%	405	370	86	19	2	10	29	86	3	7	3	232	294	376	669	143	272	21	7	290	80	-9	+0	-1	+4	+11	0.6
2034	30	MLB	SF	66%	287	263	60	13	1	7	20	61	2	5	2	228	288	365	653	137	271	21	7	287	78	-7	+0	-1	+3	+8	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2877	2636	611	135	14	70	199	600	21	47	24	232	291	373	664	142	273	21	7	290	80	-65	-0	-4	+31	+82	4.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	139	31	3	16	45	136	5	11	5	233	293	376	669	143	275	21	7	290	80	-15	+0	-1	+7	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	4773	4373	1033	231	24	118	324	995	38	75	36	236	295	381	675	145	279	21	7	300	87	-67	+1	-6	+51	+135	11.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	140	31	3	16	44	135	5	10	5	235	293	378	671	143	277	21	7	300	87	-9	+0	-1	+7	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	San Jose Giants	—	43	39	8	1	1	0	3	5	1	0	0	205	279	282	561	77	235	12	7	259	57	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
	/162	664	21	6	256	308	421	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#4Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#5Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,876	73	47	238	293	384	+31	+0	7.5	7.3
	/162	664	17	11	238	293	384	+7.1	+0.0	1.7	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gavin Kilen (OGILVIE)	22	58	45	48	50	223/274/356	134	260	12	2	20%	6%	69	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ryan Wheeler 2010 · A	22	49→54	45	48→40	47	241/312/368	127	299	12	8	23%	8%	93	+1.3	248/290/367	119	318	12	4	25%	5%	82	+0.5	252/294/376	124	319	12	3	24%	5%	85	+0.6
✕Jorbit Vivas 2022 · A	21	54→56	47→45	47→50	47	264/327/402	138	297	14	7	16%	6%	108	+2.3	234/315/348	114	265	10	11	15%	8%	89	+1.0	221/310/327	107	252	10	14	16%	8%	80	+0.3
✕Carlos Asuaje 2015 · A	23	50→54	47→45	49→45	45	244/305/402	158	306	12	6	24%	7%	98	+1.6	241/297/353	112	299	8	7	21%	7%	82	+0.5	239/307/336	97	295	5	4	19%	8%	78	+0.2
✕Hank Conger 2010 · AA	22	52→56	47→50	45	45	257/300/390	132	298	15	5	19%	6%	92	+1.2	234/291/359	125	272	13	3	19%	7%	81	+0.4	230/302/383	154	282	18	0	24%	8%	90	+0.4
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→52	46→55	48→50	52	224/303/356	132	269	13	12	22%	9%	86	+0.8	237/303/415	178	282	22	11	24%	8%	102	+1.8	230/299/411	181	267	23	11	23%	8%	96	+1.1
✕Drew Gilbert 2023 · A	22	48	47→50	53→45	48	239/298/376	137	272	15	16	19%	7%	89	+1.0	226/295/379	153	275	18	9	24%	8%	89	+1.0	216/291/376	160	255	19	8	23%	8%	84	+0.5
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2021 · A	22	48→49	45	50→55	46	233/298/359	126	318	12	10	29%	8%	84	+0.6	226/296/346	120	335	10	17	32%	9%	80	+0.4	222/291/344	122	331	10	21	33%	9%	74	-0.0
✕James Skelton 2008 · A	22	53→57	42→40	51→50	53	255/323/364	109	305	8	13	19%	9%	96	+1.5	232/325/321	89	309	7	13	24%	12%	86	+0.8	223/325/306	84	297	5	10	24%	12%	82	+0.2
✕Taylor Lindsey 2014 · AA	22	50→52	48→50	45	42	253/287/396	144	291	15	5	20%	4%	89	+1.0	206/258/324	118	243	12	6	21%	6%	58	-1.2	181/238/288	107	214	11	6	21%	7%	38	-1.8
✕Ryan Kalish 2010 · AA	22	49→51	45→50	52→55	47	239/299/361	122	305	12	14	25%	8%	85	+0.7	235/292/364	129	293	13	23	23%	7%	83	+0.6	228/280/351	122	287	13	26	24%	6%	72	-0.1
●Mat Gamel 2007 · A	22	47→57	46→50	49→45	42	234/277/366	132	285	14	7	23%	5%	77	+0.1	249/301/397	148	328	14	7	27%	6%	95	+1.4	251/308/407	155	341	15	6	29%	7%	101	+1.6
✕Alek Thomas 2021 · A	21	50→51	43→50	48→50	42	239/289/356	118	318	10	10	27%	6%	79	+0.3	241/295/386	145	303	13	11	24%	6%	90	+1.0	240/293/384	145	293	13	11	22%	6%	85	+0.6
✕Cole Young 2023 · A	20	50	47→45	49→50	47	249/302/385	136	294	15	11	21%	7%	92	+1.2	235/320/365	130	278	12	13	19%	10%	95	+1.4	231/321/358	127	270	11	12	18%	10%	91	+1.0
●Tyler Kuhn 2009 · A	22	55→65	41→45	53→50	44	260/299/376	116	317	5	7	20%	5%	88	+0.9	262/299/350	88	327	3	11	20%	5%	81	+0.4	279/318/368	89	347	3	12	19%	5%	90	+0.9
✕Shed Long Jr. 2018 · AA	22	47	47→50	49→50	42	232/288/370	138	315	14	10	30%	7%	83	+0.6	231/292/374	143	314	15	12	29%	7%	85	+0.7	226/290/370	144	302	16	12	29%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Josh Fellhauer 2010 · A	22	48→53	45→40	47→45	45	237/290/368	131	276	12	9	19%	5%	84	+0.6	233/283/317	84	294	6	7	21%	6%	66	-0.6	267/331/347	80	352	3	5	23%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Carlos Vidal 2017 · A	21	48	43→45	49→50	48	234/302/348	114	288	10	12	22%	7%	83	+0.6	232/278/326	94	303	6	7	24%	5%	66	-0.6	237/281/332	95	308	5	6	24%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Dillon Baird 2010 · A	22	52	44→50	46→40	46	254/309/377	123	306	11	4	20%	6%	93	+1.3	226/270/358	132	308	14	4	30%	5%	72	-0.2	214/255/348	134	293	15	3	32%	5%	62	-0.5
✕Caleb Gindl 2011 · AA	22	49→55	45→50	48→50	47	239/299/368	128	301	12	10	24%	8%	87	+0.8	240/297/369	129	298	12	7	22%	7%	86	+0.8	238/296/373	135	295	13	4	23%	7%	83	+0.5
✕Adam Haseley 2018 · A	22	46→56	43→45	47→50	43	226/275/341	115	293	10	7	26%	6%	69	-0.4	254/306/366	112	316	11	7	22%	6%	89	+1.0	248/300/355	107	306	11	9	22%	6%	81	+0.3