Taylor Lindsey
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 22 | AAASD | 493 | .238/.307/.372 | 10 | 7 | 57 | — | .210/.263/.320 |
| 2015 | 23 | AAA/AASD | 333 | .189/.287/.296 | 5 | 4 | 36 | — | .166/.239/.262 |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA/AASD | 442 | .222/.299/.360 | 10 | 4 | 46 | — | .188/.244/.301 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 18 | ROK | AZL Angels | — | 211 | 194 | 55 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 33 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 284 | 329 | 407 | 736 | 124 | 337 | 16 | 6 | 321 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK | Orem Owlz | — | 307 | 290 | 105 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 46 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 362 | 395 | 593 | 989 | 231 | 407 | 15 | 4 | 429 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A+ | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 589 | 547 | 158 | 26 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 66 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 289 | 330 | 408 | 738 | 119 | 313 | 11 | 5 | 325 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 567 | 508 | 139 | 22 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 91 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 274 | 340 | 441 | 781 | 167 | 303 | 16 | 8 | 344 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 89 | 80 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 279 | 362 | 642 | 137 | 250 | 19 | 7 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 493 | 441 | 105 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 59 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 238 | 307 | 372 | 678 | 134 | 254 | 12 | 8 | 301 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 108 | 92 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 18 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 228 | 343 | 283 | 625 | 54 | 284 | 17 | 15 | 296 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 225 | 199 | 34 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 38 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 171 | 260 | 302 | 562 | 131 | 184 | 17 | 10 | 256 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 118 | 105 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 276 | 350 | 419 | 769 | 143 | 321 | 17 | 10 | 342 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 324 | 287 | 58 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 71 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 202 | 280 | 338 | 618 | 136 | 237 | 22 | 9 | 275 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Angels | — | 211 | 198 | 42 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 47 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 212 | 246 | 293 | 539 | 81 | 268 | 22 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 307 | 296 | 80 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 270 | 294 | 426 | 720 | 155 | 326 | 21 | 2 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A+ MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 589 | 556 | 146 | 24 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 91 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 263 | 294 | 378 | 672 | 115 | 289 | 15 | 3 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 567 | 526 | 134 | 20 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 112 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 255 | 301 | 401 | 702 | 146 | 292 | 20 | 5 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 493 | 453 | 95 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 76 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 210 | 263 | 320 | 583 | 110 | 227 | 15 | 6 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 108 | 96 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 24 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 208 | 296 | 260 | 557 | 52 | 261 | 22 | 11 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 225 | 206 | 30 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 48 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 146 | 211 | 262 | 473 | 117 | 162 | 21 | 7 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 118 | 109 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 220 | 274 | 321 | 595 | 101 | 273 | 23 | 7 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 324 | 296 | 52 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 86 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 176 | 233 | 294 | 527 | 118 | 208 | 27 | 6 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Angels | — | 211 | 198 | 42 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 47 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 212 | 246 | 293 | 539 | 81 | 275 | 22 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Angels | — | 211 | 194 | 55 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 33 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 284 | 329 | 407 | 736 | 124 | 337 | 16 | 6 | 321 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 307 | 296 | 80 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 270 | 294 | 426 | 720 | 155 | 329 | 21 | 2 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK RAW | Orem Owlz | — | 307 | 290 | 105 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 46 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 362 | 395 | 593 | 989 | 231 | 407 | 15 | 4 | 429 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A+ MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 589 | 556 | 146 | 24 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 91 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 263 | 294 | 378 | 672 | 115 | 296 | 15 | 3 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A+ RAW | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 589 | 547 | 158 | 26 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 66 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 289 | 330 | 408 | 738 | 119 | 313 | 11 | 5 | 325 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 656 | 608 | 155 | 23 | 7 | 17 | 35 | 130 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 255 | 300 | 400 | 700 | 145 | 296 | 20 | 5 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 656 | 588 | 157 | 25 | 7 | 19 | 54 | 108 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 267 | 332 | 430 | 763 | 163 | 296 | 16 | 8 | 335 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 493 | 453 | 95 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 76 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 210 | 263 | 320 | 583 | 110 | 232 | 15 | 6 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AAA RAW | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 493 | 441 | 105 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 59 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 238 | 307 | 372 | 678 | 134 | 254 | 12 | 8 | 301 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 333 | 302 | 50 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 72 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 166 | 239 | 262 | 500 | 96 | 198 | 22 | 8 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 333 | 291 | 55 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 39 | 56 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 189 | 287 | 296 | 583 | 107 | 216 | 17 | 12 | 269 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 442 | 405 | 75 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 113 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 185 | 241 | 296 | 538 | 111 | 233 | 26 | 6 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 442 | 392 | 87 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 41 | 91 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 222 | 299 | 360 | 659 | 138 | 261 | 21 | 9 | 293 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Angels | — | 211 | 200 | 42 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 47 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 210 | 246 | 290 | 536 | 80 | 268 | 22 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 307 | 294 | 80 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 272 | 294 | 429 | 723 | 156 | 326 | 21 | 2 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A+ MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 589 | 559 | 146 | 24 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 91 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 261 | 294 | 376 | 670 | 114 | 289 | 15 | 3 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 656 | 612 | 155 | 23 | 7 | 17 | 35 | 130 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 253 | 300 | 397 | 697 | 144 | 292 | 20 | 5 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 493 | 457 | 95 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 76 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 208 | 263 | 317 | 581 | 109 | 227 | 15 | 6 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 333 | 301 | 50 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 72 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 166 | 239 | 262 | 501 | 96 | 194 | 22 | 8 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 442 | 409 | 75 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 113 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 183 | 241 | 293 | 535 | 110 | 225 | 26 | 6 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3031 | 2818 | 643 | 117 | 28 | 55 | 155 | 595 | 20 | 45 | 25 | 228 | 273 | 348 | 621 | 120 | 269 | 20 | 5 | 269 | 68 | -115 | -1 | +0 | +11 | +66 | -4.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 604 | 138 | 25 | 6 | 12 | 33 | 128 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 228 | 273 | 349 | 622 | 121 | 269 | 20 | 5 | 269 | 68 | -25 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AASan Antonio Missions · 324 PAwOBA .271 → .226 (−44)K% 21.9% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.91% | ÷1.012 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.95% | ÷1.016 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.62% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.13% | ÷1.015 | ×0.920 | ×0.978 | ×0.998 | 15.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.09% | ÷0.951 | ×0.840 | ×0.978 | ×0.998 | 4.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.93% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.978 | ×0.998 | 0.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.70% | ÷0.933 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.17% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 103, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 102, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .271 → .226; ISO .136 → .119; BABIP .237 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 118 PAwOBA .333 → .264 (−69)K% 16.9% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.95% | ÷0.951 | ×1.290 | — | — | 22.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.32% | ÷1.004 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 6.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.35% | ÷1.026 | ×0.900 | ×0.964 | ×1.033 | 19.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.24% | ÷0.987 | ×0.810 | ×0.964 | ×1.033 | 6.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.18% | ÷1.028 | ×0.810 | ×0.964 | ×1.033 | 0.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.35% | ÷1.160 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 1.63% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 105, 2B 97, 3B 106, K 90, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .333 → .264; ISO .143 → .106; BABIP .321 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AASan Antonio Missions · 225 PAwOBA .250 → .209 (−41)K% 16.9% → 21.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.89% | ÷0.963 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.78% | ÷1.010 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.44% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.18% | ÷0.984 | ×0.920 | ×0.969 | ×1.012 | 10.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.83% | ÷0.989 | ×0.840 | ×0.969 | ×1.012 | 5.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.124 | ×0.940 | ×0.969 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.11% | ÷0.885 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.84% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 97, 2B 98, 3B 125, K 93, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .250 → .209; ISO .131 → .115; BABIP .184 → .162. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 108 PAwOBA .290 → .245 (−45)K% 16.7% → 21.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷0.980 | ×1.290 | — | — | 21.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.81% | ÷0.972 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 11.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.97% | ÷1.017 | ×0.900 | ×1.012 | ×1.048 | 21.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.05% | ÷0.970 | ×0.810 | ×1.012 | ×1.048 | 3.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.35% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.012 | ×1.048 | 1.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.919 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 103, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 96, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .290 → .245; ISO .054 → .044; BABIP .284 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 493 PAwOBA .293 → .253 (−39)K% 12.0% → 15.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.97% | ÷1.002 | ×1.290 | — | — | 15.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.71% | ÷0.970 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 5.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.81% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.050 | 0.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.59% | ÷1.018 | ×0.900 | ×1.007 | ×1.050 | 17.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.97% | ÷1.068 | ×0.810 | ×1.007 | ×1.050 | 3.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.31% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.007 | ×1.050 | 0.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.62% | ÷0.958 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 2.24% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 104, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .293 → .253; ISO .134 → .110; BABIP .254 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAArkansas Travelers · 567 PAwOBA .334 → .304 (−30)K% 16.0% → 19.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.05% | ÷0.990 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.94% | ÷1.063 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 5.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.71% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.54% | ÷0.981 | ×0.920 | ×1.006 | ×1.042 | 22.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.28% | ÷0.982 | ×0.840 | ×1.006 | ×1.042 | 4.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.44% | ÷0.943 | ×0.940 | ×1.006 | ×1.042 | 1.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.08% | ÷0.951 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 3.57% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 96, 2B 96, 3B 89, K 98, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .334 → .304; ISO .167 → .153; BABIP .303 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Inland Empire 66ers · 589 PAwOBA .318 → .287 (−31)K% 11.2% → 15.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.21% | ÷0.969 | ×1.340 | — | — | 15.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.75% | ÷1.021 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 3.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 0.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.32% | ÷1.021 | ×0.910 | ×1.015 | ×1.027 | 22.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.41% | ÷0.931 | ×0.820 | ×1.015 | ×1.027 | 4.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.25% | ÷1.018 | ×0.760 | ×1.015 | ×1.027 | 0.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.87% | ÷0.823 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 2.15% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 104, 2B 86, 3B 104, K 94, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .318 → .287; ISO .119 → .116; BABIP .313 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ROKOrem Owlz · 307 PAwOBA .417 → .310 (−107)K% 15.0% → 21.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.98% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 21.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.995 | 2.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.98% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.037 | ×0.995 | 21.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.037 | ×0.995 | 8.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.037 | ×0.995 | 1.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.995 | 2.75% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .417 → .310; ISO .231 → .163; BABIP .407 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .