Harry OwenC Rome Emperors
Age 24 R/R 6'1" / 225 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 106 proj PA
wRC+†53
AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .259 / .300
PA106
HR1
K%25
BB%5
ISO93
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -5.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +3.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.20.30.30.2+$6M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 36
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT41
scouting grade only
POWER36
scouting grade only
EYE38
scouting grade only
SPEED42
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.9M+$0.3M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $1M +$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202220 ROKFCL Braves 2220 4001 230 00 200273350623 150188 149 252 51
202220 ROKFCL Braves 2218 4001 420 00 222364389753 167200 918 345 122
202321 ROKFCL Braves 7561 11200 8225 10 180324213537 33275 2911 255 53
202321 ROKFCL Braves 7557 13200 12165 10 228405263669 35310 2116 328 109
202422 A2 teams 205192 34512 9602 00 177222245466 68242 294 210 19
202422 A2 teams 205187 39613 14432 00 209271299570 91252 217 259 56
202523 A+Rome Emperors 136125 15201 6334 00 120185160345 40154 244 166 -15
202523 A+Rome Emperors 136121 21401 10244 00 174259231491 58208 187 232 36
▸ 2026 Season
202624 MLBATL 10699 21411 5271 10 212257303560 91271 255 255 53 -6 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBATL 30% 183169 37713 10462 31 219271325596 107274 255 264 60 -8 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.0
202826 MLBATL 44% 274252 541015 16684 41 214272321593 107275 256 270 65 -11 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.2
202927 MLBATL 49% 325298 651226 20814 51 218276332609 114276 256 273 67 -12 +1 +0 +6 +9 0.3
203028 MLBATL 52% 357327 711327 22895 51 217277333610 116276 256 273 67 -13 +1 -1 +6 +10 0.3
203129 MLBATL 51% 370339 741427 23935 51 218278333611 115275 256 271 65 -14 +1 -1 +7 +10 0.2
202725 MLBATL 30% 5551 11201 3141 10 216273314586 98274 255 254 53 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
202826 MLBATL 44% 121111 25512 7302 20 225283342626 117275 256 260 57 -6 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.0
202927 MLBATL 49% 159146 32613 10392 21 219278336614 116276 256 263 59 -7 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.0
203028 MLBATL 52% 184169 37713 11462 31 219275325600 107276 256 263 59 -8 +0 -0 +3 +5 -0.0
203129 MLBATL 51% 191174 37713 12483 31 213275316591 103275 256 261 58 -9 +0 -1 +3 +5 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 710651 14227412 4317710 113 218277327604 109279 256 261 58 -34 +1 -1 +13 +20 -0.1
/ 162G 650596 13125411 391629 103 220278331608 111281 256 261 58 -31 +1 -1 +12 +18 -0.1
Career 20531882 386691033 12152232 245 205265305570 100264 256 256 54 -106 +3 -2 +37 +58 -1.1
/ 162G 650596 12222310 3816510 82 205264302566 97264 256 256 54 -34 +1 -1 +12 +18 -0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202220 ROKFCL Braves 2218 4001 420 00 222364389753 167200 918 345 122 +1 +0 +1 0.1
202321 ROKFCL Braves 7557 13200 12165 10 228405263669 35310 2116 328 109 +1 +0 +2 0.3
202422 AAugusta GreenJackets 179162 36613 13372 00 222288327615 105266 217 277 70 -6 +0 +5 -0.1
202422 ROKFCL Braves 2625 3000 160 00 120154120274 158 234 131 -41 -4 +0 +1 -0.3
202523 A+Rome Emperors 136121 21401 10244 00 174259231491 58208 187 232 36 -10 +0 +4 -0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
27111310218273329+13+80.50.5
/162664129+11.9+7.50.5pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Harry Owen (OGILVIE) 24 41 36 42 38 208/259/300 93271 11 25% 5% 53 -0.3
Brian Serven
2019 · A
24 40 40→45 41→30 40 197/248/295 98262 74 27% 5% 46 -2.0 185/239/301 116243 134 29% 5% 45 -2.1 224/307/3331093279131%9%79+0.1
J.J. Franco
2016 · A
24 46 37→30 38→45 42 218/272/287 69290 56 26% 6% 54 -1.4 206/269/263 57283 25 26% 8% 46 -2.0 214/294/251373010426%10%52-0.5
Adam Weisenburger
2013 · AA
24 42 36→40 43→30 45 197/271/262 65269 35 26% 7% 49 -1.8 214/294/304 90284 74 25% 8% 69 -0.4 213/299/301872766223%8%69-0.2
Jeremy Dowdy
2014 · A
24 43 37→40 45→30 41 206/252/277 72284 45 28% 6% 43 -2.2 226/279/305 79285 54 21% 7% 62 -0.9 229/288/312822786119%7%63-0.3
Rocky Gale
2012 · AA
24 37→45 37→40 41→30 40 184/232/251 67245 55 27% 5% 27 -3.3 204/235/262 58251 44 20% 4% 30 -3.1 251/279/300493062118%3%57-0.6
Juan Graterol
2013 · A
24 47 39→40 40→30 42 227/261/307 80267 63 18% 4% 54 -1.4 240/268/328 88281 75 17% 3% 63 -0.9 260/287/326652973113%2%66-0.3
Jay Schuyler
2021 · A
24 43→40 38→40 43→45 43 206/262/282 76269 66 25% 6% 49 -1.8 198/260/285 87318 76 37% 6% 49 -1.8 136/208/187502464043%6%1-1.2
Osvaldo Abreu
2018 · AA
24 45→46 39→40 44→50 39 218/265/305 87295 69 28% 5% 56 -1.3 197/247/294 97287 97 33% 5% 46 -2.0 170/226/262912618636%6%26-1.7
Ronnie Richardson
2014 · A
24 43 41→40 47→50 45 211/275/316 105277 88 26% 7% 63 -0.8 210/302/302 92286 510 26% 9% 72 -0.2 196/303/2838727041026%10%67-0.3
Ryan Gridley
2019 · A
24 44 40 41→45 47 212/280/301 88268 86 23% 8% 62 -0.9 214/268/297 83268 69 21% 6% 56 -1.3 210/263/2827226041020%5%46-1.0
Drew Jackson
2017 · A
24 44→43 38→45 46→55 43 210/264/286 76268 611 24% 6% 50 -1.7 199/268/300 101277 1017 30% 6% 57 -1.2 186/271/302116271122634%8%57-0.7
Jared Foster
2017 · A
24 44→47 42→45 44→50 38 218/253/324 106278 99 25% 4% 55 -1.4 212/250/310 98284 99 28% 4% 50 -1.7 192/225/273812569929%4%27-0.7
Brian Valichka
2008 · A
24 44 39→40 45 39 211/252/300 88281 67 26% 4% 49 -1.8 216/271/313 97298 78 28% 6% 61 -1.0 190/262/283932628329%6%48-0.4
Chadd Krist
2014 · A
24 42 41→40 43→45 47 206/276/307 101264 86 24% 8% 63 -0.9 188/244/286 98272 96 33% 6% 43 -2.2 156/204/2479123210336%5%12-1.5
Angelo Castellano
2019 · A
24 43→47 38→45 45→50 42 207/253/281 73265 611 24% 5% 44 -2.1 192/244/284 92256 912 28% 5% 42 -2.3 205/273/329124247151423%8%63-0.4
Javi Herrera
2006 · AA
25 42 42→40 43→45 37 206/260/311 104273 96 28% 4% 56 -1.3 213/283/307 94268 86 23% 6% 66 -0.6 196/290/279832478522%9%61-0.3
Travis Harrison
2017 · AA
24 42→48 38→40 42→45 44 198/275/277 79287 59 30% 8% 54 -1.4 183/271/272 89287 69 35% 9% 53 -1.5 130/244/210802155537%10%25-1.9
Nick Fortes
2021 · A
24 40→44 41→45 46→45 46 198/261/293 96247 85 23% 7% 53 -1.5 224/289/353 129259 158 20% 6% 80 +0.4 221/287/34812725016819%6%76+0.0
Tuffy Gosewisch
2008 · A
24 42→45 42→45 40 42 206/258/312 106259 93 24% 5% 55 -1.4 205/262/296 91256 63 21% 6% 53 -1.5 216/262/32210625111218%5%57-0.4
Jairo Rodriguez
2013 · A
24 47 37→30 46→30 43 221/268/290 69282 44 23% 5% 53 -1.5 210/253/267 57258 34 19% 5% 40 -2.4 192/229/227352290115%3%18-1.1