Jonathan Clark — OGILVIE

Jonathan Clark P Birmingham Barons

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 190 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION59 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.93

FIP4.93

K%23.1%

BB%14.6%

K-BB%8.5%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 66 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL3535

CMD5050

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	56	239	73	30	3	0%	1.4	22.9%	14.7%	8.2%	1.9%	1.93	4.08	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	56	239	73	30	3	0%	1.4	22.9%	14.7%	8.2%	1.9%	1.93	4.08	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	56	239	73	30	3	0%	1.4	30.5%	12.6%	18.0%	1.3%	1.93	2.80	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	50	0	59	261	70	31	7	0%	1.2	20.7%	14.6%	6.1%	2.7%	4.10	4.70	—
YTD	26	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	50	0	59	261	70	31	7	0%	1.2	20.7%	14.6%	6.1%	2.7%	4.10	4.70	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	A+ RAW	CWS	10	0	10	42	14	2	2	0%	1.0	33.3%	4.8%	28.6%	4.8%	3.60	3.50	—
2026	26	AA RAW	CWS	40	0	49	219	56	29	5	0%	1.2	25.6%	13.2%	12.3%	2.3%	4.20	3.87	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	CWS	6	0	6	27	6	4	1	0%	1.1	23.1%	14.6%	8.5%	2.8%	4.93	4.93	-0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	CWS	—	—	66	288	76	35	8	—	—	26.5%	12.1%	14.3%	2.7%	4.18	4.72	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CWS	66	0	69	291	67	41	8	0%	1.0	23.2%	14.2%	9.0%	2.9%	4.89	4.91	-0.3
2028	28	MLB MLE	CWS	64	0	67	282	65	39	8	0%	1.0	23.0%	13.9%	9.1%	3.0%	4.91	4.95	-0.3
2029	29	MLB MLE	CWS	61	0	64	270	62	38	9	0%	1.0	22.8%	13.9%	8.9%	3.2%	4.98	5.05	-0.4
2027	27	MLB CTX	CWS	25	0	26	110	25	16	3	0%	1.0	23.2%	14.2%	9.0%	2.9%	4.89	4.91	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	CWS	38	0	40	169	39	24	5	0%	1.1	23.0%	13.9%	9.1%	3.0%	4.91	4.95	-0.2
2029	29	MLB CTX	CWS	43	0	45	190	43	26	6	0%	1.0	22.8%	13.9%	8.9%	3.2%	4.98	5.05	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		106	0	111	469	108	66	14	0%	1.0	23.0%	14.0%	9.0%	3.0%	4.93	4.60	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	194	119	25	0%	1.1	23.0%	14.0%	9.0%	3.0%	4.93	4.60	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		91	0	115	500	109	73	12	0%	1.3	21.7%	14.6%	7.1%	2.3%	3.04	4.40	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		158	0	200	867	188	127	20	0%	1.3	21.7%	14.6%	7.1%	2.3%	3.04	4.40	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jonathan Clark (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.93	23.1%	14.6%	2.8%	—	4.97	23.0%	9.0%	200	+0.04	—	—	—
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	88
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	88
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	88
Jeff Ames R 2017 · 3.94 FIP	26	SU	3.94	25.1%	13.4%	2.3%	.310	4.65	25.4%	10.8%	79	+0.71	3.85	272	87
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	87
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	87
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	86
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	86
Eduard Santos R 2016 · 3.86 FIP	26	SU	3.86	22.2%	14.4%	1.5%	.248	2.04	31.1%	18.7%	16	-1.82	2.04	138	86
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	86
Mason Vinyard R 2023 · 3.73 FIP	24	SU	3.73	22.7%	13.6%	1.5%	.270	4.67	19.3%	5.9%	147	+0.94	3.60	207	85
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	85
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	85
Alec Barger R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	25	SU	4.44	21.5%	14.4%	2.4%	.326	4.67	18.6%	7.5%	79	+0.23	3.85	242	85
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	84
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	84
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	84
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	84
Mitchell Stumpo R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	26	SU	4.55	24.0%	16.8%	2.4%	.225	5.67	21.5%	6.6%	78	+1.12	3.97	158	83
Gonzalez Germen R 2015 · 4.24 FIP	27	SU	4.24	18.0%	12.5%	1.9%	.296	3.88	19.2%	8.3%	54	-0.36	3.70	146	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	67	23.0%	14.2%	1.15	4.93
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41