Tony Rossi — OGILVIE

Tony Rossi P Somerset Patriots

Age 27 RHP 6'3" / 230 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION52 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.09

FIP5.09

K%25.2%

BB%18.1%

K-BB%7.1%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF6060

CTRL—35

CMD3040

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	45	190	64	26	0	0%	1.1	24.3%	18.1%	6.1%	0.0%	2.18	3.35	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	45	190	64	26	0	0%	1.1	24.3%	18.1%	6.1%	0.0%	2.18	3.35	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	45	190	64	26	0	0%	1.1	33.7%	13.7%	20.0%	0.0%	2.18	2.00	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	45	0	52	207	69	14	2	0%	1.1	26.5%	7.6%	18.9%	1.2%	2.09	2.46	—
YTD	27	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	45	0	52	207	69	14	2	0%	1.1	26.5%	7.6%	18.9%	1.2%	2.09	2.46	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	A+ RAW	NYY	17	0	18	68	26	5	0	0%	1.1	38.2%	7.4%	30.9%	0.0%	0.98	0.80	—
2026	27	AA RAW	NYY	28	0	33	139	43	9	2	0%	1.2	30.9%	6.5%	24.5%	1.4%	2.70	2.10	—
ROS	27	MLB MLE	NYY	5	0	5	23	6	4	1	0%	1.1	25.2%	18.1%	7.1%	2.6%	5.09	5.09	-0.0
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	NYY	—	—	57	230	75	18	3	—	—	32.5%	7.9%	24.6%	1.1%	2.37	2.71	+1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	NYY	55	0	58	244	61	42	7	0%	1.0	24.9%	17.3%	7.5%	2.8%	5.06	5.09	-0.4
2028	29	MLB MLE	NYY	52	0	55	233	57	39	7	0%	1.1	24.5%	17.0%	7.6%	2.9%	5.10	5.16	-0.4
2027	28	MLB CTX	NYY	21	0	22	93	23	16	3	0%	1.0	24.9%	17.3%	7.5%	2.8%	5.06	5.09	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	NYY	30	0	31	131	32	22	4	0%	1.0	24.5%	17.0%	7.6%	2.9%	5.10	5.16	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		50	0	52	221	55	38	6	0%	1.0	24.7%	17.1%	7.6%	2.9%	5.08	4.75	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	210	145	23	0%	1.1	24.7%	17.1%	7.6%	2.9%	5.08	4.75	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		85	0	97	397	101	50	2	0%	1.1	25.4%	12.6%	12.8%	0.6%	2.13	2.88	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		175	0	200	819	208	103	5	0%	1.1	25.4%	12.6%	12.8%	0.6%	2.13	2.88	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tony Rossi (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.09	25.2%	18.1%	2.6%	—	5.12	24.7%	7.6%	113	+0.03	—	—	—
Beck Wheeler R 2016 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.9%	14.5%	2.9%	.360	5.40	15.3%	3.1%	58	+0.98	3.46	173	83
Stevie Branche R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	25.6%	19.1%	1.2%	.274	5.73	18.6%	1.0%	28	+1.69	3.23	162	82
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2021 · 3.93 FIP	27	SU	3.93	26.4%	14.3%	2.3%	.274	4.86	21.0%	9.6%	69	+0.93	3.84	181	80
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	80
Jake Haberer R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	27	SU	5.24	24.3%	16.0%	4.0%	.324	5.08	16.4%	0.9%	62	-0.16	3.46	183	80
Caleb Simpson R 2019 · 4.02 FIP	27	SU	4.02	24.7%	17.3%	1.5%	.189	4.23	22.4%	9.7%	54	+0.21	3.57	197	79
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	79
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	79
Chris Perry R 2016 · 4.24 FIP	26	SU	4.24	21.3%	19.3%	0.9%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	113	78
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	78
Theo Denlinger R 2023 · 4.21 FIP	27	SU	4.21	19.8%	15.1%	1.6%	.266	4.23	15.3%	9.9%	41	+0.02	2.92	140	78
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	78
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	78
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	77
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	77
Alec Barger R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	25	SU	4.44	21.5%	14.4%	2.4%	.326	4.67	18.6%	7.5%	79	+0.23	3.85	242	77
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	77
Dario Beltre R 2019 · 4.24 FIP	26	SU	4.24	21.4%	17.0%	1.4%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.71	110	77
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	77
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	57	24.9%	17.5%	1.07	5.08
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91