Will Cresswell

C Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	ATOR	27	.200/.259/.240	0	0	-3	—	.160/.222/.200
2026	22	ATOR	128	.171/.276/.216	1	0	-6	—	.113/.197/.148
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBTOR	238	.160/.227/.243	4	3	33	-0.3
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBTOR	38	.166/.233/.257	1	0	38	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

BB%44

Max EV38

Chase%36

Speed21

K%8

Whiff%8

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsChris Baker (age 23) · Chris Okey (age 23) · Edwin Díaz (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 77 proj PA

wRC+†33

AVG/OBP/SLG.158 / .225 / .241

PA77

HR1

K%36

BB%7

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	27	25	5	1	0	0	1	9	1	0	0	200	259	240	499	40	312	33	4	235	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	128	111	19	2	0	1	14	53	2	0	0	171	276	216	492	45	310	41	11	237	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	27	25	4	1	0	0	1	13	1	0	0	160	222	200	422	40	278	48	4	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	128	115	13	1	0	1	10	72	2	0	0	113	197	148	345	35	275	56	8	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	27	25	4	1	0	0	1	13	1	0	0	160	222	200	422	40	333	48	4	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	27	25	5	1	0	0	1	9	1	0	0	200	259	240	499	40	312	33	4	235	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	128	115	13	1	0	1	10	72	2	0	0	113	197	148	345	35	279	56	8	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	128	111	19	2	0	1	14	53	2	0	0	171	276	216	492	45	310	41	11	237	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	27	25	4	1	0	0	1	13	1	0	0	160	222	200	422	40	278	48	4	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	128	115	13	1	0	1	10	72	2	0	0	113	197	148	345	35	275	56	8	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	27	25	4	1	0	0	1	13	1	0	0	160	222	200	422	40	278	48	4	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	128	115	13	1	0	1	10	72	2	0	0	113	197	148	345	35	275	56	8	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	238	217	36	6	1	4	16	86	3	3	1	160	227	243	470	84	241	36	7	217	33	-19	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	TOR	30%	125	114	19	3	1	2	9	44	1	2	0	166	233	256	489	90	245	35	7	225	38	-9	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.4
2028	24	MLB CTX	TOR	30%	38	35	6	1	0	1	3	13	0	0	0	166	233	257	490	91	246	34	8	225	38	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	38	35	6	1	0	1	3	13	0	0	0	171	237	286	523	114	238	34	8	225	18	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	599	102	17	0	17	51	222	0	0	0	170	235	284	519	114	236	34	8	225	18	-48	+0	+0	+12	+14	-2.3
Career	—	MLE		—	357	325	47	7	1	4	25	157	5	3	0	145	217	209	426	65	259	44	7	195	18	-15	+1	+0	+4	+4	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	86	13	2	7	46	286	9	5	0	145	218	209	428	64	261	44	7	195	18	-49	+2	+0	+12	+14	-2.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ADunedin Blue Jays · 128 PAwOBA .234 → .160 (−74)K% 41.4% → 56.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	41.41%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	56.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.94%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.990	7.47%
HBP% /PA	1.56%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	1.21%
Singles /BIP	27.59%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.993	×0.990	24.94%
Doubles /BIP	3.45%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.993	×0.990	2.81%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.993	×0.990	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.72%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.990	1.37%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .234 → .160; ISO .045 → .028; BABIP .310 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ADunedin Blue Jays · 27 PAwOBA .229 → .164 (−65)K% 33.3% → 46.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	33.33%	÷0.968	×1.360	—	—	46.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.70%	÷1.015	×0.690	—	—	2.52%
HBP% /PA	3.70%	—	×0.780	—	—	2.89%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.006	×0.920	—	—	22.85%
Doubles /BIP	6.25%	÷1.047	×0.830	—	—	4.95%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.910	—	—	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.284	×0.800	—	—	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 157, 1B 101, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .229 → .164; ISO .040 → .026; BABIP .312 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Will Cresswell (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	158/225/241	83	241	1	1	36%	7%	33	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Baker 2018 · A	23	36→30	41→40	48→45	35	181/230/280	99	273	9	6	36%	5%	42	-2.9	187/236/277	90	296	8	7	38%	5%	44	-2.8	168/214/244	77	270	8	5	40%	5%	26	-1.2
✕Chris Okey 2018 · A	23	34	38→45	48→40	35	169/226/242	74	276	6	5	39%	6%	32	-3.6	182/235/282	100	271	11	4	35%	6%	45	-2.7	209/261/309	100	290	9	2	30%	5%	58	-0.5
✕Edwin Díaz 2019 · AA	23	34→33	43→50	49→40	39	177/238/284	107	268	12	4	37%	7%	47	-2.5	183/245/313	130	286	13	4	39%	7%	57	-1.8	156/227/293	137	222	18	5	38%	7%	44	-1.2
✕Osiris Johnson 2024 · A	23	39	43→40	49→50	38	197/246/296	100	277	12	9	33%	6%	52	-2.2	198/246/285	87	267	8	16	28%	5%	49	-2.4	156/198/207	51	201	2	31	23%	4%	11	-1.7
✕Justin Dalles 2012 · A	23	37	41→40	46→30	36	190/235/278	88	263	9	3	31%	4%	44	-2.8	216/262/342	126	273	14	4	26%	5%	69	-0.9	218/263/361	144	259	17	0	23%	5%	73	-0.2
✕Casey Martin 2022 · A	23	34→32	40	47→50	38	171/239/260	89	270	8	13	38%	7%	42	-2.9	161/210/252	91	238	9	15	35%	5%	29	-3.8	142/189/231	88	206	10	16	35%	4%	14	-3.4
✕Brenden Dixon 2024 · A	23	34	45	45→50	43	175/259/296	121	273	13	5	39%	9%	59	-1.7	175/246/292	117	268	14	11	38%	8%	53	-2.1	146/220/244	97	223	13	16	39%	8%	30	-1.4
✕Tobias Streich 2011 · AA	23	32	41→40	46→30	38	167/225/260	93	246	9	4	35%	6%	36	-3.3	193/256/275	82	263	7	4	28%	6%	51	-2.2	180/247/244	64	227	7	0	23%	6%	38	-1.3
✕Lizandro Espinoza 2024 · A	21	31→24	39→45	47→60	38	161/223/240	80	247	7	10	36%	6%	31	-3.7	167/231/270	103	253	11	20	37%	7%	42	-2.9	159/229/271	111	233	12	30	36%	7%	39	-1.8
✕Anthony Hermelyn 2017 · A	23	35	39→40	41→30	40	173/239/254	82	274	7	3	37%	8%	40	-3.0	197/259/281	84	282	7	4	30%	8%	53	-2.1	189/254/256	68	258	5	0	27%	8%	42	-1.4
✕Matt Winn 2016 · A	23	40→34	40→45	50→30	37	195/244/287	91	291	7	7	34%	6%	49	-2.4	185/242/305	120	300	13	2	40%	7%	53	-2.1	151/212/258	107	282	10	0	48%	7%	29	-1.7
✕Tanner Murphy 2018 · A	23	36	39→40	45→50	45	181/250/261	79	242	7	3	27%	8%	47	-2.6	192/259/264	72	284	5	7	32%	7%	50	-2.3	138/211/155	17	228	0	3	36%	7%	5	-1.4
✕Ryan Scott 2018 · A	23	33	36→40	47→30	37	163/220/228	65	260	3	7	37%	6%	27	-4.0	169/245/243	74	277	6	4	38%	8%	40	-3.0	134/222/195	60	221	7	1	39%	9%	20	-1.7
✕Brock Carpenter 2018 · A	23	37	41→40	47→30	42	182/255/276	95	278	10	6	36%	8%	52	-2.2	198/259/300	102	327	8	6	39%	7%	58	-1.7	181/241/300	119	309	8	3	41%	7%	47	-0.8
✕Johnny Adams 2019 · A	24	36→32	41→40	46→45	37	182/232/275	93	270	9	6	35%	6%	42	-2.9	179/230/268	89	276	9	7	37%	6%	40	-3.1	146/198/219	73	225	9	5	38%	5%	14	-3.6
✕Mateo Gil 2023 · A	23	39→33	42→45	42→45	35	195/239/298	103	291	9	6	36%	5%	50	-2.3	187/229/302	115	267	12	5	33%	5%	47	-2.5	169/209/285	116	233	12	4	33%	4%	33	-2.1
✕Julio Carrion 2022 · A	23	38	38→40	50→45	42	184/263/262	78	274	6	5	33%	7%	52	-2.2	181/252/269	88	337	8	5	45%	7%	49	-2.4	154/227/236	82	311	9	4	49%	7%	30	-1.5
✕Arturo De Freitas 2024 · A	23	33	37→40	45→40	33	167/214/232	65	274	5	4	40%	5%	25	-4.1	198/255/301	103	327	11	6	40%	6%	57	-1.8	163/204/310	147	279	20	0	48%	4%	38	-0.6
✕Luke Bailey 2014 · A	23	35	41→45	44→45	30	176/222/268	93	286	8	5	40%	4%	37	-3.3	197/251/288	91	315	8	7	38%	6%	53	-2.1	163/224/238	75	265	8	0	39%	7%	29	-0.7
✕Melvin Novoa 2019 · A	23	39→31	39→45	47→30	35	195/228/276	82	265	7	4	29%	3%	40	-3.0	195/243/306	111	256	11	4	28%	5%	54	-2.0	164/212/270	107	204	12	1	26%	4%	33	-2.4