Cam Day
P
Tulsa Drillers
Age 24
RHP
6'2" / 195 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136126vR 117
ERA5.18
FIP5.18
K%17.8%
BB%14.5%
K-BB%3.3%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 106 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 50% | 1.2 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 12.5% | 3.86 | 7.85 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 50% | 1.2 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 12.5% | 3.86 | 6.96 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 24 | 15 | 102 | 459 | 94 | 51 | 5 | 62% | 4.2 | 15.2% | 13.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 4.68 | 4.16 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 24 | 15 | 102 | 459 | 94 | 51 | 5 | 62% | 4.2 | 20.5% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 1.1% | 4.68 | 3.39 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 4 | 76 | 329 | 84 | 40 | 3 | 11% | 2.2 | 19.4% | 13.8% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 4.24 | 3.86 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 4 | 76 | 329 | 84 | 40 | 3 | 11% | 2.2 | 25.5% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 0.9% | 4.24 | 2.98 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 30 | 0 | 38 | 164 | 30 | 24 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 14.8% | 16.1% | -1.3% | 2.2% | 3.76 | 5.09 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAD | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 51 | 41 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.8% | 14.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 5.18 | 5.18 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAD | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.8% | 14.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 5.18 | 5.18 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 106 | 448 | 81 | 65 | 10 | — | — | 18.0% | 14.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.66 | 5.15 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 17.8% | 14.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 5.18 | 4.80 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 54 | 38 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.8% | 13.1% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 5.00 | 4.94 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 56 | 37 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 12.8% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 4.90 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 55 | 36 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.5% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 4.88 | 4.88 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 24 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.8% | 13.1% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 5.00 | 4.94 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 37 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 12.8% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 4.90 | 4.87 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 43 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.5% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 4.88 | 4.88 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 123 | 0 | 129 | 543 | 105 | 70 | 14 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 12.9% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 4.92 | 4.52 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 163 | 109 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 12.9% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 4.92 | 4.52 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 91 | 20 | 219 | 960 | 160 | 132 | 14 | 22% | 2.4 | 16.6% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 4.36 | 4.25 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 83 | 18 | 200 | 877 | 146 | 120 | 13 | 22% | 2.4 | 16.6% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 4.36 | 4.25 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cam Day (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.18 | 17.8% | 14.5% | 2.5% | — | 4.90 | 19.2% | 6.4% | 203 | -0.28 | — | — | — |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.21 | 19.5% | 14.2% | 1.7% | .287 | 4.49 | 19.3% | 10.3% | 169 | +0.28 | 3.81 | 233 | 89 |
| David Trexler R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.91 | 17.7% | 13.4% | 2.9% | .313 | 4.44 | 18.3% | 4.8% | 31 | -0.47 | 4.44 | 100 | 89 |
| Brett Lockwood R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.51 | 16.2% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .312 | 4.61 | 11.0% | -6.3% | 79 | -0.90 | 4.29 | 132 | 86 |
| Dylan Spacke R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.23 | 16.1% | 13.9% | 3.2% | .297 | 4.74 | 13.6% | 0.2% | 52 | -0.49 | 2.08 | 205 | 86 |
| John Matthews R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.40 | 16.5% | 13.0% | 1.9% | .264 | 4.95 | 14.5% | -0.5% | 70 | +0.55 | 4.40 | 213 | 86 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 85 |
| Kris Hall R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.65 | 18.3% | 17.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 7.02 | 12.7% | -7.8% | 34 | +2.37 | 4.65 | 106 | 85 |
| Marc Brakeman R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.71 | 18.3% | 13.7% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 156 | 84 |
| Jacob Webb R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.50 | 19.8% | 15.3% | 2.1% | .283 | 4.49 | 19.0% | 8.6% | 139 | -0.01 | 3.34 | 252 | 84 |
| Grant Black R 2029 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 84 |
| Reece Karalus R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.81 | 15.4% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.74 | 149 | 84 |
| Juan Paniagua R 2027 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 15.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .262 | 4.62 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 93 | -0.13 | 4.51 | 151 | 84 |
| Grayson Thurman R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.38 | 19.5% | 14.1% | 2.1% | .319 | 4.85 | 19.9% | 10.5% | 87 | +0.47 | 4.38 | 132 | 84 |
| Noah Murdock R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.72 | 19.8% | 17.1% | 2.1% | .314 | 3.29 | 23.1% | 8.5% | 130 | -1.43 | 2.48 | 292 | 84 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 5.40 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.40 | 15.1% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .229 | 4.26 | 18.7% | 9.1% | 150 | -1.14 | 3.63 | 239 | 83 |
| Rob Huber R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.67 | 15.7% | 14.7% | 1.9% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 117 | 83 |
| Billy Seidl R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.87 | 18.3% | 14.2% | 2.8% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 102 | 83 |
| James Acuna R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 19.4% | 14.8% | 1.6% | .217 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 107 | 83 |
| Alejandro Torres R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.88 | 16.8% | 14.1% | 2.6% | .275 | 6.52 | 18.3% | -1.8% | 34 | +1.64 | 4.42 | 103 | 83 |
| Ryan Moseley R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.16 | 16.9% | 11.9% | 1.8% | .282 | 5.24 | 14.1% | 1.1% | 48 | +1.08 | 4.09 | 264 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 68 | 18.9% | 13.3% | 0.99 | 4.99 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |