Cam Day — OGILVIE

Cam Day P Tulsa Drillers

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 195 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION60 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.22

FIP5.22

K%17.8%

BB%14.8%

K-BB%3.0%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 66 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3535

CMD4040

K†4050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	2	1	2	8	2	0	1	50%	1.2	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	12.5%	3.86	7.85	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	2	1	2	8	2	0	1	50%	1.2	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	12.5%	3.86	7.85	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	2	1	2	8	2	0	1	50%	1.2	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	12.5%	3.86	6.96	—
2024	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	24	15	102	459	94	51	5	62%	4.2	15.2%	13.1%	2.0%	1.3%	4.68	4.21	—
2024	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	24	15	102	459	94	51	5	62%	4.2	15.2%	13.1%	2.0%	1.3%	4.68	4.21	—
2024	22	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	24	15	102	459	94	51	5	62%	4.2	20.5%	11.1%	9.4%	1.1%	4.68	3.39	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	4	76	329	84	40	3	11%	2.2	19.4%	13.8%	5.6%	1.2%	4.24	3.86	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	4	76	329	84	40	3	11%	2.2	19.4%	13.8%	5.6%	1.2%	4.24	3.86	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	4	76	329	84	40	3	11%	2.2	25.5%	12.2%	13.4%	0.9%	4.24	2.98	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	48	0	60	264	58	38	5	0%	1.3	17.8%	15.8%	2.0%	2.3%	4.33	4.85	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	48	0	60	264	58	38	5	0%	1.3	17.8%	15.8%	2.0%	2.3%	4.33	4.85	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	AA RAW	LAD	48	0	60	264	58	38	5	0%	1.3	22.0%	14.4%	7.6%	1.9%	4.33	4.11	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	LAD	6	0	6	26	5	4	1	0%	1.0	17.8%	14.8%	3.0%	2.5%	5.22	5.22	-0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	LAD	—	—	66	290	63	42	6	—	—	21.6%	14.4%	7.2%	1.9%	4.41	4.88	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	LAD	88	0	93	392	73	52	10	0%	1.1	18.7%	13.2%	5.5%	2.5%	5.03	4.97	-0.4
2028	26	MLB MLE	LAD	88	0	93	392	75	50	10	0%	1.1	19.1%	12.8%	6.4%	2.6%	4.92	4.89	-0.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	LAD	87	0	92	386	74	49	10	0%	1.1	19.3%	12.6%	6.7%	2.6%	4.89	4.90	-0.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	LAD	85	0	89	375	72	47	10	0%	1.0	19.2%	12.6%	6.6%	2.7%	4.93	4.96	-0.4
2031	29	MLB MLE	LAD	81	0	85	358	68	46	10	0%	1.0	19.0%	12.8%	6.1%	2.9%	5.03	5.10	-0.5
2032	30	MLB MLE	LAD	76	0	80	337	69	42	10	0%	1.0	20.6%	12.3%	8.3%	3.1%	5.01	5.00	-0.4
2027	25	MLB CTX	LAD	39	0	41	173	32	23	4	0%	1.1	18.7%	13.2%	5.5%	2.5%	5.03	4.97	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	LAD	59	0	62	262	50	33	7	0%	1.1	19.1%	12.8%	6.4%	2.6%	4.92	4.89	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	LAD	68	0	71	300	58	38	8	0%	1.0	19.3%	12.6%	6.7%	2.6%	4.89	4.90	-0.3
2030	28	MLB CTX	LAD	71	0	75	317	61	40	9	0%	1.1	19.2%	12.6%	6.6%	2.7%	4.93	4.96	-0.3
2031	29	MLB CTX	LAD	70	0	74	312	59	40	9	0%	1.1	19.0%	12.8%	6.1%	2.9%	5.03	5.10	-0.5
2032	30	MLB CTX	LAD	69	0	72	304	63	38	9	0%	1.0	20.6%	12.3%	8.3%	3.1%	5.01	5.00	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		376	0	395	1667	323	212	46	0%	1.1	19.4%	12.7%	6.7%	2.8%	4.96	4.59	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	164	107	23	0%	1.1	19.4%	12.7%	6.7%	2.8%	4.96	4.59	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		109	20	241	1060	182	147	17	18%	2.2	17.2%	13.9%	3.3%	1.6%	4.44	4.29	-2.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	17	200	880	151	122	14	18%	2.2	17.2%	13.9%	3.3%	1.6%	4.44	4.29	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cam Day (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.22	17.8%	14.8%	2.5%	—	4.92	19.0%	6.2%	277	-0.30	—	—	—
David Trexler R 2015 · 4.62 FIP	24	SU	4.62	17.7%	13.4%	2.4%	.313	4.44	18.3%	4.8%	31	-0.18	4.44	100	91
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	88
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	87
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.56	18.8%	8.2%	155	+0.01	3.33	268	87
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	87
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	87
Kris Hall R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	18.3%	17.8%	1.5%	.281	7.01	12.7%	-7.8%	34	+2.38	4.63	106	86
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	86
Marc Brakeman R 2018 · 4.67 FIP	24	SU	4.67	18.3%	13.7%	2.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	156	86
Rob Huber R 2016 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.7%	14.7%	2.0%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.90	117	85
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	85
Alaska Abney R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.8%	13.8%	3.0%	.301	3.89	17.4%	7.9%	104	-1.03	3.38	207	85
John Matthews R 2022 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	16.5%	13.0%	2.1%	.264	5.00	14.5%	-0.5%	70	+0.49	4.51	213	85
Dylan Spacke R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	24	SU	5.24	16.1%	13.9%	3.2%	.297	4.79	13.6%	0.2%	52	-0.45	2.08	205	85
Taylor Grover R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SU	5.03	15.1%	12.9%	2.9%	.229	4.30	18.7%	9.1%	150	-0.73	3.68	239	85
Mark Sappington R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	18.9%	16.2%	1.2%	.323	4.39	16.6%	-1.3%	52	+0.17	4.22	120	85
Ocean Gabonia R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SU	5.04	15.4%	14.6%	2.5%	.283	3.29	19.1%	10.9%	91	-1.75	2.79	144	85
Reece Karalus R 2018 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	149	84
Noah Murdock R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	19.8%	17.1%	1.8%	.314	3.18	22.5%	9.0%	144	-1.38	2.60	306	84
Seth McGarry R 2018 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	17.7%	14.4%	2.1%	.278	4.62	17.1%	7.5%	79	+0.04	3.39	261	84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.0	85	19.1%	13.0%	1.05	5.00
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91