Nick Kurtz — OGILVIE

Nick Kurtz1B Athletics

Age 23 L/L 6'5" / 240 lbs MLB HR -4% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030 ILInjured 10-Day (D10)

2026 ROS PROJECTION412 act + 274 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 87191vR 232

AVG/OBP/SLG.268 / .389 / .523

PA274

HR15

K%31

BB%16

BABIP355

ISO255

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

827.7%

xwOBA

900.375

POWER60

Barrel%

9018.3

Avg EV

9093.1

Bat Spd

9077.4

EYE60

Chase%

9014.2%

SPEED50

Sprint

3226.6

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 604 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

187

417

—

wRC+

219

▶▶R

wOBA

306

471

▶▶R

ISO

192

359

▶▶R

BABIP

289

403

▶▶R

35.8%

28.8%

▶▶R

BB%

10.2%

16.1%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+2.1	$17M	+$17M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+5.8	$43M	+$42M
2028	Arb-1	$10M	+5.9	$41M	+$33M
2029	Arb-2	$17M	+5.8	$37M	+$25M
2030	Arb-3	$25M	+5.6	$33M	+$17M
Totals		$53M		$171M	+$133M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	INTL	3 teams	—	110	92	25	5	0	6	18	29	0	1	0	272	391	522	913	250	333	26	16	400	164	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	INTL	3 teams	—	110	89	32	6	2	6	21	26	0	1	0	360	482	674	1.156	315	456	24	19	494	236	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB	2 teams	—	586	509	146	33	2	42	70	183	2	2	1	287	375	607	982	320	360	31	12	410	172	+47	+0	-9	-10	+17	4.6
2025	22	MLB	2 teams	—	586	504	149	33	2	43	73	177	2	2	1	296	386	625	1.011	329	367	30	12	430	187	+58	+0	-9	-10	+17	5.6
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	MLB	OAK	—	412	334	89	15	1	20	76	130	2	7	1	266	405	497	902	231	375	32	18	381	150	+23	+1	+1	-7	+12	3.0
YTD	23	MLB	OAK	—	412	334	89	15	1	20	76	130	2	7	1	266	405	497	902	231	375	32	18	400	165	+30	+1	+1	-7	+12	3.7
ROS	23	MLB	OAK	100%	274	227	61	11	1	15	44	84	1	4	1	268	389	523	911	255	354	31	16	401	165	+20	+0	-0	-5	+8	2.4
ROS	23	MLB	OAK	100%	275	228	61	11	1	15	44	84	1	4	1	268	388	522	910	254	350	31	16	393	159	+18	+0	-0	-5	+8	2.2
FULL	23	MLB	OAK	—	687	562	150	26	2	35	120	214	3	11	2	267	399	507	906	240	366	31	17	386	153	+41	+1	+0	-12	+19	5.1
TOT	23	MLB	OAK	—	686	561	150	26	2	35	120	214	3	11	2	267	399	507	906	240	367	31	17	389	156	+43	+1	+0	-12	+19	5.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	OAK	100%	660	550	151	28	2	38	102	200	3	9	2	275	391	540	931	265	354	30	15	403	167	+50	+1	-0	-12	+19	5.8
2028	25	MLB	OAK	100%	659	549	151	28	2	38	102	198	3	9	2	275	391	541	932	266	354	30	15	405	168	+51	+1	-0	-12	+19	5.9
2029	26	MLB	OAK	100%	646	538	148	27	2	38	100	194	3	9	2	275	392	545	936	270	354	30	15	406	169	+50	+1	-0	-12	+18	5.9
2030	27	MLB	OAK	100%	633	527	144	26	2	37	98	191	3	8	2	273	390	541	931	268	353	30	15	405	168	+49	+1	-0	-11	+18	5.7
2031	28	MLB	OAK	100%	621	517	141	26	2	36	96	188	3	8	2	273	390	540	929	267	351	30	15	403	167	+47	+1	-1	-11	+18	5.4
2032	29	MLB	OAK	100%	608	506	137	25	2	35	94	185	3	7	1	271	388	536	924	265	350	30	15	401	165	+44	+1	-2	-11	+17	5.1
2033	30	MLB	OAK	100%	596	496	132	24	1	34	92	183	3	6	1	266	384	524	908	258	347	31	15	397	162	+42	+1	-2	-11	+17	4.7
2034	31	MLB	OAK	100%	584	486	128	23	1	33	90	181	3	5	1	263	382	519	900	255	343	31	15	392	158	+39	+1	-3	-10	+17	4.3
2035	32	MLB	OAK	100%	573	476	124	22	1	32	89	180	3	4	1	261	380	513	893	252	337	31	16	385	153	+34	+0	-4	-10	+16	3.8
2036	33	MLB	OAK	100%	494	413	103	17	1	27	76	158	2	3	1	249	369	492	860	242	329	32	15	377	146	+26	+0	-5	-9	+14	2.7
2037	34	MLB	OAK	96%	417	348	85	14	1	22	64	136	2	2	0	244	365	480	845	236	319	33	15	366	138	+18	+0	-5	-7	+12	1.8
2038	35	MLB	OAK	91%	352	294	67	10	0	18	54	117	1	1	0	228	350	446	795	218	307	33	15	353	128	+11	+0	-6	-6	+10	1.0
2039	36	MLB	OAK	82%	276	231	50	7	0	13	42	94	1	1	0	216	339	416	755	199	296	34	15	340	118	+6	+0	-6	-5	+8	0.2
2027	24	MLB	OAK	100%	660	550	148	27	2	37	102	200	3	9	2	269	386	527	914	258	350	30	15	395	161	+45	+1	-0	-12	+19	5.4
2028	25	MLB	OAK	100%	659	549	149	27	2	38	102	198	3	9	2	271	388	536	924	264	350	30	15	397	162	+46	+1	-0	-12	+19	5.5
2029	26	MLB	OAK	100%	646	538	145	26	2	37	100	194	3	9	2	270	387	532	918	262	350	30	15	398	162	+46	+1	-0	-12	+18	5.4
2030	27	MLB	OAK	100%	633	527	143	26	2	36	98	191	3	8	2	271	389	533	922	262	349	30	15	397	162	+44	+1	-0	-11	+18	5.2
2031	28	MLB	OAK	100%	621	517	139	25	2	35	96	188	3	8	2	269	386	528	914	259	348	30	15	395	161	+43	+1	-1	-11	+18	5.0
2032	29	MLB	OAK	100%	608	506	135	24	2	34	94	185	3	7	1	267	385	524	908	257	346	30	15	393	159	+40	+1	-2	-11	+17	4.7
2033	30	MLB	OAK	100%	596	496	131	24	1	33	92	183	3	6	1	264	382	516	899	252	343	31	15	389	156	+38	+1	-2	-11	+17	4.3
2034	31	MLB	OAK	100%	584	486	126	23	1	32	90	181	3	5	1	259	378	508	886	249	339	31	15	385	153	+35	+1	-3	-10	+17	3.9
2035	32	MLB	OAK	100%	573	476	121	21	1	31	89	180	3	4	1	254	375	498	873	244	333	31	16	378	148	+31	+0	-4	-10	+16	3.4
2036	33	MLB	OAK	100%	494	413	102	17	1	26	76	158	2	3	1	247	367	482	848	235	326	32	15	370	141	+23	+0	-5	-9	+14	2.4
2037	34	MLB	OAK	96%	398	332	78	13	0	20	61	130	2	2	0	235	357	455	812	220	316	33	15	359	133	+15	+0	-5	-7	+11	1.5
2038	35	MLB	OAK	91%	320	267	60	9	0	16	49	107	1	1	0	225	347	438	785	213	304	33	15	347	124	+9	+0	-5	-6	+9	0.7
2039	36	MLB	OAK	82%	226	189	40	6	0	10	34	77	1	0	0	212	335	402	737	190	293	34	15	334	114	+4	+0	-5	-4	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	7782	6494	1700	305	19	436	1190	2407	36	77	17	262	379	516	895	254	343	31	15	388	155	+483	+9	-43	-141	+220	53.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	542	142	25	2	36	99	201	3	6	1	262	378	515	893	253	344	31	15	388	155	+40	+1	-4	-12	+18	4.5
Career	—			—	8089	6759	1793	326	20	464	1231	2501	36	79	17	265	381	525	907	260	347	31	15	393	159	+541	+9	-45	-144	+229	60.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	543	144	26	2	37	99	201	3	6	1	265	381	525	906	260	347	31	15	393	159	+44	+1	-4	-12	+18	4.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	15	13	4	1	0	0	2	3	0	1	0	308	400	385	785	77	400	20	13	360	133	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2024	21	A	Stockton Ports	—	35	25	10	2	0	4	10	7	0	0	0	400	571	960	1.531	560	429	20	29	614	328	+9	+0	—	—	+1	1.0
2024	21	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	60	51	18	3	2	2	9	16	0	0	0	353	450	608	1.058	255	485	27	15	458	209	+7	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2025	22	MLB	Athletics	—	489	420	122	26	2	36	63	151	2	2	1	290	385	619	1.004	329	364	31	13	428	186	+47	+0	-9	-10	+14	4.3
2025	22	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	97	84	27	7	0	7	10	26	0	0	0	321	389	655	1.044	333	377	27	10	436	192	+10	+0	—	—	+3	1.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	489	420	122	26	2	36	63	151	2	2	1	290	385	619	1.004	329	364	31	13	428	186	+47	+0	-9	-10	+14	4.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Albert Pujolslast yr '22 MVPROYAS×3SS career totals — 22 seasons, 13,041 PA	22	13,041	703	117	296	374	544	-212	-86	94.1	76.8
	/162	664	36	6	296	374	544	-10.8	-4.4	4.8	pk7: 59
#2David Ortizlast yr '16 AS×10SS×7HOF career totals — 17 seasons, 9,689 PA	17	9,689	531	16	287	380	557	-152	-13	80.7	63.8
	/162	664	36	1	287	380	557	-10.4	-0.9	5.5	pk7: 47
#3Lance Berkmanlast yr '13 AS×6SS career totals — 14 seasons, 7,708 PA	14	7,708	362	81	294	407	539	-103	-78	63.4	55.7
	/162	664	31	7	294	407	539	-8.8	-6.7	5.5	pk7: 48
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 16 projected seasons	16	8,552	491	87	267	379	529	-154	-94	67.4	53.4
	/162	664	38	7	267	379	529	-12.0	-7.3	5.2	pk7: 40
#4Carlos Delgadolast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,938 PA	10	5,938	324	9	286	394	553	-82	-94	44.3	42.4
	/162	664	36	1	286	394	553	-9.1	-10.5	5.0	pk7: 40
#5Mark Teixeiralast yr '16 AS×3GG×5SS×3 career totals — 14 seasons, 8,029 PA	14	8,029	409	26	268	360	509	-143	-74	42.0	38.0
	/162	664	34	2	268	360	509	-11.9	-6.1	3.5	pk7: 34
#6Derrek Leelast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 7,151 PA	12	7,151	308	97	288	371	508	-106	-76	41.3	37.1
	/162	664	29	9	288	371	508	-9.8	-7.0	3.8	pk7: 33

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Kurtz (OGILVIE)	23	50	60	50	60	267/399/507	240	367	35	11	31%	17%	156	+5.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
★Bryce Harper 2016 · MLB	23	59→63	64→65	44→50	65	301/410/552	251	347	31	7	21%	15%	179	+7.2	277/396/516	239	316	29	12	21%	16%	164	+6.2	267/389/518	250	315	31	10	24%	16%	149	+5.4
★Yordan Alvarez 2021 · MLB	24	51→57	69→70	45	51	278/350/550	272	325	37	5	27%	10%	157	+5.7	279/365/537	258	314	33	3	22%	11%	158	+5.8	292/394/558	266	307	34	2	17%	13%	163	+5.7
★Juan Soto 2021 · MLB	22	56→61	65	51→50	68	296/410/563	267	325	31	11	19%	16%	181	+7.3	287/428/522	235	307	28	9	16%	20%	178	+7.1	274/409/534	260	289	33	16	18%	18%	165	+7.4
★Adam Dunn 2002 · MLB	22	49→51	68→70	47→50	56	267/364/546	279	309	35	9	26%	12%	160	+5.9	248/380/489	241	302	30	12	26%	16%	152	+5.3	248/380/531	283	291	37	5	27%	16%	150	+5.9
★Cody Bellinger 2019 · MLB	24	50→57	63→70	55→50	53	265/344/507	243	313	31	13	26%	11%	142	+4.6	268/356/526	258	290	34	12	20%	12%	152	+5.3	273/335/459	186	289	24	14	15%	8%	121	+3.2
★Giancarlo Stanton 2014 · MLB	24	51→59	68→80	45	54	271/363/544	272	329	35	5	28%	12%	160	+5.9	277/371/557	280	339	38	8	28%	13%	166	+6.3	271/358/545	274	316	40	2	27%	11%	151	+5.8
★Kris Bryant 2017 · MLB	25	54→57	62→65	48→50	52	276/364/513	237	340	30	10	27%	10%	152	+5.3	280/382/503	223	333	25	6	22%	12%	156	+5.6	279/387/499	220	331	24	4	22%	12%	152	+5.2
★Prince Fielder 2008 · MLB	24	50→60	67→70	44→45	56	274/365/539	265	290	35	5	20%	11%	159	+5.8	280/387/537	257	303	33	3	19%	13%	167	+6.3	288/412/552	264	308	34	1	18%	16%	160	+7.0
★Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2022 · MLB	23	54→63	65	47→45	58	292/373/539	247	301	33	4	16%	11%	162	+6.0	283/357/496	213	299	28	5	16%	10%	144	+4.8	289/372/480	191	309	23	4	14%	11%	138	+5.0
★Brandon Belt 2011 · AAA	23	57→61	58→65	53→50	53	287/363/510	223	347	23	14	23%	10%	150	+5.2	276/356/458	182	349	18	12	24%	11%	134	+4.1	278/381/496	218	349	21	4	24%	14%	148	+4.7
★Shohei Ohtani 2019 · MLB	25	54→58	66→80	50→55	50	281/354/544	263	342	34	15	27%	10%	157	+5.7	267/345/515	248	330	31	18	27%	10%	144	+4.8	304/403/657	354	337	47	29	24%	14%	188	+8.9
★Ronald Acuña Jr. 2021 · MLB	23	51→61	65→70	55→65	55	271/365/518	247	327	33	25	27%	12%	154	+5.4	283/378/517	234	329	30	33	22%	12%	158	+5.8	300/390/529	229	333	29	44	18%	11%	161	+5.5
●Craig Wilson 2002 · MLB	25	55→53	65→60	50→40	46	287/366/533	246	353	35	11	28%	8%	159	+5.8	266/355/480	214	330	27	5	26%	8%	141	+4.5	262/356/483	221	325	26	3	26%	8%	137	+3.4
★Mike Trout 2016 · MLB	24	58→66	66→80	53→60	59	299/397/575	276	351	32	14	23%	13%	180	+7.2	307/429/588	281	351	33	21	21%	16%	195	+8.3	304/450/642	338	324	42	20	19%	19%	196	+8.1
★Lance Berkman 2001 · MLB	25	54→64	62→70	48→50	61	284/375/526	241	308	28	9	18%	13%	159	+5.8	303/407/569	266	332	30	7	17%	14%	183	+7.4	302/416/568	266	329	30	6	17%	15%	173	+7.7
●Michael Conforto 2018 · MLB	25	50→52	59→65	45	53	262/347/482	219	308	27	4	24%	10%	137	+4.3	260/360/479	219	310	28	6	24%	12%	141	+4.6	260/365/476	216	309	28	5	24%	13%	136	+3.6
●Russell Branyan 2001 · MLB	25	47→45	68→70	49→45	47	253/335/520	267	324	37	5	33%	10%	142	+4.6	235/323/473	238	321	32	4	35%	11%	125	+3.5	249/338/514	265	305	37	3	30%	11%	135	+2.9
●Domingo Santana 2018 · MLB	25	54→57	59→60	46→50	51	268/355/481	213	356	27	11	31%	11%	140	+4.5	247/328/423	176	363	21	9	34%	10%	114	+2.7	239/318/402	162	366	19	7	37%	10%	101	+1.5
★Troy Glaus 2002 · MLB	25	48→52	69→70	45→50	64	264/378/550	287	289	36	10	23%	15%	167	+6.3	252/354/486	234	280	30	9	21%	13%	141	+4.5	254/361/501	246	280	33	2	22%	13%	142	+4.5
★Mark Teixeira 2005 · MLB	25	50→59	64→65	46→40	53	272/352/522	250	291	32	4	20%	10%	150	+5.2	289/373/542	253	313	31	3	18%	11%	163	+6.1	299/398/555	256	318	31	1	16%	13%	164	+6.7