Nick Kurtz — OGILVIE

Nick Kurtz1B Athletics

Age 23 L/L 6'5" / 240 lbs MLB HR -5% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 465 proj PA

wRC+†vL 114153vR 168

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA434

HR0

SB7

K%30

BB%13

BABIP347

ISO279

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$96M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

837.5%

xAVG

420.245

POWER60

Barrel%

9018.2

Avg EV

9093.0

Bat Spd

9077.4

EYE60

Chase%

9013.9%

SPEED50

Sprint

3226.6

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 604 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

187

417

—

wRC+

205

▶▶R

wOBA

306

471

▶▶R

ISO

192

359

▶▶R

BABIP

289

403

▶▶R

35.8%

28.8%

▶▶R

BB%

10.2%

16.1%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.7M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+4.3	$46M	+$46M
2028	Arb-1	$8M	+4.3	$43M	+$37M
2029	Arb-2	$13M	+4.2	$38M	+$29M
2030	Arb-3	$19M	+4.1	$34M	+$21M
Totals		$41M		$162M	+$133M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	15	13	4	1	0	0	2	3	0	1	0	308	400	385	785	77	400	20	13	360	130	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2024	21	A	Stockton Ports	—	35	25	10	2	0	4	10	7	0	0	0	400	571	960	1.531	560	429	20	29	614	302	+8	+0	—	—	+1	0.9
2024	21	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	60	51	18	3	2	2	9	16	0	0	0	353	450	608	1.058	255	485	27	15	458	196	+7	+0	—	—	+1	0.8
2025	22	MLB	Athletics	—	489	420	122	26	2	36	63	151	2	2	1	290	385	619	1.004	329	364	31	13	428	176	+44	+0	-9	-10	+11	3.6
2025	22	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	97	84	27	7	0	7	10	26	0	0	0	321	389	655	1.044	333	377	27	10	436	181	+9	+0	—	—	+2	1.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	489	420	122	26	2	36	63	151	2	2	1	290	385	619	1.004	329	364	31	13	428	176	+44	+0	-9	-10	+11	3.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	15	14	4	1	0	0	1	4	0	1	0	286	333	357	690	71	340	27	7	278	74	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2024	21	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	35	28	9	2	0	3	7	9	0	0	0	321	457	714	1.171	393	357	26	20	484	214	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2025	22	MLB MLE	Athletics	—	489	421	121	25	2	37	63	151	2	2	1	287	383	620	1.003	333	364	31	13	418	169	+40	+0	-9	-10	+11	3.2
2025	22	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	97	88	22	6	0	5	7	33	0	0	0	250	305	489	794	239	294	34	7	319	102	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2024	21	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	110	92	26	5	0	7	18	29	0	1	0	283	400	565	965	283	339	26	16	422	172	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	INTL RAW	3 teams	—	110	89	32	6	2	6	21	26	0	1	0	360	482	674	1.156	315	456	24	19	494	172	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	586	509	142	30	2	42	70	184	2	2	1	279	368	593	962	314	347	31	12	402	158	+41	+0	-9	-10	+13	3.5
2025	22	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	586	504	149	33	2	43	73	177	2	2	1	296	386	625	1.011	329	367	30	12	430	158	+41	+0	-9	-10	+13	3.5
2024	21	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	110	91	26	5	0	7	18	29	0	1	0	286	400	571	971	286	352	26	16	422	172	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	586	509	142	30	2	42	70	184	2	2	1	279	368	593	962	314	353	31	12	402	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	110	91	26	5	0	7	18	29	0	1	0	286	400	571	971	286	352	26	16	422	172	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	586	509	142	30	2	42	70	184	2	2	1	279	368	593	962	314	353	31	12	402	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	MLB MLE	OAK	—	434	352	89	14	1	22	79	141	3	7	1	253	394	486	880	233	354	32	18	372	138	+19	+1	+1	-8	+9	2.3
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	23	MLB RAW	OAK	—	434	352	90	15	1	21	79	141	3	7	1	256	396	483	879	227	363	32	18	391	138	+19	+1	+1	-8	+9	2.3
YTD	23	MLB RAW	OAK	—	434	352	90	15	1	21	79	141	3	7	1	256	396	483	879	227	363	32	18	391	151	+26	+1	+1	-8	+9	3.0
ROS	23	MLB MLE	OAK	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	341	—	—	394	153	—	—	-0	-0	—	—
ROS	23	MLB CTX	OAK	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	23	MLB A+C	OAK	—	434	352	90	15	1	21	79	141	3	7	1	256	396	483	879	227	363	32	18	391	138	+19	+1	+1	-8	+9	2.3
TOT	23	MLB MLE	OAK	—	434	352	89	14	1	22	79	141	3	7	1	253	394	486	880	233	354	32	18	372	138	+19	+1	+1	-8	+9	2.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	OAK	100%	582	482	127	22	2	33	91	181	4	8	1	263	385	523	908	259	344	31	16	396	154	+37	+1	+1	-10	+13	4.3
2028	25	MLB MLE	OAK	100%	570	473	126	22	2	33	88	176	4	7	1	266	386	531	916	264	343	31	15	397	155	+37	+1	+1	-10	+12	4.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	OAK	100%	559	463	123	21	2	33	87	172	4	7	1	266	386	533	920	268	343	31	16	398	155	+37	+1	+1	-10	+12	4.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	OAK	100%	548	454	121	21	2	32	85	169	4	7	1	267	387	533	920	267	342	31	16	397	155	+36	+1	+1	-10	+12	4.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	OAK	100%	537	446	116	20	1	31	83	167	3	7	1	260	380	518	898	258	340	31	15	395	154	+34	+1	+1	-10	+12	3.9
2032	29	MLB MLE	OAK	100%	526	436	113	19	1	31	82	164	3	6	1	259	380	521	901	261	337	31	16	392	151	+32	+1	-0	-9	+11	3.6
2033	30	MLB MLE	OAK	100%	515	427	110	19	1	30	80	162	3	5	1	258	378	518	896	260	332	31	16	388	148	+30	+1	-1	-9	+11	3.2
2034	31	MLB MLE	OAK	100%	505	419	106	18	1	29	78	161	3	5	1	253	374	508	882	255	326	32	15	382	145	+27	+1	-2	-9	+11	2.8
2035	32	MLB MLE	OAK	100%	495	412	100	16	1	27	77	159	3	4	1	243	366	483	849	240	319	32	16	374	139	+23	+0	-2	-9	+11	2.4
2036	33	MLB MLE	OAK	100%	435	363	85	13	1	23	67	142	2	3	0	234	356	466	822	231	311	33	15	366	134	+17	+1	-3	-8	+9	1.7
2037	34	MLB MLE	OAK	96%	389	324	73	11	0	20	60	130	2	2	0	225	350	444	794	219	301	33	15	355	126	+12	+0	-4	-7	+8	1.0
2038	35	MLB MLE	OAK	91%	335	279	61	9	0	17	51	114	2	1	0	219	343	434	777	215	290	34	15	343	118	+7	+0	-5	-6	+7	0.4
2027	24	MLB CTX	OAK	100%	582	482	129	23	2	33	91	181	4	8	1	268	388	529	917	261	350	31	16	392	154	+37	+1	+1	-10	+13	4.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	OAK	100%	570	473	126	23	2	32	88	176	4	7	1	266	386	526	912	260	349	31	15	393	155	+37	+1	+1	-10	+12	4.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	OAK	100%	559	463	125	23	2	32	87	172	4	7	1	270	390	536	926	266	349	31	16	394	155	+37	+1	+1	-10	+12	4.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	OAK	100%	548	454	121	22	2	31	85	169	4	7	1	267	387	529	915	262	348	31	16	393	155	+36	+1	+1	-10	+12	4.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	OAK	100%	537	446	118	21	1	31	83	167	3	7	1	265	383	525	908	260	347	31	15	392	154	+34	+1	+1	-10	+12	3.9
2032	29	MLB CTX	OAK	100%	526	436	115	21	1	30	82	164	3	6	1	264	384	523	907	259	343	31	16	388	151	+32	+1	-0	-9	+11	3.6
2033	30	MLB CTX	OAK	100%	515	427	111	20	1	29	80	162	3	5	1	260	380	515	896	255	339	31	16	384	148	+30	+1	-1	-9	+11	3.2
2034	31	MLB CTX	OAK	100%	505	419	107	19	1	28	78	161	3	5	1	255	376	506	882	251	332	32	15	378	145	+27	+1	-2	-9	+11	2.8
2035	32	MLB CTX	OAK	100%	495	412	101	17	1	27	77	159	3	4	1	245	368	488	856	243	324	32	16	371	139	+23	+0	-2	-9	+11	2.4
2036	33	MLB CTX	OAK	100%	435	363	87	14	1	23	67	142	2	3	0	240	361	474	835	234	317	33	15	362	134	+17	+1	-3	-8	+9	1.7
2037	34	MLB CTX	OAK	96%	371	309	70	11	0	19	57	124	2	2	0	227	351	447	797	220	306	33	15	352	126	+12	+0	-4	-7	+8	1.0
2038	35	MLB CTX	OAK	91%	305	253	55	8	0	15	47	104	2	1	0	217	344	427	771	209	295	34	15	340	118	+7	+0	-4	-5	+7	0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	6437	5357	1387	248	16	366	985	2032	39	64	10	259	378	516	894	257	341	32	15	385	148	+373	+9	-18	-117	+139	39.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	541	140	25	2	37	99	205	4	6	1	259	377	518	895	259	340	32	15	385	148	+38	+1	-2	-12	+14	4.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6692	5579	1429	246	16	388	1017	2110	39	65	10	256	375	515	889	258	334	32	15	387	148	+374	+9	-19	-118	+141	39.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	542	140	24	2	38	99	205	4	6	1	258	377	520	898	262	337	32	15	387	148	+38	+1	-2	-12	+14	4.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Nelson Cruzlast yr '23 career totals — 18 seasons, 8,389 PA	12.6	8,389	464	84	274	343	513	-89	-28	50.7	42.9
/162	664	37	7	-7.1	-2.2	4.0	pk7: 35
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 15 projected seasons	11.0	7,336	424	74	258	373	518	-131	-88	50.6	40.6
/162	664	38	7	-11.9	-7.9	4.6	pk7: 31
#2Mark Teixeiralast yr '16 AS×3GG×5SS×3 career totals — 14 seasons, 8,029 PA	12.1	8,029	409	26	268	360	509	-143	-74	42.1	38.1
/162	664	34	2	-11.9	-6.1	3.5	pk7: 34
#3J.D. Martinezlast yr '24 career totals — 14 seasons, 6,865 PA	10.3	6,865	331	26	283	348	516	-68	-53	39.9	36.6
/162	664	32	3	-6.6	-5.1	3.9	pk7: 33
#4Edwin Encarnaciónlast yr '20 career totals — 16 seasons, 8,126 PA	12.2	8,126	424	61	260	350	496	-77	-92	42.0	34.4
/162	664	35	5	-6.3	-7.5	3.4	pk7: 27
#5José Bautistalast yr '18 ASGG×4SS career totals — 14 seasons, 7,213 PA	10.9	7,213	344	69	248	362	476	-56	-94	36.0	34.1
/162	664	32	6	-5.1	-8.6	3.3	pk7: 32
#6Prince Fielderlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,853 PA	10.3	6,853	319	18	283	382	506	-122	-145	32.5	31.5
/162	664	31	2	-11.9	-14.1	3.1	pk7: 30

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Kurtz (OGILVIE)	23	50	60	50	60	259/381/516	257	341	27	6	31%	16%	153	+4.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
★Bryce Harper 2016 · MLB	23	59→63	64→65	44→50	65	302/410/554	252	348	31	7	21%	15%	170	+6.5	277/396/517	240	316	29	12	21%	16%	158	+5.5	267/389/516	249	316	31	10	24%	16%	143	+4.6
★Adam Dunn 2002 · MLB	22	49→51	68→70	47→50	56	267/364/546	279	309	35	9	26%	12%	153	+5.2	248/380/489	241	302	30	12	26%	16%	146	+4.7	248/380/531	283	291	37	5	27%	16%	144	+5.2
★Yordan Alvarez 2021 · MLB	24	51→58	69→70	45	51	279/352/553	275	325	37	5	26%	10%	151	+5.1	286/371/560	274	319	36	3	22%	11%	160	+5.7	300/401/585	285	313	38	2	17%	13%	165	+5.7
★Juan Soto 2021 · MLB	22	57→61	65	52→50	68	297/411/566	269	326	31	11	19%	16%	173	+6.7	284/426/512	228	305	27	9	16%	20%	166	+6.2	273/408/528	255	290	32	16	18%	18%	156	+6.4
★Giancarlo Stanton 2014 · MLB	24	51→58	67→80	45	54	271/362/543	273	328	35	5	28%	12%	152	+5.1	276/370/556	280	338	38	8	28%	13%	158	+5.5	271/358/547	276	317	40	2	27%	11%	146	+5.1
★Prince Fielder 2008 · MLB	24	50→60	67→70	44→45	56	274/365/539	265	290	35	5	20%	11%	152	+5.1	279/386/534	255	302	33	3	19%	13%	158	+5.6	283/408/536	253	305	32	1	18%	16%	149	+5.7
★Kris Bryant 2017 · MLB	25	54→58	63→65	47→50	52	278/367/521	243	341	31	10	27%	10%	149	+4.9	283/385/514	231	334	26	6	22%	12%	153	+5.2	282/390/511	229	333	26	4	22%	12%	149	+4.8
★Cody Bellinger 2019 · MLB	24	49→58	61→70	56→50	53	259/339/488	229	308	28	13	25%	11%	130	+3.5	261/350/502	241	286	30	12	20%	12%	138	+4.1	275/337/466	191	291	25	14	15%	8%	121	+2.8
★Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2022 · MLB	23	54→63	64→65	47→45	58	293/373/539	247	302	33	4	16%	11%	155	+5.4	283/357/496	213	299	28	5	16%	10%	140	+4.2	290/373/481	191	310	23	4	14%	11%	134	+4.4
★Shohei Ohtani 2019 · MLB	25	53→57	65→80	50→55	50	278/351/531	253	339	32	15	27%	10%	145	+4.6	263/342/502	239	327	30	18	27%	10%	135	+3.9	296/396/629	333	332	43	29	24%	14%	170	+7.3
★Kyle Schwarber 2018 · MLB	25	42→48	65→70	43→45	53	235/331/482	247	283	35	4	30%	12%	127	+3.3	238/339/488	250	280	34	4	28%	13%	131	+3.6	233/355/495	262	275	38	5	29%	15%	133	+4.3
●Michael Conforto 2018 · MLB	25	52→54	60→65	45	53	268/352/491	223	315	27	4	24%	10%	137	+4.0	265/364/485	220	317	28	6	24%	12%	140	+4.2	265/370/483	217	318	28	5	24%	13%	135	+3.3
★Mike Trout 2016 · MLB	24	57→65	65→80	53→60	59	295/394/560	265	348	31	14	23%	13%	166	+6.2	302/426/572	270	347	31	21	21%	16%	179	+7.1	298/445/622	323	320	40	20	19%	19%	179	+6.8
●Craig Wilson 2002 · MLB	25	55→53	65→60	50→40	46	287/366/533	246	353	35	11	28%	8%	152	+5.1	266/355/480	214	330	27	5	26%	8%	136	+3.9	262/356/483	221	325	26	3	26%	8%	133	+2.9
●Russell Branyan 2001 · MLB	25	47→45	68→70	49→45	47	253/335/520	267	324	37	5	33%	10%	137	+4.0	235/323/473	238	321	32	4	35%	11%	122	+3.0	248/337/511	263	304	36	3	30%	11%	130	+2.5
★Freddie Freeman 2014 · MLB	24	58→67	55→65	45→50	54	292/368/484	191	338	23	3	20%	10%	141	+4.3	292/382/497	205	349	22	4	21%	12%	149	+4.9	319/405/525	206	354	22	12	15%	11%	153	+6.2
●Troy Glaus 2002 · MLB	25	48→52	69→70	45→50	64	264/378/550	287	289	36	10	23%	15%	159	+5.6	252/354/486	234	280	30	9	21%	13%	136	+3.9	254/361/501	246	280	33	2	22%	13%	137	+3.9
★Ronald Acuña Jr. 2021 · MLB	23	51→61	65→70	55→65	55	271/365/518	247	327	33	25	27%	12%	147	+4.8	283/378/517	234	328	30	33	22%	12%	151	+5.1	300/390/529	229	333	29	44	18%	11%	154	+4.9
●Carlos Correa 2018 · MLB	23	56→60	57→60	50→55	55	288/364/494	206	328	25	10	20%	10%	141	+4.3	262/341/461	199	310	25	5	23%	10%	126	+3.2	265/348/448	183	306	22	0	20%	11%	122	+2.9
★Anthony Rizzo 2015 · MLB	25	50→56	60→65	41→45	56	267/354/487	220	289	28	6	19%	10%	137	+4.0	278/380/515	237	294	28	9	16%	11%	152	+5.1	279/388/521	242	289	29	9	15%	12%	148	+5.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps