Nick Kurtz — OGILVIE

Nick Kurtz1B Athletics

Age 23 L/L 6'5" / 240 lbs MLB HR -6%K -4% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030 peak 3.8 · 2029

wRC+†vL 85154vR 229

AVG/OBP/SLG.263 / .352 / .538

PA506

HR32

SB8

K%30

BB%12

xwOBA.426

Barrel%22.9%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

60→60

SPD

50→50

EYE

69↘60

trajectory · 10 yrs

4.6peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.3	$26M	+$26M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.5	$29M	+$28M
2028	Arb-1	$8M	+3.7	$31M	+$23M
2029	Arb-2	$15M	+3.8	$33M	+$19M
2030	Arb-3	$22M	+3.7	$33M	+$12M
Totals		$46M		$153M	+$107M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	INTL	3 teams	110	92	26	5	0	7	18	29	0	1	0	.283	.400	.565	.965	.283	.339	26	16	.424	183	+10	+0	+0	-2	+3	1.2
2025	22	MLB	2 teams	586	509	141	29	1	43	70	184	2	2	1	.277	.367	.591	.958	.314	.341	31	12	.400	164	+42	+0	-9	-10	+17	4.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	23	MLB	Athletics	110	83	20	3	0	4	27	35	0	3	1	.241	.427	.422	.849	.181	.364	32	25	.372	143	+5	+0	+1	-2	+3	0.7
ROS	23	MLB	OAK	396	335	88	17	1	23	57	121	1	5	1	.263	.372	.525	.897	.263	.336	31	14	.391	157	+26	+1	-6	-7	+11	2.5
TOT	23	MLB	OAK	506	418	108	20	1	27	84	156	1	8	2	.258	.384	.505	.888	.246	.342	31	17	.387	154	+31	+1	-5	-9	+14	3.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	24	MLB	OAK	529	444	118	23	1	31	78	124	2	7	2	.266	.378	.532	.909	.266	.295	23	15	.395	160	+36	+1	-8	-9	+15	3.5
2028	25	MLB	OAK	535	448	119	23	1	32	80	125	2	7	2	.266	.379	.536	.915	.270	.296	23	15	.398	163	+38	+1	-8	-10	+15	3.7
2029	26	MLB	OAK	536	448	119	23	1	32	81	125	2	7	2	.266	.380	.536	.916	.270	.296	23	15	.400	164	+39	+1	-8	-10	+15	3.8
2030	27	MLB	OAK	531	443	118	23	1	32	81	124	2	6	2	.266	.382	.540	.922	.273	.296	23	15	.400	164	+38	+0	-8	-9	+15	3.8
2031	28	MLB	OAK	523	436	115	22	1	31	80	124	2	5	1	.264	.380	.532	.912	.268	.296	24	15	.399	163	+37	+1	-8	-9	+15	3.6
2032	29	MLB	OAK	511	425	112	21	1	31	79	122	2	4	1	.264	.381	.536	.918	.273	.295	24	15	.397	162	+36	+0	-9	-9	+14	3.3
2033	30	MLB	OAK	499	417	109	21	1	29	77	121	2	3	0	.261	.379	.525	.904	.264	.293	24	15	.393	159	+33	+1	-9	-9	+14	3.1
2034	31	MLB	OAK	484	406	104	20	1	28	74	119	1	1	0	.256	.372	.517	.889	.261	.292	25	15	.390	156	+31	+0	-10	-9	+14	2.7
2035	32	MLB	OAK	465	390	100	19	1	27	71	117	1	0	0	.256	.372	.518	.890	.262	.290	25	15	.385	152	+28	+0	-10	-8	+13	2.3
2036	33	MLB	OAK	435	364	91	17	1	24	67	112	1	0	0	.250	.368	.500	.868	.250	.288	26	15	.378	148	+23	+0	-10	-8	+12	1.8
2037	34	MLB	OAK	389	326	80	15	1	21	59	104	1	0	0	.245	.363	.491	.853	.245	.285	27	15	.371	142	+18	+0	-10	-7	+11	1.2
2038	35	MLB	OAK	335	280	66	12	1	17	51	93	1	0	0	.236	.355	.468	.823	.232	.282	28	15	.362	135	+13	+0	-10	-6	+9	0.7
2039	36	MLB	OAK	276	233	53	10	0	14	41	79	0	0	0	.227	.343	.451	.794	.223	.278	29	15	.351	127	+8	+0	-10	-5	+8	0.1
2040	37	MLB	OAK	213	179	39	7	0	10	32	63	0	0	0	.218	.336	.425	.761	.207	.273	30	15	.340	118	+4	+0	-10	-4	+6	-0.4
2041	38	MLB	OAK	146	124	26	5	0	6	21	45	0	0	0	.210	.324	.395	.719	.185	.267	31	14	.327	108	+1	+0	-10	-3	+4	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7499	6299	1624	312	14	438	1117	1931	22	48	12	.258	.371	.520	.892	.263	.299	26	15	.388	155	+464	+5	-152	-134	+212	40.3
/ 162G	—			650	546	141	27	1	38	97	167	2	4	1	.258	.372	.520	.892	.262	.299	26	15	.388	155	+40	+0	-13	-12	+18	3.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	AA	Midland RockHounds	15	13	4	1	0	0	2	3	0	1	0	.308	.400	.385	.785	.077	.400	20	13	.360	133	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2024	21	A	Stockton Ports	35	25	10	2	0	4	10	7	0	0	0	.400	.571	.960	1.531	.560	.429	20	29	.614	328	+9	+0	—	—	+1	1.0
2024	21	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	60	51	18	3	2	2	9	16	0	0	0	.353	.450	.608	1.058	.255	.485	27	15	.458	209	+7	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2025	22	MLB	Athletics	489	420	122	26	2	36	63	151	2	2	1	.290	.385	.619	1.004	.329	.364	31	13	.428	186	+47	+0	-9	-10	+14	4.3
2025	22	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	97	84	27	7	0	7	10	26	0	0	0	.321	.389	.655	1.044	.333	.377	27	10	.436	192	+10	+0	—	—	+3	1.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			489	420	122	26	2	36	63	151	2	2	1	.290	.385	.619	1.004	.329	.364	31	13	.428	186	+47	+0	-9	-10	+14	4.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Kurtz (OGILVIE)	23	50	60	50	60	.260/.370/.522	.262	.294	30	6	24%	14%	157	+4.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
★Bryce Harper 2016 · MLB	23	55→60	61→65	45→50	64	.284/.392/.519	.234	.326	29	7	21%	15%	163	+6.1	.273/.393/.507	.234	.312	28	11	21%	16%	161	+6.0	.262/.385/.504	.242	.309	30	10	24%	16%	144	+5.0
★Juan Soto 2021 · MLB	22	56→61	63→65	51→50	67	.291/.403/.543	.252	.322	30	11	19%	16%	174	+6.9	.283/.424/.512	.229	.304	27	9	16%	20%	174	+6.9	.270/.405/.529	.260	.284	33	16	18%	18%	163	+7.2
★Adam Dunn 2004 · MLB	24	45→51	62→70	48→50	65	.241/.374/.475	.234	.286	29	13	26%	16%	146	+4.9	.249/.377/.521	.272	.296	35	7	27%	16%	158	+5.8	.248/.380/.531	.283	.291	37	5	27%	16%	150	+5.9
★Yordan Alvarez 2021 · MLB	24	51→57	67→70	45	50	.274/.345/.537	.264	.325	36	5	27%	10%	151	+5.3	.283/.367/.550	.267	.319	35	3	22%	11%	163	+6.1	.299/.400/.579	.280	.313	37	2	17%	13%	171	+6.2
★Prince Fielder 2008 · MLB	24	50→60	65→70	44→45	55	.271/.358/.526	.255	.290	34	5	20%	10%	154	+5.4	.278/.384/.532	.254	.301	33	3	19%	13%	164	+6.2	.277/.403/.519	.241	.299	30	1	18%	16%	146	+5.8
★Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2022 · MLB	23	55→62	62→65	46→45	57	.291/.369/.522	.231	.304	31	4	16%	10%	157	+5.7	.288/.362/.502	.214	.306	27	5	16%	10%	148	+5.1	.295/.377/.485	.190	.316	22	4	14%	11%	140	+5.1
★Cody Bellinger 2019 · MLB	24	48→58	62→70	55→50	52	.257/.336/.490	.233	.304	29	13	26%	10%	134	+4.1	.262/.352/.502	.240	.289	30	13	21%	12%	144	+4.8	.281/.343/.473	.191	.300	24	14	15%	8%	127	+3.5
★Giancarlo Stanton 2013 · MLB	23	49→56	71→80	45	49	.269/.346/.558	.289	.317	39	7	28%	10%	157	+5.7	.266/.362/.522	.256	.328	34	7	28%	13%	154	+5.4	.271/.358/.548	.277	.318	39	2	27%	11%	148	+5.5
★Kris Bryant 2017 · MLB	25	54→58	64→65	48→50	51	.278/.365/.524	.246	.347	31	10	28%	10%	155	+5.5	.282/.383/.513	.231	.334	27	7	22%	12%	160	+5.9	.277/.386/.502	.225	.327	26	4	22%	12%	151	+5.1
★Mark Teixeira 2005 · MLB	25	50→59	64→65	45→40	53	.271/.350/.517	.247	.291	31	4	20%	9%	148	+5.1	.288/.371/.541	.253	.311	31	3	18%	11%	162	+6.0	.299/.398/.555	.256	.318	31	1	16%	13%	164	+6.7
★Anthony Rizzo 2015 · MLB	25	50→56	59→65	41→45	55	.263/.347/.476	.213	.287	27	6	19%	10%	136	+4.2	.278/.379/.510	.232	.296	27	9	16%	11%	157	+5.7	.281/.390/.519	.238	.293	28	9	15%	12%	152	+6.1
●Eric Chavez 2001 · MLB	23	52→54	58→65	45	57	.271/.348/.480	.209	.289	26	5	17%	11%	137	+4.3	.279/.344/.511	.232	.296	29	7	17%	9%	144	+4.8	.276/.364/.507	.231	.291	29	7	16%	12%	138	+4.6
★Lance Berkman 2001 · MLB	25	54→64	61→70	48→50	61	.283/.373/.521	.238	.306	28	10	18%	12%	157	+5.7	.304/.407/.570	.266	.334	30	7	17%	14%	183	+7.4	.302/.416/.568	.266	.329	30	6	17%	15%	173	+7.7
●Michael Conforto 2018 · MLB	25	51→55	59→65	44→45	52	.267/.346/.485	.218	.313	26	4	23%	10%	137	+4.3	.267/.365/.490	.223	.321	28	5	24%	12%	147	+5.0	.268/.372/.484	.216	.322	27	5	24%	13%	141	+3.9
★Shohei Ohtani 2019 · MLB	25	53→58	65→80	49→55	50	.279/.352/.531	.251	.341	32	15	27%	10%	152	+5.3	.265/.342/.500	.235	.329	29	18	27%	10%	140	+4.5	.295/.395/.616	.321	.335	41	29	24%	14%	173	+7.8
★Mike Trout 2016 · MLB	24	58→65	64→70	54→60	59	.295/.395/.556	.260	.349	29	15	23%	13%	174	+6.9	.302/.422/.567	.265	.350	31	20	21%	16%	187	+7.8	.308/.447/.586	.278	.350	32	25	20%	18%	182	+7.4
★Miguel Cabrera 2006 · MLB	23	58→68	60→65	44→45	52	.299/.365/.519	.221	.340	27	3	20%	9%	154	+5.5	.315/.392/.546	.231	.354	27	5	18%	11%	172	+6.7	.336/.426/.601	.265	.348	34	3	14%	13%	181	+8.3
★Rafael Devers 2022 · MLB	25	52→58	63→65	40→45	49	.280/.341/.520	.240	.310	31	6	21%	8%	145	+4.9	.276/.347/.510	.234	.309	30	5	21%	9%	145	+4.9	.262/.359/.499	.237	.303	31	3	23%	12%	135	+4.6
★Troy Glaus 2002 · MLB	25	48→52	69→70	45→50	64	.265/.379/.553	.287	.292	36	10	23%	15%	167	+6.4	.253/.356/.489	.236	.282	30	10	22%	13%	142	+4.6	.254/.361/.501	.246	.280	33	2	22%	13%	142	+4.5
●Fernando Tatis Jr. 2023 · MLB	24	50→54	70	55	52	.273/.355/.557	.284	.316	39	23	27%	11%	160	+5.9	.268/.339/.480	.212	.308	27	23	22%	9%	134	+4.1	.267/.346/.461	.194	.306	24	25	21%	10%	125	+3.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)