Jessada Brown — OGILVIE

Jessada BrownC FCL Marlins

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 200 lbs ROK HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 119 proj PA

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .253 / .268

PA119

HR2

K%36

BB%7

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	ROK	2 teams	—	121	106	13	1	0	2	8	58	4	7	1	123	212	189	401	66	224	48	7	173	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK	2 teams	—	121	101	17	1	0	2	13	40	4	7	1	168	288	238	526	69	242	33	11	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	MIA	—	119	108	21	3	1	2	8	43	2	2	0	194	263	296	559	102	289	36	7	241	43	-8	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	MIA	30%	198	179	34	5	1	3	14	68	3	4	1	190	260	279	540	89	291	34	7	252	51	-11	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	MIA	44%	289	262	52	8	2	5	21	97	4	5	1	198	268	302	570	103	291	34	7	259	56	-14	+1	+0	+5	+8	-0.0
2029	26	MLB	MIA	51%	351	318	64	10	2	6	25	116	5	7	1	201	270	302	572	101	291	33	7	263	59	-16	+1	+0	+6	+10	0.1
2030	27	MLB	MIA	52%	383	347	70	11	2	7	28	126	5	7	1	202	271	305	577	104	291	33	7	264	61	-17	+1	+0	+7	+11	0.2
2031	28	MLB	MIA	53%	401	362	73	12	2	7	30	132	6	7	1	202	274	304	578	102	290	33	7	263	60	-18	+1	-1	+7	+11	0.1
2032	29	MLB	MIA	53%	405	366	73	12	2	7	30	134	6	7	1	199	271	301	572	101	289	33	7	261	58	-19	+1	-1	+7	+11	-0.1
2027	24	MLB	MIA	30%	60	55	11	2	0	1	4	21	1	1	0	200	267	291	558	91	286	35	7	238	40	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	MIA	44%	128	116	23	4	1	2	9	43	2	2	0	198	268	302	569	103	286	34	7	245	45	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2029	26	MLB	MIA	51%	178	160	32	5	1	3	13	59	3	3	1	200	273	300	573	100	286	33	7	249	49	-10	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.2
2030	27	MLB	MIA	52%	201	181	37	6	1	4	15	66	3	4	1	204	276	315	591	110	286	33	7	250	50	-11	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.2
2031	28	MLB	MIA	53%	214	193	38	6	1	4	16	71	3	4	1	197	269	301	569	104	285	33	7	249	49	-12	+0	-0	+4	+6	-0.2
2032	29	MLB	MIA	53%	213	192	38	6	1	4	16	71	3	4	1	198	270	302	572	104	285	33	8	248	48	-13	+0	-1	+4	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	994	897	179	29	5	18	73	331	15	18	4	200	271	303	574	104	291	33	7	248	48	-59	+2	-1	+18	+28	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	117	19	3	12	48	216	10	12	3	199	272	303	575	104	290	33	7	248	48	-38	+1	-1	+12	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	2267	2048	400	62	12	39	164	774	35	46	7	195	267	294	561	99	289	34	7	256	54	-118	+6	-2	+40	+64	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	114	18	3	11	47	222	10	13	2	194	266	291	557	97	288	34	7	256	54	-34	+2	-1	+12	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	37	32	5	1	0	1	2	14	1	2	0	156	229	281	510	125	211	38	5	222	28	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	22	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	84	69	12	0	0	1	11	26	3	5	1	174	313	217	531	43	256	31	13	261	58	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,111	19	20	200	267	302	+20	+16	-0.0	0.1
	/162	664	12	12	200	267	302	+11.9	+9.6	-0.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jessada Brown (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	186/253/268	82	289	2	2	36%	7%	43	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	34	40→45	53→50	34	176/209/269	93	256	6	9	34%	4%	22	-3.7	215/263/298	83	301	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39	40→45	50→45	37	189/243/279	90	293	7	9	36%	6%	40	-2.4	181/265/289	108	254	11	5	31%	9%	54	-1.4	161/255/263	101	223	11	3	31%	10%	40	-1.3
✕Joe Donovan 2022 · A	23	39	41→45	52→40	37	183/264/283	100	312	9	10	41%	7%	52	-1.6	185/249/295	110	299	10	5	39%	6%	48	-1.9	171/233/286	115	268	11	2	38%	5%	36	-1.0
✕Grayson Greiner 2016 · A	23	37	38→45	46→30	35	180/230/254	74	285	6	3	38%	6%	28	-3.2	209/261/311	102	295	9	3	31%	6%	56	-1.3	214/272/324	110	288	10	0	28%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Matt Winn 2016 · A	23	40→34	40→50	50→30	37	196/246/288	92	293	7	7	34%	6%	43	-2.2	190/247/324	134	306	16	2	41%	7%	54	-1.4	173/233/309	136	290	16	0	44%	7%	41	-1.5
✕James Parker 2023 · A	23	35→23	42→50	51→45	35	177/230/279	102	291	9	7	41%	6%	35	-2.8	182/248/308	126	328	15	7	45%	8%	50	-1.7	144/223/290	146	256	21	4	50%	9%	33	-1.4
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→50	48→40	39	178/241/285	107	272	11	4	37%	7%	42	-2.3	203/260/325	122	275	13	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Taylor Snyder 2018 · A	23	35→31	43→50	47→50	33	181/224/287	106	270	10	13	36%	4%	34	-2.8	185/234/295	110	296	11	12	39%	5%	40	-2.4	179/230/328	148	260	18	12	38%	5%	47	-1.3
✕Andy Yerzy 2021 · A	23	35	38→50	49→40	35	174/224/252	77	276	5	7	37%	5%	25	-3.5	182/265/327	145	260	18	6	36%	8%	64	-0.8	160/246/298	138	227	19	4	38%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Gift Ngoepe 2013 · A	23	40	37→45	47→50	39	192/249/264	71	295	5	14	35%	6%	39	-2.5	194/253/292	98	314	8	14	38%	7%	48	-1.9	171/250/283	112	296	11	5	43%	9%	43	-0.9
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	37→33	41→40	49→55	33	185/229/278	92	285	8	9	37%	4%	33	-2.9	172/223/263	91	273	9	12	38%	5%	28	-3.2	143/198/223	80	227	9	13	40%	5%	4	-2.5
✕Tyler Grimes 2013 · A	23	38	41→40	46→40	41	184/265/285	101	288	8	8	36%	8%	53	-1.5	205/278/297	92	316	7	5	34%	7%	60	-1.0	204/278/288	84	318	5	2	34%	7%	56	-0.7
✕Chris Okey 2018 · A	23	34	38→45	48→40	36	169/228/242	73	279	6	5	40%	6%	24	-3.5	181/236/284	103	274	12	4	36%	6%	39	-2.5	203/255/307	104	286	10	2	31%	5%	49	-0.5
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→45	45→40	34	173/222/254	81	276	7	4	39%	5%	24	-3.5	183/241/264	81	308	8	5	40%	6%	36	-2.7	115/169/126	12	224	0	0	46%	5%	-33	-1.4
✕Maverick Handley 2022 · A	24	39	41→40	53→50	40	184/267/283	99	306	9	16	39%	8%	53	-1.5	197/288/298	101	277	10	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	191/290/281	90	261	9	10	28%	9%	60	-0.5
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	39→29	42→45	51→60	39	193/259/298	104	285	9	12	34%	6%	53	-1.5	180/251/274	94	284	8	13	37%	7%	44	-2.1	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Chris Hess 2018 · A	23	39→34	37→45	49→30	38	187/245/270	83	282	3	5	33%	6%	39	-2.5	194/251/308	114	284	11	4	34%	4%	52	-1.6	181/239/309	128	257	14	1	34%	4%	46	-1.6
✕Brandon Downes 2016 · A	23	39→36	44→55	49→50	34	197/240/316	119	292	11	12	36%	4%	49	-1.8	196/248/347	151	297	17	11	38%	5%	61	-1.0	183/239/344	161	276	20	10	40%	5%	54	-0.9