Vance Honeycutt

OF Frederick Keys

Age 24 R/R 6'3" / 205 lbs A+ HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

Scout OFP45ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	A+Aberdeen Iron…	436	.171/.283/.275	5	32	1	—	.114/.194/.177
2026	23	AABAL	84	.288/.381/.616	5	10	120	—	.250/.321/.513
2026	23	A+BAL	257	.182/.289/.359	10	28	16	—	.121/.194/.237
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBBAL	2	.156/.228/.273	0	0	38	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBBAL	106	.162/.235/.289	3	4	44	-0.4
2029PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBBAL	174	.168/.241/.299	5	6	49	-0.6

Next 3 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Speed99

ISO97

wOBA94

wRC+93

Chase%80

Whiff%64

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsPhillip Sikes (age 25) · Will Holland (age 25) · Tanner English (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†38

AVG/OBP/SLG.156 / .228 / .273

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%8

BABIP277

ISO119

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT34

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED65

scouting grade only

DEFENSE70

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	20	20	2	0	0	0	0	11	0	0	0	100	100	100	200		222	55	0	90	-83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	36	31	7	1	0	0	4	13	1	4	2	226	333	258	591	32	389	36	11	284	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	436	374	64	12	6	5	56	178	3	32	7	171	283	275	559	104	309	41	13	261	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	84	73	21	7	1	5	9	21	2	10	1	288	381	616	997	329	340	25	11	429	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Frederick Keys	—	257	220	40	9	0	10	30	110	3	28	4	182	289	359	648	177	291	43	12	290	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	35	23	5	1	0	3	10	11	1	3	0	217	471	652	1.123	435	200	31	29	461	198	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	20	20	1	0	0	0	0	14	0	0	0	50	50	50	100		189	70	0	46	-83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	36	32	6	1	0	0	3	17	1	4	2	188	278	219	497	31	353	47	8	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	436	395	45	8	4	3	36	230	3	32	7	114	194	177	371	63	250	53	8	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	84	76	19	6	1	4	6	26	2	10	1	250	321	513	835	263	314	31	7	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	257	232	28	6	0	7	18	144	3	28	4	121	194	237	431	116	229	56	7	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	56	52	7	1	0	0	3	32	1	4	2	135	196	154	350	19	350	57	5	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	56	51	9	1	0	0	4	24	1	4	2	176	250	196	446	20	333	43	7	215	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	436	395	45	8	4	3	36	230	3	32	7	114	194	177	371	63	259	53	8	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	436	374	64	12	6	5	56	178	3	32	7	171	283	275	559	104	309	41	13	261	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	376	338	51	13	1	12	27	187	6	41	5	151	226	302	528	151	273	50	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	376	316	66	17	1	18	49	142	6	41	5	209	326	440	766	231	300	38	13	337	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	56	52	7	1	0	0	3	32	1	4	2	135	196	154	350	19	294	57	5	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	436	394	45	8	4	3	36	230	3	32	7	114	194	178	371	63	250	53	8	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	376	340	51	13	1	12	27	187	6	41	5	150	226	300	526	150	250	50	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	56	52	7	1	0	0	3	32	1	4	2	135	196	154	350	19	294	57	5	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	436	394	45	8	4	3	36	230	3	32	7	114	194	178	371	63	250	53	8	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	376	340	51	13	1	12	27	187	6	41	5	150	226	300	526	150	250	50	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	380	345	53	11	2	8	29	175	3	17	3	153	226	266	491	113	272	46	8	225	38	-28	+2	+3	-2	+8	-1.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	BAL	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	156	228	273	501	117	277	50	0	228	38	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	BAL	30%	349	316	50	10	2	8	27	157	3	14	2	159	233	281	514	122	274	45	8	234	44	-23	+2	+3	-2	+8	-1.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	BAL	44%	393	355	59	12	2	10	31	172	4	14	2	164	238	292	529	127	275	44	8	240	49	-24	+2	+3	-2	+9	-1.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	BAL	30%	106	96	16	3	1	3	8	48	1	4	1	162	235	289	524	126	279	45	8	238	44	-7	+0	+1	-1	+2	-0.4
2029	26	MLB CTX	BAL	44%	174	156	27	5	1	5	14	76	2	6	1	168	241	299	540	132	280	44	8	244	49	-11	+1	+1	-1	+4	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	280	252	43	8	2	8	22	124	3	10	2	171	245	313	559	143	287	44	8	242	32	-18	+1	+2	-2	+6	-1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	101	19	5	19	51	288	7	23	5	173	247	320	567	147	290	44	8	242	32	-41	+3	+5	-4	+14	-2.3
Career	—	MLE		—	1926	1742	256	53	11	40	148	924	20	119	20	147	222	259	481	112	274	48	8	216	32	-70	+6	+8	-6	+23	-4.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	86	18	4	13	50	312	7	40	7	146	222	257	479	111	274	48	8	216	32	-43	+4	+5	-4	+14	-2.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael A. Taylorlast yr '25 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,758 PA	5.7	3,758	108	128	232	288	380	+12	+64	13.3	12.9
/162	664	19	23	+2.1	+11.2	2.3	pk7: 13
#2Gil Coan'46-'56 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,166 PA	4.8	3,166	39	83	245*	295*	383*	-30	+48	5.7	6.9
/162	664	8	17	-6.3	+10.2	1.2	pk7: 8
#3Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Dave McCarty'93-'05 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,647 PA	2.5	1,647	36	9	233*	295*	365*	-26	+16	-1.1	0.5
/162	664	15	4	-10.5	+6.6	-0.4	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	281	7	11	163	234	289	-2	+8	-1.1	-0.5
/162	664	16	25	-4.0	+18.9	-2.5	pk7: 0
#6Howie Schultz'43-'48 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	24	15	233*	271*	383*	-30	-2	-3.6	-3.6
/162	664	9	6	-11.8	-0.7	-1.4	pk7: -4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Vance Honeycutt (OGILVIE)	24	34	50	65	49	151/224/264	112	272	7	14	46%	8%	38	-1.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Phillip Sikes 2024 · AA	25	38→37	44→45	58→55	39	190/260/306	116	291	11	27	37%	7%	60	-1.6	192/259/305	113	293	12	21	37%	6%	60	-1.6	176/247/286	110	265	13	20	37%	6%	49	-1.2
✕Will Holland 2023 · AA	25	38→36	43→45	57→60	40	181/265/294	113	305	11	24	41%	8%	61	-1.5	190/272/297	107	286	10	29	34%	8%	63	-1.3	174/260/274	101	253	9	34	33%	8%	52	-0.9
✕Tanner English 2018 · AAA	25	36→44	41→45	60→55	38	173/250/274	101	299	8	27	42%	8%	50	-2.3	175/230/273	98	292	8	19	40%	5%	41	-3.0	158/202/252	95	255	6	19	39%	4%	23	-1.8
✕Logan Cerny 2024 · A	24	35→25	45	55	34	176/239/293	117	301	14	23	44%	7%	49	-2.4	173/232/281	108	282	13	22	41%	6%	45	-2.7	147/209/251	104	229	13	26	41%	6%	27	-2.0
✕Jackson Loftin 2024 · AAA	24	37→34	41→40	59→65	43	184/266/276	92	257	9	33	30%	8%	57	-1.8	184/252/281	97	272	9	26	34%	7%	52	-2.2	129/194/213	83	197	8	34	37%	6%	12	-2.0
✕Jaylen Palmer 2024 · AAA	24	33→43	42→45	54→55	37	158/242/257	99	308	11	23	48%	9%	44	-2.8	186/261/300	114	343	12	21	45%	8%	60	-1.6	185/261/296	112	334	12	22	45%	8%	55	-1.0
✕Michael Reed 2019 · AA	24	41→42	45	58→55	34	204/242/329	125	305	12	27	37%	5%	58	-1.7	196/249/304	108	303	11	22	37%	6%	55	-1.9	185/249/270	85	306	7	22	39%	7%	44	-0.6
✕Ashton Creal 2023 · A	24	38	41→40	54→55	39	183/258/280	97	290	8	22	37%	7%	54	-2.0	192/267/282	90	334	8	15	41%	7%	58	-1.7	135/227/179	45	293	7	12	51%	7%	18	-1.0
✕Shawn Goosenberg 2024 · A	24	40→38	42→45	56→55	41	196/265/296	100	285	10	23	33%	7%	60	-1.6	197/250/309	112	295	11	18	35%	6%	57	-1.8	184/234/312	127	273	14	18	37%	5%	49	-1.7
✕Mason Auer 2024 · AA	23	41→47	44→45	62→60	38	201/261/322	122	305	11	34	36%	6%	64	-1.3	191/249/304	113	284	10	26	34%	6%	55	-1.9	157/214/266	109	220	9	31	32%	5%	32	-2.0
✕Max Ferguson 2024 · A	24	37→35	40	61→60	47	178/265/267	89	273	7	30	35%	10%	54	-2.0	184/259/278	94	263	9	26	31%	9%	54	-2.0	179/256/271	92	242	11	27	29%	9%	48	-1.7
✕Omar De Los Santos 2024 · A	24	37→40	42→45	58→65	28	179/222/277	99	314	10	35	45%	4%	39	-3.1	176/222/283	107	296	12	38	43%	5%	40	-3.0	149/196/260	111	237	13	54	42%	5%	23	-1.7
✕Junior Arias 2016 · A	24	41→44	43→45	58→60	34	204/244/307	103	305	11	32	36%	4%	53	-2.1	213/257/346	133	326	16	19	38%	5%	68	-1.0	203/241/373	169	305	22	17	40%	4%	65	-0.5
✕LeDarious Clark 2019 · A	25	36→33	45	53→55	38	181/247/303	122	291	13	20	40%	7%	55	-2.0	197/260/309	112	301	12	14	36%	6%	61	-1.5	150/197/253	102	212	15	7	37%	3%	25	-0.9
✕Marland Williams 2006 · AA	25	42→40	42→45	62→60	39	205/250/309	104	286	9	32	31%	6%	56	-1.9	185/243/299	114	315	11	30	42%	7%	52	-2.2	157/222/270	113	285	12	34	47%	7%	35	-1.9
✕Maddux Houghton 2024 · A	25	40	40	58→55	40	183/258/275	92	312	6	20	40%	8%	53	-2.1	187/253/288	101	310	9	22	40%	7%	53	-2.1	172/236/273	102	283	10	28	40%	6%	41	-1.3
✕Jose Torres 2024 · AA	24	36→34	42→45	53→55	37	183/238/282	98	269	11	17	35%	6%	47	-2.6	184/237/284	100	283	11	14	37%	6%	47	-2.6	172/225/269	98	261	12	14	38%	5%	36	-1.7
✕Corey Ray 2019 · AA	24	39→37	47→50	55	36	194/250/333	139	305	14	22	39%	6%	63	-1.4	196/250/328	132	320	14	15	41%	6%	61	-1.5	170/215/299	128	268	15	12	41%	5%	39	-1.3
✕Junior Perez 2024 · A	23	39→40	43→50	55	39	185/256/292	108	313	10	25	42%	8%	56	-1.9	183/253/316	133	294	14	24	40%	8%	60	-1.6	172/245/318	146	265	16	25	39%	8%	56	-1.4
✕Jawuan Harris 2021 · A	24	37→27	40	54→55	41	171/260/263	92	306	7	18	42%	9%	51	-2.2	178/258/261	83	372	6	20	48%	9%	50	-2.3	92/196/136	44	239	2	38	56%	10%	-2	-1.7

Vance Honeycutt

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps