Jack Findlay
P
Springfield Cardinals
Age 23
LHP
6'3" / 220 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION36 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132141vR 151
ERA5.88
FIP5.88
K%17.1%
BB%18.3%
K-BB%-1.2%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 97 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 61 | 274 | 67 | 39 | 2 | 0% | 1.8 | 17.3% | 17.8% | -0.4% | 1.1% | 4.90 | 4.52 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 61 | 274 | 67 | 39 | 2 | 0% | 1.8 | 24.5% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 0.7% | 4.90 | 3.25 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 28 | 0 | 36 | 157 | 42 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.0% | 14.7% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.54 | 5.26 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | STL | 59 | 0 | 62 | 260 | 44 | 48 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.1% | 18.3% | -1.2% | 2.8% | 5.88 | 5.88 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | STL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.1% | 18.3% | -1.2% | 2.8% | 5.88 | 5.88 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | STL | — | — | 97 | 417 | 86 | 67 | 11 | — | — | 20.7% | 16.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 5.39 | 5.65 | -0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | STL | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 17.1% | 18.3% | -1.2% | 2.8% | 5.88 | 5.50 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | STL | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 49 | 43 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.3% | 16.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.58 | 5.49 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | STL | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 51 | 40 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 14.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.35 | 5.26 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | STL | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 53 | 39 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.5% | 14.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 5.23 | 5.19 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | STL | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.3% | 16.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.58 | 5.49 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | STL | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 35 | 27 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 14.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.35 | 5.26 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | STL | 49 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 42 | 31 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.5% | 14.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 5.23 | 5.19 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 117 | 0 | 122 | 517 | 99 | 77 | 14 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 14.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 5.36 | 4.91 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 162 | 126 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 14.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 5.36 | 4.91 | +1.2 | ||
| Career | — | 61 | 0 | 96 | 431 | 81 | 72 | 9 | 0% | 1.6 | 18.7% | 16.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.76 | 4.79 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 127 | 0 | 200 | 895 | 167 | 149 | 19 | 0% | 1.6 | 18.7% | 16.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.76 | 4.79 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jack Findlay (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.88 | 17.1% | 18.3% | 2.8% | — | 5.31 | 19.0% | 3.9% | 191 | -0.57 | — | — | — |
| Cole Reynolds L 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.81 | 16.4% | 16.2% | 1.9% | .304 | 5.26 | 17.3% | 0.4% | 52 | +0.45 | 4.81 | 108 | 86 |
| Chris Nunn L 2027 · 5.94 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.94 | 13.9% | 16.8% | 3.4% | .350 | 3.97 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 37 | -1.97 | 3.26 | 180 | 85 |
| Fabian Williamson L 2029 · 5.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.34 | 17.4% | 17.9% | 2.6% | .289 | 4.25 | 20.0% | 8.2% | 77 | -1.09 | 3.46 | 154 | 85 |
| Gerardo Concepción L 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.35 | 14.0% | 18.5% | 2.0% | .352 | 4.75 | 16.9% | 6.5% | 60 | -0.60 | 4.75 | 104 | 85 |
| Austin Hamilton L 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.92 | 17.0% | 15.6% | 2.3% | .329 | 4.18 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 109 | -0.74 | 4.06 | 135 | 85 |
| Juan Pichardo L 2026 · 4.95 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.95 | 17.7% | 17.1% | 2.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.13 | 103 | 84 |
| Nicolo Pinazzi L 2026 · 6.69 FIP | 23 | SU | 6.69 | 19.3% | 26.9% | 3.3% | .307 | 2.70 | 28.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -3.99 | 2.70 | 122 | 84 |
| Chris Reed L 2028 · 4.92 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.92 | 15.4% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .284 | 4.84 | 16.4% | 6.6% | 81 | -0.08 | 4.84 | 137 | 84 |
| Jackson Lancaster L 2027 · 5.05 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.05 | 18.9% | 17.6% | 2.4% | .315 | 4.92 | 19.3% | 7.1% | 107 | -0.13 | 4.28 | 127 | 83 |
| Justin Storm L 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.78 | 15.6% | 17.7% | 1.4% | .237 | 3.16 | 20.3% | 6.3% | 35 | -1.62 | 3.16 | 146 | 83 |
| Bryan King L 2027 · 5.31 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.31 | 17.4% | 17.8% | 2.6% | .317 | 2.89 | 24.7% | 14.5% | 77 | -2.42 | 2.49 | 226 | 83 |
| José Manuel Fernández L 2026 · 6.36 FIP | 23 | SU | 6.36 | 16.4% | 19.7% | 3.9% | .211 | 4.71 | 17.7% | 6.4% | 168 | -1.65 | 3.35 | 263 | 83 |
| Max Herrmann L 2027 · 5.09 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.09 | 15.0% | 17.9% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.45 | 12.2% | 0.8% | 152 | -0.64 | 3.92 | 168 | 82 |
| Gil Luna L 2027 · 5.36 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.36 | 22.5% | 24.5% | 1.9% | .303 | 5.05 | 19.7% | -6.0% | 73 | -0.31 | 4.57 | 113 | 81 |
| Dillon Larsen L 2027 · 6.31 FIP | 24 | SU | 6.31 | 21.7% | 21.6% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.57 | 18.0% | -4.1% | 91 | -1.74 | 4.04 | 120 | 81 |
| Wes Helsabeck L 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.71 | 14.1% | 17.6% | 1.0% | .241 | 3.69 | 20.3% | 12.8% | 76 | -1.02 | 2.94 | 153 | 80 |
| Adrian Almeida L 2026 · 5.53 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.53 | 19.1% | 24.5% | 1.7% | .223 | 5.03 | 19.9% | -4.6% | 59 | -0.50 | 4.24 | 188 | 80 |
| Julian Bosnic L 2026 · 5.78 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.78 | 22.5% | 21.0% | 3.5% | .206 | 4.70 | 19.1% | -0.1% | 90 | -1.08 | 4.28 | 136 | 80 |
| Evan Shawver L 2026 · 5.70 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.70 | 15.9% | 16.5% | 3.4% | .327 | 4.09 | 19.2% | 7.6% | 142 | -1.61 | 4.01 | 258 | 79 |
| Aaron Brown L 2028 · 4.91 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.91 | 15.0% | 17.6% | 1.6% | .348 | 4.23 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.68 | 3.88 | 269 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 63 | 18.5% | 15.9% | 1.07 | 5.51 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |