Jack Findlay — OGILVIE

Jack Findlay P Springfield Cardinals

Age 23 LHP 6'3" / 220 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION52 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132140vR 149

ERA6.08

FIP6.08

K%17.1%

BB%19.9%

K-BB%-2.8%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL2020

CMD3030

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	61	274	67	39	2	0%	1.8	17.3%	17.8%	-0.4%	1.1%	4.90	4.50	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	61	274	67	39	2	0%	1.8	17.3%	17.8%	-0.4%	1.1%	4.90	4.50	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	0	61	274	67	39	2	0%	1.8	24.5%	14.2%	10.2%	0.7%	4.90	3.25	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	44	0	52	237	64	27	5	0%	1.2	21.5%	13.3%	8.2%	2.9%	4.47	4.56	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	44	0	52	237	64	27	5	0%	1.2	21.5%	13.3%	8.2%	2.9%	4.47	4.56	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A+ RAW	STL	7	0	7	30	9	2	0	0%	1.0	30.0%	6.7%	23.3%	0.0%	4.05	1.41	—
2026	23	AA RAW	STL	37	0	46	207	55	25	5	0%	1.2	26.6%	12.1%	14.5%	2.4%	4.53	3.71	—
ROS	23	MLB MLE	STL	5	0	5	22	4	4	1	0%	1.0	17.1%	19.9%	-2.8%	2.8%	6.08	6.08	-0.1
2026 TOT	23	MLB MLE	STL	—	—	58	259	68	31	6	—	—	26.2%	12.1%	14.1%	2.2%	4.62	4.69	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	STL	60	0	63	266	49	46	7	0%	1.1	18.3%	17.3%	1.1%	2.8%	5.74	5.64	-0.8
2028	25	MLB MLE	STL	61	0	64	270	51	42	7	0%	1.0	19.1%	15.6%	3.5%	2.8%	5.47	5.36	-0.6
2027	24	MLB CTX	STL	27	0	28	118	22	20	3	0%	1.0	18.3%	17.3%	1.1%	2.8%	5.74	5.64	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	STL	41	0	43	182	35	28	5	0%	1.0	19.1%	15.6%	3.5%	2.8%	5.47	5.36	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		67	0	71	298	56	48	8	0%	1.1	18.8%	16.3%	2.5%	2.8%	5.58	5.09	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	159	136	23	0%	1.1	18.8%	16.3%	2.5%	2.8%	5.58	5.09	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		77	0	113	511	99	80	10	0%	1.5	19.3%	15.7%	3.6%	1.9%	4.70	4.53	-1.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		136	0	200	904	174	142	18	0%	1.5	19.3%	15.7%	3.6%	1.9%	4.70	4.53	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jack Findlay (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.08	17.1%	19.9%	2.8%	—	5.50	18.7%	2.3%	127	-0.58	—	—	—
Chris Nunn L 2015 · 5.49 FIP	24	SU	5.49	13.9%	16.8%	2.6%	.350	3.92	19.3%	6.7%	37	-1.57	3.30	180	87
Gerardo Concepción L 2015 · 5.40 FIP	23	SU	5.40	14.0%	18.5%	2.1%	.352	4.53	16.9%	6.5%	60	-0.87	4.53	104	86
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	85
Nicolo Pinazzi L 2023 · 6.79 FIP	23	SU	6.79	19.3%	26.9%	3.5%	.307	2.58	30.1%	16.3%	62	-4.21	2.58	155	85
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	84
José Manuel Fernández L 2016 · 6.16 FIP	23	SU	6.16	16.4%	19.7%	3.5%	.211	4.71	17.7%	6.4%	168	-1.45	3.35	263	84
Chris Reed L 2015 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.4%	14.5%	2.3%	.284	4.67	16.4%	6.6%	81	-0.25	4.67	137	83
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	83
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	83
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	82
Max Herrmann L 2017 · 5.09 FIP	24	SU	5.09	15.0%	17.9%	1.8%	.333	4.37	12.2%	0.8%	152	-0.72	3.93	168	82
Bryan King L 2021 · 5.20 FIP	24	SU	5.20	17.4%	17.8%	2.4%	.317	2.86	24.0%	14.5%	77	-2.34	2.45	239	81
Adrian Almeida L 2018 · 5.49 FIP	23	SU	5.49	19.1%	24.5%	1.6%	.223	5.10	19.9%	-4.6%	59	-0.39	4.27	188	80
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	79
Aaron Brown L 2017 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	15.0%	17.6%	1.6%	.348	4.38	19.8%	5.2%	127	-0.58	4.04	269	78
Brayan Restituyo L 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SU	5.53	17.4%	17.3%	3.1%	.312	4.76	17.6%	5.6%	151	-0.77	3.66	239	78
Evan Shawver L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	15.9%	16.5%	3.5%	.327	4.11	18.1%	7.1%	162	-1.67	3.92	278	77
Eric Torres L 2023 · 6.62 FIP	23	SU	6.62	21.2%	19.8%	5.1%	.283	4.18	26.5%	10.4%	56	-2.44	2.81	155	77
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	77
Levi Prater L 2022 · 6.76 FIP	23	SU	6.76	15.8%	23.5%	3.6%	.225	—	—	—	—	—	6.76	110	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	63	18.2%	17.5%	1.07	5.76
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99