Devin Hurdle — OGILVIE

Devin HurdleSS Hickory Crawdads

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 190 lbs A+ HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .263 / .285

PA6

HR0

K%32

BB%7

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	23	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	86	76	16	2	0	0	9	26	0	3	1	211	294	237	531	26	320	30	10	250	55	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	24	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	72	63	11	2	0	0	6	19	3	1	2	175	278	206	484	32	250	26	8	238	47	-5	-1	—	—	+2	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	23	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	86	79	14	2	0	0	6	36	0	3	1	177	235	203	438	25	320	42	7	198	20	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2024	24	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	72	65	10	2	0	0	4	26	3	1	2	154	236	185	421	31	232	36	6	182	9	-8	-1	—	—	+2	-0.7
2023	23	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	86	79	14	2	0	0	6	36	0	3	1	177	235	203	438	25	326	42	7	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	—	86	76	16	2	0	0	9	26	0	3	1	211	294	237	531	26	320	30	10	250	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	72	65	10	2	0	0	4	26	3	1	2	154	236	185	421	31	256	36	6	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	72	63	11	2	0	0	6	19	3	1	2	175	278	206	484	32	250	26	8	238	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	86	80	14	2	0	0	6	36	0	3	1	175	235	200	435	25	320	42	7	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	72	65	10	2	0	0	4	26	3	1	2	154	236	185	421	31	232	36	6	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	86	80	14	2	0	0	6	36	0	3	1	175	235	200	435	25	320	42	7	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	72	65	10	2	0	0	4	26	3	1	2	154	236	185	421	31	232	36	6	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	26	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		289	33	0	252	57	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	TEX	26%	117	107	23	4	1	2	8	36	1	2	1	215	276	327	603	112	289	31	7	259	62	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2027	27	MLB CTX	TEX	26%	30	28	5	1	0	0	2	9	0	1	0	179	233	214	448	36	291	30	7	254	62	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	30	28	5	1	0	0	2	9	0	1	0	179	233	214	448	36	263	30	7	254	35	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	607	109	22	0	0	43	195	0	22	0	180	234	216	450	36	265	30	7	254	35	-30	+4	+0	+7	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	281	257	48	8	1	2	18	100	4	6	4	187	251	249	500	62	295	36	6	221	35	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	112	19	2	5	42	231	9	14	9	189	252	253	505	64	297	36	6	221	35	-30	+0	+0	+7	+14	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Devin Hurdle (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	199/263/285	86	289	1	1	32%	7%	57	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	38	39→45	50→55	41	183/248/269	86	262	6	14	31%	6%	47	-2.5	191/270/312	121	306	13	16	39%	8%	66	-1.1	174/262/298	124	289	15	19	41%	9%	58	-1.1
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→30	40→45	48→60	36	177/241/266	89	277	7	11	37%	6%	45	-2.7	186/269/301	115	281	11	21	35%	9%	63	-1.4	179/271/301	122	264	12	28	34%	10%	62	-0.8
✕McCarthy Tatum 2022 · AA	26	34→25	41→50	45→50	35	172/236/266	94	276	10	6	40%	6%	42	-2.9	201/258/317	116	289	11	10	33%	5%	62	-1.4	201/254/329	128	278	11	11	31%	4%	60	-0.5
✕Seaver Whalen 2021 · A	26	40	40→50	48→50	40	197/266/289	91	267	8	6	28%	5%	59	-1.6	206/275/328	122	265	12	10	26%	4%	72	-0.7	172/249/306	133	210	14	10	25%	3%	57	-0.7
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	37→39	42→45	45→50	39	185/255/296	111	276	9	10	35%	7%	57	-1.8	191/270/296	105	294	8	13	35%	8%	62	-1.4	163/254/261	99	255	6	16	35%	9%	49	-1.1
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	41→45	48→30	43	190/254/280	91	265	9	6	31%	7%	52	-2.2	214/281/329	115	298	12	3	30%	8%	73	-0.6	208/278/322	114	287	13	1	30%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Mark Thomas 2014 · AA	26	38→41	42→45	48→45	38	192/238/297	105	260	9	6	29%	5%	49	-2.4	174/227/294	120	256	12	5	35%	6%	45	-2.7	145/197/276	131	201	15	3	36%	5%	27	-1.5
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	32	42→40	49→45	41	168/229/263	95	238	11	5	34%	7%	38	-3.2	192/259/282	90	264	8	8	28%	8%	54	-2.0	175/250/251	77	232	6	7	26%	9%	40	-1.1
✕Bryan Arias 2023 · AA	26	39	43→45	51→50	40	191/266/297	106	296	11	14	37%	8%	61	-1.5	204/277/306	102	299	9	14	32%	8%	67	-1.1	198/298/294	96	261	9	24	25%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	37→38	37→40	43→45	44	179/255/251	73	251	5	8	29%	7%	47	-2.6	194/257/270	76	290	5	7	32%	7%	51	-2.3	168/234/218	51	258	3	3	33%	7%	28	-2.1
✕Angelo Castellano 2021 · AA	26	39→44	39→45	47→50	41	192/246/277	85	255	7	12	27%	6%	48	-2.5	199/261/296	97	255	10	12	25%	7%	58	-1.7	201/270/309	108	245	12	14	23%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Aaron Schunk 2023 · AA	26	40→44	43→45	48→50	37	203/250/316	113	283	11	9	32%	5%	58	-1.7	218/263/335	117	297	11	10	29%	5%	68	-1.0	218/263/335	116	292	11	10	28%	5%	65	-0.9
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/260/306	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	205/263/313	108	295	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/310	115	279	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Caleb Hamilton 2021 · AAA	26	39	41→45	45	43	195/255/293	98	270	8	9	30%	7%	55	-1.9	181/266/305	124	275	14	6	37%	10%	63	-1.4	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	175/237/270	95	265	8	7	36%	7%	43	-2.8	201/267/311	110	285	10	8	31%	7%	64	-1.3	188/261/294	106	261	9	5	30%	7%	54	-1.0
✕Jake Washer 2022 · A	26	36	38→60	49→30	35	174/228/249	75	289	6	8	40%	6%	34	-3.5	199/245/341	142	295	18	6	38%	5%	63	-1.4	199/243/390	191	280	31	2	41%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Brady Policelli 2021 · A	26	41→39	43→45	51→50	43	201/265/317	115	273	10	13	29%	7%	64	-1.3	192/253/305	113	274	11	13	32%	7%	57	-1.8	160/217/269	108	224	11	18	33%	6%	32	-1.8
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→36	46→50	48→50	39	184/244/306	122	245	15	10	31%	6%	55	-2.0	208/254/339	131	279	15	10	30%	5%	65	-1.2	211/259/339	128	274	14	10	28%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2023 · A	25	41→43	40→45	47→50	45	199/275/284	85	276	8	13	29%	8%	61	-1.5	209/281/317	108	288	11	11	29%	8%	71	-0.8	172/253/309	136	226	17	8	31%	9%	57	-0.5
✕Matt Whatley 2022 · AA	26	40→38	38→40	45→50	45	194/267/268	75	278	6	14	31%	8%	54	-2.0	189/250/280	91	266	10	9	31%	6%	51	-2.3	166/228/249	83	225	11	8	31%	6%	34	-1.3