Chris Cortez — OGILVIE

Chris Cortez P Rocket City Trash Pandas

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 210 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION59 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142134vR 126

ERA5.73

FIP5.73

K%18.4%

BB%19.4%

K-BB%-1.0%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 65 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4550

CTRL3035

CMD3545

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	22	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	26	26	114	513	114	84	5	100%	4.4	17.1%	18.8%	-1.7%	1.2%	4.28	4.71	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	26	26	114	513	114	84	5	100%	4.4	17.1%	18.8%	-1.7%	1.2%	4.28	4.71	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Tri-City Dust Devils	26	26	114	513	114	84	5	100%	4.4	22.2%	16.4%	5.8%	1.0%	4.28	3.88	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	44	5	59	279	66	59	4	11%	1.3	19.0%	23.7%	-4.8%	1.7%	4.76	5.46	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	44	5	59	279	66	59	4	11%	1.3	19.0%	23.7%	-4.8%	1.7%	4.76	5.46	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A+ RAW	LAA	5	5	17	86	13	26	1	100%	3.5	15.1%	30.2%	-15.1%	1.2%	4.67	6.29	—
2026	23	AA RAW	LAA	39	0	41	193	53	33	3	0%	1.1	27.5%	17.1%	10.4%	1.6%	4.79	3.80	—
ROS	23	MLB MLE	LAA	6	0	6	27	5	5	1	0%	1.1	18.4%	19.4%	-1.0%	2.5%	5.73	5.73	-0.1
2026 TOT	23	MLB MLE	LAA	—	—	65	306	71	64	5	—	—	23.2%	21.0%	2.2%	1.5%	4.85	5.48	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	LAA	130	0	137	578	114	95	14	0%	1.1	19.7%	16.4%	3.3%	2.5%	5.39	5.26	-1.1
2028	25	MLB MLE	LAA	132	0	139	586	120	85	15	0%	1.1	20.4%	14.5%	5.9%	2.5%	5.10	4.97	-0.7
2029	26	MLB MLE	LAA	132	0	139	586	122	83	15	0%	1.1	20.8%	14.1%	6.7%	2.5%	4.96	4.90	-0.6
2030	27	MLB MLE	LAA	130	0	137	577	120	81	15	0%	1.1	20.8%	14.0%	6.8%	2.6%	4.93	4.92	-0.6
2031	28	MLB MLE	LAA	126	0	132	559	116	79	15	0%	1.1	20.7%	14.2%	6.5%	2.7%	4.98	5.01	-0.7
2032	29	MLB MLE	LAA	120	0	126	534	109	77	15	0%	1.1	20.4%	14.4%	6.0%	2.8%	5.07	5.14	-0.8
2033	30	MLB MLE	LAA	113	0	119	502	101	74	15	0%	1.1	20.1%	14.7%	5.4%	3.0%	5.22	5.32	-1.0
2027	24	MLB CTX	LAA	57	0	60	253	50	42	6	0%	1.1	19.7%	16.4%	3.3%	2.5%	5.39	5.26	-0.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	LAA	89	0	93	393	80	57	10	0%	1.0	20.4%	14.5%	5.9%	2.5%	5.10	4.97	-0.4
2029	26	MLB CTX	LAA	105	0	110	464	97	66	12	0%	1.0	20.8%	14.1%	6.7%	2.5%	4.96	4.90	-0.4
2030	27	MLB CTX	LAA	111	0	117	494	103	69	13	0%	1.1	20.8%	14.0%	6.8%	2.6%	4.93	4.92	-0.5
2031	28	MLB CTX	LAA	112	0	118	498	103	71	13	0%	1.1	20.7%	14.2%	6.5%	2.7%	4.98	5.01	-0.6
2032	29	MLB CTX	LAA	110	0	115	486	99	70	14	0%	1.0	20.4%	14.4%	6.0%	2.8%	5.07	5.14	-0.8
2033	30	MLB CTX	LAA	105	0	110	464	93	68	14	0%	1.0	20.1%	14.7%	5.4%	3.0%	5.22	5.32	-0.9
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		688	0	723	3052	625	442	82	0%	1.1	20.5%	14.5%	6.0%	2.7%	5.07	4.68	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	173	122	23	0%	1.1	20.5%	14.5%	6.0%	2.7%	5.07	4.68	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		70	31	172	792	141	163	11	44%	2.5	17.8%	20.6%	-2.8%	1.4%	4.44	4.97	-5.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		81	36	200	919	163	189	13	44%	2.5	17.8%	20.6%	-2.8%	1.4%	4.44	4.97	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chris Cortez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.73	18.4%	19.4%	2.5%	—	5.04	20.3%	5.3%	414	-0.69	—	—	—
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	75
Yohan Ramírez R 2018 · 4.72 FIP	23	SW	4.72	18.2%	14.6%	2.4%	.243	4.16	27.6%	10.7%	172	-0.56	2.80	678	71
James McArthur R 2019 · 5.04 FIP	22	SP-	5.04	18.8%	15.5%	2.9%	.304	4.41	20.0%	10.7%	131	-0.63	3.53	352	71
Cole Percival R 2022 · 5.21 FIP	23	SU	5.21	15.4%	14.5%	2.9%	.297	4.27	17.9%	5.9%	182	-0.94	3.58	327	71
Jon Keller R 2016 · 5.48 FIP	23	SW	5.48	15.3%	20.9%	1.9%	.265	3.84	8.9%	-2.9%	15	-1.64	3.64	156	71
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	70
Jhonny Polanco R 2015 · 4.75 FIP	23	SW	4.75	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.06	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.69	4.06	116	70
Cole Aker R 2019 · 5.60 FIP	22	SW	5.60	19.5%	20.6%	2.8%	.239	6.17	12.0%	-9.9%	28	+0.57	3.60	147	69
Ted Stuka R 2021 · 5.72 FIP	24	SW	5.72	12.4%	23.4%	1.3%	.262	6.22	15.9%	-13.1%	41	+0.50	5.36	105	69
Henry Henry R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	23	SW	4.65	18.1%	16.3%	1.8%	.354	5.29	13.5%	-3.4%	68	+0.64	2.65	348	69
Adrian Chaidez R 2022 · 5.75 FIP	23	SP-	5.75	20.1%	15.0%	4.5%	.281	4.96	19.4%	3.1%	45	-0.79	4.96	144	68
Carlos Polanco R 2017 · 5.71 FIP	23	SU	5.71	13.9%	20.0%	2.3%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.70	276	68
Kris Hall R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	18.3%	17.8%	1.5%	.281	7.01	12.7%	-7.8%	34	+2.38	4.63	106	68
Jared Kelley R 2023 · 5.03 FIP	21	SW	5.03	18.9%	19.4%	1.9%	.365	4.90	16.4%	0.7%	99	-0.13	4.25	250	67
Kyle Miller R 2017 · 4.68 FIP	23	SW	4.68	12.1%	12.0%	2.0%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.83	164	67
Nic Swanson R 2022 · 6.18 FIP	23	SP-	6.18	18.5%	15.9%	4.8%	.302	4.74	18.6%	7.7%	284	-1.44	4.29	438	67
Luis Rujano R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	20	SW	4.68	17.1%	16.6%	1.7%	.309	4.74	17.4%	0.9%	149	+0.06	4.54	202	67
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	67
Anyelo Gómez R 2016 · 4.66 FIP	23	SW	4.66	17.1%	12.2%	2.7%	.292	2.66	24.2%	15.6%	68	-2.00	2.66	145	67
Miguel Almonte R 2016 · 4.89 FIP	23	SW	4.89	17.7%	13.4%	2.9%	.344	3.86	21.4%	11.9%	67	-1.03	3.06	247	66

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	5.3	133	20.2%	15.2%	1.02	5.17
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12