Chris Cortez
P
Rocket City Trash Pandas
Age 23
RHP
6'1" / 210 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
peak 1.1 · 2031
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 134 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146136vR 127
ERA5.64
FIP5.64
K%18.4%
BB%18.6%
K-BB%-0.3%
ROS IP134
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 172 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 26 | 26 | 114 | 513 | 114 | 84 | 5 | 100% | 4.4 | 17.1% | 18.8% | -1.7% | 1.2% | 4.28 | 4.71 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 26 | 26 | 114 | 513 | 114 | 84 | 5 | 100% | 4.4 | 22.2% | 16.4% | 5.8% | 1.0% | 4.28 | 3.88 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 27 | 5 | 38 | 188 | 38 | 44 | 2 | 19% | 1.4 | 16.1% | 26.4% | -10.3% | 1.3% | 5.21 | 5.80 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | LAA | 127 | 0 | 134 | 565 | 104 | 105 | 14 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.4% | 18.6% | -0.3% | 2.5% | 5.64 | 5.64 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | LAA | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.4% | 18.6% | -0.3% | 2.4% | 5.62 | 5.62 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 172 | 753 | 142 | 149 | 16 | — | — | 18.8% | 19.8% | -1.0% | 2.1% | 5.54 | 5.68 | -0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 3 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | — | — | 18.4% | 18.6% | -0.3% | 2.4% | 5.62 | 5.23 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | LAA | 24 | 24 | 137 | 578 | 114 | 92 | 14 | 100% | 5.7 | 19.7% | 15.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 5.31 | 5.19 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 24 | 24 | 139 | 586 | 120 | 82 | 15 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.4% | 14.1% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 5.04 | 4.91 | +0.8 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 23 | 23 | 139 | 586 | 122 | 80 | 15 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.8% | 13.7% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 4.91 | 4.85 | +0.9 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 23 | 23 | 137 | 577 | 120 | 79 | 15 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.8% | 13.6% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 4.88 | 4.87 | +0.8 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | LAA | 11 | 11 | 60 | 253 | 50 | 40 | 6 | 100% | 5.5 | 19.7% | 15.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 5.29 | 5.17 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 16 | 16 | 93 | 393 | 80 | 55 | 10 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.4% | 14.1% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 5.02 | 4.89 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 18 | 18 | 110 | 464 | 97 | 64 | 12 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.8% | 13.7% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 4.89 | 4.83 | +0.7 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 20 | 20 | 117 | 494 | 103 | 67 | 13 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.8% | 13.6% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 4.86 | 4.85 | +0.8 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 67 | 64 | 383 | 1615 | 332 | 229 | 40 | 96% | 5.7 | 20.5% | 14.2% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 4.98 | 4.53 | +3.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 174 | 120 | 21 | 96% | 5.7 | 20.5% | 14.2% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 4.98 | 4.53 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 53 | 31 | 152 | 701 | 118 | 146 | 9 | 58% | 2.9 | 16.8% | 20.9% | -4.0% | 1.2% | 4.51 | 5.00 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 70 | 41 | 200 | 924 | 156 | 193 | 11 | 58% | 2.9 | 16.8% | 20.9% | -4.0% | 1.2% | 4.51 | 5.00 | +0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chris Cortez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.64 | 18.4% | 18.6% | 2.5% | — | 4.98 | 20.3% | 5.8% | 414 | -0.66 | — | — | — |
| James McArthur R 2025 · 5.37 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.37 | 18.8% | 15.5% | 3.5% | .304 | 4.20 | 20.0% | 10.7% | 131 | -1.17 | 3.53 | 352 | 75 |
| Ramsey David R 2027 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.23 | 18.6% | 17.4% | 2.7% | .219 | 7.27 | 19.1% | -0.7% | 30 | +2.04 | 5.23 | 107 | 75 |
| Adrian Chaidez R 2026 · 5.66 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.66 | 20.1% | 15.0% | 4.3% | .281 | 4.68 | 19.4% | 3.1% | 45 | -0.98 | 4.68 | 144 | 74 |
| Gabriel Encinas R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.45 | 20.9% | 17.0% | 1.8% | .291 | 5.52 | 17.3% | -10.3% | 47 | +1.07 | 2.92 | 145 | 73 |
| Cobi Johnson R 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.34 | 16.0% | 14.8% | 3.1% | .257 | 4.62 | 19.9% | 1.4% | 41 | -0.72 | 4.62 | 140 | 72 |
| Matt Ruppenthal R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.55 | 19.1% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .290 | 4.24 | 21.4% | 6.5% | 143 | -0.31 | 3.72 | 283 | 71 |
| Zach Linginfelter R 2027 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.72 | 19.1% | 16.0% | 4.0% | .295 | 4.94 | 18.8% | -0.6% | 46 | -0.78 | 3.58 | 109 | 71 |
| Keith Weisenberg R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.75 | 15.5% | 19.0% | 1.0% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 162 | 70 |
| Yohan Ramírez R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.76 | 18.2% | 14.6% | 2.5% | .243 | 4.16 | 27.6% | 10.7% | 172 | -0.60 | 3.19 | 652 | 70 |
| Ike Buxton R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.93 | 16.8% | 15.2% | 2.4% | .241 | 4.68 | 14.8% | -0.6% | 123 | -0.25 | 4.52 | 196 | 70 |
| Nic Swanson R 2026 · 6.33 FIP | 23 | SP- | 6.33 | 18.5% | 15.9% | 5.1% | .302 | 4.59 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 284 | -1.74 | 4.09 | 414 | 70 |
| Blake Quinn R 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.32 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 3.1% | .328 | 4.28 | 17.1% | 3.3% | 48 | -1.04 | 4.28 | 122 | 70 |
| Jacob Cravey R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.13 | 15.7% | 12.6% | 3.2% | .246 | 7.57 | 11.0% | -7.2% | 28 | +2.44 | 5.13 | 204 | 70 |
| Luke Anderson R 2026 · 6.07 FIP | 23 | SW | 6.07 | 17.7% | 14.7% | 4.7% | .363 | 5.70 | 15.4% | -11.1% | 34 | -0.37 | 5.12 | 130 | 69 |
| Anyelo Gómez R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.85 | 17.1% | 12.2% | 3.0% | .292 | 2.69 | 24.2% | 15.6% | 68 | -2.16 | 2.69 | 145 | 69 |
| Tyler Brashears R 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.54 | 12.1% | 13.0% | 3.3% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 156 | 69 |
| Jose Dicochea R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.88 | 18.1% | 14.5% | 2.7% | .306 | 4.99 | 16.7% | 5.0% | 120 | +0.11 | 4.63 | 336 | 69 |
| Grant Ford R 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.34 | 20.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .300 | 4.57 | 19.0% | 4.5% | 112 | -0.77 | 3.96 | 188 | 68 |
| Ben Casparius R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.20 | 20.6% | 13.2% | 4.0% | .306 | 4.44 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 274 | -0.76 | 3.49 | 364 | 68 |
| R.J. Freure R 2025 · 5.19 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.19 | 21.7% | 18.5% | 2.9% | .286 | 5.88 | 21.4% | 4.2% | 107 | +0.69 | 5.19 | 196 | 68 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 137 | 20.0% | 15.2% | 0.97 | 5.15 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Tyson Ross ('19) | 4 | 107 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 0.84 | 4.31 |
| Francisco Liriano ('19) | 5 | 130 | 22.3% | 11.2% | 1.09 | 4.30 |
| Yovani Gallardo ('18) | 4 | 132 | 15.4% | 10.2% | 1.18 | 4.97 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| Dakota Hudson ('24) | 6 | 92 | 15.0% | 11.1% | 0.91 | 4.25 |