Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | AZL Padres | 11 | 6 | 35 | 158 | 37 | 13 | 0 | 55% | 3.2 | 15.9% | 10.3% | 5.6% | 0.0% | 4.89 | 3.06 | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | AZL Padres | 11 | 6 | 35 | 158 | 37 | 13 | 0 | 55% | 3.2 | 23.4% | 8.2% | 15.2% | 0.0% | 4.89 | 2.10 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | AZL Padres 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 27.3% | 0.0% | 27.3% | 4.5% | 1.50 | 3.29 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | AZL Padres 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 27.3% | 0.0% | 27.3% | 4.5% | 1.50 | 3.27 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 7 | 2 | 18 | 83 | 11 | 14 | 0 | 29% | 2.5 | 9.8% | 19.9% | -10.1% | 0.0% | 8.66 | 4.79 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 7 | 2 | 18 | 83 | 11 | 14 | 0 | 29% | 2.5 | 13.3% | 16.9% | -3.6% | 0.0% | 8.66 | 4.23 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 43 | 0 | 81 | 336 | 80 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.9 | 17.6% | 3.9% | 13.8% | 0.9% | 3.32 | 2.59 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 43 | 0 | 81 | 336 | 80 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.9 | 23.8% | 3.3% | 20.5% | 0.9% | 3.32 | 2.02 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 38 | 0 | 67 | 289 | 59 | 31 | 3 | 0% | 1.8 | 16.5% | 11.8% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 3.90 | 4.13 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 38 | 0 | 67 | 289 | 59 | 31 | 3 | 0% | 1.8 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 1.0% | 3.90 | 3.31 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 34 | 10 | 80 | 372 | 83 | 55 | 5 | 29% | 2.3 | 18.1% | 16.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 5.20 | 4.83 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 34 | 10 | 80 | 372 | 83 | 55 | 5 | 29% | 2.3 | 22.3% | 14.8% | 7.5% | 1.3% | 5.20 | 3.90 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 3 | 50 | 228 | 37 | 35 | 4 | 9% | 1.5 | 12.9% | 17.0% | -4.1% | 3.2% | 5.19 | 5.92 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 3 | 50 | 228 | 37 | 35 | 4 | 9% | 1.5 | 16.2% | 15.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 5.19 | 4.75 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 0 | 18 | 94 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 15.2% | 16.4% | -1.2% | 0.8% | 9.82 | 4.34 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 0 | 18 | 94 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.2% | 13.8% | 6.4% | 1.1% | 9.82 | 3.86 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | NYM | 14 | 0 | 15 | 64 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 4.57 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | NYM | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 4.59 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | NYM | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 4.59 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 4.59 | 4.24 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 191 | 82 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 4.59 | 4.24 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 183 | 22 | 355 | 1582 | 257 | 195 | 25 | 12% | 1.9 | 16.3% | 12.3% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 4.84 | 4.15 | +5.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 103 | 12 | 200 | 890 | 145 | 110 | 14 | 12% | 1.9 | 16.3% | 12.3% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 4.84 | 4.15 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Henry Henry (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 21.9% | 10.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.63 | 21.9% | 11.4% | 20 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 80 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 79 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 79 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 22.7% | 9.4% | 2.9% | .417 | 2.87 | 19.5% | 13.2% | 71 | -1.12 | 1.94 | 143 | 78 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .339 | 3.34 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.90 | 3.31 | 166 | 78 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.59 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 40 | -0.49 | 2.74 | 188 | 78 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 78 |
| Caleb Bolden R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.55 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 222 | 78 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2028 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 77 |
| Carter Rustad R 2024 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 77 |
| Grant Sides R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 77 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 77 |
| Holt Jones R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.13 | 24.2% | 11.4% | 3.0% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 217 | 77 |
| Rob Scahill R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 77 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 77 |
| Jake Stinnett R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.07 | 21.1% | 12.2% | 2.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 356 | 77 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2029 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 76 |
| Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.43 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 1.7% | .321 | 2.78 | 28.2% | 18.4% | 140 | -0.65 | 2.29 | 538 | 76 |
| Tanner Kohlhepp R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.74 | 23.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 150 | 76 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 76 |