Mathieu Vallee

CF New Hampshire Fisher Cats
Age 26 L/R AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2196MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202625AA/A+/ROKTOR168.310/.394/.36602686—.279/.345/.325
2027PROJMLE26MLBTOR2.222/.287/.3160071-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB27MLBTOR35.222/.287/.3190172-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Whiff%89
Z-Con%86
K%84
Chase%65
wRC+62
wOBA59
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsDonta' Williams (age 25) · Cam Gibson (age 25) · Jackson Cluff (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†71
AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .287 / .316
PA2
HR0
K%50
BB%8
BABIP294
ISO71
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +2.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.00.02728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202625 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats — 7870 22300 7141 120 314385357742 43393 189 342 93 — — — — — —
202625 A+Vancouver Canadians — 6858 18500 7101 72 310394397790 86375 1510 350 85 — — — — — —
202625 ROKFCL Blue Jays — 2217 5000 321 71 294429294723 312 914 334 62 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202625 AA MLENew Hampshire Fisher Cats — 7872 22300 5171 120 306359347706 42389 226 306 93 — — — — — —
202625 A+ MLEVancouver Canadians — 6860 16400 5141 72 267333333667 67338 217 294 85 — — — — — —
202625 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 2218 4000 231 71 222333222556 242 149 260 62 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLE3 teams — 168151 42700 11333 263 278339325664 46353 207 295 86 — — — — — —
202625 AA RAW3 teams — 168145 45800 17263 263 310394366759 55375 1510 344 86 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLE3 teams — 168152 42700 11333 263 276339322662 46349 207 295 86 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202625 AA MLE3 teams — 168152 42700 11333 263 276339322662 46349 207 295 86 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLETOR 2% 218198 44813 16572 81 221286315601 94293 267 273 71 -8 +1 +0 +1 +5 0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXTOR 2% 22 0000 010 00 222287316603 94294 500 273 71 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLETOR 27% 132120 27512 10351 51 221287318604 96293 278 274 72 -4 +1 +0 +0 +3 -0.1
202827 MLB CTXTOR 27% 3532 6100 390 10 222287319606 96294 269 275 72 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 3532 6100 390 10 188257219476 31261 269 275 77 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650594 1121900 561670 190 189258221479 32262 269 275 77 -22 +4 +0 +2 +14 -0.2
Career— MLE — 392355 871513 28925 344 245309318628 73321 237 283 77 -8 +1 +0 +1 +5 -0.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650589 1452525 461538 567 246309321630 75323 247 283 77 -22 +3 +0 +2 +14 -0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 78 PAwOBA .333 → .306 (−28)K% 17.9% → 21.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.95%÷1.000×1.220——21.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.97%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9886.21%
HBP% /PA1.28%—×0.850—×0.9881.08%
Singles /BIP33.93%÷1.000×0.970×1.050×0.98834.14%
Doubles /BIP5.36%÷1.000×0.860×1.050×0.9884.78%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.950×1.050×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9880.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .333 → .306; ISO .043 → .038; BABIP .393 → .389. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Vancouver Canadians · 68 PAwOBA .341 → .294 (−47)K% 14.7% → 19.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.71%÷1.000×1.350——19.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.29%÷1.000×0.710—×0.9687.07%
HBP% /PA1.47%—×0.810—×0.9681.15%
Singles /BIP27.08%÷1.000×0.910×1.050×0.96825.05%
Doubles /BIP10.42%÷1.000×0.830×1.050×0.9688.79%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.820×1.050×0.9680.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.830—×0.9680.00%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .341 → .294; ISO .086 → .074; BABIP .375 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKFCL Blue Jays · 22 PAwOBA .342 → .260 (−82)K% 9.1% → 13.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA9.09%÷1.000×1.440——13.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.64%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9407.95%
HBP% /PA4.55%—×0.720—×0.9403.08%
Singles /BIP33.33%÷1.000×0.820—×0.94025.69%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9400.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9400.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9400.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .342 → .260; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .312 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).