Paul Witt — OGILVIE

Paul WittC Harrisburg Senators

Age 28 R/R 5'11" / 170 lbs AA HR -9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.4 · 2026

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .277 / .359

PA170

HR5

K%26

BB%7

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

32→32

PWR

48→48

SPD

42→42

EYE

37→37

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.6peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.5M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$1M		$-0.6M	-$2M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A	2 teams	118	111	12	3	0	0	4	28	1	1	0	.108	.147	.135	.282	.027	.141	24	3	.136	-38	-18	+0	+0	+2	+3	-1.3
2022	24	ROK	3 teams	126	109	23	6	1	2	9	38	6	0	0	.211	.306	.339	.646	.128	.304	30	7	.279	72	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2023	25	A	2 teams	265	246	45	10	1	9	13	67	3	1	1	.183	.233	.341	.574	.159	.208	25	5	.246	47	-16	-0	+0	+5	+8	-0.4
2024	26	AA	2 teams	256	238	40	12	0	8	11	79	3	0	0	.168	.214	.319	.534	.151	.209	31	4	.223	29	-20	+0	+0	+5	+7	-0.9
2025	27	AA	2 teams	63	55	10	3	0	1	5	10	2	0	0	.182	.274	.291	.565	.109	.205	16	8	.241	42	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	WSH	170	155	34	7	1	5	11	44	2	2	1	.219	.280	.374	.654	.155	.272	26	6	.286	77	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB 9%	WSH	243	222	49	10	1	7	16	63	3	3	1	.221	.282	.369	.652	.149	.274	26	7	.288	78	-6	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.4
2028	30	MLB 19%	WSH	290	264	58	12	1	8	20	76	4	3	1	.220	.285	.364	.648	.144	.274	26	7	.287	78	-7	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.4
2029	31	MLB 29%	WSH	278	254	55	12	1	7	19	73	3	2	0	.217	.279	.354	.633	.138	.273	26	7	.285	77	-7	+0	-3	+5	+8	0.3
2030	32	MLB 40%	WSH	258	235	50	11	1	6	18	69	3	2	0	.213	.277	.345	.622	.132	.272	27	7	.282	74	-8	+0	-4	+5	+7	0.1
2031	33	MLB 49%	WSH	228	207	43	9	1	5	16	63	3	2	0	.208	.274	.333	.608	.126	.271	28	7	.276	70	-8	+0	-4	+4	+6	-0.1
2032	34	MLB 57%	WSH	186	169	35	7	1	4	13	53	2	1	0	.207	.272	.331	.603	.124	.269	28	7	.270	65	-7	+0	-5	+3	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			2481	2265	454	102	9	62	155	663	35	17	4	.200	.262	.336	.598	.135	.252	27	6	.264	61	-111	+2	-19	+44	+70	-1.3
/ 162G	—			650	593	119	27	2	16	41	174	9	4	1	.201	.263	.334	.597	.133	.253	27	6	.264	61	-29	+0	-5	+12	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	53	53	7	2	0	0	0	10	0	1	0	.132	.132	.170	.302	.038	.163	19	0	.134	-39	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2021	23	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	65	55	8	2	0	0	7	10	1	0	0	.145	.254	.182	.436	.036	.170	15	11	.209	19	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2022	24	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	31	29	8	2	0	1	1	8	1	0	0	.276	.323	.448	.771	.172	.350	26	3	.342	120	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	24	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	20	15	4	2	0	1	3	5	2	0	0	.267	.450	.600	1.050	.333	.333	25	15	.456	207	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	24	ROK	FCL Nationals	75	61	18	4	1	1	9	14	3	0	0	.295	.411	.443	.854	.148	.370	19	12	.376	146	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2023	25	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	23	18	4	2	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	.222	.333	.333	.667	.111	.308	30	9	.283	75	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	25	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	242	217	48	11	1	10	20	40	2	1	1	.221	.290	.419	.710	.198	.226	17	8	.312	97	-1	-0	—	—	+7	0.6
2024	26	AA	Harrisburg Senators	181	169	34	9	0	8	8	44	1	0	0	.201	.242	.396	.638	.195	.220	24	4	.276	69	-6	+0	—	—	+5	-0.1
2024	26	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	75	63	12	5	0	1	9	17	2	0	0	.190	.311	.317	.628	.127	.239	23	12	.289	79	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2025	27	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	19	17	5	1	0	1	2	3	0	0	0	.294	.368	.529	.898	.235	.308	16	11	.393	159	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	27	AA	Harrisburg Senators	44	36	5	2	0	0	5	5	2	0	0	.139	.279	.194	.474	.056	.161	11	11	.233	36	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Paul Witt (OGILVIE)	28	32	48	42	37	.216/.277/.359	.143	.272	5	2	26%	7%	77	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Riley Adams 2023 · MLB	27	42	50	43→40	43	.209/.295/.363	.155	.298	17	4	34%	8%	86	+0.8	.225/.297/.384	.159	.313	17	4	32%	7%	92	+1.2	.221/.291/.378	.157	.312	18	2	33%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Matt Macri 2010 · MLB	28	42→39	49→55	43→45	41	.216/.264/.368	.152	.269	16	7	26%	5%	72	-0.2	.210/.261/.344	.134	.268	14	5	26%	6%	65	-0.7	.206/.257/.332	.127	.262	13	2	26%	6%	59	-0.7
✕Brad Davis 2011 · MLB	28	42	47→50	43→45	44	.213/.270/.353	.141	.266	15	4	26%	7%	72	-0.2	.213/.260/.321	.108	.282	10	6	27%	6%	58	-1.2	.197/.240/.283	.087	.265	6	4	27%	5%	37	-1.1
✕Drew Ellis 2023 · MLB	27	37	52→55	46→40	48	.196/.288/.367	.171	.263	19	6	32%	10%	84	+0.6	.195/.284/.358	.163	.250	20	6	29%	10%	80	+0.4	.173/.269/.328	.156	.208	22	3	29%	10%	63	-0.3
✕Dustin Garneau 2017 · MLB	29	40→38	49→50	45	45	.211/.268/.357	.146	.241	18	6	22%	6%	72	-0.2	.207/.272/.362	.155	.252	18	4	25%	7%	76	+0.0	.184/.263/.355	.171	.225	21	0	29%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Stevie Berman 2023 · AAA	28	39	46→50	48→40	48	.200/.287/.330	.129	.255	14	5	26%	9%	73	-0.1	.215/.296/.335	.120	.285	13	7	27%	9%	79	+0.3	.199/.298/.266	.067	.267	9	0	27%	12%	60	-0.2
✕René Rivera 2011 · AAA	28	44→33	49→55	44→30	38	.228/.262/.375	.147	.283	18	3	27%	4%	74	-0.1	.222/.266/.348	.126	.275	13	3	24%	5%	69	-0.4	.222/.278/.416	.193	.274	30	0	31%	6%	88	+0.4
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB	28	37→39	46→50	46→45	50	.191/.285/.319	.128	.261	14	9	31%	11%	70	-0.3	.189/.283/.313	.124	.261	14	10	31%	11%	68	-0.5	.168/.270/.287	.119	.228	14	8	31%	11%	54	-0.9
✕Brian O'Keefe 2021 · AA	28	41→42	46→55	45→40	47	.209/.282/.338	.130	.264	14	4	26%	8%	73	-0.1	.212/.271/.370	.158	.289	21	5	33%	7%	76	+0.1	.198/.262/.368	.171	.244	22	1	29%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Dan Butler 2015 · MLB	28	43→39	45	44→40	45	.213/.274/.334	.121	.264	12	3	24%	6%	69	-0.4	.217/.279/.315	.098	.282	7	3	24%	7%	65	-0.7	.214/.284/.310	.095	.269	9	0	22%	8%	63	-0.3
✕Kevin Richardson 2009 · AAA	28	40	49→50	44→40	39	.209/.268/.352	.143	.283	19	4	32%	6%	71	-0.3	.193/.243/.330	.137	.305	17	4	41%	5%	54	-1.4	.177/.226/.315	.137	.293	18	1	44%	4%	39	-1.1
✕Andrew Susac 2018 · MLB	28	37→39	48→50	47→30	43	.197/.261/.333	.136	.264	16	3	31%	8%	63	-0.9	.206/.283/.350	.144	.290	17	7	33%	9%	76	+0.1	.198/.293/.339	.141	.281	18	0	34%	11%	76	+0.0
✕Zack Collins 2023 · MLB	28	38→42	49→50	46→40	51	.195/.290/.346	.151	.268	16	6	32%	11%	79	+0.3	.210/.290/.356	.146	.319	16	6	36%	10%	81	+0.4	.203/.283/.339	.136	.319	15	4	38%	10%	71	-0.2
✕Grayson Greiner 2021 · MLB	28	40	46→45	45→30	44	.206/.272/.331	.125	.276	15	4	30%	8%	66	-0.6	.196/.260/.306	.110	.334	12	5	42%	7%	55	-1.4	.177/.244/.263	.086	.329	9	1	46%	8%	34	-0.9
✕Steve Holm 2007 · AA	27	39	51→50	46→40	42	.211/.271/.365	.154	.261	20	4	28%	6%	76	+0.0	.230/.299/.365	.135	.275	15	4	21%	8%	87	+0.8	.229/.301/.349	.119	.270	12	2	19%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Jesus Alberto Vega 2010 · AAA	28	44	45→50	40	42	.219/.277/.343	.123	.274	12	4	25%	6%	72	-0.2	.224/.281/.349	.125	.272	14	4	23%	6%	75	-0.0	.227/.285/.373	.146	.267	19	2	23%	6%	80	+0.1
✕Aaron Sisk 2007 · AA	28	40	50	47→45	43	.211/.269/.364	.152	.271	18	10	29%	7%	74	-0.1	.223/.279/.372	.149	.284	19	8	28%	7%	80	+0.4	.227/.285/.382	.154	.278	22	3	26%	6%	84	+0.3
✕Jack Mayfield 2019 · AAA	28	42→45	50→55	46→50	40	.219/.260/.369	.150	.264	18	8	25%	5%	71	-0.3	.225/.271/.398	.173	.264	22	8	24%	5%	84	+0.6	.213/.259/.384	.171	.243	22	9	23%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Gabe Johnson 2008 · AAA	28	38	48→50	45→40	40	.198/.259/.337	.138	.279	17	5	35%	7%	63	-0.8	.207/.265/.317	.110	.307	10	8	34%	7%	59	-1.1	.179/.239/.258	.079	.273	6	4	35%	7%	31	-0.7
✕Nick Dini 2021 · MLB	28	41	51→50	49→50	41	.218/.267/.371	.153	.255	20	12	24%	5%	76	+0.0	.222/.288/.382	.160	.262	21	9	24%	7%	87	+0.8	.177/.274/.321	.144	.209	21	8	26%	10%	63	-0.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)