Paul Witt — OGILVIE

Paul WittC Harrisburg Senators

Age 28 R/R 5'11" / 170 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .263 / .351

PA170

HR5

K%26

BB%6

ISO143

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 32 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT32

scouting grade only

POWER49

scouting grade only

EYE37

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A	2 teams	—	118	111	13	4	0	0	4	29	1	1	0	117	155	153	308	36	155	25	3	136	-37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A	2 teams	—	118	108	15	4	0	0	7	20	1	1	0	139	198	176	374	37	167	17	6	176	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	ROK	3 teams	—	126	109	23	6	1	2	9	38	6	0	0	211	306	339	646	128	304	30	7	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	ROK	3 teams	—	126	105	30	8	1	3	13	27	6	0	0	286	395	467	862	181	360	21	10	380	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A	2 teams	—	265	247	44	9	1	10	12	68	3	1	1	178	225	344	569	166	198	26	5	246	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A	2 teams	—	265	235	52	13	1	10	22	47	3	1	1	221	294	413	707	191	232	18	8	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	2 teams	—	256	238	40	12	0	8	11	80	3	0	0	168	214	319	534	151	211	31	4	228	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	2 teams	—	256	232	46	14	0	9	17	61	3	0	0	198	262	375	637	177	226	24	7	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA	2 teams	—	63	55	10	3	0	1	5	10	2	0	0	182	274	291	565	109	205	16	8	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA	2 teams	—	63	53	10	3	0	1	7	8	2	0	0	189	306	302	608	113	205	13	11	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	WSH	—	170	157	34	7	1	5	9	43	2	2	1	217	268	369	637	153	258	25	5	275	69	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	WSH	23%	243	224	48	10	1	7	14	62	3	3	1	214	270	362	631	147	260	26	6	278	71	-8	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.2
2028	30	MLB	WSH	35%	290	266	57	12	1	8	18	74	4	3	1	214	274	357	631	143	262	26	6	279	72	-9	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.2
2029	31	MLB	WSH	42%	278	256	53	11	1	7	17	71	3	3	1	207	264	340	604	133	261	26	6	277	70	-9	+0	-3	+5	+8	0.1
2027	29	MLB	WSH	23%	55	51	11	2	0	2	3	14	1	1	0	216	273	373	645	157	260	25	5	269	64	-2	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	30	MLB	WSH	35%	101	93	19	4	0	3	6	26	1	1	0	204	260	344	604	140	262	26	6	270	65	-4	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.0
2029	31	MLB	WSH	42%	116	107	22	5	0	3	7	30	1	1	0	206	261	336	597	131	261	26	6	268	63	-5	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	272	251	52	11	0	8	16	70	3	3	0	207	263	347	610	139	251	26	6	269	64	-11	+1	-2	+5	+8	-0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	124	26	0	19	38	167	7	7	0	207	262	345	607	138	251	26	6	269	64	-26	+1	-5	+12	+18	-0.0
Career	—			—	1809	1663	322	74	6	48	99	475	27	13	5	194	250	332	582	138	238	26	5	256	54	-94	+1	-6	+32	+51	-1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	116	27	2	17	36	171	10	5	2	194	252	331	583	137	239	26	6	256	54	-34	+0	-2	+12	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	53	53	7	2	0	0	0	10	0	1	0	132	132	170	302	38	163	19	0	134	-39	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2021	23	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	65	55	8	2	0	0	7	10	1	0	0	145	254	182	436	36	170	15	11	209	19	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2022	24	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	31	29	8	2	0	1	1	8	1	0	0	276	323	448	771	172	350	26	3	342	120	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	24	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	20	15	4	2	0	1	3	5	2	0	0	267	450	600	1.050	333	333	25	15	456	207	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	24	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	75	61	18	4	1	1	9	14	3	0	0	295	411	443	854	148	370	19	12	376	146	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2023	25	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	23	18	4	2	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	222	333	333	667	111	308	30	9	283	75	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	25	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	242	217	48	11	1	10	20	40	2	1	1	221	290	419	710	198	226	17	8	312	97	-1	-0	—	—	+7	0.6
2024	26	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	181	169	34	9	0	8	8	44	1	0	0	201	242	396	638	195	220	24	4	276	69	-6	+0	—	—	+5	-0.1
2024	26	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	75	63	12	5	0	1	9	17	2	0	0	190	311	317	628	127	239	23	12	289	79	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2025	27	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	19	17	5	1	0	1	2	3	0	0	0	294	368	529	898	235	308	16	11	393	159	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	27	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	44	36	5	2	0	0	5	5	2	0	0	139	279	194	474	56	161	11	11	233	36	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	275	7	3	213	268	355	+5	+4	0.3	0.3
	/162	664	18	7	213	268	355	+11.9	+9.7	0.8	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Paul Witt (OGILVIE)	28	32	49	42	37	209/263/351	142	258	5	2	26%	6%	69	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dustin Garneau 2017 · MLB	29	38→37	48→50	45	43	201/257/335	134	236	16	5	23%	6%	62	-0.9	199/266/341	142	248	16	4	26%	7%	67	-0.5	171/262/347	177	214	22	1	31%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Brad Davis 2011 · MLB	28	43	48→50	44→45	45	219/279/365	145	272	15	5	25%	7%	79	+0.3	213/262/323	110	282	10	6	27%	6%	59	-1.1	198/242/289	91	267	7	4	28%	5%	40	-1.0
✕Matt Macri 2010 · MLB	28	41→38	48→55	43→45	41	212/261/361	149	264	15	7	26%	6%	70	-0.3	210/260/343	133	270	14	5	27%	6%	65	-0.7	204/255/332	128	261	13	2	27%	6%	58	-0.8
✕Chadwick Tromp 2023 · MLB	28	39	51→50	42→40	38	211/243/359	148	254	20	4	27%	4%	61	-1.0	217/272/349	132	274	15	3	26%	7%	71	-0.3	206/267/321	115	263	13	1	26%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Grayson Greiner 2021 · MLB	28	41	48→45	46→30	43	210/274/348	137	279	17	4	30%	8%	72	-0.2	197/260/308	111	344	12	5	43%	7%	56	-1.3	179/245/267	88	331	10	1	45%	7%	36	-0.9
✕Alan Trejo 2023 · MLB	27	40→42	50	40→45	37	212/251/371	159	265	18	5	28%	4%	68	-0.5	215/267/347	132	275	14	9	26%	6%	68	-0.5	211/267/341	130	267	14	7	26%	6%	64	-0.4
✕Andrew Susac 2018 · MLB	28	35→40	48→50	47→30	42	188/252/323	135	255	17	3	33%	8%	56	-1.3	206/283/351	145	293	17	8	33%	9%	77	+0.1	200/295/343	143	281	18	0	33%	11%	78	+0.1
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB	28	37→38	46→50	46→45	51	190/285/315	126	261	13	9	31%	11%	69	-0.4	190/284/317	127	263	14	10	31%	11%	69	-0.4	173/272/299	126	234	15	8	31%	11%	58	-0.7
✕Aramis Garcia 2022 · MLB	29	40→42	47→55	44→45	37	207/255/336	129	285	16	4	33%	5%	61	-1.0	197/239/324	127	269	16	7	33%	4%	51	-1.7	176/253/325	149	241	21	5	36%	7%	57	-0.5
✕Dan Butler 2015 · MLB	28	43→38	43→45	44→40	43	213/270/326	113	269	11	3	25%	6%	64	-0.8	220/284/316	96	287	6	3	24%	7%	67	-0.5	220/291/305	85	286	5	0	23%	8%	65	-0.3
✕Kevin Richardson 2009 · AAA	28	40	49→50	43→40	39	210/268/349	139	283	18	4	32%	6%	70	-0.3	194/243/331	137	309	17	4	41%	5%	55	-1.4	180/227/316	136	295	18	1	44%	4%	40	-1.0
✕Nick Dini 2021 · MLB	28	41	51→50	49→50	42	220/270/377	157	256	20	12	24%	5%	79	+0.3	219/286/373	154	263	20	9	24%	7%	84	+0.6	177/272/313	136	213	19	8	27%	9%	61	-0.4
✕Riley Adams 2023 · MLB	27	41→42	50	42→40	43	209/294/364	155	295	17	3	34%	8%	85	+0.7	225/296/383	158	313	17	4	32%	7%	91	+1.1	219/289/370	151	311	17	2	33%	7%	82	+0.2
✕Brian Serven 2022 · AAA	27	34	49→45	47→30	38	187/238/330	143	232	18	5	29%	4%	53	-1.5	190/252/306	116	254	14	4	30%	7%	52	-1.6	224/307/333	109	327	9	1	31%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Gabe Johnson 2008 · AAA	28	38	49→50	45→40	39	200/259/341	142	281	17	5	35%	7%	64	-0.8	210/268/319	109	310	10	9	33%	7%	62	-0.9	179/240/258	79	274	6	4	35%	7%	32	-0.7
✕Jett Bandy 2018 · MLB	28	44	49→50	44→45	43	225/287/369	144	265	18	5	23%	5%	83	+0.6	211/274/352	141	265	18	6	27%	5%	74	-0.1	186/251/306	120	242	16	2	29%	4%	50	-0.6
✕Wyatt Toregas 2010 · MLB	27	45→40	47→50	43→40	45	226/279/354	127	260	15	4	20%	6%	76	+0.0	207/258/318	111	251	12	6	22%	5%	57	-1.2	171/215/269	98	187	13	0	18%	4%	27	-0.7
✕Lucas May 2012 · MLB	27	40→43	47→55	43→45	40	206/262/338	132	278	15	6	31%	6%	64	-0.8	194/231/301	107	272	10	6	32%	4%	40	-2.4	181/208/272	91	259	7	3	33%	3%	21	-1.5
✕Drew Ellis 2023 · MLB	27	39→37	52→55	46→40	48	203/292/382	179	269	18	6	31%	10%	89	+1.0	195/284/360	165	248	20	6	29%	10%	81	+0.4	169/268/327	158	201	23	3	29%	11%	62	-0.4
✕Aaron Sisk 2007 · AA	28	39	50	48→45	42	207/264/358	151	266	19	10	30%	7%	70	-0.3	224/280/372	148	286	19	8	28%	7%	81	+0.4	227/285/382	154	278	22	3	26%	6%	84	+0.3