Paul Witt — OGILVIE

Paul WittC Harrisburg Senators

Age 28 R/R 5'11" / 170 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .265 / .344

PA13

HR0

K%24

BB%6

ISO134

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER46

scouting grade only

EYE37

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	53	53	7	2	0	0	0	10	0	1	0	132	132	170	302	38	163	19	0	134	-23	-8	+0	—	—	+1	-0.7
2021	23	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	65	55	8	2	0	0	7	10	1	0	0	145	254	182	436	36	170	15	11	209	28	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2022	24	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	31	29	8	2	0	1	1	8	1	0	0	276	323	448	771	172	350	26	3	342	118	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	24	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	20	15	4	2	0	1	3	5	2	0	0	267	450	600	1.050	333	333	25	15	456	195	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2022	24	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	75	61	18	4	1	1	9	14	3	0	0	295	411	443	854	148	370	19	12	376	140	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2023	25	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	23	18	4	2	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	222	333	333	667	111	308	30	9	283	78	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2023	25	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	242	217	48	11	1	10	20	40	2	1	1	221	290	419	710	198	226	17	8	312	97	-1	-0	—	—	+5	0.4
2024	26	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	181	169	34	9	0	8	8	44	1	0	0	201	242	396	638	195	220	24	4	276	73	-6	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2
2024	26	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	75	63	12	5	0	1	9	17	2	0	0	190	311	317	628	127	239	23	12	289	82	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2025	27	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	19	17	5	1	0	1	2	3	0	0	0	294	368	529	898	235	308	16	11	393	152	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2025	27	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	44	36	5	2	0	0	5	5	2	0	0	139	279	194	474	56	161	11	11	233	44	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	53	53	6	2	0	0	0	14	0	1	0	113	113	151	264	38	141	26	0	102	-45	-9	+0	—	—	+1	-0.8
2021	23	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	65	58	7	2	0	0	4	14	1	0	0	121	190	155	346	34	147	22	6	165	-2	-8	+0	—	—	+1	-0.7
2022	24	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	31	29	7	2	0	1	1	11	1	0	0	241	290	414	704	172	312	35	3	254	58	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	24	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	20	16	4	2	0	1	2	7	2	0	0	250	400	562	963	312	298	35	10	342	118	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2022	24	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	75	64	14	3	1	1	6	20	3	0	0	219	315	344	659	125	281	27	8	270	69	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2023	25	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	23	19	4	2	0	0	1	9	1	0	0	211	286	316	602	105	259	39	4	260	62	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2023	25	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	242	228	41	8	1	9	11	58	2	1	1	180	224	342	566	162	195	24	5	246	53	-14	-0	—	—	+5	-0.9
2024	26	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	181	172	29	8	0	6	5	53	1	0	0	169	197	320	516	151	197	29	3	220	35	-14	+0	—	—	+4	-1.0
2024	26	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	75	66	10	4	0	1	6	23	2	0	0	152	243	258	501	106	208	31	8	221	36	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2025	27	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	19	18	5	1	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	278	316	500	816	222	276	16	5	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2025	27	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	44	37	5	2	0	0	4	6	2	0	0	135	256	189	445	54	153	14	9	201	22	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2021	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	118	111	12	3	0	0	4	28	1	1	0	108	147	135	282	27	141	24	3	137	-21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	118	108	15	4	0	0	7	20	1	1	0	139	198	176	374	37	167	17	6	176	-21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	126	110	23	6	1	2	8	38	6	0	0	209	298	336	635	127	300	30	6	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	ROK RAW	3 teams	—	126	105	30	8	1	3	13	27	6	0	0	286	395	467	862	181	360	21	10	380	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A MLE	2 teams	—	265	246	45	10	1	9	13	67	3	1	1	183	233	341	574	159	208	25	5	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A RAW	2 teams	—	265	235	52	13	1	10	22	47	3	1	1	221	294	413	707	191	232	18	8	309	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	256	238	39	12	0	7	11	77	3	0	0	164	210	303	513	139	205	30	4	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	256	232	46	14	0	9	17	61	3	0	0	198	262	375	637	177	226	24	7	280	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	63	55	10	3	0	1	5	10	2	0	0	182	274	291	565	109	205	16	8	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA RAW	2 teams	—	63	53	10	3	0	1	7	8	2	0	0	189	306	302	608	113	205	13	11	281	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	118	112	12	3	0	0	4	28	1	1	0	107	147	134	280	27	144	24	3	137	-21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	126	111	23	6	1	2	8	38	6	0	0	207	298	333	632	126	291	30	6	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A MLE	2 teams	—	265	247	45	10	1	9	13	67	3	1	1	182	233	340	573	158	201	25	5	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	256	240	39	12	0	7	11	77	3	0	0	163	210	300	510	137	200	30	4	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	63	56	10	3	0	1	5	10	2	0	0	179	274	286	560	107	190	16	8	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	A MLE	2 teams	—	265	247	45	10	1	9	13	67	3	1	1	182	233	340	573	158	201	25	5	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	256	240	39	12	0	7	11	77	3	0	0	163	210	300	510	137	200	30	4	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	63	56	10	3	0	1	5	10	2	0	0	179	274	286	560	107	190	16	8	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	28	MLB MLE	WSH	2%	13	12	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	250	308	333	641	83	259	23	8	274	71	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	WSH	23%	243	224	48	10	1	6	14	59	3	3	1	214	270	348	618	134	261	24	6	277	73	-8	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2028	30	MLB MLE	WSH	35%	290	266	57	12	1	7	18	70	4	3	1	214	274	346	620	132	263	24	6	278	74	-9	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.1
2029	31	MLB MLE	WSH	42%	278	256	55	12	1	7	17	68	3	3	1	215	272	352	623	137	262	24	6	276	73	-9	+0	-3	+5	+6	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	WSH	23%	55	51	10	2	0	1	3	13	1	1	0	196	255	294	549	98	260	24	5	267	73	-2	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	30	MLB CTX	WSH	35%	101	93	19	4	0	2	6	24	1	1	0	204	260	312	572	108	262	24	6	268	74	-3	+0	-1	+2	+2	0.0
2029	31	MLB CTX	WSH	42%	116	107	23	5	0	3	7	28	1	1	0	215	270	346	615	131	261	24	6	266	73	-4	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	272	251	52	11	0	6	16	65	3	3	0	207	263	323	586	116	253	24	6	267	57	-9	+1	-2	+5	+6	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	124	26	0	14	38	155	7	7	0	207	262	320	582	113	252	24	6	267	57	-21	+1	-5	+12	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	1652	1518	292	69	5	39	91	420	25	11	4	192	250	321	571	129	237	25	6	252	57	-26	+1	-6	+15	+18	0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	114	27	2	15	36	165	10	4	2	191	249	318	567	127	235	25	6	252	57	-21	+0	-5	+12	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	275	7	3	215	270	349	+5	+4	0.3	0.3
/162	664	16	7	+11.9	+9.7	0.8	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Paul Witt (OGILVIE)	28	35	46	42	37	211/265/344	133	259	4	2	24%	6%	71	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chadwick Tromp 2023 · MLB	28	39	48→45	42→40	38	208/242/342	134	254	17	4	26%	4%	61	-1.5	212/269/330	118	271	13	3	26%	7%	69	-0.9	200/262/302	101	259	11	1	26%	8%	57	-0.8
✕Kevin Richardson 2009 · AAA	28	41	47→50	43→40	39	210/268/341	132	280	16	4	31%	6%	72	-0.7	194/244/331	137	309	17	4	41%	5%	60	-1.6	179/227/316	137	294	18	1	44%	4%	47	-1.1
✕Dan Butler 2014 · AAA	27	42→39	46→45	44→40	47	212/278/340	128	252	14	4	22%	7%	75	-0.5	212/274/308	96	276	7	3	24%	7%	66	-1.1	212/282/298	86	268	7	0	22%	8%	64	-0.5
✕Jett Bandy 2018 · MLB	28	44	48→50	44→45	43	225/288/365	140	265	17	5	22%	6%	85	+0.2	212/277/355	143	265	18	6	27%	5%	78	-0.3	188/253/311	123	242	16	2	29%	4%	58	-0.7
✕Jesus Flores 2013 · MLB	28	42→38	44→50	41→30	40	211/247/328	118	259	12	4	24%	4%	59	-1.6	192/231/286	94	249	9	4	26%	4%	44	-2.8	158/189/223	65	209	7	0	28%	3%	10	-1.8
✕Matt Macri 2010 · MLB	28	41→40	46→50	43→45	42	209/259/347	138	263	13	7	26%	6%	69	-0.9	210/262/338	128	270	12	5	26%	6%	68	-1.0	206/258/330	124	263	12	2	26%	6%	63	-0.9
✕Jesus Alberto Vega 2009 · AAA	27	40	43→45	41→40	42	203/254/313	110	257	11	5	26%	6%	59	-1.6	223/283/338	115	276	12	3	23%	6%	76	-0.4	221/280/350	129	265	16	2	23%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Dustin Garneau 2015 · AAA	27	41→39	45→50	43→45	47	203/267/326	122	230	12	6	18%	6%	68	-1.0	209/266/353	144	242	17	5	22%	6%	74	-0.6	171/262/344	173	215	21	1	31%	8%	70	-0.3
✕Gavin Collins 2022 · AAA	27	40	43→45	44→40	44	202/271/309	107	256	12	6	25%	7%	65	-1.2	215/285/332	117	272	13	6	25%	7%	76	-0.4	204/266/298	94	236	10	3	18%	6%	59	-0.6
✕Gabe Johnson 2008 · AAA	28	38	47→50	45→40	40	199/259/332	133	276	16	5	33%	7%	65	-1.2	210/269/319	109	308	10	9	33%	7%	66	-1.1	181/242/260	79	275	6	4	34%	7%	41	-0.7
✕Grayson Greiner 2021 · MLB	28	40	47→45	46→30	43	206/271/335	129	277	15	4	31%	8%	71	-0.8	196/261/305	109	342	12	5	43%	7%	61	-1.5	178/245/263	85	331	9	1	46%	8%	42	-0.9
✕Brian O'Keefe 2021 · AA	28	41→43	46→55	45→40	47	211/281/338	127	262	14	5	25%	8%	76	-0.4	215/273/369	154	291	19	5	32%	7%	80	-0.2	196/260/359	163	245	20	1	28%	7%	70	-0.5
✕Tuffy Gosewisch 2012 · AAA	28	44→43	43→45	38→40	44	218/271/332	114	257	11	4	20%	5%	70	-0.8	209/252/316	107	253	9	4	21%	4%	59	-1.7	221/266/331	109	256	11	2	18%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Brad Davis 2010 · AAA	27	40	45→50	42→45	44	201/260/328	127	252	11	3	25%	7%	65	-1.2	218/270/336	118	284	11	5	26%	6%	70	-0.8	214/266/322	108	281	10	4	26%	6%	62	-0.8
✕Alvin Colina 2010 · AAA	28	42	44→45	44→40	40	212/266/327	115	280	12	5	29%	6%	68	-1.0	215/266/337	122	291	13	8	30%	5%	70	-0.9	180/219/284	104	245	12	3	31%	3%	38	-1.1
✕Seth Bynum 2009 · AA	28	42→43	47→50	42→50	40	216/265/347	131	286	14	6	30%	6%	71	-0.8	213/257/348	135	293	16	10	32%	5%	68	-1.0	205/249/333	128	281	15	11	32%	5%	60	-1.0
✕Brian Serven 2022 · AAA	27	36	49→50	47→30	39	194/246/337	143	239	17	5	28%	5%	63	-1.4	197/259/318	121	260	15	4	29%	7%	63	-1.4	217/296/335	118	314	12	1	32%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Dominic Miroglio 2022 · AA	27	42	44→45	43→40	43	210/274/328	118	283	11	5	29%	7%	70	-0.8	219/287/362	143	261	15	6	21%	8%	83	+0.1	203/270/374	171	212	20	2	16%	7%	76	-0.2
✕René Rivera 2011 · AAA	28	44→33	48→55	45→30	38	227/261/367	140	284	16	4	26%	4%	74	-0.5	220/266/338	118	274	12	3	23%	5%	70	-0.9	238/298/393	156	304	23	0	29%	6%	88	+0.2
✕Andrew Susac 2018 · MLB	28	37→38	48→50	47→30	43	194/259/330	136	260	16	3	32%	8%	65	-1.2	207/287/346	139	295	16	8	33%	9%	80	-0.2	192/287/316	124	278	15	0	34%	11%	72	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps