Gabe Craig — OGILVIE

Gabe Craig P Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 25 RHP 6'5" / 209 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.53

FIP4.53

K%26.9%

BB%13.4%

K-BB%13.5%

ROS IP58

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF6070

CTRL—50

CMD3040

K†6065

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	24	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	3	0	3	10	5	1	0	0%	1.0	50.0%	10.0%	40.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.14	—
2025	24	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	3	0	3	10	5	1	0	0%	1.0	50.0%	10.0%	40.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.14	—
2025	24	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	3	0	3	10	5	1	0	0%	1.0	50.0%	10.0%	40.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.77	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	38	0	42	194	56	27	2	0%	1.1	21.7%	16.2%	5.5%	1.3%	4.93	4.04	—
YTD	25	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	38	0	42	194	56	27	2	0%	1.1	21.7%	16.2%	5.5%	1.3%	4.93	4.04	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	A RAW	PHI	20	0	22	96	33	13	1	0%	1.1	34.4%	13.5%	20.8%	1.0%	3.68	2.48	—
2026	25	A+ RAW	PHI	18	0	20	98	23	14	1	0%	1.1	23.5%	14.3%	9.2%	1.0%	6.30	3.49	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	PHI	55	0	58	245	68	32	7	0%	1.1	27.8%	13.0%	14.8%	3.0%	4.45	4.40	+0.1
2028	27	MLB MLE	PHI	54	0	57	241	66	31	7	0%	1.1	27.5%	12.8%	14.7%	3.0%	4.44	4.43	+0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	PHI	24	0	25	106	29	14	3	0%	1.0	27.8%	13.0%	14.8%	3.0%	4.45	4.40	+0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	PHI	34	0	36	152	42	19	5	0%	1.1	27.5%	12.8%	14.7%	3.0%	4.44	4.43	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		58	0	61	256	71	33	8	0%	1.0	27.6%	12.9%	14.8%	3.0%	4.44	4.04	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	234	109	26	0%	1.1	27.6%	12.9%	14.8%	3.0%	4.44	4.04	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		41	0	45	204	47	32	3	0%	1.1	23.1%	15.9%	7.2%	1.2%	4.60	3.85	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		182	0	200	907	209	144	11	0%	1.1	23.1%	15.9%	7.2%	1.2%	4.60	3.85	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gabe Craig (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.53	26.9%	13.4%	3.0%	—	4.41	27.7%	14.8%	115	-0.12	—	—	—
Jackson Kelley R 2023 · 3.80 FIP	23	SU	3.80	26.5%	13.1%	2.3%	.313	3.65	21.6%	10.7%	165	-0.15	3.21	218	89
Zac Leigh R 2023 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	28.1%	11.7%	3.0%	.282	4.58	19.9%	3.7%	131	+0.74	3.70	201	88
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	87
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	87
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	87
Eduard Santos R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	25	SU	3.51	28.1%	15.2%	1.6%	.265	3.49	24.0%	10.0%	79	-0.02	2.04	138	86
Luis Ramirez R 2016 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	24.0%	12.6%	1.9%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.71	104	86
Steven Wilson R 2019 · 3.99 FIP	24	SU	3.99	27.2%	10.7%	3.3%	.271	3.81	29.3%	19.9%	92	-0.18	3.64	328	86
Brooks Kriske R 2019 · 3.47 FIP	25	SU	3.47	26.1%	12.2%	1.9%	.245	4.95	28.6%	16.5%	41	+1.48	3.15	246	85
Tommy Kahnle R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	23.8%	14.8%	2.1%	.284	2.58	30.9%	21.0%	165	-1.55	1.53	458	85
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	159	85
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	85
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	85
Randall Delgado R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	25	SU	3.61	23.7%	10.1%	2.2%	.284	3.78	20.3%	12.4%	167	+0.17	3.09	290	85
Lucas Wepf R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	27.6%	10.7%	2.7%	.323	3.97	26.2%	13.8%	136	+0.35	2.90	195	85
Maikel Cleto R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	26	SU	3.79	25.8%	12.1%	2.4%	.214	3.13	25.0%	15.3%	55	-0.66	2.59	156	84
Argenis Angulo R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	27.6%	13.4%	2.9%	.263	6.43	21.0%	5.6%	58	+2.34	3.03	245	84
Trey Benton R 2023 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	23.8%	13.9%	3.0%	.366	2.92	18.1%	7.4%	31	-1.57	2.92	139	83
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	83
Austin Adams R 2016 · 3.40 FIP	25	SU	3.40	28.4%	15.2%	1.4%	.310	2.25	34.4%	23.1%	152	-1.15	1.79	392	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	27.4%	13.1%	1.15	4.47
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64