Gabe Craig
P
Clearwater Threshers
Age 25
RHP
6'5" / 209 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION29 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113103vR 94
ERA4.10
FIP4.10
K%29.0%
BB%11.3%
K-BB%17.7%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 99 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 10.0% | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.14 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 10.0% | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.77 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 27 | 0 | 29 | 133 | 44 | 19 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.4% | 16.0% | 9.5% | 1.4% | 3.38 | 3.72 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | PHI | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 86 | 33 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.0% | 11.3% | 17.7% | 3.0% | 4.10 | 4.10 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 29.0% | 11.3% | 17.7% | 3.0% | 4.10 | 4.10 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 99 | 429 | 130 | 52 | 10 | — | — | 30.3% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 2.3% | 3.89 | 3.99 | +1.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 86 | 33 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.1% | 11.0% | 18.1% | 3.0% | 4.08 | 4.06 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 84 | 32 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.7% | 11.0% | 17.7% | 3.0% | 4.11 | 4.11 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 80 | 31 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.3% | 11.0% | 17.3% | 3.1% | 4.17 | 4.21 | +0.4 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 37 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.1% | 11.0% | 18.1% | 3.0% | 4.08 | 4.06 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 52 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.7% | 11.0% | 17.7% | 3.0% | 4.11 | 4.11 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 60 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.3% | 11.0% | 17.3% | 3.1% | 4.17 | 4.21 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 118 | 0 | 123 | 521 | 149 | 57 | 16 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.7% | 11.0% | 17.6% | 3.1% | 4.13 | 3.76 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 241 | 92 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.7% | 11.0% | 17.6% | 3.1% | 4.13 | 3.76 | +3.8 | ||
| Career | — | 30 | 0 | 32 | 143 | 39 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.2% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 1.3% | 3.06 | 3.47 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 186 | 0 | 200 | 885 | 240 | 138 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.2% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 1.3% | 3.06 | 3.47 | +4.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Gabe Craig (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.10 | 29.0% | 11.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.13 | 28.7% | 17.7% | 206 | +0.03 | — | — | — |
| Steven Wilson R 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.13 | 27.2% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .271 | 3.80 | 29.3% | 19.9% | 92 | -0.33 | 3.36 | 311 | 88 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2028 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 27.3% | 10.0% | 3.5% | .280 | 4.01 | 28.5% | 17.2% | 107 | +0.02 | 3.07 | 363 | 87 |
| Zac Leigh R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.72 | 28.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | .282 | 4.81 | 20.3% | 2.9% | 127 | +1.09 | 3.72 | 197 | 87 |
| Zach Franklin R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.53 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .301 | 4.31 | 28.4% | 19.1% | 97 | +0.78 | 3.48 | 138 | 87 |
| Jon Edwards R 2028 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.54 | 31.7% | 13.1% | 2.7% | .264 | 2.30 | 30.3% | 22.6% | 30 | -1.24 | 2.30 | 132 | 85 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2026 · 3.05 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.05 | 26.1% | 11.5% | 1.3% | .280 | 4.18 | 22.9% | 7.4% | 77 | +1.13 | 3.05 | 134 | 84 |
| Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.57 | 23.7% | 10.1% | 2.2% | .284 | 3.71 | 20.3% | 12.4% | 167 | +0.14 | 3.05 | 290 | 83 |
| Justin Grimm R 2027 · 2.93 FIP | 26 | SU | 2.93 | 32.8% | 12.3% | 1.9% | .250 | 4.11 | 26.1% | 15.2% | 157 | +1.18 | 2.93 | 335 | 83 |
| Cam Bedrosian R 2026 · 3.31 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.31 | 27.9% | 8.4% | 2.7% | .310 | 3.72 | 22.5% | 13.3% | 140 | +0.41 | 1.81 | 344 | 82 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.52 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .245 | 5.01 | 28.6% | 16.5% | 41 | +1.49 | 3.00 | 246 | 82 |
| Spencer Patton R 2028 · 3.46 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.46 | 26.8% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .295 | 2.74 | 30.3% | 18.1% | 57 | -0.72 | 2.74 | 239 | 82 |
| Zach Greene R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.38 | 29.3% | 11.7% | 4.2% | .268 | 5.27 | 16.6% | -0.8% | 28 | +0.89 | 2.10 | 172 | 82 |
| Isaiah Campbell R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.51 | 25.5% | 9.2% | 2.6% | .273 | 4.11 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 107 | +0.60 | 3.30 | 225 | 82 |
| Simon Castro R 2028 · 3.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.16 | 26.4% | 8.5% | 2.2% | .320 | 3.55 | 26.0% | 17.6% | 128 | +0.39 | 2.85 | 185 | 82 |
| Bruce Rondón R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.44 | 29.0% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .284 | 3.40 | 25.1% | 10.5% | 82 | -0.04 | 3.31 | 184 | 81 |
| Addison Russ R 2025 · 2.96 FIP | 24 | SU | 2.96 | 27.7% | 9.3% | 1.9% | .321 | 4.46 | 24.3% | 8.8% | 44 | +1.50 | 2.96 | 194 | 81 |
| Trent Harris R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.45 | 26.9% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .258 | 4.07 | 22.8% | 13.3% | 87 | +0.62 | 3.45 | 163 | 81 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 81 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.88 | 25.6% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .299 | 5.10 | 22.4% | 6.5% | 121 | +1.22 | 3.88 | 158 | 81 |
| Argenis Angulo R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.12 | 27.6% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .263 | 6.61 | 21.0% | 5.6% | 58 | +2.49 | 3.07 | 245 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 69 | 28.8% | 11.1% | 1.17 | 4.11 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Cody Allen ('19) | 5 | 59 | 31.3% | 10.2% | 1.19 | 3.51 |
| Wade Davis ('21) | 6 | 53 | 27.3% | 10.4% | 0.90 | 3.77 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |