Gabriel Rodriguez
P
Kannapolis Cannon Ballers
Age 22
RHP
5'11" / 172 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION45 act + 52 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 161152vR 143
ERA6.37
FIP6.37
K%10.8%
BB%17.0%
K-BB%-6.3%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 97 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL White Sox | 16 | 8 | 43 | 205 | 44 | 31 | 3 | 50% | 2.7 | 14.6% | 18.9% | -4.3% | 1.6% | 4.19 | 5.13 | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL White Sox | 16 | 8 | 43 | 205 | 44 | 31 | 3 | 50% | 2.7 | 21.5% | 15.1% | 6.3% | 1.5% | 4.19 | 4.12 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL White Sox | 13 | 10 | 54 | 230 | 58 | 22 | 3 | 77% | 4.2 | 17.1% | 12.0% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 3.64 | 3.86 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL White Sox | 13 | 10 | 54 | 230 | 58 | 22 | 3 | 77% | 4.2 | 25.2% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 1.3% | 3.64 | 2.90 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 14 | 9 | 48 | 215 | 61 | 24 | 1 | 64% | 3.4 | 19.3% | 14.0% | 5.3% | 0.2% | 3.78 | 3.34 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 14 | 9 | 48 | 215 | 61 | 24 | 1 | 64% | 3.4 | 28.4% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 0.5% | 3.78 | 2.32 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 28 | 4 | 67 | 299 | 49 | 39 | 5 | 14% | 2.4 | 12.1% | 15.4% | -3.3% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 5.72 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 28 | 4 | 67 | 299 | 49 | 39 | 5 | 14% | 2.4 | 16.4% | 13.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 4.43 | 4.35 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 14 | 6 | 45 | 180 | 38 | 16 | 9 | 43% | 3.2 | 15.6% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.03 | 6.68 | -1.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | CWS | 50 | 0 | 52 | 222 | 24 | 38 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 10.8% | 17.0% | -6.3% | 3.0% | 6.37 | 6.37 | -1.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10.8% | 17.0% | -6.3% | 3.0% | 6.37 | 6.37 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 97 | 402 | 62 | 54 | 16 | — | — | 15.4% | 13.4% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.29 | 6.51 | -1.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | CWS | 52 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 32 | 35 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.8% | 15.2% | -1.4% | 2.9% | 5.98 | 5.86 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | CWS | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 37 | 33 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.7% | 14.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.67 | 5.54 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | CWS | 54 | 0 | 57 | 239 | 40 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.8% | 13.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.46 | 5.36 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | CWS | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 16 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.8% | 15.2% | -1.4% | 2.9% | 5.98 | 5.86 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | CWS | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 26 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.7% | 14.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.67 | 5.54 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | CWS | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 33 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.8% | 13.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.46 | 5.36 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 106 | 0 | 112 | 472 | 74 | 67 | 14 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.7% | 14.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.66 | 5.16 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 132 | 120 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.7% | 14.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.66 | 5.16 | +0.6 | ||
| Career | — | 85 | 37 | 257 | 1129 | 175 | 161 | 27 | 44% | 3.0 | 15.5% | 14.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 4.03 | 4.93 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 66 | 29 | 200 | 880 | 137 | 126 | 21 | 44% | 3.0 | 15.5% | 14.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 4.03 | 4.93 | +1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Gabriel Rodriguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.37 | 10.8% | 17.0% | 3.0% | — | 5.58 | 15.5% | 1.2% | 167 | -0.79 | — | — | — |
| Wirkin Estevez R 2028 · 5.36 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.36 | 10.7% | 13.4% | 2.7% | .316 | 4.42 | 12.3% | 3.5% | 179 | -0.94 | 4.24 | 238 | 83 |
| Ted Stuka R 2028 · 5.78 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.78 | 12.4% | 23.4% | 1.4% | .262 | 6.34 | 15.9% | -13.1% | 41 | +0.56 | 5.51 | 105 | 83 |
| Kendy Richard R 2025 · 5.98 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.98 | 12.0% | 16.0% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 141 | 82 |
| Garrett Nuss R 2026 · 5.91 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.91 | 14.1% | 14.9% | 3.8% | .352 | 4.67 | 15.0% | 5.3% | 92 | -1.24 | 4.56 | 174 | 81 |
| Johsson Arias R 2026 · 5.43 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.43 | 8.5% | 17.1% | 1.6% | .244 | 3.64 | 15.9% | 4.4% | 77 | -1.79 | 3.46 | 117 | 81 |
| Justin Ferrell R 2026 · 5.48 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.48 | 14.9% | 14.0% | 3.4% | .261 | 4.31 | 20.4% | 9.1% | 173 | -1.17 | 3.80 | 300 | 81 |
| Alberto Tirado R 2026 · 5.62 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.62 | 14.7% | 18.5% | 2.6% | .294 | 3.82 | 16.5% | -0.2% | 33 | -1.80 | 3.82 | 247 | 81 |
| Jol Concepcion R 2026 · 6.53 FIP | 22 | SW | 6.53 | 12.2% | 20.0% | 3.5% | .272 | 4.65 | 23.9% | 3.9% | 50 | -1.88 | 4.65 | 154 | 80 |
| Drew Conover R 2027 · 6.30 FIP | 23 | SW | 6.30 | 15.6% | 29.8% | 1.4% | .272 | 5.34 | 11.7% | -3.6% | 96 | -0.96 | 4.52 | 135 | 80 |
| Tom Reisinger R 2027 · 5.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.25 | 12.1% | 14.6% | 2.4% | .381 | 6.70 | 10.3% | -5.6% | 47 | +1.45 | 5.25 | 110 | 80 |
| Zach Willeman R 2027 · 5.55 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.55 | 10.8% | 15.0% | 2.6% | .296 | 5.10 | 21.3% | 7.8% | 108 | -0.45 | 4.15 | 264 | 79 |
| Erling Moreno R 2026 · 6.08 FIP | 22 | SP- | 6.08 | 7.8% | 18.2% | 2.4% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 213 | 79 |
| Diogenes Almengo R 2025 · 6.34 FIP | 21 | SW | 6.34 | 8.2% | 18.3% | 2.9% | .235 | 4.55 | 21.0% | 5.1% | 70 | -1.79 | 2.12 | 242 | 79 |
| Jacob Cravey R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.20 | 14.4% | 18.0% | 1.9% | .333 | 5.70 | 14.6% | 0.7% | 120 | +0.50 | 5.13 | 204 | 78 |
| Taylor Hawkins R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.37 | 7.7% | 19.6% | 0.8% | .239 | 6.08 | 7.4% | -12.1% | 43 | +0.71 | 5.37 | 112 | 78 |
| Feliberto Bonilla R 2024 · 6.37 FIP | 20 | SW | 6.37 | 9.8% | 17.4% | 3.4% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.13 | 151 | 77 |
| Kevin Gowdy R 2025 · 5.62 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.62 | 11.1% | 17.0% | 2.4% | .321 | 5.82 | 16.3% | 6.0% | 130 | +0.20 | 3.31 | 333 | 77 |
| Dominic Pipkin R 2026 · 5.69 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.69 | 14.7% | 17.5% | 2.9% | .304 | 4.60 | 23.3% | 13.7% | 20 | -1.09 | 4.60 | 266 | 76 |
| Chance Huff R 2027 · 5.78 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.78 | 11.8% | 11.4% | 4.1% | .312 | 5.14 | 15.7% | -0.0% | 151 | -0.64 | 4.35 | 235 | 75 |
| Blake Quinn R 2027 · 5.32 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.32 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 3.1% | .328 | 4.28 | 17.1% | 3.3% | 48 | -1.04 | 4.28 | 122 | 75 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 55 | 14.3% | 14.9% | 1.14 | 5.86 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |