Gabriel Rodriguez

Gabriel Rodriguez P Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 22 RHP 5'11" / 172 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 155147vR 139

ERA6.42

FIP6.42

K%10.8%

BB%17.8%

K-BB%-7.0%

ROS IP52

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2525

CTRL3030

CMD2525

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	16	8	43	205	44	31	3	50%	2.7	14.6%	18.9%	-4.3%	1.8%	4.19	5.24	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	16	8	43	205	44	31	3	50%	2.7	21.5%	15.1%	6.3%	1.5%	4.19	4.12	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	13	10	54	230	58	22	3	77%	4.2	17.1%	12.0%	5.2%	1.5%	3.64	3.99	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	13	10	54	230	58	22	3	77%	4.2	25.2%	9.6%	15.7%	1.3%	3.64	2.90	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	14	9	48	215	61	24	1	64%	3.4	19.3%	14.0%	5.3%	0.3%	3.78	3.40	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	14	9	48	215	61	24	1	64%	3.4	19.3%	14.0%	5.3%	0.3%	3.78	3.40	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	14	9	48	215	61	24	1	64%	3.4	28.4%	11.2%	17.2%	0.5%	3.78	2.32	—
2025	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	28	4	67	299	49	39	5	14%	2.4	12.1%	15.4%	-3.3%	2.5%	4.43	5.42	—
2025	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	28	4	67	299	49	39	5	14%	2.4	12.1%	15.4%	-3.3%	2.5%	4.43	5.42	—
2025	21	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	28	4	67	299	49	39	5	14%	2.4	16.4%	13.0%	3.3%	1.7%	4.43	4.35	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	21	13	66	281	55	30	12	62%	3.1	14.5%	12.6%	1.9%	5.6%	5.07	6.52	—
YTD	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	21	13	66	281	55	30	12	62%	3.1	14.5%	12.6%	1.9%	5.6%	5.07	6.52	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	A RAW	CWS	21	13	66	281	55	30	12	62%	3.1	19.6%	10.7%	8.9%	4.3%	5.07	5.14	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CWS	64	0	67	282	39	44	8	0%	1.0	13.8%	15.8%	-2.0%	2.9%	6.02	5.89	-1.0
2028	24	MLB MLE	CWS	65	0	68	289	45	42	8	0%	1.1	15.7%	14.5%	1.2%	2.9%	5.70	5.56	-0.8
2029	25	MLB MLE	CWS	66	0	69	293	49	40	8	0%	1.1	16.8%	13.8%	3.0%	2.8%	5.48	5.37	-0.6
2030	26	MLB MLE	CWS	66	0	69	293	51	40	8	0%	1.1	17.4%	13.6%	3.7%	2.9%	5.36	5.30	-0.6
2031	27	MLB MLE	CWS	65	0	68	288	50	39	8	0%	1.1	17.3%	13.7%	3.7%	2.9%	5.35	5.34	-0.6
2032	28	MLB MLE	CWS	63	0	66	280	48	39	8	0%	1.1	17.2%	13.8%	3.4%	3.0%	5.40	5.43	-0.6
2033	29	MLB MLE	CWS	60	0	63	267	45	38	8	0%	1.1	17.0%	14.1%	2.9%	3.1%	5.49	5.56	-0.7
2027	23	MLB CTX	CWS	31	0	33	139	19	22	4	0%	1.1	13.8%	15.8%	-2.0%	2.9%	6.02	5.89	-0.5
2028	24	MLB CTX	CWS	46	0	48	203	32	29	6	0%	1.0	15.7%	14.5%	1.2%	2.9%	5.70	5.56	-0.5
2029	25	MLB CTX	CWS	53	0	56	236	40	33	7	0%	1.1	16.8%	13.8%	3.0%	2.8%	5.48	5.37	-0.5
2030	26	MLB CTX	CWS	58	0	61	258	45	35	7	0%	1.1	17.4%	13.6%	3.7%	2.9%	5.36	5.30	-0.5
2031	27	MLB CTX	CWS	59	0	62	262	45	36	8	0%	1.1	17.3%	13.7%	3.7%	2.9%	5.35	5.34	-0.5
2032	28	MLB CTX	CWS	58	0	61	258	44	36	8	0%	1.1	17.2%	13.8%	3.4%	3.0%	5.40	5.43	-0.6
2033	29	MLB CTX	CWS	56	0	59	249	42	35	8	0%	1.1	17.0%	14.1%	2.9%	3.1%	5.49	5.56	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		361	0	379	1600	267	225	47	0%	1.0	16.7%	14.1%	2.6%	2.9%	5.50	5.08	-2.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	141	119	25	0%	1.1	16.7%	14.1%	2.6%	2.9%	5.50	5.08	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		92	44	278	1230	188	178	31	48%	3.0	15.3%	14.4%	0.8%	2.5%	4.28	5.02	-5.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		66	32	200	886	135	128	22	48%	3.0	15.3%	14.4%	0.8%	2.5%	4.28	5.02	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gabriel Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.42	10.8%	17.8%	2.9%	—	5.60	15.5%	0.8%	204	-0.82	—	—	—
Erick Reynoso R 2023 · 6.37 FIP	20	SP-	6.37	10.7%	20.4%	2.9%	.305	6.44	14.9%	-7.7%	146	+0.07	6.06	180	87
Alberto Tirado R 2017 · 5.69 FIP	22	SW	5.69	14.7%	18.5%	2.7%	.294	3.82	16.5%	-0.2%	33	-1.87	3.78	247	82
Ted Stuka R 2021 · 5.72 FIP	24	SW	5.72	12.4%	23.4%	1.3%	.262	6.22	15.9%	-13.1%	41	+0.50	5.36	105	82
Wirkin Estevez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	24	SW	5.39	10.7%	13.4%	2.7%	.316	4.46	12.3%	3.5%	179	-0.93	4.37	238	82
Jol Concepcion R 2021 · 6.54 FIP	22	SW	6.54	12.2%	20.0%	3.5%	.272	4.60	23.9%	3.9%	50	-1.94	4.60	154	81
Erling Moreno R 2019 · 6.02 FIP	22	SP-	6.02	7.8%	18.2%	2.3%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.72	213	81
Rubén Menes R 2023 · 6.12 FIP	21	SP-	6.12	13.1%	21.9%	2.5%	.257	4.94	15.6%	2.1%	100	-1.18	3.39	112	80
Kevin Gowdy R 2019 · 5.31 FIP	21	SP-	5.31	11.1%	17.0%	1.8%	.321	5.50	16.3%	6.0%	130	+0.19	3.16	333	80
Garrett Nuss R 2015 · 5.71 FIP	22	SW	5.71	14.1%	14.9%	3.5%	.352	4.58	15.0%	5.3%	92	-1.13	4.57	174	80
Taylor Hawkins R 2016 · 5.38 FIP	22	SW	5.38	7.7%	19.6%	0.8%	.239	5.98	7.4%	-12.1%	43	+0.60	5.38	112	80
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	79
Justin Ferrell R 2016 · 5.30 FIP	22	SW	5.30	14.9%	14.0%	3.1%	.261	4.34	20.4%	9.1%	173	-0.96	3.83	300	78
Diogenes Almengo R 2016 · 6.34 FIP	21	SW	6.34	8.2%	18.3%	2.9%	.235	4.69	21.0%	5.1%	70	-1.65	2.12	242	78
Trey Riley R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	10.6%	19.0%	2.1%	.344	5.78	17.4%	5.2%	74	-0.00	4.35	227	77
Johsson Arias R 2016 · 5.43 FIP	22	SW	5.43	8.5%	17.1%	1.6%	.244	3.64	15.9%	4.4%	77	-1.79	3.46	117	77
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	77
Zach Willeman R 2019 · 5.57 FIP	23	SW	5.57	10.8%	15.0%	2.7%	.296	4.98	21.3%	7.8%	108	-0.59	4.05	264	77
Ronny Lopez R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	20	SW	5.33	15.1%	20.6%	1.6%	.232	5.01	13.7%	-5.7%	85	-0.32	4.23	121	77
Feliberto Bonilla R 2018 · 6.37 FIP	20	SW	6.37	9.8%	17.4%	3.4%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	5.13	151	76
Dominic Pipkin R 2022 · 5.47 FIP	22	SW	5.47	14.7%	17.5%	2.5%	.304	4.70	23.3%	13.7%	20	-0.77	4.62	292	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.6	66	15.9%	14.5%	1.13	5.63
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48