Juan Cruz — OGILVIE

Juan CruzOF ACL Mariners

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 140 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 74 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .266 / .290

PA74

HR1

K%33

BB%7

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	66	55	9	3	1	1	5	30	5	6	2	164	292	309	601	145	333	45	8	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	66	51	13	6	1	1	9	21	5	6	2	255	415	471	886	216	414	32	14	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	90	82	14	1	1	3	5	42	2	12	3	171	236	317	553	146	297	47	6	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	90	77	18	1	1	4	10	28	2	12	3	234	337	429	766	195	311	31	11	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	58	50	10	0	0	2	6	25	1	3	0	200	298	320	618	120	348	43	10	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	58	47	13	0	0	2	9	17	1	3	0	277	404	404	808	128	393	29	16	364	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	81	72	11	1	0	2	5	29	2	4	1	153	228	250	478	97	209	36	6	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	81	69	13	2	0	2	8	20	2	4	1	188	291	304	595	116	224	25	10	271	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	SEA	—	74	68	13	2	0	1	5	24	1	1	0	191	257	265	521	74	289	32	7	256	54	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	SEA	34%	149	135	28	4	1	3	11	47	2	2	1	207	277	319	596	111	290	32	7	266	61	-6	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2028	24	MLB	SEA	46%	269	244	51	7	1	6	20	83	3	4	1	209	277	320	597	111	291	31	7	272	67	-10	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.4
2027	23	MLB	SEA	34%	51	46	9	1	0	1	4	16	1	1	0	196	275	283	557	87	288	31	8	255	53	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	SEA	46%	124	113	23	3	1	2	9	38	1	2	0	204	268	301	569	97	289	31	7	261	58	-6	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	175	159	32	4	1	3	13	54	2	3	0	201	270	296	566	94	282	31	7	260	57	-9	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	119	15	4	11	48	201	7	11	0	201	269	296	565	95	282	31	7	260	57	-32	+2	+0	-4	+18	-1.5
Career	—			—	787	706	136	18	4	18	57	280	16	32	8	193	268	306	574	113	286	36	7	253	52	-43	+3	+0	-5	+22	-2.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	112	15	3	15	47	231	13	26	7	192	267	305	572	113	285	36	7	253	52	-35	+2	+0	-4	+18	-1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	66	51	13	6	1	1	9	21	5	6	2	255	415	471	886	216	414	32	14	392	158	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2022	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	90	77	18	1	1	4	10	28	2	12	3	234	337	429	766	195	311	31	11	339	118	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.6
2024	20	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	58	47	13	0	0	2	9	17	1	3	0	277	404	404	808	128	393	29	16	364	137	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2025	21	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	81	69	13	2	0	2	8	20	2	4	1	188	291	304	595	116	224	25	10	271	65	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	249	5	4	208	274	312	-1	+0	-0.5	-0.2
	/162	664	13	11	208	274	312	-4.0	+0.0	-1.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Cruz (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	198/266/290	92	289	1	1	33%	7%	54	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Walking Cabrera 2023 · A	22	37→34	42→45	47→45	40	188/245/295	107	268	10	8	33%	7%	46	-2.0	203/253/315	112	302	12	9	35%	6%	54	-1.4	191/237/303	112	281	15	10	37%	5%	43	-1.2
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	40	41→50	51→55	42	193/268/296	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	56	-1.3	205/269/314	109	292	8	12	30%	6%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Jase Bowen 2023 · A	22	39→38	43→50	55	35	192/249/294	102	300	11	14	38%	5%	47	-1.9	197/249/320	123	286	14	19	35%	5%	54	-1.4	200/250/342	142	290	17	24	36%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→29	42→45	49→50	44	189/258/299	110	261	8	12	30%	8%	53	-1.5	172/250/256	84	262	6	9	34%	9%	38	-2.6	154/242/228	74	235	5	8	33%	9%	26	-2.0
✕Brandon Parker 2022 · A	23	37	43→45	49→50	36	172/250/279	107	313	10	6	45%	8%	45	-2.1	200/277/324	124	319	13	9	38%	8%	68	-0.5	191/267/322	131	301	15	11	39%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Brandon Lewis 2021 · A	22	42→36	39→55	49→30	41	203/264/290	86	289	7	6	30%	6%	52	-1.6	200/253/377	177	299	25	3	40%	6%	72	-0.2	180/234/343	163	262	24	1	40%	5%	52	-1.1
✕Jawuan Harris 2019 · A	22	40→24	40	51→55	42	188/270/283	95	293	7	14	35%	8%	54	-1.4	158/251/236	78	308	5	19	45%	9%	35	-2.8	116/220/180	64	246	5	26	49%	10%	6	-2.4
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	42	41→40	46→45	39	204/256/303	99	288	9	8	31%	6%	52	-1.6	199/262/282	83	293	7	9	32%	7%	50	-1.8	183/253/253	70	269	6	8	32%	7%	37	-1.1
✕Gerrion Grim 2016 · A	22	37	40→60	45→40	36	184/237/272	87	288	8	9	38%	6%	36	-2.7	186/227/319	133	290	17	5	41%	4%	44	-2.1	171/208/322	151	249	23	2	41%	4%	34	-1.5
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	41→31	40→45	50	44	197/272/291	94	298	8	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	201/266/318	117	303	13	11	35%	7%	61	-1.0	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	37→33	41→40	49→55	33	185/229/278	92	285	8	9	37%	4%	33	-2.9	172/223/263	91	273	9	12	38%	5%	28	-3.2	143/198/223	80	227	9	13	40%	5%	4	-2.5
✕Carlos Dominguez 2021 · A	21	43→23	42→45	51→50	36	201/283/313	112	310	9	12	35%	5%	68	-0.5	166/239/291	125	334	15	12	52%	5%	44	-2.1	124/203/239	115	271	16	13	57%	5%	13	-1.9
✕Malvin Matos 2019 · A	22	43→38	39→45	48→50	44	207/272/295	88	279	6	10	26%	7%	57	-1.2	211/277/333	122	296	14	11	32%	7%	69	-0.4	196/266/321	125	267	17	13	32%	7%	58	-0.9
✕Carlos De La Cruz 2022 · A	22	35→42	41→50	47→45	32	166/228/256	91	317	9	7	48%	6%	29	-3.2	208/264/351	143	322	17	6	39%	6%	69	-0.4	206/262/347	141	313	17	5	38%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→38	40→45	52→50	38	198/249/295	97	282	6	10	31%	5%	47	-1.9	217/274/320	103	339	9	10	36%	7%	64	-0.8	212/271/309	97	334	9	12	37%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39	40→45	50→45	37	189/243/279	90	293	7	9	36%	6%	40	-2.4	181/265/289	108	254	11	5	31%	9%	54	-1.4	161/255/263	101	223	11	3	31%	10%	40	-1.3
✕Skyler Ewing 2015 · A	22	44→39	41→50	49→30	41	210/269/311	101	298	7	6	31%	6%	60	-1.0	199/266/313	114	268	11	3	28%	7%	59	-1.1	192/264/325	134	250	15	1	29%	7%	59	-0.7
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	36→34	45→50	54→50	37	187/249/310	124	268	12	13	34%	6%	52	-1.6	201/258/355	154	293	19	14	37%	6%	68	-0.5	192/251/359	168	278	23	15	39%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Taylor Snyder 2017 · A	22	42→31	45→50	48→50	38	204/264/331	127	307	12	9	36%	6%	63	-0.8	183/228/288	105	285	10	11	38%	5%	37	-2.7	179/230/328	148	260	18	12	38%	5%	47	-1.3