Juan Cruz — OGILVIE

Juan CruzOF ACL Mariners

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 140 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 53 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .264 / .284

PA53

HR1

K%33

BB%7

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	66	51	13	6	1	1	9	21	5	6	2	255	415	471	886	216	414	32	14	392	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	90	77	18	1	1	4	10	28	2	12	3	234	337	429	766	195	311	31	11	339	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	58	47	13	0	0	2	9	17	1	3	0	277	404	404	808	128	393	29	16	364	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	81	69	13	2	0	2	8	20	2	4	1	188	291	304	595	116	224	25	10	271	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	66	54	8	3	1	0	6	26	5	6	2	148	292	241	533	93	251	39	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	90	81	12	1	1	2	6	35	2	12	3	148	225	259	484	111	211	39	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	58	50	10	0	0	2	6	25	1	3	0	200	298	320	618	120	331	43	10	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	81	72	10	1	0	2	5	29	2	4	1	139	215	236	451	97	180	36	6	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	66	54	8	3	1	0	6	26	5	6	2	148	292	241	533	93	286	39	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	66	51	13	6	1	1	9	21	5	6	2	255	415	471	886	216	414	32	14	392	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	90	81	12	1	1	2	6	35	2	12	3	148	225	259	484	111	227	39	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	90	77	18	1	1	4	10	28	2	12	3	234	337	429	766	195	311	31	11	339	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	58	50	10	0	0	2	6	25	1	3	0	200	298	320	618	120	348	43	10	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	—	58	47	13	0	0	2	9	17	1	3	0	277	404	404	808	128	393	29	16	364	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	81	72	10	1	0	2	5	29	2	4	1	139	215	236	451	97	186	36	6	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	—	81	69	13	2	0	2	8	20	2	4	1	188	291	304	595	116	224	25	10	271	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	66	55	8	3	1	0	6	26	5	6	2	145	292	236	529	91	251	39	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	90	82	12	1	1	2	6	35	2	12	3	146	225	256	481	110	211	39	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	58	51	10	0	0	2	6	25	1	3	0	196	298	314	612	118	331	43	10	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	81	74	10	1	0	2	5	29	2	4	1	135	215	230	445	95	180	36	6	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	58	51	10	0	0	2	6	25	1	3	0	196	298	314	612	118	331	43	10	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	81	74	10	1	0	2	5	29	2	4	1	135	215	230	445	95	180	36	6	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	191	173	35	5	1	3	14	63	2	4	1	198	266	287	553	89	288	33	7	253	57	-10	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	SEA	30%	105	95	20	3	1	2	8	34	1	2	0	202	270	297	567	95	290	32	8	258	61	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	SEA	30%	32	30	6	1	0	1	2	10	0	1	0	200	268	293	561	93	287	31	6	256	61	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	32	30	6	1	0	1	2	10	0	1	0	200	250	333	583	133	263	31	6	256	44	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	609	121	20	0	20	41	203	0	20	0	199	249	330	579	131	262	31	6	256	44	-30	+4	+0	-4	+14	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	453	400	69	9	3	9	35	167	12	28	6	172	260	278	537	105	264	37	8	233	44	-8	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	99	13	4	13	50	240	17	40	9	172	259	277	536	105	265	37	8	233	44	-31	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Cruz (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	196/264/284	88	288	1	1	33%	7%	57	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bryson Ware 2024 · A	23	39→32	44→45	50	40	196/260/308	112	283	12	11	34%	7%	61	-1.5	189/249/307	118	281	13	11	36%	6%	56	-1.9	182/242/307	125	267	15	11	36%	6%	51	-1.4
✕E.J. Exposito 2024 · A	23	37→33	41→50	50→55	43	177/262/268	90	293	9	14	39%	9%	53	-2.1	189/246/321	132	265	16	17	34%	6%	59	-1.7	184/237/328	144	240	19	19	32%	6%	55	-1.5
✕Sammy Infante 2024 · A	23	37→26	42→45	50→55	37	183/252/282	99	292	10	15	39%	7%	52	-2.2	200/263/295	95	313	8	15	36%	7%	59	-1.7	164/228/246	82	264	6	18	38%	6%	32	-0.9
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	39	43→45	51→55	40	194/269/303	109	291	11	13	35%	7%	63	-1.3	205/275/304	99	311	8	12	34%	8%	65	-1.2	176/264/251	75	285	3	11	36%	10%	48	-0.5
✕Taylor Snyder 2018 · A	23	36→33	43→50	47→50	32	184/226/296	112	275	11	13	37%	4%	45	-2.7	192/238/311	119	300	12	12	38%	5%	53	-2.1	186/235/335	149	266	18	12	36%	5%	56	-1.3
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	39	41→45	51→55	42	190/265/292	102	283	8	14	34%	8%	59	-1.6	204/267/311	107	290	7	12	30%	6%	63	-1.3	179/266/281	102	259	10	19	32%	8%	57	-1.0
✕Felix Stevens 2021 · A	22	41→36	40→50	48→45	41	194/265/291	97	300	7	8	35%	7%	59	-1.7	190/248/327	137	321	15	5	43%	6%	61	-1.5	183/258/337	154	293	20	5	42%	8%	65	-0.8
✕Brady Allen 2023 · A	23	41→40	40→45	50→45	42	196/267/280	84	306	8	6	36%	8%	57	-1.8	199/265/325	126	298	13	6	35%	7%	67	-1.1	192/259/330	138	282	15	5	36%	7%	64	-1.0
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39→40	39→45	49→45	36	186/240/271	86	298	6	9	38%	6%	44	-2.8	181/264/286	105	253	11	5	31%	9%	58	-1.7	163/255/263	100	223	10	3	30%	9%	47	-1.3
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→30	39→45	50	47	208/276/293	85	264	7	12	23%	8%	63	-1.4	192/262/298	106	257	12	15	29%	8%	59	-1.6	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Dominic De La Osa 2009 · A	23	42→34	41→40	47→45	43	203/281/297	94	297	9	8	32%	8%	67	-1.1	188/248/249	61	270	4	7	30%	6%	42	-2.9	165/219/199	35	235	1	6	28%	5%	17	-3.2
✕Brandon Parker 2022 · A	23	37	44→45	49→50	37	176/253/291	115	310	12	6	44%	8%	55	-1.9	193/271/315	122	302	12	9	37%	8%	68	-1.0	180/258/303	123	280	13	11	38%	8%	57	-0.8
✕EJ Andrews Jr. 2024 · A	23	36→28	42→45	50	38	174/245/277	102	293	10	9	41%	8%	48	-2.5	170/240/279	109	275	11	11	39%	8%	47	-2.5	138/212/244	106	213	11	13	39%	8%	28	-1.7
✕Stanley Tucker 2024 · A	22	39	41→45	53→65	36	188/242/288	100	308	9	11	40%	6%	49	-2.4	187/256/270	83	274	7	23	32%	8%	50	-2.3	180/250/264	84	241	8	36	28%	8%	44	-1.3
✕Kevonte Mitchell 2019 · A	23	38	42→45	48→50	37	190/242/294	104	277	10	10	34%	6%	50	-2.3	191/249/311	120	284	14	8	36%	6%	58	-1.7	162/225/288	126	228	18	7	37%	6%	42	-1.9
✕Brandon Downes 2016 · A	23	39→34	44→50	49→50	34	198/241/322	124	289	11	12	35%	4%	57	-1.8	187/239/322	135	289	15	11	39%	5%	56	-1.9	171/227/307	136	265	16	10	40%	5%	46	-1.6
✕Jonny Butler 2022 · A	23	43→33	40→50	51→55	43	207/268/296	89	302	7	9	32%	8%	61	-1.5	199/264/310	111	281	9	16	31%	7%	62	-1.4	179/252/293	114	245	10	19	30%	8%	52	-1.2
✕Sandy Santos 2017 · A	23	39	41→50	49→55	41	194/257/297	103	274	9	10	31%	7%	57	-1.8	191/257/290	99	366	9	11	46%	7%	55	-1.9	118/200/206	87	251	12	16	54%	8%	13	-1.2
✕Mariel Bautista 2021 · A	23	41→36	42→40	49→50	39	203/253/300	97	265	10	15	27%	5%	56	-1.9	210/256/331	121	304	12	11	34%	5%	64	-1.3	185/218/329	144	263	16	11	36%	3%	49	-0.6