Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL LAD Mega | 12 | 6 | 17 | 84 | 18 | 20 | 2 | 50% | 1.4 | 14.6% | 29.8% | -15.2% | 3.5% | 5.19 | 7.57 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL LAD Mega | 12 | 6 | 17 | 84 | 18 | 20 | 2 | 50% | 1.4 | 21.4% | 23.8% | -2.4% | 2.4% | 5.19 | 5.98 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL LAD Bautista | 17 | 0 | 30 | 117 | 25 | 12 | 1 | 0% | 1.7 | 14.5% | 12.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.12 | 3.90 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL LAD Bautista | 17 | 0 | 30 | 117 | 25 | 12 | 1 | 0% | 1.7 | 21.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 0.9% | 2.12 | 3.07 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 22 | 99 | 18 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.9% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 0.0% | 4.09 | 3.08 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 22 | 99 | 18 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.2% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 1.0% | 4.09 | 3.55 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 0 | 39 | 177 | 30 | 19 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 12.3% | 13.3% | -1.0% | 0.7% | 3.69 | 4.13 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 0 | 39 | 177 | 30 | 19 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 16.9% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 0.6% | 3.69 | 3.36 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 22 | 0 | 37 | 166 | 40 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.7 | 18.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 2.3% | 4.10 | 3.83 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | LAD | 17 | 0 | 18 | 74 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 4.48 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 4.48 | 4.48 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 55 | 240 | 56 | 19 | 5 | — | — | 23.2% | 8.1% | 15.1% | 2.1% | 4.22 | 4.03 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 4.48 | 4.10 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | LAD | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 2.8% | 4.39 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | LAD | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 2.8% | 4.39 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 2.8% | 4.39 | 3.96 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 184 | 69 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 2.8% | 4.39 | 3.96 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 99 | 6 | 145 | 643 | 97 | 87 | 9 | 6% | 1.5 | 15.0% | 13.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.72 | 4.30 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 136 | 8 | 200 | 885 | 133 | 120 | 12 | 6% | 1.5 | 15.0% | 13.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.72 | 4.30 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dilan Figueredo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.48 | 21.2% | 10.0% | 2.8% | — | 4.34 | 22.0% | 12.5% | 20 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Heath Holder R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 94 |
| Luke Bell R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.4% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .295 | 5.85 | 13.1% | 1.3% | 66 | +1.96 | 3.89 | 110 | 91 |
| Peyton Williams R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.53 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 1.8% | .311 | 5.00 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 100 | +1.47 | 3.53 | 123 | 90 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2027 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 90 |
| Owen Holt R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .258 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 107 | +0.63 | 3.89 | 145 | 90 |
| Vince Vannelle R 2027 · 3.77 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.77 | 19.9% | 8.6% | 2.3% | .282 | 5.34 | 15.3% | 4.5% | 76 | +1.57 | 3.77 | 105 | 90 |
| Michael Gomez R 2025 · 3.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.38 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 3.78 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 286 | 89 |
| Joey Stock R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.38 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.4% | .275 | 5.22 | 22.5% | 6.8% | 95 | +1.84 | 3.38 | 121 | 89 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.95 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 2.5% | .236 | 4.09 | 19.8% | 9.0% | 134 | +0.14 | 3.24 | 172 | 88 |
| Tyler Bray R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.08 | 22.3% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .356 | 3.17 | 17.9% | 7.6% | 114 | -0.91 | 2.81 | 152 | 87 |
| Colby Morris R 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 87 |
| Kyle Martin R 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.62 | 21.2% | 9.6% | 2.0% | .345 | 3.45 | 22.4% | 12.5% | 172 | -0.17 | 3.02 | 214 | 87 |
| Reilly Hovis R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.03 | 21.1% | 7.7% | 3.2% | .250 | 4.41 | 19.8% | 6.4% | 50 | +0.38 | 4.03 | 130 | 87 |
| Austin Smith R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.00 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .274 | 5.05 | 16.3% | 0.7% | 52 | +1.05 | 4.00 | 134 | 87 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2027 · 3.63 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.63 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .282 | 3.31 | 22.5% | 16.6% | 72 | -0.32 | 2.25 | 121 | 87 |
| Matt Pidich R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.42 | 17.1% | 8.3% | 3.1% | .303 | 4.13 | 20.8% | 13.3% | 115 | -0.29 | 4.10 | 196 | 87 |
| Andrew Bash R 2025 · 3.87 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.87 | 18.0% | 9.2% | 2.1% | .273 | 4.28 | 14.9% | 4.8% | 146 | +0.41 | 3.64 | 500 | 87 |
| Cole Gordon R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 2.4% | .243 | 5.20 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 83 | +1.04 | 4.16 | 112 | 87 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2028 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 87 |
| Jose Geraldo R 2025 · 3.95 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.95 | 18.9% | 9.9% | 2.2% | .337 | 4.41 | 19.0% | 9.9% | 49 | +0.46 | 3.13 | 140 | 86 |