Bubba Hall — OGILVIE

Bubba Hall P Wilmington Blue Rocks

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 212 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114105vR 97

ERA4.23

FIP4.23

K%21.2%

BB%7.5%

K-BB%13.7%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	22	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	2	0	2	8	2	0	0	0%	1.0	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.99	—
2022	22	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	2	0	2	8	2	0	0	0%	1.0	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.10	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	42	175	38	13	3	0%	1.6	15.2%	10.9%	4.3%	2.0%	3.67	4.30	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	42	175	38	13	3	0%	1.6	15.2%	10.9%	4.3%	2.0%	3.67	4.30	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	0	42	175	38	13	3	0%	1.6	21.7%	7.4%	14.3%	1.7%	3.67	3.15	—
2024	24	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	42	0	68	264	72	14	4	0%	1.6	20.2%	6.3%	13.9%	1.8%	2.78	3.19	—
2024	24	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	42	0	68	264	72	14	4	0%	1.6	20.2%	6.3%	13.9%	1.8%	2.78	3.19	—
2024	24	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	42	0	68	264	72	14	4	0%	1.6	27.3%	5.3%	22.0%	1.5%	2.78	2.36	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	5	0	6	27	5	2	1	0%	1.2	18.5%	7.4%	11.1%	3.7%	3.00	4.51	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	5	0	6	27	5	2	1	0%	1.2	18.5%	7.4%	11.1%	3.7%	3.00	4.51	—
2025	25	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	5	0	6	27	5	2	1	0%	1.2	18.5%	7.4%	11.1%	3.7%	3.00	4.60	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	WSH	3	0	3	13	3	1	0	0%	1.0	21.2%	7.5%	13.7%	2.9%	4.23	4.23	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	WSH	57	0	60	255	55	20	8	0%	1.1	21.4%	7.7%	13.7%	3.0%	4.26	4.28	+0.2
2028	28	MLB MLE	WSH	56	0	58	247	53	20	8	0%	1.0	21.4%	8.0%	13.4%	3.1%	4.32	4.37	+0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	WSH	21	0	22	93	20	7	3	0%	1.0	21.4%	7.7%	13.7%	3.0%	4.26	4.28	+0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	WSH	32	0	34	144	31	11	4	0%	1.1	21.4%	8.0%	13.4%	3.1%	4.32	4.37	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		54	0	57	239	51	19	7	0%	1.0	21.4%	7.9%	13.5%	3.0%	4.30	3.95	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	180	67	25	0%	1.1	21.4%	7.9%	13.5%	3.0%	4.30	3.95	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		75	0	118	474	87	38	9	0%	1.6	18.3%	7.9%	10.4%	2.0%	3.06	3.64	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		127	0	200	806	148	64	16	0%	1.6	18.3%	7.9%	10.4%	2.0%	3.06	3.64	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Bubba Hall (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.23	21.2%	7.5%	2.9%	—	4.32	21.4%	13.6%	119	+0.09	—	—	—
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	92
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	87
Esmerling De La Rosa R 2017 · 3.40 FIP	26	SU	3.40	20.5%	7.2%	2.0%	.313	4.86	14.1%	5.8%	66	+1.46	2.89	237	86
Shawn Armstrong R 2017 · 4.21 FIP	26	SU	4.21	22.1%	9.2%	3.3%	.282	3.18	26.9%	17.2%	144	-1.03	1.79	651	86
Seth Frankoff R 2015 · 4.01 FIP	26	SU	4.01	19.6%	7.4%	2.9%	.312	4.29	20.0%	11.3%	177	+0.28	2.88	263	86
Joe Broussard R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	26	SU	3.83	23.5%	7.9%	3.1%	.316	3.72	21.1%	12.0%	95	-0.11	2.62	304	86
Colton Murray R 2016 · 3.97 FIP	26	SU	3.97	21.2%	9.4%	2.7%	.295	4.27	21.8%	13.1%	41	+0.30	3.34	187	86
Ryan Halstead R 2018 · 4.08 FIP	26	SU	4.08	18.0%	6.7%	3.0%	.296	3.24	16.1%	8.7%	64	-0.84	3.12	222	85
Jhan Mariñez R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	26	SU	3.50	23.1%	9.3%	2.1%	.244	3.70	18.9%	11.1%	168	+0.20	3.16	253	85
Ryan Kelly R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	20.3%	7.5%	2.1%	.241	3.21	20.8%	14.2%	43	-0.31	2.49	131	85
John Brebbia R 2016 · 4.11 FIP	26	SU	4.11	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.346	3.20	27.6%	21.4%	215	-0.91	2.89	575	85
Kyle Winkler R 2016 · 3.70 FIP	26	SU	3.70	23.1%	8.7%	2.6%	.234	3.53	18.4%	8.3%	43	-0.17	2.97	114	85
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	85
Andrew Robinson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	17.6%	6.3%	2.5%	.246	3.64	22.7%	14.4%	97	-0.13	3.19	160	85
Joe Navilhon R 2019 · 3.23 FIP	26	SU	3.23	20.5%	7.7%	1.6%	.322	4.28	23.4%	16.7%	99	+1.05	2.25	273	85
Fernery Ozuna R 2022 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	22.4%	8.7%	2.8%	.324	5.71	18.4%	6.8%	49	+1.87	3.84	157	84
Jaye Chapman R 2015 · 3.32 FIP	28	SU	3.32	21.6%	8.5%	1.8%	.276	4.08	20.3%	11.3%	85	+0.76	3.25	150	84
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	84
Sean Donatello R 2017 · 3.64 FIP	26	SU	3.64	17.8%	7.4%	2.0%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	141	84
Juan Ramon Noriega R 2017 · 4.45 FIP	26	SU	4.45	21.3%	8.3%	3.8%	.243	3.44	24.8%	17.1%	57	-1.01	3.44	198	84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	53	21.4%	7.8%	1.16	4.27
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38