Ricardo Yan

P Visalia Rawhide

Age 24 RHP 6'4" / 180 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	21	A+ARI	9	9	37	3.68	4.38	21.7%	18.7%	—	K 16.7% · BB 21.5% · FIP 5.36
2025	22	A+ARI	32	3	71	5.22	4.26	21.7%	16.2%	—	K 16.7% · BB 18.6% · FIP 5.13
2026	23	MIX3 levels	33	0	50	7.15	4.13	24.0%	17.6%	—	K 19.0% · BB 18.8% · FIP 4.97
2027PROJ	24	MLBARI	54	0	57	6.11	6.11	16.9%	20.0%	-0.9
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBARI	27	0	28	5.79	5.70	18.0%	17.4%	-0.3
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBARI	41	0	43	5.62	5.57	18.6%	16.8%	-0.5

Next 3 projected WAR -1.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control20Command30

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsTed Stuka (age 24) · Drew Conover (age 23) · Robbie Peto (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 149141vR 133

ERA6.11

FIP6.11

K%16.9%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-3.1%

Proj IP57

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL2020

CMD3030

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 2	12	4	27	127	24	20	3	33%	2.2	12.9%	19.7%	-6.8%	3.3%	3.71	6.32	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs 2	12	4	27	127	24	20	3	33%	2.2	18.9%	15.7%	3.1%	2.4%	3.71	5.01	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Black	9	8	24	103	31	12	1	89%	2.7	20.5%	14.6%	5.9%	1.4%	3.75	4.00	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs Black	9	8	24	103	31	12	1	89%	2.7	30.1%	11.7%	18.4%	1.0%	3.75	2.56	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	21	104	432	138	45	6	91%	4.5	23.9%	12.2%	11.7%	1.8%	3.65	3.62	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	21	104	432	138	45	6	91%	4.5	31.9%	10.4%	21.5%	1.4%	3.65	2.49	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	9	9	37	166	36	31	2	100%	4.1	16.7%	21.5%	-4.8%	1.7%	3.68	5.36	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	9	9	37	166	36	31	2	100%	4.1	16.7%	21.5%	-4.8%	1.7%	3.68	5.36	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	Hillsboro Hops	9	9	37	166	36	31	2	100%	4.1	21.7%	18.7%	3.0%	1.2%	3.68	4.38	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	32	3	71	327	71	53	5	9%	2.2	16.7%	18.6%	-1.9%	2.0%	5.22	5.13	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	32	3	71	327	71	53	5	9%	2.2	16.7%	18.6%	-1.9%	2.0%	5.22	5.13	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Hillsboro Hops	32	3	71	327	71	53	5	9%	2.2	21.7%	16.2%	5.5%	1.5%	5.22	4.26	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	0	50	267	64	47	3	0%	1.5	19.0%	18.8%	0.2%	2.0%	7.15	4.97	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	0	50	267	64	47	3	0%	1.5	19.0%	18.8%	0.2%	2.0%	7.15	4.97	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	33	0	50	267	64	47	3	0%	1.5	24.0%	17.6%	6.4%	1.1%	7.15	4.13	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	ARI	54	0	57	241	41	48	7	0%	1.1	16.9%	20.0%	-3.1%	2.8%	6.11	6.11	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	ARI	61	0	64	272	49	47	8	0%	1.1	18.0%	17.4%	0.6%	2.8%	5.79	5.70	-0.8
2029	26	MLB MLE	ARI	61	0	64	272	51	46	8	0%	1.1	18.6%	16.8%	1.8%	2.8%	5.62	5.57	-0.7
2028	25	MLB CTX	ARI	27	0	28	118	21	21	3	0%	1.0	18.0%	17.4%	0.6%	2.8%	5.79	5.70	-0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	ARI	41	0	43	182	34	30	5	0%	1.0	18.6%	16.8%	1.8%	2.8%	5.62	5.57	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		67	0	70	296	54	51	8	0%	1.0	18.4%	17.0%	1.3%	2.8%	5.69	5.24	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	154	145	23	0%	1.1	18.4%	17.0%	1.3%	2.8%	5.69	5.24	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		118	45	312	1422	274	239	28	38%	2.6	19.2%	16.8%	2.4%	2.0%	4.59	4.69	-1.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		76	29	200	912	175	153	18	38%	2.6	19.2%	16.8%	2.4%	2.0%	4.59	4.69	-2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ricardo Yan (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.11	16.9%	20.0%	2.8%	—	5.63	18.3%	1.2%	129	-0.48	—	—	—
Ted Stuka R 2021 · 5.72 FIP	24	SW	5.72	12.4%	23.4%	1.3%	.262	6.22	15.9%	-13.1%	41	+0.50	5.36	105	83
Drew Conover R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	23	SW	6.25	15.6%	29.8%	1.3%	.272	5.19	12.6%	-3.4%	106	-1.06	4.49	145	81
Robbie Peto R 2022 · 5.39 FIP	24	SU	5.39	15.6%	19.4%	2.1%	.242	5.75	15.3%	1.9%	80	+0.36	5.39	232	80
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	79
Jake Eddington R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	23	SW	5.02	18.8%	24.1%	0.8%	.316	4.83	16.6%	-1.5%	105	-0.19	4.70	135	79
Victor Santos R 2001 · 4.97 FIP	24	SW	4.97	15.5%	13.4%	2.7%	.231	4.38	16.4%	7.4%	206	-0.59	4.09	602	78
Carlos Polanco R 2017 · 5.71 FIP	23	SU	5.71	13.9%	20.0%	2.3%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.70	276	78
Wirkin Estevez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	24	SW	5.39	10.7%	13.4%	2.7%	.316	4.46	12.3%	3.5%	179	-0.93	4.37	238	77
Dylan Spacke R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	24	SU	5.24	16.1%	13.9%	3.2%	.297	4.79	13.6%	0.2%	52	-0.45	2.08	205	76
Elian Rodriguez R 2021 · 5.60 FIP	24	SW	5.60	18.3%	21.9%	2.3%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	5.60	109	76
Blake Hickman R 2018 · 6.57 FIP	24	SW	6.57	12.9%	17.8%	4.2%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	4.19	156	76
Tom Reisinger R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	23	SW	5.44	12.1%	14.6%	2.8%	.381	6.49	10.3%	-5.6%	47	+1.05	5.44	110	76
Matt Merrill R 2022 · 6.06 FIP	24	SW	6.06	20.4%	22.4%	3.4%	.314	3.92	25.4%	7.0%	108	-2.14	3.14	205	76
Pedro Garcia R 2018 · 6.06 FIP	23	SW	6.06	12.6%	24.0%	1.8%	.242	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	144	75
Alex Makarewich R 2024 · 6.15 FIP	22	SP-	6.15	19.7%	26.7%	2.4%	.425	5.15	26.4%	-3.3%	83	-1.00	4.26	110	75
Yoel Espinal R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	21.4%	23.1%	2.1%	.255	4.24	22.9%	10.0%	99	-1.13	3.86	231	75
Cooper Adams R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SW	5.42	13.0%	12.2%	3.4%	.275	4.32	21.7%	10.4%	141	-1.10	3.05	221	74
Austin Vernon R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	24	SW	5.75	22.1%	16.8%	4.3%	.325	3.68	23.3%	10.0%	100	-2.07	3.37	261	74
Adrian Chaidez R 2023 · 4.96 FIP	24	SW	4.96	19.4%	16.3%	2.6%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	4.96	144	74
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	74

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	62	17.9%	18.0%	1.08	5.83
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ken Wright ('70-'74, -0 WAR*)	1.2	79	23.8%*	16.1%*	0.70*	5.24*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*