Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Phillies Red | 14 | 0 | 28 | 131 | 31 | 25 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 16.1% | 23.9% | -7.8% | 0.0% | 5.46 | 4.76 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Phillies Red | 14 | 0 | 28 | 131 | 31 | 25 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 23.7% | 19.1% | 4.6% | 0.0% | 5.46 | 3.56 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL Phillies White | 11 | 11 | 49 | 196 | 34 | 28 | 2 | 100% | 4.5 | 11.8% | 17.9% | -6.1% | 2.0% | 1.82 | 5.49 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL Phillies White | 11 | 11 | 49 | 196 | 34 | 28 | 2 | 100% | 4.5 | 17.3% | 14.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.82 | 3.95 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Phillies White | 11 | 10 | 42 | 170 | 51 | 18 | 0 | 91% | 3.8 | 20.4% | 13.2% | 7.2% | 0.0% | 3.21 | 3.05 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Phillies White | 11 | 10 | 42 | 170 | 51 | 18 | 0 | 91% | 3.8 | 30.0% | 10.6% | 19.4% | 0.0% | 3.21 | 1.96 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 15 | 65 | 286 | 77 | 41 | 3 | 83% | 3.6 | 19.1% | 17.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.72 | 4.52 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 15 | 65 | 286 | 77 | 41 | 3 | 83% | 3.6 | 26.9% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 1.0% | 3.72 | 3.22 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 2 | 41 | 163 | 49 | 21 | 0 | 7% | 1.5 | 21.2% | 18.4% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 1.11 | 3.64 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 2 | 41 | 163 | 49 | 21 | 0 | 7% | 1.5 | 30.1% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 0.0% | 1.11 | 2.24 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 22 | 0 | 24 | 121 | 33 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.0% | 21.9% | -0.9% | 3.1% | 7.03 | 5.80 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | PHI | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 4.50 | 4.50 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 49 | 227 | 57 | 35 | 6 | — | — | 25.1% | 15.5% | 9.6% | 2.6% | 5.74 | 5.14 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 4.50 | 4.12 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | PHI | 24 | 0 | 26 | 109 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 2.7% | 4.39 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | PHI | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 2.7% | 4.39 | 4.33 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 11 | 47 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 2.7% | 4.39 | 3.95 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 197 | 89 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 2.7% | 4.39 | 3.95 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 104 | 38 | 250 | 1067 | 194 | 195 | 12 | 37% | 2.4 | 18.1% | 18.3% | -0.1% | 1.1% | 3.35 | 4.50 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 83 | 30 | 200 | 855 | 155 | 156 | 10 | 37% | 2.4 | 18.1% | 18.3% | -0.1% | 1.1% | 3.35 | 4.50 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Danyony Pulido (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.50 | 22.6% | 11.4% | 2.7% | — | 4.33 | 23.3% | 12.8% | 26 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.33 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 148 | -0.09 | 3.96 | 242 | 85 |
| Luis Romero R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 85 |
| Trent Fennell R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.88 | 20.6% | 12.2% | 1.8% | .328 | 5.38 | 19.4% | 3.5% | 107 | +1.50 | 3.88 | 163 | 84 |
| Brendan Collins R 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 83 |
| Yunior Montero R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.60 | 21.9% | 11.9% | 1.5% | .239 | 5.26 | 21.3% | 3.7% | 54 | +1.66 | 3.60 | 127 | 83 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 83 |
| Zac Ryan R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 20.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .233 | 3.92 | 21.6% | 6.9% | 124 | +0.18 | 3.74 | 184 | 83 |
| William Kempner R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.5% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .277 | 3.32 | 29.2% | 14.5% | 112 | -0.62 | 3.29 | 173 | 82 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 82 |
| Colby Morris R 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 82 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2027 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .353 | 4.73 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 54 | +0.87 | 3.86 | 106 | 82 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 81 |
| Carlos Espinosa R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.33 | 23.0% | 11.0% | 3.2% | .325 | 4.98 | 23.0% | 10.2% | 42 | +0.65 | 3.69 | 247 | 81 |
| Heath Holder R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 81 |
| Blake Holub R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.31 | 21.7% | 15.3% | 2.0% | .339 | 3.90 | 23.6% | 11.8% | 156 | -0.41 | 3.31 | 236 | 80 |
| Shane Broyles R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.90 | 21.9% | 11.5% | 2.2% | .338 | 3.59 | 25.7% | 14.5% | 159 | -0.31 | 3.10 | 218 | 80 |
| Owen Holt R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .258 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 107 | +0.63 | 3.89 | 145 | 80 |
| Todd Peterson R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.37 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 4.6% | .279 | 4.87 | 15.0% | 4.3% | 124 | -0.50 | 4.46 | 175 | 80 |
| Josh White R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.45 | 24.5% | 11.4% | 1.8% | .319 | 2.79 | 31.3% | 20.1% | 109 | -0.66 | 1.95 | 232 | 80 |
| Parker Curry R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.68 | 22.5% | 8.2% | 2.6% | .341 | 4.68 | 18.6% | 11.6% | 193 | +1.00 | 3.68 | 256 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 25 | 23.0% | 11.0% | 1.05 | 4.44 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |