Héctor Rodríguez

LF Louisville Bats
Age 23 L/R 5'10" / 200 lbs AAA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2031
Overview
AAA40-MANFG #147Pre-ArbFA 2032
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202420A+CIN541.274/.312/.420121267—.239/.269/.350
202521AAACIN230.260/.306/.4057965—.228/.262/.352
202521AACIN345.298/.360/.481126109—.286/.327/.441
202622MLBCIN152.229/.270/.4106084-0.7
2027PROJ45% MLB23MLBCIN112.231/.279/.4034285-0.1
2028PROJ51% MLB24MLBCIN331.234/.284/.41013588-0.1
2029PROJ54% MLB25MLBCIN350.235/.287/.41314590-0.0
Last 3 seasons WAR -0.7  ·  Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2031Service1.000First FA2032
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$1M2030Arb-2$2M2031Arb-3$3M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2026
Speed68
Barrel%39
Avg EV38
xwOBA10
Form.222/.260/.401 · rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .227/.274/.391
CompsEnmanuel Valdez (age 23) · Fernando Martinez (age 23) · Parker Meadows (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†85
AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .279 / .403
PA112
HR4
K%21
BB%5
BABIP253
ISO163
MLB%45%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -0.4 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -2.7 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +5.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$8M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 53 / POW 47
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026
CONTACT53
xAVG
100.198
POWER47
Barrel%
396.7
Avg EV
3888.2
EYE20
scouting grade only
SPEED52
Sprint
6828.2
DEFENSE48
scouting grade only
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%25%▼▼27% over 106 PA (60d) · proj 20%
BB%4%▼3% over 106 PA (60d) · proj 5%
ISO.179▲.204 over 103 AB (60d) · proj .164
HR/BB5.6%▲6.8% over 74 BBE (60d) · proj 4.9%
BABIP.255▲.304 over 69 BIP (60d) · proj .251
SLASH.222/.260/.401·proj .227/.274/.391
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2026
Service   1.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2029Arb-1$1M———
2030Arb-2$2M———
2031Arb-3$3M———
Totals $0.0M $-0.4M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202117 ROKDSL Mets 1 — 141123 37823 13173 68 301381472853 171324 129 374 51 — — — — — —
202218 ADaytona Tortugas — 5552 14420 3100 11 269309423732 154333 185 322 65 — — — — — —
202218 ROKACL Reds — 141131 47863 9100 155 359400580980 221370 76 423 102 — — — — — —
202319 A+Dayton Dragons — 5551 15210 1101 01 294321373693 78349 182 300 76 — — — — — —
202319 ADaytona Tortugas — 444410 12023916 27847 185 293347510857 217335 196 375 83 — — — — — —
202319 INTLDominican Republic — 189179 511043 8291 53 285319436755 151327 154 331 110 — — — — — —
202420 A+Dayton Dragons — 541507 13924712 26722 126 274312420732 146297 135 321 67 — — — — — —
202420 INTLLeones del Escogido — 9691 23301 2150 21 253269319587 66286 162 255 59 — — — — — —
202521 AAALouisville Bats — 230215 56817 12382 92 260306405710 144287 175 315 65 — — — — — —
202521 AAChattanooga Lookouts — 345312 9315312 28482 65 298360481840 183318 148 368 109 — — — — — —
202521 INTLLeones del Escogido — 128113 34534 13131 32 301378504882 204309 1010 385 147 — — — — — —
202622 MLBCincinnati Reds — 152144 33426 7391 02 229270410679 181273 265 299 84 -3 -1 +0 -7 +3 -0.7
202622 AAALouisville Bats — 455405 11116427 42935 62 274350533883 259292 209 383 97 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 152144 33426 7391 02 229270410679 181273 265 299 89 -2 -1 +0 -7 +3 -0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202117 ROK MLEDSL Mets 1 — 141128 25512 8223 68 195259297556 102213 166 244 51 — — — — — —
202218 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 5553 12320 2130 11 226255358613 132307 244 265 65 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLEACL Reds — 141134 37642 6140 155 276307425733 149291 104 319 102 — — — — — —
202319 A+ MLEDayton Dragons — 5551 15210 1131 01 294321373693 78336 242 281 76 — — — — — —
202319 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 444417 9917712 201147 185 237284398682 161297 265 291 83 — — — — — —
202420 A+ MLEDayton Dragons — 541514 1232168 19912 126 239269350619 111270 174 267 67 — — — — — —
202521 AAA MLELouisville Bats — 230219 50716 8472 92 228262352614 123263 203 265 65 — — — — — —
202521 AA MLEChattanooga Lookouts — 345322 9214310 18582 65 286327441768 155314 175 330 109 — — — — — —
202622 MLB MLECincinnati Reds — 152144 33426 7391 02 229270410679 181273 265 292 84 -3 -1 +0 -7 +3 -0.7
202622 AAA MLELouisville Bats — 455418 10014420 291115 62 239296435732 196271 246 312 97 — — — — — —
202117 ROK MLEDSL Mets 1 — 141128 25512 8223 68 195259297556 102217 166 244 51 — — — — — —
202117 ROK RAWDSL Mets 1 — 141123 37823 13173 68 301381472853 171324 129 374 51 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLE2 teams — 196187 49962 8280 166 262292406699 144297 144 304 92 — — — — — —
202218 ROK RAW2 teams — 196183 611283 12200 166 333374536910 202360 106 395 92 — — — — — —
202319 A MLE3 teams — 688648 157261216 281759 239 242283394677 151307 254 290 82 — — — — — —
202319 A RAW3 teams — 688640 186351419 361239 239 291337478815 188334 185 357 82 — — — — — —
202420 A+ MLE2 teams — 637604 1452579 221072 147 240269349618 109275 173 267 67 — — — — — —
202420 A+ RAW2 teams — 637598 16227713 28872 147 271306405710 134295 144 311 67 — — — — — —
202521 AA MLE3 teams — 703661 17325519 321285 189 262301401702 139297 185 304 92 — — — — — —
202521 AA RAW3 teams — 703640 18328723 53995 189 286345459805 173306 148 354 92 — — — — — —
202622 AAA MLE2 teams — 607562 13118625 361506 64 233286420706 187272 256 307 94 — — — — — —
202622 AAA RAW2 teams — 607549 14420633 491326 64 262329501830 239287 228 362 94 — — — — — —
202117 ROK MLEDSL Mets 1 — 141129 25512 8223 68 194259295554 101213 166 244 51 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLE2 teams — 196186 49962 8280 166 263292409701 145295 144 304 92 — — — — — —
202319 A MLE3 teams — 688646 157261216 281759 239 243283395678 152301 254 290 82 — — — — — —
202420 A+ MLE2 teams — 637608 1452579 221072 147 238269347616 109270 173 267 67 — — — — — —
202521 AA MLE3 teams — 703660 17325519 321285 189 262301402702 139294 185 304 92 — — — — — —
202622 AAA MLE2 teams — 607560 13118625 361506 64 234286421708 188271 256 307 94 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202420 A+ MLE2 teams — 637608 1452579 221072 147 238269347616 109270 173 267 67 — — — — — —
202521 AA MLE3 teams — 703660 17325519 321285 189 262301402702 139294 185 304 92 — — — — — —
202622 AAA MLE2 teams — 607560 13118625 361506 64 234286421708 188271 256 307 94 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLECIN 45% 648603 13618523 341316 102 228276391667 163251 205 294 85 -12 +1 -1 -7 +14 0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202723 MLB CTXCIN 45% 112104 24314 6231 20 231279403682 172253 215 300 85 -2 +0 -0 -1 +2 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLECIN 51% 648601 13919524 361306 102 230281397678 167254 206 298 88 -9 +1 -1 -7 +14 -0.2
202925 MLB MLECIN 54% 648600 13919524 371306 102 232284400684 168256 206 301 90 -8 +1 -1 -7 +14 -0.0
203026 MLB MLECIN 55% 648598 13920523 391316 92 232285400685 168257 206 302 91 -7 +1 -1 -7 +14 0.0
203127 MLB MLECIN 55% 643593 13820523 391316 92 232286398684 166258 206 302 90 -7 +1 -1 -7 +14 0.0
203228 MLB MLECIN 55% 635585 13520522 391326 72 231286393679 163258 216 300 89 -8 +1 -1 -7 +14 -0.2
203329 MLB MLECIN 53% 623575 13019421 381315 51 228282386669 159257 216 296 86 -10 +1 -2 -7 +13 -0.5
203430 MLB MLECIN 53% 611564 12618420 371305 21 224278378656 153254 216 291 83 -12 +0 -3 -7 +13 -0.9
202824 MLB CTXCIN 51% 331307 7310313 18663 51 234284410693 176255 205 305 88 -5 +1 -0 -4 +7 -0.1
202925 MLB CTXCIN 54% 350324 7610314 20703 51 235287413699 177257 206 307 90 -4 +1 -0 -4 +8 -0.0
203026 MLB CTXCIN 55% 358331 7811314 21723 51 236289412701 177259 206 308 91 -4 +1 -0 -4 +8 0.0
203127 MLB CTXCIN 55% 352325 7711314 21723 51 235289410699 175260 206 308 90 -4 +1 -0 -4 +8 0.0
203228 MLB CTXCIN 55% 346319 7511313 21723 41 234289405694 171260 216 306 89 -5 +0 -1 -4 +7 -0.1
203329 MLB CTXCIN 53% 332306 7010212 20703 21 231285398684 167258 216 301 86 -5 +0 -1 -4 +7 -0.3
203430 MLB CTXCIN 53% 321295 679211 20693 11 228281389671 162256 216 296 83 -7 -0 -1 -3 +7 -0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 25422351 549762197 14853022 279 234285407693 174260 216 304 86 -36 +2 -4 -32 +55 -1.6
/ 162G— A+C — 650601 14019525 381366 72 233286406692 173259 216 304 86 -9 +0 -1 -8 +14 -0.4
Career— MLE — 76787139 167925072239 412157567 13956 235283391674 156268 215 295 86 -69 +5 -9 -57 +105 -2.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650604 14221620 351336 125 235284389673 154268 205 295 86 -9 +1 -1 -8 +14 -0.3