Jose Serrano — OGILVIE

Jose SerranoSS Dayton Dragons

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 180 lbs A+ HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 45 proj PA

wRC+†42

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .249 / .272

PA45

HR1

K%36

BB%7

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	127	120	25	4	3	0	7	38	0	2	1	208	252	292	544	83	305	30	6	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	127	115	33	6	4	0	12	26	0	2	1	287	354	409	763	122	371	20	9	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	100	91	14	2	0	1	8	50	1	1	0	154	230	209	439	55	325	50	8	196	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	100	86	21	4	0	1	13	35	1	1	0	244	350	326	676	81	400	35	13	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	2 teams	—	198	180	25	4	2	1	13	95	4	2	4	139	213	200	413	61	282	48	7	191	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	2 teams	—	198	170	37	6	4	2	23	69	4	2	4	218	325	335	660	118	350	35	12	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	92	86	7	0	0	1	6	60	0	0	0	81	141	116	258	35	240	65	7	116	-53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	92	84	12	0	0	2	8	45	0	0	0	143	217	214	432	71	270	49	9	204	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	31	29	4	1	0	0	2	19	0	0	0	138	194	172	366	34	400	61	6	169	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	31	28	6	1	0	0	3	14	0	0	0	214	290	250	540	36	429	45	10	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	CIN	—	45	42	7	1	0	1	3	16	0	1	0	167	222	262	484	95	288	36	7	240	42	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	CIN	35%	121	110	22	4	1	2	9	42	1	2	0	200	267	309	576	109	290	35	7	254	52	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	CIN	46%	247	225	45	8	1	5	18	83	2	3	1	200	265	311	576	111	291	34	7	263	60	-11	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
2027	23	MLB	CIN	35%	42	39	7	1	0	1	3	15	0	1	0	179	238	282	520	103	293	36	7	249	49	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	CIN	46%	114	104	21	4	1	2	8	39	1	2	0	202	265	317	583	115	294	34	7	259	56	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	156	143	28	5	1	3	11	54	1	3	0	196	258	308	566	112	287	35	7	256	54	-8	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	116	21	4	12	46	225	4	12	0	195	257	304	561	109	287	35	7	256	54	-33	+2	+0	+7	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	961	883	149	24	7	11	66	403	8	11	6	169	233	249	482	80	292	42	7	220	26	-80	-0	+0	+10	+27	-4.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	100	16	5	7	45	273	5	7	4	168	232	246	478	79	292	42	7	220	26	-54	-0	+0	+7	+18	-3.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	127	115	33	6	4	0	12	26	0	2	1	287	354	409	763	122	371	20	9	341	119	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.7
2022	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	100	86	21	4	0	1	13	35	1	1	0	244	350	326	676	81	400	35	13	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2023	19	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	30	29	5	1	0	0	1	13	0	0	0	172	200	207	407	34	312	43	3	187	1	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2023	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	168	141	32	5	4	2	22	56	4	2	4	227	347	362	709	135	357	33	13	323	106	+1	-1	—	—	+5	0.5
2024	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	92	84	12	0	0	2	8	45	0	0	0	143	217	214	432	71	270	49	9	204	15	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2025	21	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	31	28	6	1	0	0	3	14	0	0	0	214	290	250	540	36	429	45	10	255	53	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Serrano (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	184/249/272	88	288	1	1	36%	7%	42	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	37→33	41→40	49→55	33	185/229/278	92	285	8	9	37%	4%	33	-2.9	172/223/263	91	273	9	12	38%	5%	28	-3.2	143/198/223	80	227	9	13	40%	5%	4	-2.5
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→45	45→40	34	173/222/254	81	276	7	4	39%	5%	24	-3.5	183/241/264	81	308	8	5	40%	6%	36	-2.7	115/169/126	12	224	0	0	46%	5%	-33	-1.4
✕Will Banfield 2022 · A	22	31→35	40→50	48→30	34	163/215/254	91	259	8	4	39%	5%	22	-3.7	193/230/321	128	266	15	3	33%	4%	46	-2.0	194/236/296	102	269	12	0	32%	4%	39	-1.2
✕Edwin Díaz 2018 · A	22	33→31	40→50	47→40	37	170/225/259	88	261	8	3	37%	6%	27	-3.3	174/236/291	117	279	12	4	40%	7%	41	-2.3	158/222/310	152	235	22	4	42%	7%	38	-1.2
✕Justin Twine 2018 · A	22	35→31	36→45	46→50	30	172/213/238	66	275	4	7	38%	3%	16	-4.1	211/251/299	88	302	6	10	31%	4%	48	-1.9	216/252/313	97	321	8	14	34%	3%	50	-1.0
✕Vicente Conde 2016 · AA	22	38→34	42→45	46→45	41	190/249/295	105	274	9	9	33%	7%	47	-1.9	179/250/264	85	267	6	6	32%	8%	40	-2.4	157/239/226	69	243	4	4	34%	9%	24	-1.5
✕Alex Lavisky 2013 · A	22	36	42→40	46→30	35	185/231/286	100	277	11	3	36%	5%	37	-2.7	201/245/297	96	268	10	3	28%	5%	46	-2.0	192/236/276	85	241	10	1	24%	4%	34	-0.9
✕Juan Zabala 2021 · A	22	40	39→40	48→50	37	189/252/274	85	300	6	6	37%	6%	43	-2.2	211/273/309	98	301	9	13	31%	7%	61	-1.0	203/266/291	88	284	10	16	30%	7%	50	-0.7
✕Caleb Hamilton 2017 · A	22	39	39→45	48→45	45	184/268/268	85	290	5	5	36%	9%	50	-1.8	175/256/274	99	265	8	5	34%	9%	46	-2.0	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Mikell Granberry 2018 · A	22	39	39→45	47→45	38	186/242/277	91	282	4	6	34%	6%	40	-2.4	215/284/323	108	302	8	7	29%	8%	69	-0.4	225/307/355	130	299	13	7	27%	10%	85	+0.2
✕Joe Munoz 2016 · A	22	40→37	43→45	45→40	39	195/256/298	103	298	11	5	37%	7%	51	-1.7	214/278/333	119	314	11	6	33%	7%	69	-0.4	198/260/313	116	283	9	5	32%	6%	53	-0.9
✕Walking Cabrera 2023 · A	22	37→34	42→45	47→45	40	188/245/295	107	268	10	8	33%	7%	46	-2.0	203/253/315	112	302	12	9	35%	6%	54	-1.4	191/237/303	112	281	15	10	37%	5%	43	-1.2
✕Ali Solis 2010 · AA	22	34	42→45	49→30	36	176/225/273	97	261	10	4	36%	5%	31	-3.0	215/246/345	130	299	15	3	32%	3%	59	-1.1	227/249/361	134	309	15	1	31%	2%	60	-0.5
✕Chuck Moorman 2016 · A	22	36	39→40	44→30	32	176/227/256	80	293	7	5	40%	4%	27	-3.3	191/228/270	79	271	5	3	30%	4%	30	-3.1	181/219/257	76	259	5	0	31%	4%	21	-1.8
✕David Masters 2015 · A	22	38→36	36→45	47→40	40	182/248/249	67	278	3	8	34%	7%	35	-2.8	175/232/242	67	239	6	4	28%	6%	27	-3.3	194/263/331	137	266	18	1	33%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Brandon Lewis 2021 · A	22	42→36	39→55	49→30	41	203/264/290	86	289	7	6	30%	6%	52	-1.6	200/253/377	177	299	25	3	40%	6%	72	-0.2	180/234/343	163	262	24	1	40%	5%	52	-1.1
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2017 · A	22	38→40	39→50	49→55	32	186/218/269	84	287	6	12	37%	4%	26	-3.4	192/232/265	73	306	6	23	37%	4%	31	-3.0	196/238/335	139	267	15	22	32%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Joey Rose 2019 · A	21	36	42→50	51→40	34	172/236/275	102	313	9	4	45%	7%	37	-2.6	185/238/277	92	297	7	5	38%	6%	38	-2.6	150/191/229	78	223	6	2	34%	4%	3	-1.6
✕J.V. Martinez 2021 · A	22	39→34	42→45	44→30	40	193/252/295	103	276	9	3	32%	6%	49	-1.8	199/255/310	111	282	10	4	31%	6%	53	-1.5	184/241/297	113	256	10	1	31%	6%	42	-1.0
✕Julio Carrion 2021 · A	22	39	38→40	50→45	38	186/255/265	79	301	6	6	38%	7%	43	-2.2	180/259/263	83	314	7	5	41%	7%	44	-2.1	156/236/234	78	290	8	3	45%	7%	25	-1.3