Carlos RodríguezC FCL Orioles
Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 195 lbs ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj PA
wRC+†43
AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .258 / .263
PA52
HR0
K%33
BB%7
ISO72
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -3.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.20.30.3+$6M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL Orioles 1 — 5348 9400 2202 12 188250271521 83310 384 224 30 — — — — — —
202117 ROKDSL Orioles 1 — 5347 13600 3142 12 277346404750 128382 266 332 112 — — — — — —
202218 ROKFCL Orioles — 7763 11202 10272 10 175307302608 127250 3513 258 56 — — — — — —
202218 ROKFCL Orioles — 7756 12202 17182 10 214413357770 143263 2322 355 129 — — — — — —
202319 ROKFCL Orioles — 7969 10101 7382 20 145244203446 58290 489 194 7 — — — — — —
202319 ROKFCL Orioles — 7963 14101 13252 20 222372286658 63342 3216 313 98 — — — — — —
202420 ROKFCL Orioles — 7468 17400 5260 11 250301309610 59395 357 281 73 — — — — — —
202420 ROKFCL Orioles — 7465 22500 8190 11 338411415826 77468 2611 370 141 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season
202622 MLBBAL — 5248 9200 4170 10 188250229479 42290 338 242 43 -3 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBBAL 34% 10797 19311 8341 10 196264278543 82291 327 253 52 -6 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.1
202824 MLBBAL 46% 237215 44813 18742 31 205272293565 88292 318 262 58 -11 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.0
202925 MLBBAL 52% 324293 611125 251003 41 208277311588 102293 318 267 62 -14 +0 +0 +6 +9 0.2
203026 MLBBAL 54% 381344 731327 301174 51 212283323606 110293 318 269 64 -15 +1 +0 +7 +11 0.3
203127 MLBBAL 54% 410371 781427 321264 51 210280315595 105292 318 269 64 -17 +1 +0 +7 +12 0.3
202723 MLBBAL 34% 3734 6100 3120 00 176243206449 29295 328 250 49 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
202824 MLBBAL 46% 10999 22412 8341 10 222287343630 121297 317 258 56 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.0
202925 MLBBAL 52% 167150 33613 13522 21 220291333624 113297 318 263 60 -8 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.0
203026 MLBBAL 54% 207187 40714 16642 21 214283326609 112297 318 266 62 -9 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.1
203127 MLBBAL 54% 222200 43814 18682 31 215286325611 110297 318 266 62 -10 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 742670 14426413 582307 83 215284324608 109304 318 263 60 -34 +0 +0 +13 +21 0.1
/ 162G— — 650587 12623411 512016 73 215285324608 109303 318 263 60 -30 +0 +0 +12 +18 0.1
Career— — 17941616 33162826 14157920 247 205277301578 97298 328 261 58 -85 +2 +0 +32 +51 0.0
/ 162G— — 650586 1192239 512107 93 203275297572 94296 328 261 58 -31 +1 +0 +12 +18 -0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL Orioles 1 — 5347 13600 3142 12 277346404750 128382 266 332 112 +1 -1 — — +2 0.2
202218 ROKFCL Orioles — 7756 12202 17182 10 214413357770 143263 2322 355 129 +3 +0 — — +2 0.5
202319 ROKFCL Orioles — 7963 14101 13252 20 222372286658 63342 3216 313 98 -0 +0 — — +2 0.3
202420 ROKFCL Orioles — 7465 22500 8190 11 338411415826 77468 2611 370 141 +3 -0 — — +2 0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA
101,524292226288351+19+143.84.3
/162664131+8.5+6.21.6pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
3794139208274308+14+120.20.3
/162664118+11.9+10.00.2pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Carlos Rodríguez (OGILVIE) 22 — — — — 191/258/263 72290 01 33% 7% 43 -0.2 ————————— —————————
✕Arturo De Freitas
2023 · A 		22 35 39→45 45→40 34 173/222/254 81276 74 39% 5% 24 -3.5 183/241/264 81308 85 40% 6% 36 -2.7 115/169/126122240046%5%-33-1.4
✕Claudio Finol
2022 · A 		22 40 39→40 46→45 40 193/251/277 85270 56 30% 6% 43 -2.2 194/250/277 83275 79 30% 6% 43 -2.2 181/246/2587726091232%7%35-0.7
✕Juan Zabala
2021 · A 		22 40 39→40 48→50 37 189/252/274 85300 66 37% 6% 43 -2.2 211/273/309 98301 913 31% 7% 61 -1.0 203/266/29188284101630%7%50-0.7
✕David Masters
2015 · A 		22 38→36 36→45 47→40 40 182/248/249 67278 38 34% 7% 35 -2.8 175/232/242 67239 64 28% 6% 27 -3.3 194/263/33113726618133%7%59-0.5
✕Aaron McKeithan
2022 · A 		22 40 38→40 49→40 40 194/261/274 80272 67 29% 6% 47 -1.9 217/294/301 84283 84 25% 7% 69 -0.4 216/298/285692797123%7%66-0.3
✕Mikell Granberry
2018 · A 		22 39 39→45 47→45 38 186/242/277 91282 46 34% 6% 40 -2.4 215/284/323 108302 87 29% 8% 69 -0.4 225/307/35513029913727%10%85+0.2
✕J.C. Millan
2018 · A 		22 40 37→45 45→30 36 194/235/268 74277 48 31% 4% 33 -2.9 221/267/321 100274 96 22% 6% 61 -1.0 227/273/32710126611419%6%61-0.4
✕Grayson Greiner
2016 · A 		23 37 38→45 46→30 35 180/230/254 74285 63 38% 6% 28 -3.2 209/261/311 102295 93 31% 6% 56 -1.3 214/272/32411028810028%7%62-0.5
✕Franklin Tineo
2017 · A 		22 36 38→45 46→50 45 179/245/253 75239 510 26% 7% 35 -2.8 198/277/298 100282 810 30% 8% 60 -1.0 201/298/325124262101225%10%74-0.0
✕Steven Baron
2012 · A 		21 33 40→45 45→50 36 171/214/256 85249 77 34% 5% 21 -3.7 187/224/281 94269 69 32% 4% 32 -3.0 240/300/311713265626%7%68-0.2
✕Alejandro Torres
2012 · A 		23 37 37→40 46→40 35 182/219/253 71267 45 33% 4% 22 -3.7 205/260/281 76311 56 33% 6% 48 -1.9 198/265/228303130034%8%37-0.5
✕Blake Hunt
2021 · A 		22 41 39→50 49→40 43 198/254/288 90263 66 26% 6% 47 -1.9 192/251/307 115278 124 34% 6% 52 -1.6 207/268/34113426314226%6%65-0.3
✕Willy Diaz
2016 · A 		22 39 38→40 43→40 46 187/275/268 81281 63 33% 9% 53 -1.5 189/257/267 78337 45 41% 7% 43 -2.2 169/224/243753182444%5%20-1.2
✕Caleb Hamilton
2017 · A 		22 39 39→45 48→45 45 184/268/268 85290 55 36% 9% 50 -1.8 175/256/274 99265 85 34% 9% 46 -2.0 145/239/28213720521340%10%39-0.8
✕Brandon Lewis
2021 · A 		22 42→36 39→55 49→30 41 203/264/290 86289 76 30% 6% 52 -1.6 200/253/377 177299 253 40% 6% 72 -0.2 180/234/34316326224140%5%52-1.1
✕Gerardo Bustamante
2008 · A 		22 38 39→45 42→50 40 189/237/273 83260 84 30% 6% 36 -2.7 198/258/276 78271 55 27% 7% 46 -2.0 226/262/32599269141222%4%56-0.4
✕Will Banfield
2022 · A 		22 31→35 40→50 48→30 34 163/215/254 91259 84 39% 5% 22 -3.7 193/230/321 128266 153 33% 4% 46 -2.0 194/236/29610226912032%4%39-1.2
✕Ben Gobbel
2023 · A 		23 41→40 36→50 47→50 41 197/258/265 68279 47 29% 6% 43 -2.2 211/270/330 119289 1313 30% 6% 66 -0.6 213/262/352139271171228%4%64-0.4
✕Fabian Pertuz
2023 · A 		22 37→33 41→40 49→55 33 185/229/278 92285 89 37% 4% 33 -2.9 172/223/263 91273 912 38% 5% 28 -3.2 143/198/2238022791340%5%4-2.5
✕Jose Sibrian
2021 · A 		22 43 38→50 49→30 39 204/261/283 79291 56 30% 6% 49 -1.8 200/255/276 76267 53 26% 5% 45 -2.1 193/253/280872458024%5%42-0.8