Carlos RodríguezC
FCL Orioles
Age 22
R/R
5'11" / 195 lbs
ROK
HR +8%BB -5%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 1.4 · 2031
wRC+†56
AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .268 / .297
PA52
HR1
K%31
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.4peak
2031
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Pre-Arb | $0.9M | +1.4 | $13M | +$12M |
| 2033 | Pre-Arb | $1.0M | +1.2 | $12M | +$11M |
| 2034 | Pre-Arb | $1.0M | +1.0 | $10M | +$9M |
| 2035 | Arb-1 | $1M | +0.7 | $4M | +$2M |
| 2036 | Arb-2 | $1M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2037 | Arb-3 | $7M | +0.1 | $0.6M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| Totals | $6M | $42M | +$36M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Orioles 1 | 53 | 48 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 2 | .188 | .250 | .271 | .521 | .083 | .310 | 38 | 4 | .224 | 30 | -4 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 77 | 63 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .175 | .307 | .302 | .608 | .127 | .243 | 34 | 13 | .258 | 56 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 79 | 69 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 38 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .145 | .244 | .203 | .446 | .058 | .290 | 48 | 9 | .191 | 4 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 74 | 68 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .250 | .301 | .309 | .610 | .059 | .395 | 35 | 7 | .278 | 71 | -2 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | BAL | 52 | 48 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .208 | .269 | .312 | .582 | .104 | .290 | 31 | 8 | .259 | 56 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB 11% | BAL | 107 | 97 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .216 | .283 | .340 | .623 | .124 | .292 | 29 | 7 | .277 | 70 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB 26% | BAL | 237 | 214 | 47 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 68 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .220 | .289 | .346 | .635 | .126 | .293 | 29 | 8 | .288 | 79 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +7 | 0.6 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB 43% | BAL | 324 | 291 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 91 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .223 | .296 | .357 | .653 | .134 | .294 | 28 | 8 | .295 | 84 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +9 | 1.0 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB 58% | BAL | 381 | 342 | 76 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 106 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .222 | .296 | .360 | .656 | .137 | .295 | 28 | 8 | .299 | 87 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +11 | 1.3 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB 76% | BAL | 410 | 368 | 83 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 115 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .226 | .300 | .370 | .669 | .144 | .295 | 28 | 9 | .299 | 87 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +12 | 1.4 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB 84% | BAL | 426 | 382 | 86 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 120 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .225 | .300 | .366 | .667 | .141 | .295 | 28 | 9 | .298 | 86 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +8 | +12 | 1.4 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB 90% | BAL | 428 | 384 | 86 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 122 | 4 | 5 | 0 | .224 | .299 | .365 | .663 | .141 | .294 | 29 | 9 | .296 | 85 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +8 | +12 | 1.2 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | BAL | 426 | 382 | 85 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 123 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .223 | .298 | .364 | .662 | .141 | .292 | 29 | 9 | .293 | 82 | -8 | +1 | -2 | +8 | +12 | 1.0 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | BAL | 404 | 362 | 79 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 118 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .218 | .294 | .351 | .645 | .133 | .291 | 29 | 9 | .289 | 80 | -9 | +0 | -3 | +7 | +11 | 0.7 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | BAL | 378 | 339 | 72 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 113 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .212 | .288 | .339 | .627 | .127 | .289 | 30 | 9 | .285 | 76 | -10 | +0 | -4 | +7 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | BAL | 340 | 305 | 64 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 104 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .210 | .285 | .328 | .613 | .118 | .288 | 31 | 9 | .279 | 72 | -11 | +0 | -4 | +6 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | BAL | 291 | 261 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 91 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .207 | .284 | .326 | .609 | .119 | .286 | 31 | 9 | .273 | 67 | -11 | +0 | -5 | +5 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2039 | 35 | MLB | BAL | 237 | 213 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 77 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .202 | .277 | .315 | .591 | .113 | .284 | 32 | 8 | .265 | 61 | -10 | +0 | -6 | +4 | +7 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4724 | 4236 | 918 | 161 | 28 | 110 | 402 | 1405 | 47 | 46 | 8 | .217 | .292 | .346 | .638 | .129 | .294 | 30 | 9 | .286 | 77 | -122 | +6 | -25 | +84 | +134 | 7.9 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 583 | 126 | 22 | 4 | 15 | 55 | 193 | 6 | 6 | 1 | .216 | .290 | .345 | .635 | .129 | .293 | 30 | 8 | .286 | 77 | -17 | +1 | -3 | +12 | +18 | 1.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Orioles 1 | 53 | 47 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | .277 | .346 | .404 | .750 | .128 | .382 | 26 | 6 | .332 | 112 | +1 | -1 | — | — | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 77 | 56 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .214 | .413 | .357 | .770 | .143 | .263 | 23 | 22 | .355 | 129 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.5 |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 79 | 63 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .222 | .372 | .286 | .658 | .063 | .342 | 32 | 16 | .313 | 98 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.3 |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 74 | 65 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .338 | .411 | .415 | .826 | .077 | .468 | 26 | 11 | .370 | 141 | +3 | -0 | — | — | +2 | 0.5 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Carlos Rodríguez (OGILVIE) | 22 | — | — | — | — | .203/.268/.297 | .094 | .290 | 1 | 1 | 31% | 7% | 56 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Daniel Schneemann 2019 · A |
22 | 39→49 | 40→50 | 50 | 43 | .189/.254/.283 | .094 | .277 | 7 | 6 | 33% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .211/.272/.298 | .087 | .290 | 7 | 8 | 28% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .226/.305/.377 | .151 | .297 | 15 | 13 | 28% | 10% | 89 | +0.7 |
|
●James McCann 2012 · A |
22 | 41→51 | 42→50 | 49→45 | 39 | .203/.260/.306 | .103 | .288 | 9 | 7 | 32% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .223/.261/.310 | .087 | .291 | 6 | 6 | 24% | 4% | 55 | -1.4 | .254/.315/.415 | .161 | .331 | 20 | 4 | 28% | 7% | 104 | +1.1 |
|
✕Corey Joyce 2021 · A |
22 | 44 | 40→45 | 50 | 40 | .212/.268/.307 | .095 | .307 | 8 | 8 | 32% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .203/.290/.313 | .110 | .295 | 11 | 12 | 32% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .212/.315/.318 | .105 | .301 | 9 | 14 | 29% | 10% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Ezequiel Duran 2021 · A |
22 | 38→48 | 39→55 | 52→50 | 33 | .186/.233/.270 | .084 | .294 | 7 | 8 | 38% | 4% | 33 | -2.9 | .226/.276/.390 | .164 | .313 | 19 | 14 | 33% | 6% | 84 | +0.6 | .235/.283/.404 | .168 | .313 | 19 | 14 | 30% | 5% | 88 | +0.7 |
|
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A |
21 | 43 | 39→50 | 51→45 | 39 | .202/.262/.293 | .090 | .301 | 6 | 7 | 33% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .193/.267/.305 | .112 | .296 | 13 | 8 | 37% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .178/.253/.291 | .113 | .253 | 15 | 7 | 34% | 7% | 47 | -0.8 |
|
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A |
22 | 41 | 39→40 | 49→40 | 40 | .198/.263/.282 | .084 | .277 | 6 | 7 | 29% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .218/.296/.304 | .086 | .283 | 8 | 4 | 24% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .219/.302/.289 | .070 | .280 | 7 | 1 | 22% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Jose Sibrian 2021 · A |
22 | 42 | 37→50 | 48→30 | 39 | .199/.255/.274 | .075 | .282 | 5 | 5 | 30% | 5% | 44 | -2.1 | .205/.260/.284 | .079 | .273 | 5 | 3 | 26% | 5% | 49 | -1.8 | .204/.263/.299 | .095 | .258 | 9 | 0 | 24% | 5% | 51 | -0.5 |
|
✕Eric Fryer 2008 · A |
22 | 39→49 | 40→45 | 45→50 | 42 | .195/.249/.284 | .089 | .258 | 7 | 7 | 27% | 6% | 44 | -2.1 | .241/.298/.354 | .113 | .308 | 9 | 10 | 24% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .247/.311/.365 | .118 | .317 | 10 | 11 | 23% | 7% | 87 | +0.6 |
|
✕Adrian Del Castillo 2023 · A |
23 | 36→45 | 43→55 | 52→40 | 41 | .184/.246/.294 | .110 | .257 | 10 | 7 | 32% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .210/.280/.351 | .141 | .289 | 15 | 4 | 31% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .218/.292/.382 | .164 | .293 | 19 | 1 | 31% | 9% | 86 | +0.5 |
|
✕Ashton McGee 2021 · A |
22 | 41 | 39→50 | 50→40 | 41 | .194/.258/.283 | .089 | .288 | 5 | 5 | 33% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .206/.290/.322 | .116 | .364 | 11 | 3 | 42% | 10% | 72 | -0.2 | .191/.284/.307 | .117 | .346 | 12 | 2 | 44% | 11% | 63 | -0.4 |
|
✕Javier Valdes 2021 · A |
22 | 40 | 37→55 | 50→30 | 45 | .190/.266/.263 | .073 | .266 | 4 | 7 | 28% | 8% | 47 | -1.9 | .209/.291/.323 | .114 | .277 | 12 | 5 | 27% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .207/.303/.355 | .148 | .256 | 18 | 3 | 26% | 9% | 85 | +0.3 |
|
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A |
22 | 39→47 | 39→40 | 48→50 | 44 | .186/.276/.275 | .089 | .270 | 6 | 10 | 31% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .202/.273/.299 | .097 | .277 | 7 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .213/.285/.313 | .100 | .282 | 9 | 16 | 26% | 7% | 64 | -0.4 |
|
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2022 · A |
22 | 41→51 | 41→45 | 48→50 | 38 | .204/.251/.304 | .100 | .277 | 9 | 9 | 29% | 5% | 50 | -1.7 | .233/.286/.332 | .099 | .320 | 10 | 11 | 29% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .231/.292/.316 | .084 | .322 | 9 | 12 | 29% | 7% | 67 | -0.4 |
|
✕Ramon Mendoza 2023 · A |
22 | 41→48 | 37→45 | 48→45 | 45 | .193/.269/.270 | .078 | .280 | 4 | 7 | 31% | 8% | 50 | -1.8 | .211/.284/.310 | .099 | .294 | 8 | 5 | 29% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .219/.298/.332 | .113 | .294 | 11 | 3 | 27% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
●Wynton Bernard 2013 · A |
22 | 44→54 | 39→45 | 52→60 | 42 | .208/.269/.296 | .088 | .301 | 6 | 10 | 31% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .242/.293/.332 | .090 | .318 | 5 | 19 | 24% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .270/.315/.362 | .092 | .329 | 5 | 28 | 19% | 6% | 86 | +0.7 |
|
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A |
22 | 41 | 41→40 | 46→45 | 40 | .203/.258/.301 | .098 | .286 | 8 | 8 | 31% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .200/.266/.289 | .089 | .294 | 8 | 9 | 32% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .183/.256/.260 | .077 | .269 | 7 | 8 | 32% | 8% | 40 | -1.1 |
|
✕Brandon Barnes 2008 · A |
22 | 37→47 | 38→55 | 46→50 | 37 | .181/.232/.260 | .079 | .269 | 5 | 7 | 34% | 5% | 30 | -3.1 | .197/.236/.309 | .112 | .291 | 11 | 6 | 35% | 4% | 45 | -2.1 | .244/.289/.369 | .125 | .331 | 12 | 16 | 29% | 5% | 80 | +0.3 |
|
✕Andy Paz 2016 · A |
23 | 39 | 37→40 | 48→45 | 43 | .187/.248/.258 | .071 | .267 | 5 | 5 | 31% | 8% | 37 | -2.6 | .224/.274/.290 | .066 | .298 | 4 | 7 | 24% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .235/.280/.283 | .048 | .303 | 3 | 7 | 22% | 6% | 52 | -0.5 |
|
✕Blaze Alexander 2022 · A |
23 | 38→48 | 42→50 | 52→50 | 39 | .185/.256/.288 | .103 | .292 | 11 | 14 | 38% | 7% | 49 | -1.8 | .218/.290/.354 | .136 | .331 | 15 | 11 | 36% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .220/.308/.345 | .126 | .328 | 13 | 10 | 34% | 8% | 84 | +0.4 |
|
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A |
22 | 42 | 40→50 | 49→40 | 44 | .205/.261/.298 | .093 | .263 | 7 | 6 | 24% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .192/.250/.309 | .117 | .280 | 12 | 4 | 34% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .206/.268/.347 | .141 | .262 | 15 | 2 | 27% | 6% | 67 | -0.3 |