Jair Casanova — OGILVIE

Jair CasanovaOF FCL Braves

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 84 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .272 / .324

PA84

HR2

K%30

BB%7

ISO117

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	179	158	38	3	1	1	15	45	3	0	1	241	318	291	609	51	322	25	8	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	179	149	43	5	1	1	24	34	3	0	1	289	398	356	753	67	359	19	13	344	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	261	236	39	4	1	6	20	112	5	4	0	165	245	267	512	102	280	43	8	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	261	226	45	6	1	7	30	77	5	4	0	199	307	327	634	128	268	30	11	293	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	FCL Braves	—	27	26	1	0	0	0	1	16	0	0	0	38	74	38	113		100	59	4	52	-102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	FCL Braves	—	27	25	1	0	0	0	2	12	0	0	0	40	111	40	151		77	44	7	85	-77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	ATL	—	84	77	17	3	1	2	6	25	1	1	0	221	286	364	649	143	285	30	7	271	65	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	ATL	34%	148	134	29	5	1	3	11	43	2	2	1	216	286	336	622	119	287	29	7	280	72	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2027	23	MLB	ATL	34%	51	46	10	2	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	217	294	326	620	109	287	29	8	272	66	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	51	46	10	2	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	217	294	326	620	109	300	29	8	272	66	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	127	25	0	13	51	191	13	13	0	217	294	326	620	109	298	29	8	272	66	-25	+3	+0	-4	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	699	631	124	15	4	12	53	241	11	7	2	197	271	290	561	94	293	34	8	246	47	-42	+1	+0	-4	+20	-2.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	115	14	4	11	49	224	10	7	2	196	269	290	559	94	292	34	8	246	47	-39	+1	+0	-4	+18	-2.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	179	149	43	5	1	1	24	34	3	0	1	289	398	356	753	67	359	19	13	344	122	+4	-0	—	—	+5	0.9
2023	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	261	226	45	6	1	7	30	77	5	4	0	199	307	327	634	128	268	30	11	293	83	-5	+1	—	—	+7	0.3
2024	20	ROK	FCL Braves	—	27	25	1	0	0	0	2	12	0	0	0	40	111	40	151		77	44	7	85	-77	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jair Casanova (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	207/272/324	116	285	2	1	30%	7%	65	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kevin Padlo 2018 · A	22	36→40	46→55	44→50	48	183/269/314	131	257	13	8	32%	10%	62	-0.9	197/280/350	153	289	17	9	35%	9%	76	+0.0	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Jabari Henry 2013 · A	22	42→40	46→55	49→45	44	211/272/346	135	274	13	6	28%	7%	70	-0.3	203/283/350	147	273	16	6	30%	9%	76	+0.1	186/275/344	157	252	18	6	32%	10%	68	-0.3
✕Brian McFall 2006 · A	22	38→44	46→55	51→50	36	193/259/315	122	286	14	12	36%	5%	58	-1.2	203/261/356	153	281	19	9	34%	5%	69	-0.4	209/271/363	155	281	18	8	32%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Rodolfo Castro 2021 · A	22	37→40	47→55	46→50	35	194/234/331	137	275	15	6	35%	5%	50	-1.7	211/266/374	163	279	20	8	31%	6%	76	+0.0	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	43→50	51→55	47	212/285/327	114	283	10	10	27%	8%	71	-0.3	202/288/323	121	269	12	14	28%	10%	72	-0.2	197/277/356	159	247	21	23	29%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Adam Abraham 2009 · A	22	39→47	44→50	49→40	43	197/259/310	113	258	12	5	28%	7%	56	-1.3	217/272/328	111	278	9	4	24%	6%	66	-0.6	216/278/345	129	272	14	2	25%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Patrick Leonard 2015 · A	22	42→49	45	52→50	40	209/267/331	123	293	13	8	32%	6%	65	-0.7	215/274/331	116	315	10	10	33%	6%	67	-0.5	210/268/321	110	305	10	11	33%	6%	59	-1.0
✕Zach Green 2016 · A	22	43→41	41→55	49→40	39	210/252/306	96	286	8	6	29%	5%	50	-1.7	204/259/337	133	322	14	3	39%	5%	63	-0.8	192/267/372	179	300	23	1	42%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Jacob Heyward 2018 · A	22	40	46→50	44→50	39	197/268/322	125	306	14	8	38%	8%	63	-0.8	196/281/324	128	303	14	10	37%	9%	69	-0.4	181/275/326	145	269	18	9	37%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Jack Brannigan 2023 · A	22	42	43→50	48→50	43	202/279/307	104	304	10	13	35%	8%	64	-0.8	200/283/348	148	300	18	17	37%	9%	76	+0.1	182/269/332	150	267	19	18	37%	9%	64	-0.4
✕Chase McDonald 2014 · A	22	41	44→50	45→30	42	207/272/322	115	283	12	4	30%	7%	64	-0.8	206/266/357	151	306	19	2	37%	7%	72	-0.2	198/258/353	155	286	21	1	37%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Raul Beracierta 2022 · A	23	42	45→50	50	38	204/261/333	129	310	11	8	36%	6%	63	-0.9	221/267/351	130	335	15	5	37%	5%	69	-0.4	222/262/357	135	329	19	1	37%	4%	65	-0.4
✕Nick Akins 2010 · A	22	42	48→55	47→45	37	209/266/358	149	305	15	5	35%	6%	71	-0.3	207/269/369	162	285	20	4	33%	7%	76	+0.0	192/257/348	156	253	20	4	32%	6%	63	-0.4
✕Jodd Carter 2018 · A	22	44→41	44→45	46→45	40	215/273/329	114	314	13	8	34%	7%	66	-0.6	211/275/339	128	288	15	9	30%	7%	70	-0.3	201/271/331	130	264	16	9	29%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2022 · A	22	41→51	42→45	48→50	38	205/253/308	104	278	10	9	30%	5%	52	-1.6	235/290/335	100	323	11	12	29%	6%	75	-0.0	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Marcus Wilson 2019 · A	22	44→49	43→50	49→50	41	213/271/324	111	307	10	12	33%	7%	64	-0.8	203/271/337	134	330	15	13	40%	8%	68	-0.5	187/269/341	154	316	17	16	43%	9%	66	-0.4
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	40	41→50	51→55	42	193/268/296	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	56	-1.3	205/269/314	109	292	8	12	30%	6%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Joe DeCarlo 2016 · A	22	36→37	43→55	44→30	42	178/266/287	109	280	11	3	38%	8%	54	-1.4	196/276/343	147	277	18	3	34%	8%	72	-0.2	194/273/355	161	262	20	1	33%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Jiandido Tromp 2016 · A	22	36→45	44→55	49→45	33	184/225/298	114	272	11	8	36%	4%	37	-2.6	214/256/361	147	284	15	9	30%	5%	67	-0.5	215/259/359	144	281	15	8	29%	5%	65	-0.5