Andy Garriola

OF Knoxville Smokies

Age 27 R/R 6'4" / 235 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	25	AACHC	152	.182/.253/.336	4	1	34	—	.156/.207/.284
2025	25	A+CHC	260	.220/.296/.375	8	5	35	—	.172/.230/.285
2026	26	AACHC	481	.256/.310/.456	22	1	70	—	.213/.259/.365
2027PROJ2% MLB	27	MLBCHC	5	.208/.255/.353	0	0	69	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	28	MLBCHC	72	.208/.257/.351	2	0	69	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

ISO74

wRC+59

K%58

wOBA51

Whiff%46

Z-Con%28

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsDevin Harris (age 27) · Anthony Gallas (age 27) · Chadwick Tromp (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .255 / .353

PA5

HR0

K%20

BB%5

BABIP259

ISO150

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	23	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	416	382	86	23	0	12	19	82	11	11	3	225	282	380	661	154	254	20	5	293	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	74	63	17	5	0	3	6	15	3	3	0	270	356	492	848	222	304	20	8	368	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	381	332	80	24	1	18	35	119	4	9	2	241	321	482	803	241	302	31	9	343	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	152	137	25	7	1	4	12	30	1	1	0	182	253	336	589	153	200	20	8	262	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	260	232	51	12	0	8	19	63	6	5	1	220	296	375	671	155	262	24	7	299	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	481	425	109	17	1	22	30	111	8	1	1	256	310	456	767	200	291	23	6	329	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	23	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	416	388	68	18	0	9	13	110	11	11	3	175	223	291	515	116	210	26	3	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	74	66	15	4	0	3	4	19	3	3	0	227	301	424	726	197	248	26	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	381	345	60	17	1	14	22	164	4	9	2	174	232	351	583	177	243	43	6	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	152	141	22	7	1	3	8	37	1	1	0	156	207	284	490	128	181	24	5	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	260	239	41	9	0	6	12	76	6	5	1	172	230	285	514	113	209	29	5	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	481	446	95	15	1	17	20	136	8	1	1	213	259	365	625	152	254	28	4	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	416	388	68	18	0	9	13	110	11	11	3	175	223	291	515	116	217	26	3	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	416	382	86	23	0	12	19	82	11	11	3	225	282	380	661	154	254	20	5	293	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	455	410	73	20	1	16	27	183	7	12	2	178	241	349	590	171	257	40	6	256	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A RAW	2 teams	—	455	395	97	29	1	21	41	134	7	12	2	246	327	484	810	238	303	29	9	347	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	412	379	63	16	1	9	21	113	7	6	1	166	224	285	509	119	206	27	5	219	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	412	369	76	19	1	12	31	93	7	6	1	206	280	360	641	154	238	23	8	285	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	481	446	95	15	1	17	20	136	8	1	1	213	259	365	625	152	260	28	4	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA RAW	Knoxville Smokies	—	481	425	109	17	1	22	30	111	8	1	1	256	310	456	767	200	291	23	6	329	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	416	389	68	18	0	9	13	110	11	11	3	175	223	290	514	116	210	26	3	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	455	418	73	20	1	16	27	183	7	12	2	175	241	342	583	167	244	40	6	256	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	412	381	63	16	1	9	21	113	7	6	1	165	224	283	507	118	199	27	5	219	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	481	450	95	15	1	17	20	136	8	1	1	211	259	362	622	151	254	28	4	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	455	418	73	20	1	16	27	183	7	12	2	175	241	342	583	167	244	40	6	256	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	412	381	63	16	1	9	21	113	7	6	1	165	224	283	507	118	199	27	5	219	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	481	450	95	15	1	17	20	136	8	1	1	211	259	362	622	151	254	28	4	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CHC	2%	380	354	73	14	1	12	18	106	5	3	1	207	255	354	608	147	257	28	5	270	69	-14	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	27	MLB CTX	CHC	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	208	255	353	608	145	259	20	0	270	69	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	CHC	27%	267	248	52	10	1	8	13	74	4	2	1	207	256	352	608	145	258	28	5	270	69	-10	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.7
2028	28	MLB CTX	CHC	27%	72	68	14	3	0	2	3	20	1	0	0	208	257	351	607	143	260	28	4	270	69	-3	+0	-0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	72	68	14	3	0	2	3	20	1	0	0	206	250	338	588	132	261	28	4	270	55	-3	+0	-0	-0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	614	126	27	0	18	27	181	9	0	0	205	249	337	586	132	260	28	4	270	55	-24	+0	-2	-4	+14	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	2281	2104	399	88	5	67	106	686	40	34	9	190	242	332	574	142	241	30	5	249	55	-19	+0	-1	-3	+11	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	600	113	25	1	19	30	195	11	10	3	188	240	328	569	140	239	30	5	249	55	-24	+0	-1	-4	+14	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andy Garriola (OGILVIE)	27	35	45	45	30	205/253/351	145	257	8	2	28%	5%	69	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Devin Harris 2015 · AA	27	39→40	50→55	44→40	38	204/250/362	158	273	18	3	32%	5%	70	-0.9	209/255/351	142	283	15	6	31%	5%	68	-1.0	194/239/336	142	254	16	4	30%	5%	55	-1.4
✕Anthony Gallas 2015 · AAA	27	41	50	44→40	37	217/255/374	157	281	18	4	30%	4%	74	-0.5	214/257/359	145	281	17	5	29%	5%	71	-0.8	204/248/349	145	258	17	2	28%	4%	63	-1.1
✕Chadwick Tromp 2022 · MLB	27	39	49→45	45→40	37	208/246/351	143	262	18	4	29%	4%	65	-1.2	211/261/340	129	264	15	3	26%	6%	68	-1.0	213/269/334	121	264	14	0	25%	7%	67	-0.5
✕Brian Serven 2022 · AAA	27	36	49→50	47→30	39	196/249/341	145	242	18	5	28%	5%	65	-1.2	199/261/319	120	261	14	4	28%	7%	63	-1.3	212/290/326	114	302	11	1	31%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Davis Wendzel 2023 · AAA	26	36→32	48→50	43→40	42	193/258/328	135	252	17	5	31%	7%	65	-1.2	199/277/337	138	247	17	5	26%	8%	75	-0.5	194/271/323	128	229	14	4	22%	7%	67	-0.6
✕Dustin Lawley 2015 · AAA	26	38→42	49→50	45	37	200/242/348	149	265	16	6	32%	5%	63	-1.3	196/236/315	119	269	12	9	31%	4%	53	-2.1	171/204/270	99	232	9	10	31%	3%	28	-2.4
✕Brian Navarreto 2022 · AAA	27	35	49→45	48→30	40	192/239/332	140	233	18	5	27%	5%	59	-1.7	212/259/322	110	266	12	4	25%	6%	63	-1.4	205/250/291	87	260	9	1	24%	5%	50	-0.8
✕Johan Mieses 2021 · AAA	26	37→33	50→55	49→50	41	203/260/349	146	252	19	7	28%	6%	71	-0.8	214/287/385	171	278	22	9	31%	8%	89	+0.5	197/278/378	180	249	24	7	31%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Camden Duzenack 2022 · AAA	27	37→36	48→50	51→50	35	198/244/333	135	278	17	9	35%	5%	60	-1.6	220/268/348	128	280	13	11	26%	5%	73	-0.6	218/269/343	125	269	13	10	23%	5%	69	-0.5
✕Quincy Latimore 2016 · AA	27	44→42	47→50	47→50	41	223/271/361	138	284	14	10	27%	6%	77	-0.3	205/254/329	124	273	14	7	29%	6%	63	-1.4	190/240/300	110	251	14	4	30%	6%	48	-1.8
✕Will Wilson 2024 · AAA	26	40→39	48→50	44→45	41	207/264/341	134	274	17	6	31%	7%	70	-0.8	206/265/303	97	274	10	8	27%	7%	61	-1.5	191/253/271	79	256	8	7	27%	7%	47	-1.8
✕Zach Houchins 2019 · AAA	26	42→43	49→50	41→40	40	220/257/367	148	257	18	5	23%	4%	73	-0.6	207/244/334	127	273	14	6	29%	4%	60	-1.6	185/216/298	113	246	12	2	30%	3%	39	-2.1
✕Tristan Gray 2023 · AAA	27	35→36	52→50	45→40	34	193/240/350	158	269	21	5	37%	5%	63	-1.3	193/248/342	149	268	18	4	34%	6%	64	-1.3	197/252/324	127	261	14	3	29%	6%	61	-1.0
✕Patrick Brady 2015 · AAA	27	41	46→45	44→45	40	212/255/338	127	273	14	8	28%	5%	65	-1.2	212/263/316	104	296	8	12	29%	6%	63	-1.4	208/264/297	90	294	3	14	28%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Mike Bianucci 2013 · AAA	27	40	51→60	44→40	37	214/259/365	151	269	20	4	29%	4%	74	-0.6	225/268/403	178	269	24	4	26%	5%	86	+0.3	219/257/410	191	249	27	2	25%	4%	82	-0.0
✕Mark Saccomanno 2007 · AA	27	42→47	50→55	45→40	37	219/254/371	153	274	18	5	28%	4%	73	-0.6	222/259/374	152	271	19	4	25%	4%	75	-0.5	220/258/364	144	261	18	3	23%	4%	70	-0.8
✕Jesus Flores 2012 · MLB	27	42→39	45→50	47→30	36	212/244/336	124	280	13	4	29%	4%	60	-1.6	194/226/295	101	246	10	4	25%	4%	44	-2.8	177/207/262	85	221	9	1	25%	3%	27	-1.6
✕Chris Maples 2007 · AAA	27	41	52→50	42→45	36	216/257/381	165	279	20	5	31%	4%	76	-0.4	206/258/319	113	306	11	9	35%	6%	62	-1.4	154/217/193	39	270	0	7	40%	6%	16	-1.6
✕Erik Morrison 2012 · A	26	40→43	50	43→45	38	213/254/365	152	262	19	7	27%	4%	72	-0.7	227/269/331	104	283	11	6	23%	5%	69	-0.9	232/270/323	91	283	11	3	22%	4%	64	-0.7
✕Taylor Featherston 2017 · MLB	27	41→46	46→50	49→50	38	209/254/341	132	265	14	11	27%	4%	66	-1.1	188/245/307	119	285	13	11	37%	5%	55	-2.0	164/223/274	110	271	13	10	43%	5%	37	-2.1