Eduardo Zapata prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Eduardo Zapata P DSL Pirates Black

Age 22 RHP 6'2" / 160 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 8 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 148140vR 132

ERA6.07

FIP6.07

K%21.8%

BB%22.1%

K-BB%-0.3%

ROS IP8

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Gold	10	0	16	75	15	12	2	0%	1.6	13.6%	20.0%	-6.4%	4.2%	8.04	6.77	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL PIT Gold	10	0	16	75	15	12	2	0%	1.6	20.0%	16.0%	4.0%	2.7%	8.04	5.14	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Black	2	0	2	10	0	5	0	0%	0.8	0.0%	50.0%	-50.0%	0.0%	10.80	9.43	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL PIT Black	2	0	2	10	0	5	0	0%	0.8	0.0%	50.0%	-50.0%	0.0%	10.80	12.10	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	16	0	17	96	15	23	1	0%	1.0	10.6%	29.9%	-19.3%	1.5%	12.96	6.80	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	16	0	17	96	15	23	1	0%	1.0	10.6%	29.9%	-19.3%	1.5%	12.96	6.80	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	16	0	17	96	15	23	1	0%	1.0	15.6%	24.0%	-8.3%	1.0%	12.96	6.22	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	12	0	13	69	16	20	1	0%	1.1	15.8%	36.2%	-20.5%	2.0%	8.78	7.47	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	12	0	13	69	16	20	1	0%	1.1	15.8%	36.2%	-20.5%	2.0%	8.78	7.47	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	12	0	13	69	16	20	1	0%	1.1	23.2%	29.0%	-5.8%	1.4%	8.78	6.17	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	22	MLB	PIT	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.8%	22.1%	-0.3%	3.0%	6.07	6.07	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	PIT	19	0	20	84	19	15	2	0%	1.1	22.7%	18.3%	4.4%	2.9%	5.65	5.49	-0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	PIT	10	0	10	42	10	8	1	0%	1.0	22.7%	18.3%	4.4%	2.9%	5.65	5.49	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	9	8	1	0%	1.1	22.7%	18.3%	4.4%	2.9%	5.65	5.11	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	163	20	0%	1.1	22.7%	18.3%	4.4%	2.9%	5.65	5.11	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		40	0	47	250	31	74	6	0%	1.2	12.5%	29.5%	-17.0%	2.4%	10.08	7.08	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		169	0	200	1056	132	312	25	0%	1.2	12.5%	29.5%	-17.0%	2.4%	10.08	7.08	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eduardo Zapata (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.07	21.8%	22.1%	3.0%	—	5.49	22.7%	4.4%	20	-0.58	—	—	—
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.56	176	90
Marcus Crescentini R 2015 · 5.80 FIP	22	SU	5.80	21.8%	21.9%	3.2%	.365	3.95	23.3%	11.6%	123	-1.85	2.74	150	88
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	87
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	87
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	85
Greg Weissert R 2016 · 5.22 FIP	21	SU	5.22	19.4%	19.3%	2.4%	.382	3.80	23.0%	10.3%	126	-1.42	2.57	487	85
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	84
Franklyn German R 2003 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	18.9%	2.2%	.313	5.27	13.1%	0.1%	86	+0.10	3.37	152	84
Roberto Espinosa R 2015 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.9%	18.6%	1.9%	.273	4.43	14.8%	2.2%	77	-0.49	4.32	117	84
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	84
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	84
Jace Beck R 2022 · 6.24 FIP	22	SU	6.24	19.2%	23.6%	3.2%	.205	4.33	27.6%	8.3%	76	-1.91	4.03	216	83
Walker Brockhouse R 2021 · 6.65 FIP	22	SU	6.65	20.2%	19.7%	5.0%	.265	4.69	19.3%	3.2%	111	-1.96	4.24	126	83
Tommy McCollum R 2021 · 6.21 FIP	22	SU	6.21	17.1%	27.2%	2.0%	.235	3.80	26.4%	10.9%	112	-2.41	2.90	219	82
Jairo Beras R 2017 · 6.07 FIP	22	SU	6.07	16.4%	16.9%	4.0%	.237	4.35	20.7%	4.5%	96	-1.72	3.48	110	82
Madison Jeffrey R 2022 · 5.47 FIP	22	SU	5.47	19.9%	25.3%	1.5%	.252	5.08	17.6%	-9.7%	107	-0.39	4.65	168	81
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	81
Matt Brill R 2018 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	20.8%	16.3%	2.7%	.248	3.89	19.4%	4.9%	60	-1.01	3.73	161	81
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	81
Angel German R 2018 · 5.26 FIP	22	SU	5.26	19.0%	16.3%	3.1%	.324	6.58	17.8%	2.7%	52	+1.32	3.33	200	81